On October 27, 2025, the Brent crude oil price stood at 65.14 U.S. dollars per barrel, compared to 61.31 U.S. dollars for WTI oil and 67.54 U.S. dollars for the OPEC basket. Oil prices rose slightly that week.Europe's Brent crude oil, the U.S. WTI crude oil, and OPEC's basket are three of the most important benchmarks used by traders as reference for global oil and gasoline prices. Lowest ever oil prices during coronavirus pandemic In 2020, the coronavirus pandemic resulted in crude oil prices hitting a major slump as oil demand drastically declined following lockdowns and travel restrictions. Initial outlooks and uncertainty surrounding the course of the pandemic brought about a disagreement between two of the largest oil producers, Russia and Saudi Arabia, in early March. Bilateral talks between global oil producers ended in agreement on April 13th, with promises to cut petroleum output and hopes rising that these might help stabilize the oil price in the coming weeks. However, with storage facilities and oil tankers quickly filling up, fears grew over where to store excess oil, leading to benchmark prices seeing record negative prices between April 20 and April 22, 2020. How crude oil prices are determined As with most commodities, crude oil prices are impacted by supply and demand, as well as inventories and market sentiment. However, as oil is most often traded in future contracts (where a contract is agreed upon while product delivery will follow in the next two to three months), market speculation is one of the principal determinants for oil prices. Traders make conclusions on how production output and consumer demand will likely develop over the coming months, leaving room for uncertainty. Spot prices differ from futures in so far as they reflect the current market price of a commodity.

The 2025 annual OPEC basket price stood at ***** U.S. dollars per barrel as of August. This would be lower than the 2024 average, which amounted to ***** U.S. dollars. The abbreviation OPEC stands for Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and includes Algeria, Angola, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, and the United Arab Emirates. The aim of the OPEC is to coordinate the oil policies of its member states. It was founded in 1960 in Baghdad, Iraq. The OPEC Reference Basket The OPEC crude oil price is defined by the price of the so-called OPEC (Reference) basket. This basket is an average of prices of the various petroleum blends that are produced by the OPEC members. Some of these oil blends are, for example: Saharan Blend from Algeria, Basra Light from Iraq, Arab Light from Saudi Arabia, BCF 17 from Venezuela, et cetera. By increasing and decreasing its oil production, OPEC tries to keep the price between a given maxima and minima. Benchmark crude oil The OPEC basket is one of the most important benchmarks for crude oil prices worldwide. Other significant benchmarks are UK Brent, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and Dubai Crude (Fateh). Because there are many types and grades of oil, such benchmarks are indispensable for referencing them on the global oil market. The 2025 fall in prices was the result of weakened demand outlooks exacerbated by extensive U.S. trade tariffs.

Crude Oil fell to 59.17 USD/Bbl on December 2, 2025, down 0.25% from the previous day. Over the past month, Crude Oil's price has fallen 3.08%, and is down 15.40% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Crude Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

The author argues that the economic benefits of low gasoline prices for the U.S. economy have fallen substantially since the reemergence of America as a major oil producer. The old rule-of thumb that a 10% fall in the oil price raises inflation-adjusted U.S. GDP by 0.2% is too large—the impact on economic activity should be closer to zero, and may even be negative if consumption grows slowly. The reasons for this change are straightforward, if underappreciated: (i) the value of oil production accounts for a larger share of the U.S. economy; and (ii) consumers are not spending the windfall like they used to because of higher debt levels, limited access to credit, slow wage rowth, and an older population.

According to a 2025 survey, oil producers operating in the Permian region needed WTI oil prices to amount to a minimum of ** U.S. dollars per barrel in order to profitably drill a new well. This compared to a minimum breakeven price of ** U.S. dollars per barrel for existing wells. The monthly average WTI oil price ranged between ** and ** U.S. dollars per barrel around the time of the survey. Most productive oil basins Operators in shale basins have the lowest average breakeven prices for new wells. However, when it comes to existing wells, operators in the Permian (Delaware) basin can afford even lower oil prices. The Permian basin, located in Texas and New Mexico, accounts for the greatest U.S. oil production output of any region. In 2024, production in the Permian reached nearly *********** barrels per day - more than **** times the amount extracted from the neighboring Eagle Ford rock formation. Texas is leading oil producing state With both regions located in Texas, it is not surprising that this is also the leading crude oil producing U.S. state. Nearly two billion barrels worth of crude oil were extracted in Texas per year, far more than any other state. Texas is home to a total of five major oil and gas formations.

