House prices in the UK rose dramatically during the coronavirus pandemic, with growth slowing down in 2022 and turning negative in 2023. The year-on-year annual house price change peaked at 14 percent in July 2022. In April 2025, house prices increased by 3.5 percent. As of late 2024, the average house price was close to 290,000 British pounds. Correction in housing prices: a European phenomenon The trend of a growing residential real estate market was not exclusive to the UK during the pandemic. Likewise, many European countries experienced falling prices in 2023. When comparing residential property RHPI (price index in real terms, e.g. corrected for inflation), countries such as Germany, France, Italy, and Spain also saw prices decline. Sweden, one of the countries with the fastest growing residential markets, saw one of the largest declines in prices. How has demand for UK housing changed since the outbreak of the coronavirus? The easing of the lockdown was followed by a dramatic increase in home sales. In November 2020, the number of mortgage approvals reached an all-time high of over 107,000. One of the reasons for the housing boom were the low mortgage rates, allowing home buyers to take out a loan with an interest rate as low as 2.5 percent. That changed as the Bank of England started to raise the base lending rate, resulting in higher borrowing costs and a decline in homebuyer sentiment.

The average sales price of new homes in the United States experienced a slight decrease in 2024, dropping to 512,2000 U.S. dollars from the peak of 521,500 U.S. dollars in 2022. This decline came after years of substantial price increases, with the average price surpassing 400,000 U.S. dollars for the first time in 2021. The recent cooling in the housing market reflects broader economic trends and changing consumer sentiment towards homeownership. Factors influencing home prices and affordability The rapid rise in home prices over the past few years has been driven by several factors, including historically low mortgage rates and increased demand during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the market has since slowed down, with the number of home sales declining by over two million between 2021 and 2023. This decline can be attributed to rising mortgage rates and decreased affordability. The Housing Affordability Index hit a record low of 98.1 in 2023, indicating that the median-income family could no longer afford a median-priced home. Future outlook for the housing market Despite the recent cooling, experts forecast a potential recovery in the coming years. The Freddie Mac House Price Index showed a growth of 6.5 percent in 2023, which is still above the long-term average of 4.4 percent since 1990. However, homebuyer sentiment remains low across all age groups, with people aged 45 to 64 expressing the most pessimistic outlook. The median sales price of existing homes is expected to increase slightly until 2025, suggesting that affordability challenges may persist in the near future.

The house price index (HPI) shows changes in the value of residential properties in England, Scotland, Wales, and Northern Ireland. With the HPI set at a base of 100 in January 2023, a value of over 100 would mark an increase in the average dwelling price. A value of under 100 points, on the other hand, would indicate that the average price has dropped. In April 2025, the index measured 101.7 index points, showing an increase of 1.7 percent since January 2023. UK house prices grew rapidly during the COVID-19 pandemic House prices in the UK grew steadily between 2015 and 2020, fueled by stable economic growth and low borrowing costs. In the following two years, a combination of factors exacerbated this trend. These factors included a stamp duty holiday, low interest rates, a shortage of new homes supplied, and a high housing demand. As a result, house price growth soared, hitting a record 13.6 percent in July 2022. This trend in the index, and therefore the value of UK residential properties, has also been observed by the Halifax house price index. What is the average house price in the UK? Average house prices are affected by several factors. Economic growth, unemployment, interest rates and mortgage availability can all drive them up or down. A shortage of supply means that the need for housing and the competitive market created will push house prices up. An excess of housing, on the other hand, means prices fall to stimulate buyers.

According to Cognitive Market Research, The Global Ready to Move in Luxury Homes Market size is USD 600.5 billion in 2023 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.0% from 2023 to 2030.

Remote work fueled demand for Ready to Move-in Luxury Homes, emphasizing dedicated offices and advanced amenities, creating synergy with the evolving work landscape.
The dominant category in the Ready to Move-in Luxury Homes market is the 1000-3000 square feet segment.
In the ready to move-in luxury homes market, luxury homes dominate.
North America will continue to lead, whereas the Europe Ready to Move in Luxury Homes Market will experience the strongest growth until 2030.

Market Dynamics of the Ready-to-Move-in Luxury Home Market

Remote Work and Low-Interest Rates Drive Surge in Demand for Ready-to-Move-in Luxury Home 

The advent of widespread remote work became a driving force for the ready-to-move-in luxury homes market. As companies embraced flexible work arrangements, professionals sought residences that catered to remote work needs. The cause-and-effect relationship unfolded as the demand for homes with dedicated office spaces, high-speed internet, and enhanced amenities surged. The market responded by prioritizing features conducive to remote work, such as spacious home offices and advanced technology infrastructure, creating a symbiotic relationship between the evolving work landscape and the flourishing luxury real estate sector.

