More than ************* mortgage loans are projected to be affected by the increasing mortgage interest rates in Canada by 2025. About *********** of these mortgages are projected to be up for renewal in 2024. These loans were taken out at a time when interest rates were much lower, meaning that homeowners will be affected by a notable increase in their monthly payments.

The Canadian home lending market, valued at approximately $XX million in 2025, is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5% through 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key factors. Firstly, a consistently growing population and increasing urbanization are driving demand for housing, particularly in major metropolitan areas. Secondly, favorable government policies aimed at supporting homeownership, while subject to change, have historically played a crucial role. Thirdly, the prevalence of low-interest rates (though subject to fluctuations) in recent years has made mortgages more accessible to a wider range of borrowers. Finally, the diverse range of lenders, including commercial banks, financial institutions, credit unions, and online lenders, fosters competition and innovation within the market, offering consumers more choice and potentially better rates. However, the market is not without its challenges. Rising interest rates, inflation, and potential economic downturns pose significant risks to the sustained growth trajectory. Furthermore, stricter lending regulations implemented to mitigate risks within the financial system could impact affordability and accessibility for some borrowers. Market segmentation reveals a preference for fixed-rate loans and a growing adoption of online lending platforms, alongside continued reliance on traditional brick-and-mortar institutions. Key players in the market, such as HSBC Bank Canada, Tangerine Direct Bank, and others, compete aggressively to capture market share through varied product offerings and service models. The market’s long-term prospects remain positive, albeit contingent on macroeconomic stability and regulatory shifts. Continued innovation and adaptation by lenders will be crucial in navigating the evolving landscape of the Canadian home lending market. This insightful report provides a deep dive into the dynamic Canadian home lending market, analyzing key trends, growth drivers, and challenges from 2019 to 2033. With a focus on the crucial year 2025 (base and estimated year), this comprehensive study offers invaluable insights for stakeholders across the industry. We leverage data from the historical period (2019-2024) to project the market's trajectory during the forecast period (2025-2033). Keywords: Canadian mortgage market, home equity loans Canada, mortgage rates Canada, online mortgage lenders Canada, Canadian real estate finance. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

In 2025, mortgage interest rates in Canada decreased. The five-year insured fixed mortgage interest rate as of May 2025 stood at **** percent, making it the most affordable mortgage type. Meanwhile, the insured mortgage rate fixed for under one year was the highest, at **** percent.

Rates have been trending downward in Canada for the last five years. The ebbs and flows are caused by changes in Canada’s bond yields (driven by Canadians economic developments and international rate movements, particularly U.S. rate fluctuations) and the overnight rate (which is set by the Bank of Canada). As of August 2022, there has been a 225 bps increase in the prime rate, since beginning of year 2022, from 2.45% to 4.70% as of Aug 24th 2022. The following are the historical conventional mortgage rates offered by the 6 major chartered banks in Canada in the past 20 years.

Evaluate Canada’s best mortgage rates in one place. RATESDOTCA’s Rate Matrix lets you compare pricing for all key mortgage types and terms. Rates are based on an average mortgage of $300,000

Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data was reported at 6.490 % pa in 07 May 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.490 % pa for 30 Apr 2025. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data is updated weekly, averaging 5.700 % pa from Jan 2000 (Median) to 07 May 2025, with 1323 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.750 % pa in 31 May 2000 and a record low of 4.640 % pa in 12 Jul 2017. Canada Conventional Mortgage: 5 Years: Weekly data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.M005: Conventional Mortgage Rate. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• Canada Government Benchmark Bonds Yield: Month End: 10 Years was reported at 2.90 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 3.07 % pa in the previous month.
• Canada Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1993 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 9.28 % pa in Jun 1994 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Bank of Canada.

Government Benchmark Bond are rates based on actual mid-market closing yields of selected Canada bond issues that mature approximately in the indicated term areas.


Related information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.82 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 3.00 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.33 (USD/CAD) in Jun 2023.