Crude Oil Production in the United States increased to 13844 BBL/D/1K in September from 13800 BBL/D/1K in August of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Crude Oil Production - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Using time-varying BVARs, we find a substantial decline in the shortrun price elasticity of oil demand since the mid-1980s. This finding helps explain why an oil production shortfall of the same magnitude is associated with a stronger response of oil prices and more severe macroeconomic consequences over time, while a similar oil price increase is associated with smaller output effects. Oil supply shocks also account for a smaller fraction of real oil price variability in more recent periods, in contrast to oil demand shocks. The overall effects of oil supply disruptions on the US economy have, however, been modest.

In August 2025, the price for one barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil averaged 64.86 U.S. dollars. This was a slight increase compared to the previous month, although prices remained lower than they had been the previous year. WTI and other benchmark crudes WTI is also known as "Texas light sweet", and is a grade of crude oil used as a benchmark for oil produced in the United States. It has an API gravity of around 39.6 and specific gravity of about 0.827, which, relative to other crude oils, is considered “light,” hence the name. WTI also contains about 0.24 percent sulfur, making it a “sweet” crude oil. The price of WTI can be compared to the prices other of crude oils, i.e. UK Brent, the OPEC basket, and Dubai Fateh oil. WTI crude oil is the underlying commodity of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s oil futures contracts. U.S. oil production and its influence on light oil prices The price development of WTI crude oil relative to Brent crude oil has been influenced by variances in U.S. crude oil transportation and increased U.S. oil production. New transportation infrastructure became operational in early 2013, easing the movement of crude oil in the mid-continent and raising the price of WTI. Since then, U.S. refineries have increased production of crude oil to record levels, also raising the price of WTI. Meanwhile, expedited crude transport in the U.S. put downward pressure on Brent crude oil as domestic crude replaced some imported Brent crude. Between 2014 and 2016, UK Brent prices dropped rapidly, as was the case for all other crude oils.

Oil prices dip below $60, pressuring U.S. oil producers to reconsider financial strategies amid escalating trade tensions and increased supply.

Snapshot img { margin: 10px !important; } The fuel oil market size will decrease by USD 84.77 billion during 2020-2024. This report provides a detailed analysis of the market by application (marine, industrial, and others) and geography (APAC, Europe, MEA, North America, and South America). Also, the report analyzes the market’s competitive landscape and offers information on several market vendors, including BP Plc, Chevron Corp., Exxon Mobil Corp., JXTG Holdings Inc., PJSC LUKOIL, PT Pertamina(Persero), Qatar Petroleum, Reliance Industries Ltd., Royal Dutch Shell Plc, and SK Innovation Co. Ltd.

Market Overview

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Market Competitive Analysis

The fuel oil market is fragmented with numerous vendors that produce and supply fuel oil to customers. Vendors need to make high capital investments to remain competitive in the market. BP Plc, Chevron Corp., and Exxon Mobil Corp. are some of the major market participants. Although the rise in world energy demand will offer immense growth opportunities, the fluctuations in crude oil prices will challenge the growth of the market participants. To make the most of the opportunities, market vendors should focus more on the growth prospects in the fast-growing segments, while maintaining their positions in the slow-growing segments.

To help clients improve their market position, this fuel oil market forecast report provides a detailed analysis of the market leaders and offers information on the competencies and capacities of these companies. The report also covers details on the market’s competitive landscape and offers information on the products offered by various companies. Moreover, this fuel oil market analysis report also provides information on the upcoming trends and challenges that will influence market growth. This will help companies create strategies to make the most of future growth opportunities.

This report provides information on the production, sustainability, and prospects of several leading companies, including:

BP Plc
Chevron Corp.
Exxon Mobil Corp.
JXTG Holdings Inc.
PJSC LUKOIL
PT Pertamina(Persero)
Qatar Petroleum
Reliance Industries Ltd.
Royal Dutch Shell Plc
SK Innovation Co. Ltd.

