UK Gas decreased 26.27 GBp/Thm or 20.95% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. UK Natural Gas - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

The National Balancing Point (NBP), the UK's natural gas benchmark, amounted to 100.9 British pence per therm on March 17, 2025, for contracts with delivery in April. A month prior, prices had reached a 2-year-high amid colder weather and storage concerns. Prices are generally higher in the winter months due to greater gas heating demand, especially in weeks of colder weather. The UK NBP, along with the Dutch TTF, serve as benchmarks for natural gas prices in Europe. Impact on consumer prices and household expenditure post-2022 Fluctuations in wholesale natural gas prices often have immediate impacts on UK consumers. In 2023, the consumer price index for gas in the UK rose to 195 index points, using 2015 as the base year. This increase has translated into higher household expenditure on gas, which reached approximately 24.89 billion British pounds in 2023. This figure represents a 23 percent increase from the previous year and a staggering 91 percent rise compared to two years earlier, highlighting the growing financial burden on UK households. Consumption patterns and supply challenges The residential and commercial sector remain the largest consumers of natural gas in the UK, using an estimated 40.7 billion cubic meters in 2023. This was followed by the power sector, which consumed about 15 billion cubic meters. The UK's reliance on gas imports has grown due to declining domestic production. This shift has led to an increased dependence on liquefied natural gas imports and pipeline inflows to meet demand.

The average gas price in Great Britain in January 2025 was 123.02 British pence per therm. This was 50 pence higher than the same month the year prior and follows a trend of increasing gas prices. Energy prices in the UK Energy prices in the UK were exceptionally high in 2021-2022 due to an energy supply shortage as a result of lower pipeline supplies from Norway and Russia, as well as reduced LNG imports owing to greater purchases by customers in Asia. Multiple factors such as a lack of gas storage availability and the large share of gas in heating have exacerbated the supply issue in the UK. This led to multiple suppliers announcing bankruptcy, while an upped price cap threatened energy security of numerous households. The United Kingdom has some of the highest household electricity prices worldwide. How is gas used in the UK? According to a 2023 survey conducted by the UK Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, 58 percent of respondents used gas as a heating method during the winter months. On average, household expenditure on energy from gas in the UK stood at some 24.9 billion British pounds in 2023.

Natural gas increased 0.21 USD/MMBtu or 5.84% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Natural gas - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

Residential consumers of natural gas in the United Kingdom paid an average of 9.1 U.S. dollar cents per kilowatt hour. This was the lowest value since September 2022. The residential and commercial sectors are the largest consumers of natural gas in the country.

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Daily data showing SAP of gas, and rolling seven-day average, traded in Great Britain over the On-the-Day Commodity Market (OCM). These are official statistics in development. Source: National Gas Transmission.

For industries with an annual consumption of 27,778 megawatt-hours (MWh) to 277,777 MWh natural gas prices were higher than for industries with consumption of 278MWh to 2,777MWh in the United Kingdom (UK). In 2023, natural gas prices for industries with an annual consumption greater than 27,778MWh was at 5.29 pence per kilowatt-hour, while for industries with lower annual consumption, figures were at 6.51 pence per kilowatt-hour.

TTF Gas decreased 8.92 EUR/MWh or 17.69% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. EU Natural Gas TTF - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

In 2023, the price of natural gas in Europe reached 13.1 constant U.S. dollars per million British thermal units, compared with 2.5 U.S. dollars in the U.S. This was a notable decrease compared to the previous year, which had seen a steep increase in prices due to an energy supply shortage exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war. Since 1980, natural gas prices have typically been higher in Europe than in the United States and are expected to remain so for the coming two years. This is due to the U.S. being a significantly larger natural gas producer than Europe.

What is natural gas and why is it gaining ground in the energy market? Natural gas is commonly burned in power plants with combustion turbines that generate electricity or used as a heating fuel. Given the fact that the world’s energy demand continues to grow, natural gas was seen by some industry leaders as an acceptable "bridge-fuel" to overcome the use of more emission-intensive energy sources such as coal. Subsequently, natural gas has become the main fuel for electricity generation in the U.S., while the global gas power generation share has reached 22 percent.