Historic Low-Interest Rates Propel Demand for Ready to Move-in Luxury Homes

The ready to move-in luxury homes market experienced a boost driven by historically low-interest rates. As central banks implemented measures to stimulate economies amidst the pandemic, mortgage rates reached unprecedented lows. This led to increased buyer confidence and heightened affordability, catalyzing demand in the luxury real estate sector. The cause-and-effect relationship materialized as favorable financing conditions encouraged prospective buyers to invest in ready-to-move-in luxury homes, fostering a climate of increased transactions and market activity. Low-interest rates emerged as a pivotal driver shaping the positive trajectory of the luxury real estate market.

Restraints of the Ready-to-Move-in Luxury Homes

Supply Chain Disruptions and Construction Slowdown Impacting Ready-to-Move-in Luxury Homes Market

Supply chain disruptions emerged as a significant restraint in the ready to move-in luxury homes market. The cause-and-effect dynamic unfolded as the pandemic disrupted the flow of construction materials and labor, leading to a slowdown in construction activities. Delays in obtaining essential materials and the inability to secure skilled labor hindered project timelines. This restraint underscored the market's vulnerability to external factors affecting the construction industry, impacting the timely delivery of luxury homes and potentially dissuading prospective buyers who sought immediate occupancy.

Impact of COVID-19 on the Ready-to-Move-in Luxury Homes Market

The ready-to-move-in luxury homes market faced a dual impact from the COVID-19 pandemic. Lockdowns and economic uncertainties caused a slowdown in transactions and construction activities. However, as remote work gained prominence, there was a notable shift in demand toward spacious and well-equipped luxury homes. The market adapted by incorporating features like home offices and private amenities. Low interest rates further stimulated demand, leading to a rebound. Despite initial challenges, the pandemic catalyzed a transformation in the luxury real estate sector, aligning offerings with the evolving lifestyle preferences shaped by the new normal.

Opportunity for the growth of the Ready-to-Move-in Luxury Homes Market.

The increasing preference among affluent buyers for hassle-free, immediate occupancy solutions that combine convenience with high-end amenities.

One key opportunity for the growth of the ready-to-move-in luxury homes market lies in the increasing preference among affluent buyers for hassle-free, immediate occupancy solutions that combine convenience with high-end amenities. With rising disposable incomes and evolving lifestyles, especially among urban professionals, HNIs, and NRIs, there is a growing demand for premium properties that are fully constructed, elegantly designed, and equipped with smart home techno...

Key information about House Prices Growth

• Bulgaria house prices grew 15.1% YoY in Jun 2024, following an increase of 16.0% YoY in the previous quarter.
• YoY growth data is updated quarterly, available from Mar 2006 to Jun 2024, with an average growth rate of 6.3%.
• House price data reached an all-time high of 34.6% in Dec 2007 and a record low of -26.8% in Sep 2009.

Real estate appraisal in Canada has thrived because of a strong housing market and economic growth. Low interest rates amid the pandemic bolstered the residential market and paved the way for a multitude of new housing projects. It also caused many potential home buyers to make the jump since mortgage rates were at historical lows. Even so, this growth did not last long as inflationary concerns constrained the need for appraisals following the pandemic, causing a 4.6% decline in 2023. Overall, real estate appraisal is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.3% to $928.4 million over the five years to 2023, where profit will reach 22.8%.While the residential sector slumped significantly post-pandemic, a revitalized commercial construction sector prevented revenue from completely sinking. Commercial appraisals fell drastically amid the pandemic as health and safety regulations forced businesses to close temporarily, halting business activity. Consumer sentiment grew as the economy eventually opened and corporate profit rebounded amid falling uncertainty. Businesses resumed merger and acquisition activity and property expansion, which requires appraisal services to complete the transaction.Through 2028, the commercial real estate market is set to grow as businesses expand their operations. The residential housing market is expected to bounce back as interest rates are set to come down following more minor inflation bumps. Appraisal companies will continue to leverage new technologies to expand the scope of their services, become more competitive and offer more precise valuations for all types of clients. Real estate appraisal revenue is expected to increase at a CAGR of 1.9% to $1.0 billion.