Fuel Oil Market: Segmentation by Application

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The primary requirement of any marine engine is to propel the ship or generate onsite power by using the energy obtained from burning fuel oil. The mega marine engines of ships burn tons of fuel every day to propel the massively loaded ships. The rise in demand for bunker fuel oil due to the growing seaborne trade and growing naval activities will drive the demand for fuel oil for marine.

However, market growth in this segment will be slower than the growth of the market in the industrial and other segments. This report provides an accurate prediction of the contribution of all the segments to the growth of the fuel oil market size.

Fuel Oil Market: Segmentation by Geography

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North America will offer several growth opportunities to market vendors during the forecast period. The strong consumption of space heating fuel, growing refinery capacity, and proliferating marine trade will significantly influence fuel oil market growth in this region over the forecast period. The US is a key market for fuel oil in North America.

Fuel Oil Market: Key Drivers and Trends

The fluctuation in oil prices has affected the business of several oil and gas companies and refinancing companies. As a result, crude oil processing projects generate less revenue and many oil and gas companies suspend or postpone their exploration and production projects. Fluctuations in crude oil prices also impact investments in E&P and refining projects. Such factors will result in a slowdown in the growth of the global fuel oil market during the forecast period.

The adoption of blockchain in the oil and gas industry helps in overcoming several issues including the complexity of logistics, high fuel prices, and environmental pollution. Blockchain platforms facilitate secure and faster transactions between the entities and maintain transparency. Blockchain also helps in reducing cash cycle time and intermediary costs. These benefits will result in an increase in the adoption of blockchain to enhance the overall operational efficiency of the existing refineries. As a result of such factors, the fuel oil market will register a CAGR of (13)% during the forecast period.

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Fuel Oil Market: Key Highlights of the Report for 2020-2024

CAGR of the market during the forecast period 2020-2024
Detailed information on factors that will drive fuel oil market growth during the next five years
Precise estimation of the f

The annual price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is expected to reach an average of 63.58 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2025, according to an August 2025 forecast. This would be a decrease of roughly 13 U.S. dollar compared to the previous year. In the first eight months of 2025, weekly crude oil prices largely stayed below 70 U.S. dollars per barrel amid trade tariffs and an expected economic downturn. What are benchmark crudes? WTI is often used as a price reference point called a benchmark (or ”marker”) crude. This category includes Brent crude from the North Sea, Dubai Crude, as well as blends in the OPEC reference basket. WTI, Brent, and the OPEC basket have tended to trade closely, but since 2011, Brent has been selling at a higher annual spot price than WTI, largely due to increased oil production in the United States. What causes price volatility? Oil prices are historically volatile. While mostly shaped by demand and supply like all consumer goods, they may also be affected by production limits, a change in U.S. dollar value, and to an extent by market speculation. In 2022, the annual average price for WTI was close to the peak of nearly 100 U.S. dollars recorded in 2008. In the latter year, multiple factors, such as strikes in Nigeria, an oil sale stop in Venezuela, and the continuous increase in oil demand from China were partly responsible for the price surge. Higher oil prices allowed the pursuit of extraction methods previously deemed too expensive and risky, such as shale gas and tight oil production in the U.S. The widespread practice of fracturing source rocks for oil and gas extraction led to the oil glut in 2016 and made the U.S. the largest oil producer in the world.

The article discusses the significant fluctuations in crude oil prices in 2018, highlighting various factors that influenced the market. It mentions the impact of increasing US oil production, the OPEC and non-OPEC production cuts agreement, geopolitical tensions, and economic factors like global trade tensions. The article concludes by stating the considerable volatility in crude oil prices by the end of 2018, with both Brent crude and WTI crude experiencing significant drops from their peak levels.