How domestic production shapes U.S. natural gas prices The combination of hydraulic fracturing (“fracking”) and horizontal drilling can be regarded as one of the oil and gas industry’s biggest breakthroughs in decades, with the U.S. being the largest beneficiary. This technology has helped the industry release unprecedented quantities of gas from deposits, mainly shale and tar sands that were previously thought either inaccessible or uneconomic. It is forecast that U.S. shale gas production could reach 35 trillion cubic feet in 2050, up from 1.77 trillion cubic feet in 2000.

In the first half of 2020, the electricity prices for household end users (including taxes, levies, and VAT) in the United Kingdom did not change in comparison to the previous six months. The electricity prices for household end users (including taxes, levies, and VAT) remained at 0.05 euro cents per kWh.The prices include gas basic price, transmission, system services, meter rental, distribution and other services.

The average monthly price for natural gas in the United States amounted to 3.02 nominal U.S. dollars per million British thermal units (Btu) in December 2024. By contrast, natural gas prices in Europe were about four times higher than those in the U.S. Prices for Europe tend to be notably higher than those in the U.S. as the latter benefits from being a major hydrocarbon producer. Europe's import reliance European prices for natural gas rose most notable throughout the second half of 2021 and much of 2022, peaking at over 70 U.S. dollars per million Btu in August 2022. The sharp rise was due to supply chain issues and economic strain following the COVID-19 pandemic, which was further exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022. As a result of the war, many countries began looking for alternative sources, and Russian pipeline gas imports to the European Union declined as a result. Meanwhile, LNG was a great beneficiary, with LNG demand in Europe rising by more than 60 percent between 2021 and 2023. How domestic natural gas production shapes prices As intimated, the United States’ position among the leaders of worldwide natural gas production is one of the main reasons for why prices for this commodity are so low across the country. In 2023, the U.S. produced more than one trillion cubic meters of natural gas, which allays domestic demand and allows for far lower purchasing prices.

Graph and download economic data for Global price of Natural gas, EU (PNGASEUUSDM) from Jan 1990 to Feb 2025 about EU, gas, World, Europe, and price.

UK oil and gas production has diminished over the past decade because old oil fields have matured, and developing new commercially viable sources has become increasingly challenging. To combat this, extractors have pooled their resources and formed partnerships to enhance efficiency, while some have benefitted from previous investments in fields coming onstream. Oil and gas extracting companies also have reaped the rewards of an upsurge in global prices through 2022-23, leading to sharp revenue growth. However, this quickly turned around in 2023-24, with most major companies’ revenue nosediving along with oil prices. Revenue is expected to expand at a compound annual rate of 3.4% over the five years through 2024-25 to just over £33 billion. This includes a forecast hike of 5.3% in 2024-25; however, profit is slated to inch downward over the year as global oil and gas prices remain somewhat flat in the second half of 2024-25. The industry's performance is greatly affected by world oil and gas prices, with supply cuts put into place by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and global tensions resulting in price peaks and troughs. In October 2022, OPEC instituted a supply cut of two million barrels of crude oil per day, driving Brent Crude Oil prices up to US$110 (£87.80) per barrel, which has been extended until March 2025, with a ramping up period through September 2025. The sanctions on Russian oil and gas imports because of the Russia-Ukraine conflict add further impetus to prices. The EU has banned imports of Russian-made oil and gas, providing opportunities for UK exporters. Crude oil prices remain high, but significant oil production from non-OPEC countries threatening a glut in the oil market and a significant dip in global demand (especially from China) have made oil prices tumble sharply since July 2024. Despite mounting tensions in the Middle East having the potential to cut oil supply from the region, the ongoing political tensions have yet to significantly impact global prices, with prices hiking up around 10% in the month to October 2024, but remaining relatively low. Oil and gas prices are likely to continue inching downwards in the coming years as America is forecast to continue ramping up the global oil and gas supply. This, along with an expected reduction in global demand for oil and gas in the long term, will limit growth. The UK government will implement policies to create a more favourable environment for extractors and further investment in the North Sea to improve UK energy security. However, the depletion of natural resources, the expensive cost of extraction, low gas and oil prices and the global energy transition will threaten the industry's long-term viability. The government announced a delay to the ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars, along with the relaxation of some net-zero policies in September 2023, which should keep fossil fuel explorers afloat for longer. Revenue is forecast to rise at a compound annual rate of 3.4% over the five years through 2029-30 to just over £39 billion.