According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Real Estate Sector market size will be USD 3625.5 million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.50% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 1450.20 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.7% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 1087.65 million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 833.87 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.0% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 181.28 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.9% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD 72.51 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.2% from 2024 to 2031.
The Commercial real estate is the fastest-growing segment, driven by economic development, urbanization, and a shift toward modern, multi-use spaces

Market Dynamics of Real Estate Sector Market

Key Drivers Real Estate Sector Market

Urbanization and Population Growth Fueling Demand: The increase in urban migration is driving the need for residential, commercial, and industrial properties. The development of megacities, improved infrastructure, and rising disposable incomes are contributing to the growth of the real estate sector. For instance, the Reserve Bank of India’s low interest rates in 2021 significantly boosted housing demand by 35–40% during the festive period.

Economic Growth and Rising Incomes Facilitating Market Expansion: A robust economy and increasing income levels are allowing for more substantial investments in real estate. The development of infrastructure, enhanced investor confidence, and capital inflows are further driving demand across the residential, commercial, and industrial property sectors.

Key Restraint Real Estate Sector Market

High Construction Costs Impeding Market Growth: The escalating costs of raw materials and labor shortages are raising project expenses and causing delays. Global supply chain disruptions and inflation are also impacting profit margins and making housing less affordable, which in turn is hindering real estate activity.

Key Trends for Real Estate Sector Market

Smart Cities and Sustainable Infrastructure Development: Governments and developers are focusing on smart city initiatives that include green buildings, energy-efficient designs, and technology-integrated infrastructure, thereby improving livability and long-term value in urban real estate markets.

Increasing Demand for Mixed-Use Developments: There is a growing consumer preference for integrated spaces that combine residential, retail, and office units. This trend is transforming urban planning and generating demand for multi-functional real estate projects that cater to convenience and contemporary lifestyles.

Impact of Covid-19 on the Real Estate Sector Market

Covid-19 pandemic significantly impacted the real estate sector, leading to shifts in both demand and operational dynamics. During the early phases of the pandemic, lockdowns and economic uncertainties caused a slowdown in construction activities, delays in project completions, and a decline in property transactions. The residential market experienced a surge in demand for larger homes and properties in suburban areas as people sought more space due to remote work trends. On the other hand, the commercial real estate market, especially office spaces, faced challenges with businesses adopting remote work models, resulting in a reduced demand for office buildings. Introduction of the Real Estate Sector Market

The real estate sector encompasses the development, buying, selling, leasing, and management of land, residential, commercial, and industrial properties. It is a dynamic market driven by a complex mix of factors, including economic conditions, urbanization, demographic shifts, and government policies. Market growth in the real estate sector is primarily influenced by factors such as population growth, increasing urbaniza...

In August 2020, 54 percent of respondents who became homeowners during the COVID-19 pandemic said they took advantage of the low mortgage interest rates. On the other hand, 26 percent of them said that the coronavirus pandemic didn't play any role in them becoming homeowners. The homeownership rate rose to almost 68 percent in the second quarter of 2020.

