Mortgage rates increased at a record pace in 2022, with the 10-year fixed mortgage rate doubling between March 2022 and December 2022. With inflation increasing, the Bank of England introduced several bank rate hikes, resulting in higher mortgage rates. In May 2025, the average 10-year fixed rate interest rate reached **** percent. As borrowing costs get higher, demand for housing is expected to decrease, leading to declining market sentiment and slower house price growth. How have the mortgage hikes affected the market? After surging in 2021, the number of residential properties sold declined in 2023, reaching just above *** million. Despite the number of transactions falling, this figure was higher than the period before the COVID-19 pandemic. The falling transaction volume also impacted mortgage borrowing. Between the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024, the value of new mortgage loans fell year-on-year for five straight quarters in a row. How are higher mortgages affecting homebuyers? Homeowners with a mortgage loan usually lock in a fixed rate deal for two to ten years, meaning that after this period runs out, they need to renegotiate the terms of the loan. Many of the mortgages outstanding were taken out during the period of record-low mortgage rates and have since faced notable increases in their monthly repayment. About **** million homeowners are projected to see their deal expire by the end of 2026. About *** million of these loans are projected to experience a monthly payment increase of up to *** British pounds by 2026.

The mortgage market in the UK declined in 2023, with the value of mortgage lending plummeting by nearly *** billion British pounds from the previous year. That was because of the dramatic increase in mortgage interest, which increased the cost of borrowing. In 2024, gross lending to individuals picked up slightly, reaching ****** billion British pounds.

Mortgage brokers’ revenue is anticipated to climb at a compound annual rate of 4.5% over the five years through 2024-25 to £2.3 billion, including estimated growth of . Rising residential property transactions stimulated by government initiatives and rising house prices have driven industry growth. However, mortgage brokers have faced numerous obstacles, including downward pricing pressures from upstream lenders and a sharp downturn in the housing market as rising mortgage rates ramped up the cost of borrowing. After a standstill in residential real estate activity in the immediate aftermath of the COVID-19 outbreak, ultra-low base rates, the release of pent-up demand, the introduction of tax incentives and buyers reassessing their living situation fuelled a V-shaped recovery in the housing market. This meant new mortgage approvals for house purchases boomed going into 2021-22, ramping up demand for brokerage services. 2022-23 was a year rife with economic headwinds, from rising interest rates to fears of a looming recession. Yet, the housing market stood its ground, with brokers continuing to benefit from rising prices. Elevated mortgage rates eventually hit demand for houses in the first half of 2023, contributing to lacklustre house price growth in 2023-24, hurting revenue, despite a modest recovery in the second half of the year as mortgage rates came down. In 2024-25, lower mortgage rates and an improving economic outlook support house prices, driving revenue growth. Mortgage brokers’ revenue is anticipated to swell at a compound annual rate of 5.3% over the five years through 2029-30 to £2.9 billion. Competition from direct lending will ramp up. Yet, growth opportunities remain. The emergence of niche mortgage products, like those targeting retired individuals and contractors, as well as green mortgages, will support revenue growth in the coming years. AI is also set to transform the industry, improving cost efficiencies by automating tasks like document verification, risk assessment and customer profiling.

The European home mortgage finance market, currently exhibiting a robust Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 6%, presents a significant investment opportunity. Driven by factors such as increasing homeownership aspirations, particularly among millennials, favorable government policies aimed at stimulating the housing market in several key European nations (like the UK's Help to Buy scheme, though with adjustments), and low-interest rate environments (though this is subject to change based on global economic conditions), the market is poised for considerable expansion throughout the forecast period (2025-2033). The market is segmented by application (home purchase, refinance, home improvement, other), provider (banks, housing finance companies, real estate agents), and interest rate type (fixed and adjustable). While the market size for 2025 is not explicitly stated, estimations based on the provided CAGR and considering historical market data from reputable sources suggest a substantial value in the billions, with annual growth consistently adding hundreds of millions each year. Key players such as Rocket Mortgage, United Shore Financial, and major European banks (Aareal Bank, Bank of America, Barclays, etc.) are vying for market share, utilizing diverse strategies to attract borrowers and maintain profitability. However, several restraints could influence the market's trajectory. These include fluctuating interest rates, which directly impact borrowing costs and affordability, potential economic downturns that affect consumer confidence and purchasing power, and increasingly stringent regulatory requirements aimed at safeguarding borrowers and promoting financial stability. Furthermore, competition among lenders is fierce, with banks facing challenges from rapidly growing fintech companies offering innovative mortgage products and services. Despite these challenges, the long-term outlook for the European home mortgage finance market remains positive, particularly in countries experiencing strong population growth and economic stability. Regional variations exist within the European market; the UK, Germany, France, and other large economies are expected to drive significant market value, while smaller nations will contribute proportionally less. The projected market size for 2033 is likely to demonstrate considerable growth from the 2025 base. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for stakeholders to navigate the market effectively. This comprehensive report provides an in-depth analysis of the European home mortgage finance market, covering the period from 2019 to 2033. With a base year of 2025 and an estimated market value in the billions (specific figures will be included in the full report), this study offers valuable insights for investors, lenders, and industry professionals seeking to navigate this dynamic sector. Keywords: Europe mortgage market, home loans Europe, mortgage finance Europe, European housing market, refinancing Europe, home purchase finance Europe, mortgage lenders Europe. Recent developments include: November 2022: Rocket Mortgage, the nation's largest mortgage lender and a part of Rocket Companies, today introduced a conventional loan option for Americans interested in purchasing or refinancing a manufactured home., November 2022: The Council of Europe Development Bank (CEB) approved four new loans worth EUR 232.5 million to boost affordable housing and other social sector development. Under this, it offered EUR 25 million in loans to Kosovo to finance the 'Adequate Social Housing Programme' to establish a sustainable social and affordable housing system in the country.. Notable trends are: Increased Number of Salaried Individuals is Driving the Market Growth.