Canada's inflation rate experienced significant fluctuations from 2018 to 2025. Inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022 before steadily declining to *** percent by December 2024. In early 2025, inflation began to increase again, rising to *** percent in February, and dropping to *** percent in March. In response to rising inflation between 2020 and 2022, the Bank of Canada implemented aggressive interest rate hikes. The bank rate reached a maximum of **** percent in July 2023 and remained stable until June 2024. As inflationary pressures eased in the second half of 2024, the central bank reduced interest rates to *** percent in December 2024. In 2025, the bank rate witnessed two cuts, standing at ***** percent in May 2025. This pattern reflected broader global economic trends, with most advanced and emerging economies experiencing similar inflationary challenges and monetary policy adjustments. Global context of inflation and interest rates The Canadian experience aligns with the broader international trend of central banks raising policy rates to combat inflation. Between 2021 and 2023, nearly all advanced and emerging economies increased their central bank rates. However, a shift occurred in the latter half of 2024, with many countries, including Canada, beginning to lower rates. This change suggests a new phase in the global economic cycle and monetary policy approach. Notably, among surveyed countries, Russia maintained the highest interest rate in early 2025, while Japan had the lowest rate. Comparison with the United States The United States experienced a similar trajectory in inflation and interest rates. U.S. inflation peaked at *** percent in June 2022, slightly higher than Canada's peak. The Federal Reserve responded with a series of rate hikes, reaching **** percent in August 2023. This rate remained unchanged until September 2024, when the first cut since September 2021 was implemented. In contrast, Canada's bank rate peaked at **** percent and began decreasing earlier, with cuts in June and July 2024. These differences highlight the nuanced approaches of central banks in managing their respective economies amid global inflationary pressures.

Bank Lending Rate in Canada remained unchanged at 4.95 percent in June. This dataset provides - Canada Prime Lending Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The Canadian home lending market, valued at approximately $X million in 2025 (assuming a reasonable market size based on available data and comparable markets), is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 5.00% through 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Increasing homeownership aspirations among Canadians, particularly among millennials and Gen Z, are significantly contributing to market demand. Favorable government policies aimed at supporting affordable housing, though potentially fluctuating, also play a vital role. Furthermore, the rise of innovative financial technologies and the increasing accessibility of online lending platforms are streamlining the borrowing process and broadening market reach. Competition is intense among a diverse range of lenders, including commercial banks (like Bank of Montreal and National Bank of Canada), financial institutions, credit unions (such as PenFinancial and First Ontario), and specialized mortgage providers (like True North Mortgage and IntelliMortgage). This competitive landscape fosters innovation and drives down costs for borrowers. However, the market faces challenges. Rising interest rates represent a significant restraint, impacting affordability and potentially slowing growth. Stringent lending regulations, designed to mitigate risk, can also restrict lending volume to some extent. Furthermore, economic uncertainties and fluctuations in housing prices can influence market sentiment and borrower confidence. Market segmentation shows considerable diversity, with fixed-rate loans maintaining a significant share, alongside growing demand for home equity lines of credit. The rise of online lending is transforming the sector, though offline channels remain important, particularly for complex mortgages or those requiring personalized guidance. The forecast period (2025-2033) presents both opportunities and risks for lenders, requiring strategic adaptation to prevailing economic and regulatory conditions. The continued growth of the market depends upon careful balance between affordable housing options and sustainable financial practices. Recent developments include: On March 15, 2022, First Ontario Credit Union announced its merger with Heritage savings & Credit union to offer the best in financial products and services., On February 09, 2022, Hello safe announced a new partnership with Hard bacon, a personal finance application used by more than 35,000 Canadians, this partnership is to leverage Hard bacon's portfolio of comparison tools.. Notable trends are: A Rise in Home Prices Boosting Home Equity Lending Market.

The US home loan market, a cornerstone of the American economy, is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Low interest rates, particularly in the early part of the forecast period, have historically stimulated borrowing, making homeownership more accessible. A growing population, coupled with increasing urbanization and a persistent demand for housing in key metropolitan areas, further fuels this market's expansion. Government initiatives aimed at supporting homeownership, such as tax incentives and affordable housing programs, also play a significant role. The market is segmented by loan type (purchase, refinance, improvement), source (banks, HFCs), interest rate (fixed, floating), and loan tenure. While refinancing activity might fluctuate based on prevailing interest rates, the underlying demand for home purchases remains strong, particularly in regions with robust job markets and population growth. Competition among lenders, including major players like Rocket Mortgage, LoanDepot, and Wells Fargo, alongside regional and smaller banks, is fierce, resulting in innovative loan products and competitive pricing. However, the market is not without its challenges. Rising inflation and potential interest rate hikes pose a significant risk, potentially dampening demand and increasing borrowing costs. Stringent lending regulations and increased scrutiny of creditworthiness could restrict access to loans for some borrowers. Furthermore, fluctuations in the housing market itself, including supply chain disruptions impacting construction and material costs, can influence the overall growth trajectory. Despite these headwinds, the long-term outlook for the US home loan market remains positive, driven by the fundamental need for housing and ongoing economic expansion in select regions. The diverse segmentation of the market allows for a nuanced understanding of the specific growth drivers and challenges within each segment. For instance, the home improvement loan segment is expected to see strong growth driven by homeowners' increasing desire to upgrade their existing properties. Recent developments include: June 2023: Bank of America Corp has been adding consumer branches in four new U.S. states, it said on Tuesday, bringing its national footprint closer to rival JPMorgan Chase & Co. Bank of America will likely open new financial centers in Nebraska, Wisconsin, Alabama, and Louisiana as part of a four-year expansion across nine markets, including Louisville, Milwaukee, and New Orleans., July 2022: Rocket Mortgage entered the Canadian Market with the acquisition. The company expanded from offering home loans in Ontario at launch to now providing mortgages in every province, primarily from its headquarters in downtown Windsor. The Edison Financial team grew along with the company, starting with just four team members in early 2020 to more than 140 at present.. Key drivers for this market are: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Potential restraints include: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Notable trends are: Growth in Nonbank Lenders is Expected to Drive the Market.