The extraction of hydrocarbons dwarfs that of any other mineral or energy source in the country, which exposes oil field drilling services to various factors that directly impact revenue and profit. The period started with massive slumps in revenue as the pandemic weakened the need for oil. Eventually, the price of oil rose and production ramped up, bolstering the need for oil field drilling services. The rapidly growing popularity of hydraulic fracturing (fracking) also made waves, now allowing oil companies to extract oil from areas previously unattainable. Even so, volatile conditions and price drops late in the period led to constant fluctuations in both sales and profitability. Overall, revenue has pushed up at a CAGR of 0.4% over the five years, reaching $57.0 billion in 2025. This includes a 0.9% uptick in 2025 alone, which stemmed from swelling oil production in the country. During these fluctuations, the initial adoption of advanced enhanced oil recovery techniques boosted oil field drilling service providers as companies sought assistance with these new technologies. Nonetheless, increased efficiency required fewer rigs, ultimately limiting these service providers' growth. Even so, profit has crept upward thanks to lower material and operational costs. Despite a growing economy through 2030, oil and field services will see a dip in revenue as crude oil prices are slated to drop. Even so, production is set to continue swelling, which will keep the need for services elevated. Materials costs, like the price of steel, are also set to push down, bolstering profitability. The future of oil is still in the air, with speculations on the future of fracking and the newly elected Trump administration, which aims to expand domestic oil production even further. Overall, revenue for oil field drilling service providers is set to contract at a CAGR of 0.8% to $54.7 billion by 2030.

According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Natural Gas Liquids market size was USD 17542.2 million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.60% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 7016.88 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 5262.66 million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 4034.71 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.6% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 877.11 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.0% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD 350.84 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.3% from 2024 to 2031.
The ethane category is the fastest growing segment of the Natural Gas Liquids industry

Market Dynamics of Natural Gas Liquids Market

Key Drivers for Natural Gas Liquids Market

Increasing Petrochemical Industry to Boost Market Growth

The market for natural gas liquids (NGL) is mostly driven by the expanding petrochemical sector. Natural gas liquids (NGLs) like ethane, propane, and butane are vital raw materials for the synthesis of petrochemicals like ethylene and propylene, which are extensively utilized in the creation of synthetic materials, chemicals, and plastics. The need for NGLs is rising due to the petrochemical industry's explosive growth, particularly in North America and Asia. The utilization of NGLs in a variety of applications is growing as a result of growing industrialization and technological developments in chemical processing. The global need for consumer goods, packaging, and industrial materials is driving the petrochemical industry's growth, which in turn will fuel the NGL market's long-term growth.

The Surge in Shale Gas Production to Drive Market Growth

The market for natural gas liquids (NGL) is growing as a result of increased shale gas output. Production of NGLs, including ethane, propane, and butane, has expanded because of the spike in shale gas extraction, especially in North America, through horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing technology. These liquids are frequently left over after natural gas from shale formations is extracted. In order to fulfill growing global demand, the U.S. shale boom has improved export prospects and supported local NGL supplies. The supply of NGLs is directly increased by the ongoing expansion of shale gas production, which fosters the long-term growth of the NGL market by meeting the increasing demand from sectors such as transportation, energy, and petrochemicals.

Restraint Factor for the Natural Gas Liquids Market

Price Volatility for Crude Oil Will Limit Market Growth

The volatility of crude oil prices severely constrains

The natural gas liquids (NGL) market. Because NGLs are frequently extracted in conjunction with crude oil and natural gas, changes in oil prices have an immediate effect on how profitable it is to produce NGLs. Oil and gas companies may cut back on drilling when crude oil prices drop, which lowers the output of NGLs. Furthermore, a decline in oil prices may increase the appeal of alternative energy sources, which would lessen the market for NGLs. On the other hand, sudden spikes in oil prices can cause market instability and increase the operational expenses for NGL producers. It is difficult for NGL market participants to sustain consistent growth because of this price volatility, which also makes long-term planning more difficult and causes investor concern.

Impact of Covid-19 on the Natural Gas Liquids Market

The COVID-19 pandemic had a substantial effect on the natural gas liquids (NGL) market because it caused supply chain disruptions on a worldwide scale, decreased energy consumption, and a steep reduction in industrial activity. Lockdowns and limitations reduced the demand for NGLs, especially in the transportation and petrochemical sectors, which are big users of butane, propane, and ethane. The demand for NGLs as alternati...

