Just as in many other countries, the housing market in the UK grew substantially during the coronavirus pandemic, fueled by robust demand and low borrowing costs. Nevertheless, high inflation and the increase in mortgage rates has led to house price growth slowing down. According to the forecast, 2024 is expected to see house prices decrease by three percent. Between 2024 and 2028, the average house price growth is projected at 2.7 percent. A contraction after a period of continuous growth In June 2022, the UK's house price index exceeded 150 index points, meaning that since 2015 which was the base year for the index, house prices had increased by 50 percent. In just two years, between 2020 and 2022, the index surged by 30 index points. As the market stood in December 2023, the average price for a home stood at approximately 284,691 British pounds. Rents are expected to continue to grow According to another forecast, the prime residential market is also expected to see rental prices grow in the next years. Growth is forecast to be stronger in 2024 and slow down in the period between 2025 and 2028. The rental market in London is expected to follow a similar trend, with Central London slightly outperforming Greater London.

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According to the European Central Bank's survey of professional forecasters, the interest rate on the ECB's main refinancing operations is expected to decrease from 2.9 percent in January 2025 to 1.9 percent in 2026.

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United States CBO Projection: Federal Debt Held by Public: Average Interest Rate data was reported at 3.448 % in 2028. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.442 % for 2027. United States CBO Projection: Federal Debt Held by Public: Average Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 3.289 % from Sep 2014 (Median) to 2028, with 15 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.531 % in 2023 and a record low of 1.654 % in 2015. United States CBO Projection: Federal Debt Held by Public: Average Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Congressional Budget Office. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.F006: Federal Debt: Projection: Congressional Budget Office.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

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US Residential Construction Market Size 2025-2029

The residential construction market size in the US is forecast to increase by USD 242.9 million at a CAGR of 4.5% between 2024 and 2029.

The residential construction market is experiencing significant growth, driven by several key factors. Firstly, the increasing household formation rates in the US continue to fuel demand for new housing units. Secondly, there is a rising focus on sustainability in residential construction projects, with homebuilders increasingly adopting energy-efficient and eco-friendly building materials and practices.
However, the market also faces challenges, including a shortage of skilled labor for large-scale residential real estate projects, which can impact project timelines and budgets. These trends and challenges are shaping the future of the residential construction industry in the US.

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The residential construction market is experiencing a significant shift as the affordable housing trend gains momentum. The Federal Reserve's decision to keep the federal funds rate low has contributed to a decrease in mortgage rates, making it an opportune time for home buyers to enter the market. However, the housing supply remains a concern, with construction spending in the residential investment sector showing only modest growth. The labor market's current state is another factor influencing the residential construction industry. With a low unemployment rate, there is a high demand for labor, leading to increased wages and, in turn, higher construction costs.
Inflation also poses a challenge, as it erodes the purchasing power of home buyers and builders alike. The economy's overall health plays a crucial role in the residential construction market's dynamics. A strong economy typically leads to increased demand for new homes, as evidenced by the double-digit growth in housing starts and building permits for single-family homes. However, a recession can lead to a significant decrease in construction activity, as seen in the cancellation rate of housing projects. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, inflation, and the economy's health all impact the residential construction market. Affordable housing programs, such as housing choice vouchers and fair housing programs, play a vital role in ensuring access to housing for a broader population. The construction sectors must navigate these market dynamics to remain competitive and meet the demand for new homes.
The US residential construction market is seeing significant shifts, driven by various housing market trends. Sustainable homebuilding practices are gaining momentum, with a focus on energy-efficient homes and green building materials. Modular construction and prefab housing are becoming increasingly popular for their cost-effective and timely solutions. Urban redevelopment projects are revitalizing city areas, while suburban expansion is fueling demand for new homes. Affordable housing projects are crucial in addressing housing shortages, and real estate investment continues to thrive in these sectors. Smart home integration is also on the rise, with luxury home construction embracing high-tech features. The impact of mortgage rates, coupled with multifamily housing growth and home renovation demand, adds complexity to the market's dynamics.