The European home mortgage finance market, currently valued at an estimated €[Estimate based on provided market size and currency conversion; e.g., €500 Billion] in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 6% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Firstly, favorable demographics, including a growing population and increasing urbanization in major European cities like London, Paris, and Berlin, contribute to a consistent demand for housing. Secondly, government initiatives aimed at stimulating the housing market, such as tax incentives or subsidized mortgages, are expected to boost market activity. Furthermore, the ongoing trend of low-interest rates in certain parts of Europe has made mortgage financing more accessible and attractive to prospective homebuyers and those seeking refinancing options. This positive environment also benefits market players such as Rocket Mortgage, United Shore Financial, and major European banks. However, the market is not without its challenges. Potential restraints include economic volatility, fluctuations in interest rates (particularly impacting adjustable-rate mortgages), and stringent lending regulations designed to mitigate risks within the financial system. Furthermore, the segment encompassing home improvements faces potential slowing as macroeconomic conditions change and consumers become more cautious with spending. The market is segmented by application (home purchase, refinance, home improvement, other), provider (banks, housing finance companies, real estate agents), and interest rate type (fixed vs. adjustable). The largest segments are likely to be home purchases and fixed-rate mortgages offered by established banks, although the rapid growth of online mortgage providers may shift this dynamic in the coming years. The UK, Germany, France, and other major European economies will continue to dominate the market share, driven by their larger populations and established financial infrastructure. This dynamic landscape presents opportunities for both traditional lenders and innovative fintech companies to capitalize on growth within the diverse segments of the European home mortgage finance market. Recent developments include: November 2022: Rocket Mortgage, the nation's largest mortgage lender and a part of Rocket Companies, today introduced a conventional loan option for Americans interested in purchasing or refinancing a manufactured home., November 2022: The Council of Europe Development Bank (CEB) approved four new loans worth EUR 232.5 million to boost affordable housing and other social sector development. Under this, it offered EUR 25 million in loans to Kosovo to finance the 'Adequate Social Housing Programme' to establish a sustainable social and affordable housing system in the country.. Notable trends are: Increased Number of Salaried Individuals is Driving the Market Growth.

United Kingdom UK: Lending Interest Rate data was reported at 0.500 % pa in 2014. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.500 % pa for 2013. United Kingdom UK: Lending Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 6.963 % pa from Dec 1967 (Median) to 2014, with 48 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 16.313 % pa in 1980 and a record low of 0.500 % pa in 2014. United Kingdom UK: Lending Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.World Bank.WDI: Interest Rates. Lending rate is the bank rate that usually meets the short- and medium-term financing needs of the private sector. This rate is normally differentiated according to creditworthiness of borrowers and objectives of financing. The terms and conditions attached to these rates differ by country, however, limiting their comparability.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.; ;

The number of first-time buyer mortgage sales, by UK local authority, collected by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).

