Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for 1-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT1YE) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about 1-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

The United States Treasury's 10-year bond earned an average return of 1.68 percent in 2023. This rate was adjusted to reflect a constant maturity and also indexed to inflation, giving an idea of real returns for longer-term investments. This expected return averaged around two percent before the financial crisis but was negative in 2011, 2012, 2020, and 2021.

In April 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 21 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in April 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 10.2 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

This is the replication package for "A Model of Zombie Firms and the Perils of Negative Real Interest Rates," accepted in 2023 by the Journal of Political Economy.

Based on panel error correction models for a sample of up to 21 countries this paper analyses the macroeconomic determinants of house prices and rents. In accordance with the existing literature I find significantly positive effects of per capita income and bank lending on house prices, whereas the housing stock per capita and interest rates have negative effects. For rents the results are somewhat more remarkable, indicating that both the housing stock and interest rates have a negative effect. While contradicting conventional economic theory the latter finding might be explained by real estate investors exploiting their pricing power with varying degree depending on the level of real interest rates. Moreover, the estimated impact of interest rates on both house prices and rents varies with structural housing market characteristics. For instance, while interest rates have a more pronounced effect on house prices in countries with more developed mortgage markets, the same does not hold for the effect of interest rates on rents.

We evaluate the implications of the ECB's negative interest rate policy (NIRP) on the yield curve. To capture various shapes of the short end of the yield curve induced by the NIRP, we introduce two policy indicators, which summarize the immediate and longer horizon future monetary policy stances. We find that the four NIRP events lowered the short-term interest rate by the same amount. The impact is dampened at longer maturities for the first two event dates, due to lack of forward guidance. By contrast, for the last two dates, forward guidance drives the largest effects in two years.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed (DFII30) from 2010-02-22 to 2025-06-18 about TIPS, 30-year, maturity, securities, Treasury, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

Real interest rate (%) in Argentina was reported at --16.77 % in 2023, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Argentina - Real interest rate - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on June of 2025.

This dataset is about books. It has 1 row and is filtered where the book is Negative interest rate policies : sources and implications. It features 7 columns including author, publication date, language, and book publisher.

The U.S. bank prime loan rate has undergone significant fluctuations over the past three decades, reflecting broader economic trends and monetary policy decisions. From a high of **** percent in 1990, the rate has seen periods of decline, stability, and recent increases. As of May 2025, the prime rate stood at *** percent, marking a notable rise from the historic lows seen in the early 2020s. Federal Reserve's impact on lending rates The prime rate's trajectory closely mirrors changes in the federal funds rate, which serves as a key benchmark for the U.S. financial system. In 2023, the Federal Reserve implemented a series of rate hikes, pushing the federal funds target range to 5.25-5.5 percent by year-end. This aggressive monetary tightening was aimed at combating rising inflation, and its effects rippled through various lending rates, including the prime rate. Long-term investment outlook While short-term rates have risen, long-term investment yields have also seen changes. The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, a benchmark for long-term interest rates, showed an average market yield of **** percent in the second quarter of 2024, adjusted for constant maturity and inflation. This figure represents a recovery from negative real returns seen in 2021, reflecting shifting expectations for economic growth and inflation. The evolving yield environment has implications for both borrowers and investors, influencing decisions across the financial landscape.

CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Bad Time: Interest Rates High data was reported at 1.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.000 % for Apr 2018. CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Bad Time: Interest Rates High data is updated monthly, averaging 5.000 % from Nov 1992 (Median) to May 2018, with 307 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 19.000 % in Oct 2008 and a record low of 1.000 % in May 2018. CSI: Home Selling Conditions: Bad Time: Interest Rates High data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H036: Consumer Sentiment Index: Home Buying and Selling Conditions. The question was: Generally speaking, do you think now is a good time or a bad time to sell a house? Responses to the query 'Why do you say so?'

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United States contracted 0.20 percent in the first quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States GDP Growth Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

When deciding on how to estimate future prices, due to influences that are likely to affect a product, we should consider two factors: the expected inflation and the real price change. The rate of real price change allows us to plot a trend line based on time series reflecting existing or past market price, that is, on "facts". Usually, many potential users are not going to use sophisticated forecasting techniques to estimate future prices, preferring to rely on simple approximation techniques. If acceptable time price series is available, then the simplest approach is to evidence a trend line over time that can be extended into the future. This can be done with regression analysis. In working with historical data, we could arrive at a medium-term trend estimate, which excludes the effects of inflation. Although the real price of forest products does not usually vary in an exponential way, the normal practice in investment analyses is often simplified by compounding price using a real price change rate. We can get the annual rate of real price change (r) from a linearized model that allows us to keep the statistical robustness of a linear regression model (with statistics, confidence indicators and tests), but applying the compound rate approach used in mathematics of finance. To do that, the well-known basic formula for compounding Pn=P0 (1+r)^n, where: Pn = estimated price in year n P0= price in year 0 r = annual rate of real price change (the real compound rate) n = number of years from year 0

is transformed into that of a straight line by making a change of variables (linearization).