The annual average consumer price index (CPI) of gas in the United Kingdom stood at 195 index points in 2023. The year 2015 was the base year and equals 100. Prices drastically increased compared to the previous years.

Since 1995, the overall price of natural gas has increased for households with consumption of less than 200 GJ and more than 200 GJ. Prices for a consumption of 20 GJ to < 200 GJ peaked in 2015 at 6.52 euro cents per kilowatt hour. Although prices have seen an overall increase, natural gas consumption has been in decline over the past decade.

European Union Natural Gas Price: HC: 200 GJ & Above: incl All Taxes & Levies: EU excl UK data was reported at 0.100 EUR/kWh in Jun 2024. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.100 EUR/kWh for Dec 2023. European Union Natural Gas Price: HC: 200 GJ & Above: incl All Taxes & Levies: EU excl UK data is updated semiannually, averaging 0.062 EUR/kWh from Jun 2007 (Median) to Jun 2024, with 35 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.113 EUR/kWh in Dec 2022 and a record low of 0.052 EUR/kWh in Dec 2007. European Union Natural Gas Price: HC: 200 GJ & Above: incl All Taxes & Levies: EU excl UK data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Eurostat. The data is categorized under Global Database’s European Union – Table EU.P003: Eurostat: Natural Gas Price: Household Consumers.

About the Project

KAPSARC is analyzing the shifting dynamics of the global gas markets. Global gas markets have turned upside down during the past five years: North America has emerged as a large potential future LNG exporter while gas demand growth has been slowing down as natural gas gets squeezed between coal and renewables. While the coming years will witness the fastest LNG export capacity expansion ever seen, many questions are raised on the next generation of LNG supply, the impact of low oil and gas prices on supply and demand patterns and how pricing and contractual structure may be affected by both the arrival of U.S. LNG on global gas markets and the desire of Asian buyers for cheaper gas.

Key Points

In the past year, global gas prices have dropped significantly, albeit at unequal paces depending on the region. All else being equal, economists would suggest that this should have generated a positive demand response. However, “all else” was not equal. Prices of other commodities also declined while economic growth forecasts were downgraded.

Prices at benchmark points such as the U.K. National Balancing Point (NBP), U.S. Henry Hub (HH) and Japan/Korea Marker (JKM) slumped due to lower oil prices, liquefied natural gas (LNG) oversupply and unseasonal weather. Yet, the prices of natural gas in local currencies have increased in a number of developing countries in Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, former Soviet Union (FSU) and Asia.

North America experienced demand growth while gas in Europe and Asia faced rising competition from cheaper coal, renewables and, in some instances, nuclear. Gains to European demand were mostly weather related while increases in Africa and Latin America were not significant.

For LNG, Europe became the market of last resort as Asian consumption declined. Moreover, an anticipated surge in LNG supply, brought on by several new projects, may lead to a confrontation with Russian or other pipeline gas suppliers to Europe. At the same time, Asian buyers are seeking concessions on pricing and flexibility in their long-term contracts.

Looking ahead, natural gas has to prove itself a credible and affordable alternative to coal, notably in Asia, if the world is to reach its climate change targets. The future of the gas industry will also depend on oil prices, evolution of Chinese energy demand and impact of COP21 on national energy policies. Current low prices mean there is likely to be a pause in final investment decisions (FIDs) on LNG projects in the coming years.

European Union Natural Gas Price: HC: Less Than 20 GJ: incl All Taxes & Levies: EU excl UK data was reported at 39.630 EUR/GJ in Jun 2024. This records a decrease from the previous number of 41.021 EUR/GJ for Dec 2023. European Union Natural Gas Price: HC: Less Than 20 GJ: incl All Taxes & Levies: EU excl UK data is updated semiannually, averaging 27.972 EUR/GJ from Jun 2007 (Median) to Jun 2024, with 35 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 41.865 EUR/GJ in Dec 2022 and a record low of 22.101 EUR/GJ in Jun 2007. European Union Natural Gas Price: HC: Less Than 20 GJ: incl All Taxes & Levies: EU excl UK data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Eurostat. The data is categorized under Global Database’s European Union – Table EU.P003: Eurostat: Natural Gas Price: Household Consumers.