The UK mortgage and loan broker market, valued at £2.88 billion in 2025, is poised for significant growth, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 9.60% from 2025 to 2033. This robust expansion is driven by several factors. Increasing demand for mortgages and loans from both individuals and businesses, fueled by a growing population and a dynamic economy, is a primary driver. The rise of online platforms and fintech solutions is streamlining the application process, making mortgages and loans more accessible to a wider range of consumers. Furthermore, the increasing complexity of financial products necessitates the expertise of brokers who can navigate the market and secure the best deals for their clients. The market is segmented by enterprise size (large, small, mid-sized), application type (home loans, commercial and industrial loans, vehicle loans, loans to governments, others), and end-user (businesses, individuals). Major players like Lloyds Banking Group, NatWest Group, and HSBC Bank dominate the market, alongside smaller, specialized brokers catering to niche needs. While regulatory changes and economic fluctuations present potential restraints, the market's inherent growth trajectory and the continuing need for professional financial guidance strongly suggest a sustained period of expansion. The competitive landscape features a mix of established banking institutions and independent brokerages. While large banks offer extensive resources and brand recognition, independent brokers often provide more personalized service and access to a wider range of lenders. The market's geographical distribution across the UK reflects regional variations in housing prices, economic activity, and consumer behaviour. Future growth will likely be influenced by interest rate adjustments, government policies impacting the housing market, and technological innovations enhancing the efficiency and accessibility of mortgage and loan brokerage services. The increasing focus on sustainable and ethical lending practices could also shape the industry's future. Further specialization within niche market segments like green mortgages or bridging loans is expected to emerge, attracting further investments and enhancing competition. Recent developments include: In October 2023, Deutsche Bank AG announced the completion of its acquisition of Numis Corporation Plc. The integration of both brands' strengths and reputations in the UK and global markets has led to the introduction of 'Deutsche Numis', emerging as a prominent entity in UK investment banking and the preferred advisor for listed companies in the UK., In January 2024, Perenna took a major step forward by becoming a part of the lender panels for several prominent networks and clubs in the UK, such as Mortgage Advice Bureau, Stonebridge, and Legal & General Mortgage Club. This expansion marks a strategic growth initiative for Perenna, with intentions to forge additional partnerships in the coming times.. Notable trends are: The Future of Mortgages in UK is Being Reshaped by Digitization.

The FCA and the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA) both have responsibility for the regulation of mortgage lenders and administrators. They jointly publish the mortgage lending statistics every quarter.

Since the beginning of 2007, around 340 regulated mortgage lenders and administrators have been required to submit a Mortgage Lending and Administration Return (MLAR) each quarter, providing data on their mortgage lending activities.

Latest findings

• The outstanding value of all residential mortgage loans decreased by 0.1% from the previous quarter to £1,657.6 billion, and was 1.1% lower than a year earlier.

• The value of gross mortgage advances decreased by 13.4% from the previous quarter to £54.0 billion, and was 33.8% lower than a year earlier.

• The value of new mortgage commitments (lending agreed to be advanced in the coming months) decreased by 6.6% from the previous quarter to £46.0 billion, and was 21.2% lower than a year earlier. If the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic is excluded, this was the lowest observed since 2013 Q1.

The non-depository financing industry's revenue has contracted at a projected compound annual rate of 2.1% over the five years through 2024-25. The COVID-19 outbreak caused a large drop in borrowing in 2020-21 as consumers faced a lack of spending opportunities, outweighing the gains from businesses taking out additional loans to stay afloat. The industry has also faced stronger regulatory oversight to combat the proliferation of overly risky and expensive loans. The cost-of-living crisis has caused consumer lending to swell as households rely on short-term borrowing to make up for weakened savings and costs outpacing wages. Soaring interest rates have caused the cost of mortgages to skyrocket, damaging revenue as buyers pull back and lenders are more cautious. The Non-Depository Financing industry's revenue is estimated to climb by 1.7% in 2024-25 – and is expected to total £6.7 billion. This comes from the much-anticipated sliding down of interest rates that will aid the mortgage market and big returns from newer sectors like OpenAI and sustainable technologies. Industry revenue is expected to swell at a compound annual rate of 2.4% to £7.6 billion over the five years through 2029-30. The need for credit is set to be supported by the previous erosion of savings from spiked inflation, leading to more loans needed for sizeable investments as confidence rebounds. Non-depositary financing companies will continue facing stiff competition from other types of lenders, like peer-to-peer lenders. The regulation constricting payday loans will continue to push services towards a lower margin and higher volume approach, aiding those with lower credit scores but dented industry profit. The high cost of mortgages and economic headwinds will settle and start to rebuild the housing market, supporting revenue.

The FCA and the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA) both have responsibility for the regulation of mortgage lenders and administrators. They jointly publish the mortgage lending statistics every quarter.

Since the beginning of 2007, around 340 regulated mortgage lenders and administrators have been required to submit a Mortgage Lending and Administration Return (MLAR) each quarter, providing data on their mortgage lending activities.

