As of the third quarter of 2025, oil prices in the United Kingdom stood at 68.1 dollars per barrel, with prices expected to fall to 65 dollars a barrel in the fourth quarter of the year.

Brent crude oil is projected to have an average annual spot price of 67.22 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2025, according to a forecast from May 2025. This would mean a decrease of more than 13 U.S. dollars compared to the previous year and also reflect a reduced forecast WTI crude oil price. Lower economic activity, an increase in OPEC+ production output, and uncertainty over trade tariffs all impacted price forecasting. All about Brent Also known as Brent Blend, London Brent, and Brent petroleum, Brent Crude is a crude oil benchmark named after the exploration site in the North Sea's Brent oilfield. It is a sweet light crude oil but slightly heavier than West Texas Intermediate. In this context, sweet refers to a low sulfur content and light refers to a relatively low density when compared to other crude oil benchmarks. Price development in the 2020s Oil prices are volatile, impacted by consumer demand and discoveries of new oilfields, new extraction methods such as fracking, and production caps routinely placed by OPEC on its member states. The price for Brent crude oil stood at an average of just 42 U.S. dollars in 2020, when the coronavirus pandemic resulted in a sudden demand drop. Two years later, sanctions on Russian energy imports had pushed up prices to a new decade-high, above 100 U.S. dollars per barrel.

Crude Oil fell to 59.17 USD/Bbl on December 2, 2025, down 0.25% from the previous day. Over the past month, Crude Oil's price has fallen 3.08%, and is down 15.40% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Crude Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

Heating Oil rose to 2.35 USD/Gal on December 2, 2025, up 0.21% from the previous day. Over the past month, Heating Oil's price has fallen 2.25%, but it is still 6.31% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Heating oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

United Kingdom BOE Forecast: Brent Crude Oil Price data was reported at 71.000 USD/Barrel in 2021. This records a decrease from the previous number of 74.000 USD/Barrel for 2020. United Kingdom BOE Forecast: Brent Crude Oil Price data is updated yearly, averaging 72.500 USD/Barrel from Dec 2014 (Median) to 2021, with 8 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 81.000 USD/Barrel in 2018 and a record low of 43.000 USD/Barrel in 2015. United Kingdom BOE Forecast: Brent Crude Oil Price data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of England. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.P009: Crude Oil and Gas Prices: Forecast.

The price of gas in the United Kingdom was *** British pence per therm in the fourth quarter of 2024. It is anticipated gas prices will increase to *** pence in the second quarter of 2025 before gradually falling to just under ** pence by the second quarter of 2027.
Surging energy costs and the cost of living crisis At the height of the UK's cost of living crisis in 2022, approximately ** percent of UK households were experiencing rising prices compared with the previous month. It was during 2022 that the UK's CPI inflation rate reached a peak of **** percent, in October of that year. Food and energy, in particular, were the main drivers of inflation during this period, with energy inflation reaching **** percent, and food prices increasing by **** percent at the height of the crisis. Although prices fell to more expected levels by 2024, an uptick in inflation is forecast for 2025, with prices rising by *** percent in the third quarter of the year. Global Inflation Crisis The UK was not alone in suffering rapid inflation during this time period, with several countries across the world experiencing an inflation crisis. The roots of the crisis began as the global economy gradually emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021. Blocked-up supply chains, struggled to recover as quickly as consumer demand, with food and energy prices also facing upward pressure. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 led to Europe gradually weening itself of cheap Russian energy exports, while for several months Ukraine struggled to export crucial food supplies to the rest of the World.

This statistic displays a global forecast on oil prices by quarter in 2015, for UK Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI). In the first quarter of 2015, Brent oil prices is predicted to reach ** U.S. dollars per barrel.

UK Gas fell to 72.60 GBp/thm on December 2, 2025, down 1.67% from the previous day. Over the past month, UK Gas's price has fallen 11.75%, and is down 40.33% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. UK Natural Gas - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

United Kingdom BOE Forecast: Gas Prices data was reported at 60.000 0.01 GBP/Therm in 2021. This records a decrease from the previous number of 61.000 0.01 GBP/Therm for 2020. United Kingdom BOE Forecast: Gas Prices data is updated yearly, averaging 56.500 0.01 GBP/Therm from Dec 2014 (Median) to 2021, with 8 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 71.000 0.01 GBP/Therm in 2018 and a record low of 37.000 0.01 GBP/Therm in 2015. United Kingdom BOE Forecast: Gas Prices data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of England. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.P009: Crude Oil and Gas Prices: Forecast.