Nigeria's economy was significantly impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. Among others, oil prices experienced a sharp fall and the country lowered the daily crude oil production consistently. In January 2019, the price per barrel amounted to ** U.S. dollars per barrel, whereas in April 2020 the price dropped by ** dollars. Crude oil, petrol, and fuel represented Nigeria's main source of export value.

Tight Oil Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global tight oil market size reached USD 80.4 billion in 2024, driven by a robust resurgence in unconventional oil production and sustained demand from the energy and transportation sectors. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.2% from 2025 to 2033, reaching an estimated USD 151.1 billion by 2033. This growth trajectory is primarily fueled by technological advancements in extraction methods, increasing investments in upstream oil and gas activities, and the ongoing transition towards energy security in key economies. As per our latest research, the tight oil industry is undergoing significant transformation, underpinned by both macroeconomic and sector-specific drivers that are shaping its future outlook.

The tight oil market is experiencing significant growth, largely due to the increasing global demand for energy and the depletion of conventional oil reserves. As traditional oil fields mature and their output declines, energy companies are compelled to explore and exploit unconventional resources such as tight oil. The integration of advanced extraction technologies, particularly hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling, has made it economically viable to extract oil from low-permeability formations. These technological breakthroughs have not only reduced production costs but also improved recovery rates, thereby making tight oil an attractive option for meeting the world’s growing energy needs. Additionally, the volatility of global oil prices has prompted many countries to invest in domestic tight oil production, aiming to reduce dependence on imports and enhance energy security.

Another driving factor for the tight oil market is the increasing investment and support from both public and private sectors. Governments in key regions, particularly North America and certain parts of Asia Pacific, have introduced favorable regulatory frameworks, tax incentives, and streamlined permitting processes to encourage exploration and production activities. The influx of capital from institutional investors and energy companies has accelerated the development of tight oil resources, fostering innovation in drilling and completion techniques. Moreover, the growing collaboration between oilfield service providers and technology developers has led to the creation of more efficient and environmentally responsible extraction methods, further propelling market expansion. This synergy between policy support and industry innovation is crucial in maintaining the momentum of tight oil production globally.

Environmental considerations and the global push towards cleaner energy sources are also influencing the tight oil market’s growth trajectory. While there is increasing scrutiny of hydrocarbon production due to its environmental footprint, tight oil is often perceived as a transitional resource that can bridge the gap between conventional fossil fuels and renewable energy. Energy companies are investing in technologies to minimize water usage, reduce methane emissions, and enhance wellsite reclamation, thereby aligning tight oil operations with evolving environmental standards. Furthermore, the versatility of tight oil, which can be refined into various fuel products, makes it a strategic asset for countries striving to diversify their energy mix and ensure supply stability. As the world gradually shifts towards a low-carbon economy, tight oil is poised to play a pivotal role in supporting energy transition strategies.

Regionally, the tight oil market is dominated by North America, particularly the United States, which accounts for a substantial share of global production and technological innovation. The rapid development of shale plays in the Permian Basin, Bakken Formation, and Eagle Ford Shale has positioned North America as a global leader in tight oil extraction. However, other regions such as Asia Pacific and the Middle East are also ramping up exploration and production activities, supported by favorable geology and increasing energy demand. Europe and Latin America, while lagging in terms of production scale, are witnessing growing interest from international oil companies seeking to diversify their portfolios. This regional diversification is expected to intensify competition and drive further advancements in extraction technologies, ultimately shaping the global tight oil landscape.