The average mortgage payment in the large and mid-sized cities in Canada ranged between 1,300 Canadian dollars and 2,600 Canadian dollars. In the fourth quarter of the year, Vancouver topped the ranking, with homebuyers paying, on average, ***** Canadian dollars monthly. In Toronto, the average monthly scheduled mortgage payment was ***** Canadian dollars. Canada’s housing market House prices in Canada vary widely across the country. In 2023, the average sales price of detached single-family homes in Vancouver was nearly three times as expensive as the national average. Vancouver is undoubtedly considered the least affordable housing market: In 2023, the cost of buying a home with a **-year mortgage in Canada was approximately ** percent of the median household income, whereas in Vancouver, it was nearly *** percent. Development of house prices The development of house prices depends on multiple factors, such as availability on the market and demand. Since 2005, house prices in Canada have been continuously growing. According to the MSL composite house price index, 2021 measured the highest house price increase.

The Canadian mortgage and loan broker market is experiencing robust growth, driven by several key factors. A consistently strong housing market, coupled with increasing demand for diverse financial products like home loans, commercial and industrial loans, and vehicle loans, fuels this expansion. The rising complexity of mortgage products and the increasing need for personalized financial advice have created a significant demand for brokers' expertise, further boosting market size. The market is segmented by enterprise size (large, small, mid-sized), loan type (home loans, commercial/industrial loans, vehicle loans, government loans, others), and end-user (businesses, individuals). While precise market size figures are unavailable, we can infer substantial value based on the provided CAGR of >5% and a reported study period of 2019-2033. Given this growth trajectory and the established presence of numerous brokers (including True North Mortgage, KeyRate Corp, CanWise Financial, and others), a conservative estimate for the 2025 market size would fall within the range of $X Billion, with projections expecting continued expansion throughout the forecast period (2025-2033). This growth is not uniform across segments; the home loan segment likely dominates the market, while commercial and industrial loans, influenced by economic cycles, exhibit fluctuating demand. The increasing adoption of digital platforms and technological advancements within the brokerage sector will further shape market dynamics in the coming years. However, certain restraints exist. Regulatory changes and economic fluctuations influence market stability. Competition among established brokers and the emergence of new players add to the dynamic landscape. Maintaining consumer trust and complying with evolving regulations are critical for sustained success. The Canadian market showcases a strong preference for mortgage brokers, evidenced by the numerous established firms and sustained market growth. The industry's future growth will depend on effectively navigating regulatory compliance and leveraging technological advancements to deliver efficient and personalized services to a diverse clientele. This competitive market is expected to witness continued growth fueled by both established players and the entrance of new firms, capitalizing on the increasing demand for expert financial guidance in an evolving mortgage landscape. Recent developments include: In October 2023, True North Mortgage expands its Rate Relief product lineup, which initially launched with the lowest 6-month fixed rate around. The new 1-year Rate Relief mortgage is for those buying a home or who want to switch lenders at renewal to a better rate., November 2022: Home Capital Group Inc. announced that it had signed a legally binding contract (the "Arrangement Agreement") to be bought out by a wholly-owned subsidiary of Smith Financial Corporation ("SFC"), a company run by Stephen Smith., August 2022: Rocket Mortgage Canada, a digital mortgage broker based in Windsor, Ontario, made it official that it would stop doing business as Edison Financial and instead do business across the country under the name Rocket Mortgage. Rocket Mortgage said that it will change its brand and start lending directly in Canada later this year. Rocket Mortgage's agents talk with clients from all walks of life on a regular basis. Because of this, the company is in a unique position to use the information learned from these conversations to make loan products that work well and meet customer needs.. Notable trends are: Booming Alternative or Private Lending Market.