How is this market segmented and which is the largest segment?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Product

  Apartments and condominiums
  Villas
  Other types


Type

  New construction
  Renovation


Application

  Single family
  Multi-family


Geography

  US

By Product Insights

The apartments and condominiums segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

The residential construction market in the US is experiencing growth in the apartment and condominium sectors, driven by shifting preferences and lifestyle choices. Urbanization is a significant factor fueling this trend, as more individuals opt for the conveniences and amenities offered in urban areas. As a result, developers are constructing modern, sustainable, and community-focused living spaces in the form of high-rise apartment buildings and condominium complexes. These structures cater to various demographics, including intergenerational groups and younger generations, reflecting diverse living circumstances. The labor economy and vaccination rates have also contributed to the continued activity in the residential sector, allowing for steady progress in construction projects. While the non-residential sector has faced challenges, the residential sector remains a vi

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Home Equity Lending Market Size 2025-2029

The home equity lending market size is forecast to increase by USD 48.16 billion at a CAGR of 4.7% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to several key trends. One major factor driving market expansion is the massive increase in home prices, which has resulted in homeowners having more equity in their properties. Another trend is the rise in residential property values, leading to an increase in the number of homeowners with sufficient equity to access loans or lines of credit, with property management and digital lending playing a significant role in facilitating these transactions.
However, the lengthy procedures involved in securing these loans can present challenges for both lenders and borrowers. Despite this, the benefits of lending, such as lower interest rates compared to other types of debt, make it an attractive option for many consumers looking to finance home improvements, debt consolidation, or other major expenses. Overall, the market is poised for continued growth in the coming years.

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The market in the United States has experienced significant growth, driven by the increasing collateral value of residential real estate and the resulting equity available to borrowers. Monetary authorities' efforts to keep inflation in check and stable housing prices have contributed to this trend. Homeowners have utilized loans and lines of credit to fund various expenses, including home improvements, tax deductions, and debt consolidation.



The interest rate on these loans often remains competitive with other forms of borrowing, making them an attractive option for many. Banks and credit unions are the primary providers of these loans, offering borrowers the ability to access a lump sum amount or a revolving line of credit secured against their residence and property. Regulatory restrictions on high-interest debt and outstanding mortgages may impact the market's growth, but the demand for loans is expected to remain strong as homeowners continue to seek ways to access the value of their homes.

How is this Home Equity Lending Industry segmented and which is the largest segment?

The home equity lending industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Source

  Mortgage and credit union
  Commercial banks
  Others


Distribution Channel

  Offline
  Online


Geography

  North America

    Canada
    US


  Europe

    Germany
    UK
    France


  APAC

    China
    Japan
    South Korea


  South America



  Middle East and Africa

By Source Insights

The mortgage and credit union segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Home equity lending is a financing solution for homeowners looking to access the value of their property. Mortgage and credit unions serve as trusted providers in this market, offering various financial services including loans and lines of credit. These institutions not only offer consumer loans but also manage deposits, handle checking and savings accounts, disburse credit and debit cards, and grant house loans. Credit unions, in particular, provide personalized services with live representatives, ensuring a human touch in understanding complex financial matters.

Homeowners can secure competitive rates on loans through credit unions, making them a preferred choice over other lenders. With a strong focus on consumer protection and affordability, mortgage and credit unions are an excellent option for homeowners seeking to tap into their for renovation projects or other financial needs.

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The mortgage and credit union segment was valued at USD 82.39 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

North America is estimated to contribute 47% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The market in North America experienced notable growth in 2024, driven by the increase in home values and fewer regulations. Homeowners in Canada have been utilizing their properties as collateral for loans, with residential mortgages accounting for 74% of household debt and lines of credit for 16%. The balance of Lines of Credit (HELOC) rose by 1% to USD 128 billion in February 2022.

The UK residential rental market is poised for significant growth, with forecasts indicating a cumulative increase of nearly 18 percent by 2029. This surge is expected to be front-loaded, with a robust eight percent rise anticipated in 2024. Rental growth has accelerated notably since 2021, with August 2024 experiencing a decade-high annual percentage growth. The trend reflects the complex interplay between housing affordability, mortgage rates, and supply of rental homes, as the UK housing market navigates a period of transition.