The UK crude oil market totaled $43B in 2024, surging by 9.3% against the previous year. In general, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. Crude oil consumption peaked at $48.1B in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Brent fell to 63.05 USD/Bbl on December 2, 2025, down 0.19% from the previous day. Over the past month, Brent's price has fallen 2.84%, and is down 14.36% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Brent crude oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

The UK Oil and Gas industry is projected to reach a market size of approximately USD 319.52 million by 2025. While the provided CAGR of 1.35% suggests a modest growth trajectory, the sector's resilience is underpinned by its crucial role in the UK's energy security and economy. The industry is strategically segmented into Upstream (exploration and production), Midstream (transportation and storage), and Downstream (refining and distribution), each facing unique challenges and opportunities. Leading players like Shell PLC, Chevron Corporation, and BP PLC are navigating this landscape, investing in both traditional and emerging energy solutions. The forecast period, extending to 2033, indicates a period of gradual expansion, driven by ongoing domestic production and the essential role of oil and gas in the interim energy mix, even as the nation transitions towards greener alternatives. Despite the low CAGR, the UK oil and gas market is characterized by significant ongoing investment and strategic repositioning. The industry's drivers are deeply rooted in maintaining energy independence, meeting domestic demand, and leveraging existing infrastructure. However, significant restraints such as stringent environmental regulations, the global push towards decarbonization, and volatile international crude oil prices present considerable headwinds. Emerging trends point towards increased focus on efficiency improvements in existing fields, a growing emphasis on natural gas as a transitional fuel, and the exploration of new technologies for carbon capture and storage. European markets, particularly the United Kingdom itself, will remain a focal point for this industry's activities, with companies like Centrica PLC and TotalEnergies SE actively shaping its future through strategic acquisitions and technological advancements. Key drivers for this market are: 4., Domestic Oil and Gas Production4.; Investments in Oil and Gas Infrastructure Development. Potential restraints include: 4., Growth of Renewable Energy. Notable trends are: Upstream Segment Expected to Dominate the Market.

Find out how the demand for crude sunflower-seed and safflower oil is driving the market in the UK to grow at an accelerating rate. By 2035, the market volume is expected to reach 166K tons, with a market value of $189M.

Wholesale price for crude oil in the United Kingdom is projected to rise from ** to ** U.S. dollars per barrel between 2020 and 2035, respectively. Figures are expected to remain at ** U.S. dollars per barrel in 2040.

UK oil and natural gas production is on long-term decline as old oil and gas fields in the North Sea mature and near the end of their life cycle. Oil and gas extracting companies reaped the rewards of an upsurge in global prices through 2022-23, leading to sharp revenue growth. However, this quickly turned around in 2023-24, with most major companies’ revenue nosediving along with oil prices as oil and gas from America flooded the market, slightly outpacing demand. Still, revenue is expected to expand at a compound annual rate of 5.1% over the five years through 2025-26 to £23 billion, owing primarily to the significant price hikes of 2021-22 and 2022-23. This includes a forecast dip of 4.3% in 2025-26, owing to oil and gas prices edging down. Profit is also slated to fall over the year. Global oil and gas prices greatly affect the industry's performance, with the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) putting supply cuts in place and global tensions resulting in price peaks and troughs. In October 2022, OPEC instituted a supply cut of two million barrels of crude oil per day, driving Brent Crude Oil prices up to US$110 (£87.80) per barrel, which was extended until March 2025. At the same time, the sanctions on Russian oil and gas imports because of the Russia-Ukraine conflict add further impetus to prices. The EU has banned imports of Russian-made oil and gas, providing opportunities for UK exporters. Crude oil prices remain high, but significant oil production from non-OPEC countries has made oil prices plummet since July 2024. Despite mounting tensions in the Middle East having the potential to cut oil supply from the region, the ongoing political tensions have yet to significantly impact global prices, with prices falling by 15.8% in the year to August 2025. Oil and gas prices are likely to continue inching downwards in the coming years. The UK government has implemented policies to create a more favourable environment for extractors in the North Sea to improve UK energy security. However, the depletion of natural resources, the high cost of extraction, low gas and oil prices and the global energy transition will threaten the industry's long-term viability. Revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 2% over the five years through 2030-31 to £25.4 billion, supported by two new major oil and gas fields, Jackdaw and Rosebank.