Latest findings

• The outstanding value of all residential mortgage loans increased by 0.4% from the previous quarter to £1,660.9 billion, and was 0.3% higher than a year earlier.

• The value of gross mortgage advances increased by 16.7% from the previous quarter to £60.2 billion, the first increase since 2023 Q3, and was 15.5% higher than a year earlier.

• The value of new mortgage commitments (lending agreed to be advanced in the coming months) increased by 11.3% from the previous quarter to £66.9 billion, and was 12.5% greater than a year earlier.

This dataset contains two sheets showing:

• The number of regulated mortgages outstanding as at end 2022 in the UK by region/country, broken down by interest rate type (for example fixed rate, Standard Variable Rate etc)
• The number regulated fixed rate mortgages outstanding as at end 2022 in the UK by region/country, broken down by the month in which the fixed rate ('incentive rate') ends

The data was provided to the GLA by the FCA, and the source is FCA Mortgages Performance Product Sales Data (PSD007).

The UK equity lending market, characterized by a diverse range of products including fixed-rate loans and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs), offered through banks, building societies, online lenders, and credit unions, is experiencing steady growth. The market's 5.00% CAGR from 2019 to 2024 suggests a robust and expanding sector. Drivers for this growth include increasing homeownership rates, rising property values, and a growing awareness of equity release products among homeowners seeking to unlock their housing wealth for various purposes such as home improvements, debt consolidation, or funding retirement. However, the market faces certain restraints, including stringent lending regulations aimed at protecting borrowers, economic uncertainty potentially impacting borrowing appetites, and competition from alternative financial products. The segment breakdown indicates a significant portion of the market is held by traditional institutions like banks and building societies, although the emergence of online lenders is progressively increasing the competition and driving market innovation. The preference for online or offline modes of accessing these loans is likely dependent on factors such as demographic trends, technological comfort, and the specific offerings of individual lenders. Given the UK's housing market dynamics, further growth is anticipated, fueled by an increasing number of homeowners with substantial equity in their properties. The forecast period (2025-2033) projects continued growth, albeit potentially at a slightly moderated pace compared to the historical period, reflecting potential economic fluctuations. The regional data, while not explicitly quantified for the UK, implies a concentrated market within the UK itself, with smaller contributions from other European regions and minimal impact from regions like North America or Asia-Pacific. While precise market sizing for the UK is unavailable, estimations based on the provided global CAGR and considering the UK's significant housing market and economy suggest a substantial and expanding market opportunity. Key players such as Barclays Bank, Nationwide Building Society, and other established financial institutions will continue to dominate the landscape, while the innovative online lenders represent a growing force. The market's future success hinges on maintaining responsible lending practices, adapting to evolving technological trends, and addressing the evolving needs of homeowners seeking flexible and accessible equity release solutions. Recent developments include: In February 2022, Selina Advance, a London-based fintech business, has raised USD150 million in investment to expand its home equity lending solutions to customers across the UK. The round of fundraising, coordinated by global private equity platform Lightrock, included USD 35 million in equity and USD 115 million in loans from Goldman Sachs and GGC to help the company expand across the UK., On February 2, 2022, Santander announced its decision to stop originating residential mortgages and home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) . Santander will continue to service existing home loans and lines of credit received till February 11, 2022.. Notable trends are: Raising Homeownership Rate is Driving the Home Equity Lending Market.

The European mortgage and loan broker market, valued at €8.79 billion in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.12% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is driven by several key factors. Increasing demand for mortgages and loans from both businesses and individuals, fueled by rising real estate prices and a growing need for financing various business ventures, is a significant contributor. Technological advancements, particularly the rise of online platforms and fintech solutions, are streamlining the loan application process, enhancing customer experience, and increasing market accessibility. Moreover, favorable government policies aimed at stimulating the housing and commercial sectors in certain European countries are further boosting market growth. The market is segmented by enterprise size (large, small, mid-sized), loan type (home loans, commercial and industrial loans, vehicle loans, government loans, others), and end-user (businesses, individuals). Competition is fierce amongst established players like Lloyds Banking Group, NatWest Group, Nationwide BS, HSBC Bank, and others, alongside emerging fintech companies. While the market shows strong potential, challenges remain. Fluctuations in interest rates, regulatory changes, and economic uncertainties can impact market growth. Furthermore, concerns about data security and consumer protection within the online loan brokerage sphere need careful consideration by both brokers and consumers. The market's regional composition shows variations in growth trajectories. The UK, Germany, and France represent significant portions of the overall market, reflecting their larger economies and developed financial sectors. However, the “Rest of Europe” segment also demonstrates substantial growth potential, suggesting opportunities for expansion into less saturated markets. Future growth will hinge on adapting to evolving consumer preferences, leveraging innovative technologies, and effectively managing the inherent risks associated with the financial services industry. Proactive risk management strategies and robust cybersecurity protocols will be essential for sustained and responsible growth within this dynamic market. Recent developments include: January 2023: OneDome, a UK end-to-end challenger, acquired CMME Mortgage and Protection Ltd. from CMME Group for an undisclosed sum. The acquisition, which involves the integration of CMME Mortgages 65-person team into OneDome, will enable OneDome to dramatically expand its mortgage brokerage capability and support its online clients., June 2023: Barclays (BARC.L) has agreed to buy specialty lender Kensington Mortgage Company for approximately 2.3 billion pounds ($2.8 billion), boosting its presence in the UK property sector.. Notable trends are: The Housing Market's Expansion Drives Up Demand for Mortgage Brokers.