The Real Estate Investment Trusts industry in Canada has declined in recent years, as solid operational efficiency and a low interest rate environment, which had laid the foundation for growth, have been undermined by the COVID-19 pandemic and interest rate hikes. Prior to 2020, the industry benefited from a low level of revenue volatility backed by a steady stream of income from rentals amid stable economic growth. Long-term rent contracts in commercial segments and the rise of rental rates in the residential product segment enabled the industry to maintain stable growth rates. Overall, industry revenue is expected to have declined at a CAGR of 5.6% to reach an estimated $8.2 billion in 2023, when revenue is expected to decline 8.1%. Continued decline in 2023 can be attributed to rising interest rates, which have inhabited operators from making investments and have dampened demand for property sold by REITs.Industry revenue generally grows in line with the economy and benefits from steady streams of income generated from rent. The overall health of the economy had been sound prior to 2020, which benefited the industry through higher levels of investment to satisfy increasing demand for properties by businesses. A booming housing market in major metropolitan hubs, many of which have experienced elevated rental prices, has underpinned revenue growth in the residential segment. More recent interest rate hikes have raised the cost of capital for industry operators, driving down industry profit.Moving forward, the industry is expected to return to growth, with industry revenue forecast to grow at a CAGR of 2.3% to reach an expected $9.2 billion in 2028. Declining interest rates and an aging population are set to drive growth. Falling interest rates will likely make other investments less attractive, making REITs more valuable. An aging population is expected to keep demand afloat as they are typically attracted to the steady and generally market-beating returns REITs offer.

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Digital Lending Market Size 2024-2028

The digital lending market size is forecast to increase by USD 34.56 billion at a CAGR of 26.63% between 2023 and 2028.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to the adoption of advanced technologies and cloud-based solutions. The use of artificial intelligence, machine learning, and blockchain technology In the lending process enhances efficiency, reduces processing time, and improves accuracy. Additionally, the rise In the adoption of cloud-based digital lending servicing software offerings enables lenders to offer flexible and convenient loan options to borrowers.
However, the market faces challenges related to compliance and regulatory requirements. Lenders must adhere to stringent regulations and ensure data security and privacy, which can be complex and costly to implement. These factors are shaping the digital lending landscape and driving innovation In the industry.

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The market encompasses the provision of loans and credit facilities through electronic channels, including digital platforms, mobile devices, and online banking. This market has experienced significant growth due to the increasing adoption of technology in financial services. Financial institutions leverage technology, such as data analytics, artificial intelligence, and machine learning, to assess creditworthiness and streamline loan applications and disbursement processes. Digital lending caters to various loan types, including personal, business, and student loans. The convenience and accessibility offered by digital lending have led to a surge in loan applications, with smartphones and mobile devices playing a pivotal role in mobile payments and mobile banking.
However, cybersecurity remains a critical concern, with potential risks from cyberattacks and data breaches threatening the security of personal information. Regulations continue to evolve in response to these challenges, while digitalization and improved customer experience are key drivers of market growth. Despite these opportunities, interest rates and the potential for data breaches or cyberattacks remain significant challenges.

How is this Digital Lending Industry segmented and which is the largest segment?

The digital lending industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments.

Component

  Solution
  Service


Deployment

  On-premises
  Cloud


End-User

  Banks
  Credit Unions
  NBFCs


Geography

  North America

    Canada
    US


  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan


  Europe

    Germany
    France
    Spain


  South America



  Middle East and Africa

By Component Insights

The solution segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

The market experienced significant growth in 2023, with the solution segment leading the way due to the adoption of advanced technologies. Digital lenders, including Fiserv, Intercontinental Exchange Inc., and Fidelity National Information Services, provide faster and more convenient loan processing, catering to borrowers' increasing demand for quick access to funds. The market's expansion is further driven by the influx of fintech startups and traditional financial institutions entering the digital lending space. Innovative solutions, such as personal and business loans, student loans, and mobile payments, are meeting the evolving requirements of borrowers and lenders.

Technology advancements, including data analytics, artificial intelligence, machine learning, blockchain, and cybersecurity, are enhancing the digital lending experience. Despite challenges such as cyberattacks, data breaches, and regulatory requirements, the market continues to grow, with increasing usage of smartphones, mobile devices, and online banking driving the demand for digital lending services.