The share of mortgages in arrears in Canada reached an all-time low in 2022, followed by an increase until 2025. As of **********, the rate of mortgage arrears was **** percent, up from **** percent in September 2022.

The home equity loan market, valued at $30.74 billion in 2025, is projected to experience steady growth, driven by several key factors. Rising home values in many regions are providing homeowners with increased equity, making them eligible for larger loan amounts. Low interest rates, while fluctuating, historically contribute to increased borrowing. Furthermore, the increasing preference for home renovations and improvements fuels demand for home equity loans, as homeowners utilize this accessible source of funding for projects ranging from kitchen upgrades to energy-efficient replacements. The market is segmented by loan type (fixed-rate loans and home equity lines of credit – HELOCs) and service providers (banks, online lenders, credit unions, and others). Banks and credit unions traditionally dominate the market, but online lenders are gaining traction due to their ease of access and streamlined application processes. Competition among these providers is intensifying, leading to innovation in product offerings and customer service. While economic downturns could potentially restrain growth, the long-term outlook remains positive, fueled by ongoing demand for home improvements and refinancing opportunities. The geographic distribution of the market is extensive, with significant presence across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. The continued expansion of the home equity loan market is anticipated to be influenced by several dynamic factors. Government regulations and policies concerning lending practices will continue to shape the landscape. Technological advancements such as online platforms and sophisticated risk assessment tools will likely enhance efficiency and accessibility. Furthermore, evolving consumer preferences and financial literacy levels will play a significant role in determining demand for specific loan products. Geographic variations in housing markets, interest rates, and regulatory environments will lead to differential growth rates across different regions. The competitive landscape, marked by a diverse range of established and emerging players, suggests a dynamic market susceptible to shifts in market share based on product innovation, customer service, and strategic partnerships. Recent developments include: In April 2022, Redfin a real estate company based in Seattle (United States) acquired Bay Equity Home Loans with a sum of USD 137.8 Million. The merger accelerates Redfin’s strategy for expanding its business with customers to buy, sell, rent, and finance a home., In July 2022, Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board acquired HomeQ which exists as a parent company of HomeEquity Bank, from Birch Hill Equity Partners Management Inc. HomeEquity Bank exist as a Canadian Bank offering a range of reverse mortgage solutions product and Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan Board is a global investor.. Key drivers for this market are: Increase In Sales of Household Units, Higher Duration of Repayment. Potential restraints include: Increase In Sales of Household Units, Higher Duration of Repayment. Notable trends are: Access to Large Amount of Loan.

The high interest rate environment experienced over the five years to 2025, along with overall economic growth, has benefitted the Commercial Banking industry in Canada. Banks have done an exceptional job diversifying revenue streams, due to higher interest rates and increasing regulations. The industry primarily generates revenue through interest income sources, such as business loans and mortgages, but it also generates income through noninterest sources, which include fees on a variety of services and commissions. Industry revenue has been growing at a CAGR of 13.9% to $490.4 billion over the past five years, with an expected decrease of 0.3% in 2025 alone. In addition, profit, measured as earnings before interest and taxes, is anticipated to climb throughout 2025 due to the decreased provisions for credit losses (PCL). Industry revenue generated by interest income sources depends on demand for loans by consumers and the interest banks can charge on that capital it lends out. Therefore, high interest rates have enabled banks to increasingly charge for loans. However, the recent rate cuts in the latter part of the period have limited the price banks can charge for loans, hindering the interest income from these loans, although, with lower rates, commercial banks are anticipated to encounter growing loan volumes. Also, technological innovations have disrupted traditional banking features. The growing trends of online and mobile banking have increased customer engagement and loyalty, which has further aided the industry's expansion. Over the five years to 2030, projected interest rate declines and improvements in corporate profit are still anticipated to boost interest income from lending products. However, the remarkable debt levels of Canadian households make it increasingly likely that a period of deleveraging will begin over the next five years. Quicker growth rates in household debt and consumer spending are expected to increase interest income. In addition, improving macroeconomic conditions, such as unemployment and private investment, are expected to further boost revenue. Nonetheless, industry revenue is forecast to grow at a CAGR of 1.7% to $532.5 billion over the five years to 2030.