The proposed method is easy to reproduce and seems more orthodox than apply projections made using a simple straight-line model. Even though the straight-line represents an average variation over the years, from a mathematics of finance approach we should discuss price variation in terms of the annual compound rate. In Figure 1, you can see the differences between these approaches. If we have a clear trend in past real prices and the likelihood of a real price variation, we could make future price assumptions. If you agree with this statement and believe that price trend based on historical patterns is a significative information, then you should use r value gotten from the linearized model here proposed to project the price according to the previous compounding equation, where P0 is any real price calculated through the linearized compounding model (Table I). In Catalonia, most of forest products prices have not kept up with inflation and reflect a declining trend. A few others have just barely kept up with inflation. This is means that, despite moderate growth in nominal terms, the real price of almost all Catalan forest products presents a negative trend. For example, Scots pine sawlogs -the most representative harvested species in Catalonia (the 27% of the total volume yearly logged)- have dropped by an average of almost 2% per year since 1980.

The benchmark interest rate in Switzerland was last recorded at 0 percent. This dataset provides - Switzerland Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

We study long-run correlations between safe real interest rates in the United States and over 30 variables that have been hypothesized to influence real rates. The list of variables is motivated by an intertermporal IS equation, by models of aggregate savings and investment, and by reduced-form studies. We use annual data, mostly from 1890 to 2016. We find that safe real interest rates are correlated as expected with demographic measures. For example, the long-run correlation with labor force hours growth is positive, which is consistent with overlapping generations models. For another example, the long-run correlation with the proportion of 40 to 64 year-olds in the population is negative. This is consistent with standard theory where middle-aged workers are high savers who drive down real interest rates. In contrast to standard theory, we do not find productivity to be positively correlated with real rates. Most other variables have a mixed relationship with the real rate, with long-run correlations that are statistically or economically large in some samples and by some measures but not in others.

Key information about Russia Real GDP Growth

• The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Russia contracted 2.6 % YoY in Mar 2023, following a negative growth of 3.2 % in the previous quarter.
• Real GDP Growth YoY data in Russia is updated quarterly, available from Mar 1996 to Mar 2023, with an average rate of 2.7 %.
• The data reached an all-time high of 12.3 % in Dec 1999 and a record low of -9.4 % in Jun 2009.

CEIC calculates quarterly Real GDP Growth from quarterly Real GDP. The Federal State Statistics Service provides Real GDP in local currency at 2021 prices, based on SNA 2008. Real GDP Growth prior to Q1 2012 is calculated from Real GDP at 2008 prices and prior to Q1 2004 from Real GDP at 2003 prices, both based on SNA 1993.


Related information about Russia Real GDP Growth

• In the latest reports, Nominal GDP of Russia reached 494.7 USD bn in Mar 2023.
• Its GDP deflator (implicit price deflator) increased 0.7 % in Mar 2023.
• GDP Per Capita in Russia reached 15,074.8 USD in Dec 2022.
• Its Gross Savings Rate was measured at 35.2 % in Dec 2022.
• For Nominal GDP contributions, Investment accounted for 28.9 % in Dec 2022.
• Public Consumption accounted for 17.5 % in Dec 2022.
• Private Consumption accounted for 47.3 % in Dec 2022.

Using a two-step approach GMM, this study examines the short- and long-term effects of fiscal deficit on the economic growth of 42 Sub-Saharan African nations between 2011 and 2021. The World Development Index, the most reliable source, is where the panel data is taken from. Using the Levin-Lin-Chu and Hadri LM tests for unit root, it was determined that there is no risk of a random walk in the data. The study’s findings indicate that while the fiscal deficit has short-term, positive, and significant benefits on the economic growth of SSA countries, it has long-term, negative repercussions. According to the system GMM’s results, an increase in the fiscal deficit of SSA countries is linked to a short-term increase in economic growth of 0.036 percent, while an increase in the fiscal deficit of one percentage point is linked to a long-term decline in economic growth of SSA countries of 0.013 percent, holding all other factors constant. The study’s findings also showed that the budget deficit has a larger positive short-run coefficient than a negative long-run coefficient. The study also revealed that while real effective exchange rates and inflation short-term hinder economic growth, gross fixed capital creation and real interest rates are the primary drivers of economic expansion. Long-term economic growth in the SSA countries is also found to be positively and significantly impacted by gross fixed capital formation. According to the study, SSA nations should manage their fiscal deficits and, in the long run, provide more funds for gross fixed capital development.

The Consumer Price Index in the United States increased 0.10 percent in May of 2025 over the previous month. This dataset provides - United States Inflation Rate MoM - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.