Resource Type Analysis

The tight oil market is segmented by resource ty

Major global events, like the pandemic and the Ukraine war, have greatly impacted machinery manufacturers by creating significant volatility in commodity prices. Major production and travel slowdowns harmed demand for oil and gas, resulting in fewer extraction projects and lowering the need for machinery. Still, Russia's invasion of Ukraine led to sanctions placed on Russia by various countries, which led to surging oil and gas prices. This uptick in prices led to strong US oil and gas production growth, boosting machinery sales in 2022 and 2023. Still, supply chain woes led to considerable increases in machinery production costs. Manufacturers passed these higher costs onto customers to retain profit but hindered revenue growth as customers increasingly sought cheaper imports. Overall, revenue has been falling at a CAGR of 3.4% over the past five years to total an estimated $14.0 billion through the end of 2024, including an estimated decrease of 1.8% in 2024. Manufacturers have also endured export declines. The increasing value of the US dollar has disincentivized foreign energy producers from purchasing US-made machinery despite its high quality. Interest rate hikes have also hindered manufacturers' performance. Since oil and gas producers typically purchase machinery on credit, higher interest rates reduce capital expenditures. Interest rate cuts and increases in oil and gas prices will benefit manufacturers in 2024. Falling oil and gas prices will negatively impact machinery manufacturers. These price drops will cause drilling projects to slow down, reducing the need for new machinery and maintenance services. While the dollar's falling value will reduce import penetration, exports will continue to drop alongside oil and gas prices. The Willow Project, one of the largest oil projects in the United States, is likely to boost domestic oil production, driving machinery sales. Domestic manufacturers will continue to focus on high-value-added products, protecting them from substitutes and enabling them to become more profitable. The Trump administration plans to ramp up oil drilling and gas extraction by rolling back previous regulations restricting carbon emissions, thereby creating greater energy independence for the nation and potentially boosting equipment sales. Overall, revenue is forecast to fall at a CAGR of 4.6% to total an estimated $11.0 billion through the end of 2029.

Scarcity and growth analyses about energy include forecasting extraction rates of non-renewable resources while taking into account technological progression. One mechanism, Moore’s (1965) Law of technological improvement, encompasses experience enhanced steady cost reductions. Alternatively, synthesis technological change refers to unforeseen innovative breakthroughs. These trends relate to the Hubbert (1956 & 1962) Curve of U.S shale oil extraction in the U.S. Lower 48 contiguous states. Price effects, drilling rigs and the price-to-drilling rig relationship are analyzed. Results show we are at peak U.S. shale oil, and could experience comprehensive decline. This implies Catton’s (1982) “Age of Exuberance,” and “Carrying Capacity” drawdown.

Crude oil and gasoline prices have declined due to weakening demand, increased OPEC+ production, and geopolitical tensions affecting the energy market.

UK oil and natural gas production is on long-term decline as old oil and gas fields in the North Sea mature and near the end of their life cycle. Oil and gas extracting companies reaped the rewards of an upsurge in global prices through 2022-23, leading to sharp revenue growth. However, this quickly turned around in 2023-24, with most major companies’ revenue nosediving along with oil prices as oil and gas from America flooded the market, slightly outpacing demand. Still, revenue is expected to expand at a compound annual rate of 5.1% over the five years through 2025-26 to £23 billion, owing primarily to the significant price hikes of 2021-22 and 2022-23. This includes a forecast dip of 4.3% in 2025-26, owing to oil and gas prices edging down. Profit is also slated to fall over the year. Global oil and gas prices greatly affect the industry's performance, with the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) putting supply cuts in place and global tensions resulting in price peaks and troughs. In October 2022, OPEC instituted a supply cut of two million barrels of crude oil per day, driving Brent Crude Oil prices up to US$110 (£87.80) per barrel, which was extended until March 2025. At the same time, the sanctions on Russian oil and gas imports because of the Russia-Ukraine conflict add further impetus to prices. The EU has banned imports of Russian-made oil and gas, providing opportunities for UK exporters. Crude oil prices remain high, but significant oil production from non-OPEC countries has made oil prices plummet since July 2024. Despite mounting tensions in the Middle East having the potential to cut oil supply from the region, the ongoing political tensions have yet to significantly impact global prices, with prices falling by 15.8% in the year to August 2025. Oil and gas prices are likely to continue inching downwards in the coming years. The UK government has implemented policies to create a more favourable environment for extractors in the North Sea to improve UK energy security. However, the depletion of natural resources, the high cost of extraction, low gas and oil prices and the global energy transition will threaten the industry's long-term viability. Revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 2% over the five years through 2030-31 to £25.4 billion, supported by two new major oil and gas fields, Jackdaw and Rosebank.