The Home Equity Loan market is projected to reach a market size of 30.74 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 3.50% over the forecast period 2025-2033. The United States, Canada, and Mexico are the major markets in North America. China, India, Japan, South Korea, ASEAN, Oceania, and the Rest of Asia Pacific form the Asia Pacific region. The factors driving market growth include the increasing popularity of debt consolidation, home improvements, and the need for additional capital. The growth in the home equity loan market is attributed to the low interest rates and the increasing number of homeowners. The availability of home equity loans at competitive interest rates makes them an attractive option for borrowers. However, the market is restrained by factors such as the high risk associated with home equity loans and strict eligibility criteria. The market is segmented by types, service providers, and regions. The types of home equity loans include fixed-rate loans and home equity lines of credit. The service providers include banks, online lenders, credit unions, and others. The regions include North America, South America, Europe, Middle East & Africa, and Asia Pacific. North America is expected to continue to dominate the market, followed by Asia Pacific and Europe. The increasing demand for home equity loans in these regions is expected to drive the growth of the Home Equity Loan market. Recent developments include: In April 2022, Redfin a real estate company based in Seattle (United States) acquired Bay Equity Home Loans with a sum of USD 137.8 Million. The merger accelerates Redfin’s strategy for expanding its business with customers to buy, sell, rent, and finance a home., In July 2022, Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan Board acquired HomeQ which exists as a parent company of HomeEquity Bank, from Birch Hill Equity Partners Management Inc. HomeEquity Bank exist as a Canadian Bank offering a range of reverse mortgage solutions product and Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan Board is a global investor.. Key drivers for this market are: Increase In Sales of Household Units, Higher Duration of Repayment. Potential restraints include: Increase In Sales of Household Units, Higher Duration of Repayment. Notable trends are: Access to Large Amount of Loan.

The Canadian property insurance market, while exhibiting resilience, faces evolving challenges and opportunities. The period from 2019 to 2024 saw moderate growth, influenced by factors such as increasing property values, fluctuating interest rates, and a rise in severe weather events. The base year of 2025 is estimated to represent a market size of approximately $25 billion CAD, reflecting a continued upward trend despite economic uncertainties. This growth is projected to continue throughout the forecast period (2025-2033), driven by factors such as population growth in urban centers, rising construction activity, and increasing awareness of the need for comprehensive property coverage. Insurers are responding by developing innovative products, leveraging technology for risk assessment and claims processing, and focusing on customer experience to maintain competitiveness. However, the market is not without its headwinds. The increasing frequency and severity of natural disasters, like wildfires and floods, pose significant challenges, potentially leading to higher premiums and stricter underwriting standards. Furthermore, evolving regulatory landscapes and the need to adapt to changing consumer preferences (e.g., the increasing use of online platforms for insurance purchasing) require continuous adaptation by insurers. The competitive landscape remains dynamic, with both established players and new entrants vying for market share. Ultimately, the long-term success of insurers will hinge on their ability to effectively manage risks, adopt technological advancements, and tailor their offerings to the evolving needs of Canadian homeowners and businesses. Recent developments include: P/C Agency Mergers Rise 10% in First Half of 2021 - There were 339 announced property/casualty insurance agency mergers and acquisitions during the first half of 2021, up from 307 in 2020., CMHC Changes Underwriting Practices on Mortgage Loan Insurance - Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. is easing its underwriting criteria for mortgage loan insurance after changes it made last year were not effective and caused it to lose market share. The federal housing agency said that it returned to considering a gross debt service ratio of up to 39 per cent and a total debt service ratio of up to 44 per cent for borrowers who have a strong history of managing payment obligations. Gross debt service refers to the maximum amount of gross annual income that can be used for home-related expenses like mortgages, heat or condo fees, while total debt service is calculated when these expenses are combined with monthly debt payments owed on items such as credit cards or cars.. Notable trends are: CATASTROPHIC LOSSES.

Key information about Canada Household Debt

• Canada Household Debt reached 2,110.9 USD bn in Dec 2024, compared with the reported number of 2,161.8 USD bn in the previous month
• Canada Household Debt: USD mn data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1969 to Dec 2024
• The data reached an all-time high of 2,225.1 USD bn in Sep 2024 and a record low of 22.2 USD bn in Jan 1969

CEIC converts monthly Household Debt into USD. Statistics Canada provides Household Debt in local currency. The Federal Reserve Board period end market exchange rate is used for currency conversions. Loans are used due to the lack of Flow of Funds statistics. Household Debt prior to January 1990 is sourced from the Bank of Canada.


Further information about Canada Household Debt

• In the latest reports, Canada Household Debt accounted for 99.2 % of the country's Nominal GDP in Sep 2024
• Money Supply M2 in Canada increased 1,873.3 USD bn YoY in Nov 2024
• Canada Foreign Exchange Reserves was measured at 90.2 USD bn in Jan 2025
• The Foreign Exchange Reserves equaled 2.0 Months of Import in Dec 2024
• Canada Domestic Credit reached 4,647.3 USD bn in Nov 2024, representing an increased of 3.9 % YoY