The median loan-to-value ratio in the United Kingdom (UK) for sales made in the fourth quarter of 2023 was approximately 69.5 percent. This meant that the average mortgage covered 69.5 percent of the property sales price, leaving the home acquirer to cover the remaining 30.5 percent with their own savings. Regionally, it was North East where the highest average LTV ratio was seen, at 74 percent. Number of mortgage loans In 2023, the number of mortgage sales (PSD) stood at just over 888,000, which was a decrease from the previous year when the number of mortgage sales dropped significantly. Mortgage interest rates The vast majority of mortgage loans were taken out with fixed interest rates. A fixed interest rate is simply a mortgage where the rate of repayment is fixed. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) defines a standard variable rate as "the rate that is the lender’s underlying variable interest rate”. It is not surprising that fixed interest rates are the preferred option for so many borrowers - two, three, five and ten year fixed interest rates saw a continuous decrease in recent years, before surging in 2022.

The mortgage credit interest rate is the average interest rate on mortgage loan products offered to individuals and households by the commercial banks in the country. The mortgage credit is a loan used to finance the purchase of real estate. The table shows the latest available data from the national authorities as well as the values from three months ago and one year ago. The data are updated continuously.

The FCA and the Prudential Regulatory Authority (PRA) both have responsibility for the regulation of mortgage lenders and administrators. They jointly publish the mortgage lending statistics every quarter.

Since the beginning of 2007, around 340 regulated mortgage lenders and administrators have been required to submit a Mortgage Lending and Administration Return (MLAR) each quarter, providing data on their mortgage lending activities.

The mortgage market share of the United Kingdom (UK)-based Nationwide Building Society fluctuated between 10 and 14 percent between 2011 and 2024. While it saw its lowest point at 10.4 percent in 2011, it gradually increased afterward and peaked at 14 percent in 2017. As of April 2024, it grew to 11.5 percent, after a decline to 10.8 percent in the previous year.

Building society revenue is anticipated to grow at a compound annual rate of 27.4% over the five years through 2025-26 to £51.7 billion, including estimated growth of 2.7% in 2025-26. Building societies have benefited from an influx of re-mortgaging activity, as homeowners have sought to lock in lower rates before expected interest rate rises. However, societies faced challenging operating conditions, including intense competition from other financial institutions like retail banks. Following the COVID-19 outbreak, the Bank of England underwent aggressive rate hikes, aiding interest income. Despite the growing base rate environment feeding through to elevated mortgage rates, the residential property market proved resilient for the majority of 2022-23, resulting in building societies reporting huge boosts to their net interest income. In 2023-24, rates continued to rise, lifting revenue growth further despite intensifying mortgage price competition. However, deposit costs picked up during the year, placing downward pressure on net interest income and profitability. Yet, revenue continued to skyrocket thanks to healthy interest income from mortgage lending in the higher base rate environment. In 2024-25, sticky inflation resulted in interest rates staying higher for longer, aiding revenue growth. However, rate cuts did occur as inflation normalised, contributing to a slower rate of revenue growth, which was partially offset by a healthy housing market. In 2025-26, revenue is set to continue growing as mortgage lending gathers momentum, with buyers making the most of lower borrowing costs. However, a declining base rate will continue to erode interest income and further slow revenue in 2025-26. Building society revenue is anticipated to grow at a compound annual rate of 2.5% over the five years through 2029-30 to reach £58.5 billion. The UK housing market will continue to grow thanks to lower borrowing costs and aid interest income in the coming years through healthier mortgage lending. Revenue growth will disperse outside of the capital in regions like the North West, Yorkshire and the West Midlands due to the government's levelling up agenda and private multinationals expanding their presence elsewhere.