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The Solution segment was valued at USD 4.53 billion billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

North America is estimated to contribute 46% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The market in North America is experiencing significant growth due to the region's technological advancements and the increasing adoption of digital solutions by financial institutions. The use of technologies such as artificial

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Alternative Finance Market Size 2024-2028

The alternative finance market size is estimated to increase by USD 64.3 billion at a CAGR of 7.44% between 2023 and 2028. The key factor driving the market forward is the potential for higher returns for investors. Alternative finance channels offer significantly greater returns compared to traditional investment options like fixed deposits (FDs) or government bonds from conventional financial institutions. Another important contributor to market growth is the rapid expansion in the APAC region and the increasing focus on structured finance. Alternative finance platforms, such as P2P lending, crowdfunding, and invoice trading, are gaining traction in APAC, driven by the presence of numerous small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).

What will be the Size of the Alternative Finance Market During the Forecast Period?

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Alternative Finance Market Segmentation

The alternative finance market research report provides comprehensive data (region wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD Billion' for the period 2024 to 2028, as well as historical data from 2018 to 2022 for the following segments.

Type Outlook 

  P2P lending
  Crowdfunding
  Invoice trading





End-User Outlook

  Individual
  Organization





Region Outlook

  North America

    The U.S.
    Canada





  Europe

    The U.K.
    Germany
    France
    Rest of Europe





  APAC

    China
    India


  South America

    Chile
    Argentina
    Brazil





  Middle East & Africa

    Saudi Arabia
    South Africa
    Rest of the Middle East & Africa

By Type

The alternative financing market share growth in the segment of P2P lending will be significant during the forecast period. The P2P consumer lending sub-segment holds a major share of the P2P lending segment due to the growth in the number of online consumer lending platforms and the increasing use of technology in financial transactions. Some popular P2P lending platforms include LendingClub, Zopa, Bondora Capital, Prosper Marketplace, and Upstart Network. However, P2P lending is associated with a high risk of defaults as the loans are unsecured. Therefore, large investors usually maintain a spread portfolio of their investments. P2P lending is also associated with challenges such as platform failures, the risk of fraud, hacking, and data theft. These factors are expected to augment the demand of the P2P lending segment hence driving the growth of the market in focus during the forecast period.

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The P2P lending segment was valued at USD 123.70 billion in 2018. In this segment, P2P lending is similar to credit obtained from financial institutions. However, the funds are raised from one or more independent investors. P2P borrowers must make weekly or monthly repayments of the principal amount with interest. P2P lending is usually carried out through online platforms. Investors directly select businesses to fund, or the lending platforms provide the terms of credit. Some variations in the model allow investors to bid on loan amounts and interest rates through an online auction. P2P lending is popular among individual borrowers and SMEs, as small to medium-scale loans can be obtained easily. Several individuals opt for P2P loans for debt consolidation, which allows them to pay debts accrued from credit cards or loans from financial institutions.

By Region

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North America is estimated to contribute 70% to the global alternative financing market during the forecast period. Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional market growth and trends that shape the market during the forecast period. The growth of P2P lending and crowdfunding has increased significantly in North America. The increasing number of students, growing awareness about clearing personal debt, rising Internet penetration, technological advances, the rise of online trading platforms and finance platforms, and the presence of prominent companies are the major factors driving the market in North America. The number of SMEs has grown significantly in North America. Therefore, a growing number of SMEs in this region are boosting the growth in North America.

Alternative Finance Market Dynamics

The market is reshaping the landscape traditionally dominated by conventional big banks and regulated banks. Instead of relying solely on traditional finance systems, entrepreneurs and investors are increasingly turning to alternative lenders and innovative financial services solutions. Online lenders offer streamlined access to capital, while reward-based crowdfunding and equity-based crowdfunding present opp

In the five-year period between 2024 and 2028, the prime residential rent for existing properties in Greater London is expected to increase by over 19 percent. The highest percentage change is expected to occur in 2024, when rents are to rise by 5.5 percent. In the UK. rental growth has accelerated notably since 2021, with March 2024 experiencing a decade-high annual percentage growth. The trend reflects the complex interplay between housing affordability, mortgage rates, and supply of rental homes, as the UK housing market navigates a period of transition.

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Loan Market – Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, 2018-2028, Segmented By Type, By Provider Type, By Interest Rate, By Tenure Period, By Region, Competition Forecast and Opportunities