About the ProjectKAPSARC is analyzing the shifting dynamics of the global gas markets. Global gas markets have turned upside down during the past five years: North America has emerged as a large potential future LNG exporter while gas demand growth has been slowing down as natural gas gets squeezed between coal and renewables. While the coming years will witness the fastest LNG export capacity expansion ever seen, many questions are raised on the next generation of LNG supply, the impact of low oil and gas prices on supply and demand patterns and how pricing and contractual structure may be affected by both the arrival of U.S. LNG on global gas markets and the desire of Asian buyers for cheaper gas.Key PointsIn the past year, global gas prices have dropped significantly, albeit at unequal paces depending on the region. All else being equal, economists would suggest that this should have generated a positive demand response. However, “all else” was not equal. Prices of other commodities also declined while economic growth forecasts were downgraded. Prices at benchmark points such as the U.K. National Balancing Point (NBP), U.S. Henry Hub (HH) and Japan/Korea Marker (JKM) slumped due to lower oil prices, liquefied natural gas (LNG) oversupply and unseasonal weather. Yet, the prices of natural gas in local currencies have increased in a number of developing countries in Africa, the Middle East, Latin America, former Soviet Union (FSU) and Asia. North America experienced demand growth while gas in Europe and Asia faced rising competition from cheaper coal, renewables and, in some instances, nuclear. Gains to European demand were mostly weather related while increases in Africa and Latin America were not significant. For LNG, Europe became the market of last resort as Asian consumption declined. Moreover, an anticipated surge in LNG supply, brought on by several new projects, may lead to a confrontation with Russian or other pipeline gas suppliers to Europe. At the same time, Asian buyers are seeking concessions on pricing and flexibility in their long-term contracts. Looking ahead, natural gas has to prove itself a credible and affordable alternative to coal, notably in Asia, if the world is to reach its climate change targets. The future of the gas industry will also depend on oil prices, evolution of Chinese energy demand and impact of COP21 on national energy policies. Current low prices mean there is likely to be a pause in final investment decisions (FIDs) on LNG projects in the coming years.

Petroleum refining companies in the UK produce a wide variety of products. Fuels for transport and heating are the most common, with petroleum products for transport consistently accounting for almost three-quarters of product demand, according to DESNZ. Industry revenue is expected to swell at a compound annual rate of 8.8% over the five years through 2025-26 to £44.8 billion, including a forecast dip of 2.2% in 2025-26, owing to staggering volatility in crude petroleum and fuel prices in recent years.

The COVID-19 pandemic took its toll on the industry. Global border and travel restrictions dented both demand for fuel and fuel prices, weighing on revenue and profitability for refiners. However, this trend was quickly reversed following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. This led to the UK and other major economies announcing that they would wean themselves off Russian oil, resulting in a sharp spike in oil prices from 2022 to 2023 and, to a lesser degree, from 2023 to 2024. Strong oil price inflation translated into higher-value sales for refined oil companies, paving the way for a robust recovery. However, with global oil supplies normalising in 2025-26 and demand for diesel and petrol struggling to return to pre-2019 levels, industry revenue is expected to slip in 2025-26. This is largely due to the growing adoption of electric and hybrid vehicles, which is reducing demand from road transport. However, strong growth in the air freight and air passenger industries is supporting demand for jet fuel in 2025-26.

Industry revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 0.7% over the five years through 2030-31 to £46.3 billion. Demand for petrol and diesel-fueled vehicles is expected to decline due to government initiatives aimed at reducing emissions, including the expansion of Clean Air Zones and the ban on new petrol and diesel cars by 2030. Demand for pure electric vehicles is likely to continue rising, posing a significant long-term threat to fuel demand.

Learn about the rising demand for crude coconut oil in the UK and the projected growth of the market over the next decade, with a forecasted increase in both volume and value terms by 2035.

The UK virgin olive oil market surged to $339M in 2024, picking up by 36% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). In general, consumption recorded a buoyant expansion. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

United States Crude Oil Price: EIA: Landed Cost of Imports: UK data was reported at 70.010 USD/Barrel in Apr 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 68.190 USD/Barrel for Feb 2018. United States Crude Oil Price: EIA: Landed Cost of Imports: UK data is updated monthly, averaging 25.360 USD/Barrel from Mar 1977 (Median) to Apr 2018, with 369 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 128.950 USD/Barrel in May 2008 and a record low of 10.890 USD/Barrel in Dec 1998. United States Crude Oil Price: EIA: Landed Cost of Imports: UK data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Energy Information Administration. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.P002: Energy Price.