Urban Displacement Project’s (UDP) Estimated Displacement Risk (EDR) model for California identifies varying levels of displacement risk for low-income renter households in all census tracts in the state from 2015 to 2019(1). The model uses machine learning to determine which variables are most strongly related to displacement at the household level and to predict tract-level displacement risk statewide while controlling for region. UDP defines displacement risk as a census tract with characteristics which, according to the model, are strongly correlated with more low-income population loss than gain. In other words, the model estimates that more low-income households are leaving these neighborhoods than moving in.This map is a conservative estimate of low-income loss and should be considered a tool to help identify housing vulnerability. Displacement may occur because of either investment, disinvestment, or disaster-driven forces. Because this risk assessment does not identify the causes of displacement, UDP does not recommend that the tool be used to assess vulnerability to investment such as new housing construction or infrastructure improvements. HCD recommends combining this map with on-the-ground accounts of displacement, as well as other related data such as overcrowding, cost burden, and income diversity to achieve a full understanding of displacement risk.If you see a tract or area that does not seem right, please fill out this form to help UDP ground-truth the method and improve their model.How should I read the displacement map layers?The AFFH Data Viewer includes three separate displacement layers that were generated by the EDR model. The “50-80% AMI” layer shows the level of displacement risk for low-income (LI) households specifically. Since UDP has reason to believe that the data may not accurately capture extremely low-income (ELI) households due to the difficulty in counting this population, UDP combined ELI and very low-income (VLI) household predictions into one group—the “0-50% AMI” layer—by opting for the more “extreme” displacement scenario (e.g., if a tract was categorized as “Elevated” for VLI households but “Extreme” for ELI households, UDP assigned the tract to the “Extreme” category for the 0-50% layer). For these two layers, tracts are assigned to one of the following categories, with darker red colors representing higher displacement risk and lighter orange colors representing less risk:• Low Data Quality: the tract has less than 500 total households and/or the census margins of error were greater than 15% of the estimate (shaded gray).• Lower Displacement Risk: the model estimates that the loss of low-income households is less than the gain in low-income households. However, some of these areas may have small pockets of displacement within their boundaries. • At Risk of Displacement: the model estimates there is potential displacement or risk of displacement of the given population in these tracts.• Elevated Displacement: the model estimates there is a small amount of displacement (e.g., 10%) of the given population.• High Displacement: the model estimates there is a relatively high amount of displacement (e.g., 20%) of the given population.• Extreme Displacement: the model estimates there is an extreme level of displacement (e.g., greater than 20%) of the given population. The “Overall Displacement” layer shows the number of income groups experiencing any displacement risk. For example, in the dark red tracts (“2 income groups”), the model estimates displacement (Elevated, High, or Extreme) for both of the two income groups. In the light orange tracts categorized as “At Risk of Displacement”, one or all three income groups had to have been categorized as “At Risk of Displacement”. Light yellow tracts in the “Overall Displacement” layer are not experiencing UDP’s definition of displacement according to the model. Some of these yellow tracts may be majority low-income experiencing small to significant growth in this population while in other cases they may be high-income and exclusive (and therefore have few low-income residents to begin with). One major limitation to the model is that the migration data UDP uses likely does not capture some vulnerable populations, such as undocumented households. This means that some yellow tracts may be experiencing high rates of displacement among these types of households. MethodologyThe EDR is a first-of-its-kind model that uses machine learning and household level data to predict displacement. To create the EDR, UDP first joined household-level data from Data Axle (formerly Infogroup) with tract-level data from the 2014 and 2019 5-year American Community Survey; Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing (AFFH) data from various sources compiled by California Housing and Community Development; Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) Origin-Destination Employment Statistics (LODES) data; and the Environmental Protection Agency’s Smart Location Database.UDP then used a machine learning model to determine which variables are most strongly related to displacement at the household level and to predict tract-level displacement risk statewide while controlling for region. UDP modeled displacement risk as the net migration rate of three separate renter households income categories: extremely low-income (ELI), very low-income (VLI), and low-income (LI). These households have incomes between 0-30% of the Area Median Income (AMI), 30-50% AMI, and 50-80% AMI, respectively. Tracts that have a predicted net loss within these groups are considered to experience displacement in three degrees: elevated, high, and extreme. UDP also includes a “At Risk of Displacement” category in tracts that might be experiencing displacement.What are the main limitations of this map?1. Because the map uses 2019 data, it does not reflect more recent trends. The pandemic, which started in 2020, has exacerbated income inequality and increased housing costs, meaning that UDP’s map likely underestimates current displacement risk throughout the state.2. The model examines displacement risk for renters only, and does not account for the fact that many homeowners are also facing housing and gentrification pressures. As a result, the map generally only highlights areas with relatively high renter populations, and neighborhoods with higher homeownership rates that are known to be experiencing gentrification and displacement are not as prominent as one might expect.3. The model does not incorporate data on new housing construction or infrastructure projects. The map therefore does not capture the potential impacts of these developments on displacement risk; it only accounts for other characteristics such as demographics and some features of the built environment. Two of UDP’s other studies—on new housing construction and green infrastructure—explore the relationships between these factors and displacement.Variable ImportanceFigures 1, 2, and 3 show the most important variables for each of the three models—ELI, VLI, and LI. The horizontal bars show the importance of each variable in predicting displacement for the respective group. All three models share a similar order of variable importance with median rent, percent non-white, rent gap (i.e., rental market pressure calculated using the difference between nearby and local rents), percent renters, percent high-income households, and percent of low-income households driving much of the displacement estimation. Other important variables include building types as well as economic and socio-demographic characteristics. For a full list of the variables included in the final models, ranked by descending order of importance, and their definitions see all three tabs of this spreadsheet. “Importance” is defined in two ways: 1. % Inclusion: The average proportion of times this variable was included in the model’s decision tree as the most important or driving factor.2. MeanRank: The average rank of importance for each variable across the numerous model runs where higher numbers mean higher ranking. Figures 1 through 3 below show each of the model variable rankings ordered by importance. The red lines represent Jenks Breaks, which are designed to sort values into their most “natural” clusters. Variable importance for each model shows a substantial drop-off after about 10 variables, meaning a relatively small number of variables account for a large amount of the predictive power in UDP’s displacement model.Figure 1. Variable Importance for Low Income HouseholdsFor a description of each variable and its source, see this spreadsheet.Figure 2. Variable Importance for Very Low Income HouseholdsFor a description of each variable and its source, see this spreadsheet. Figure 3. Variable Importance for Extremely Low Income HouseholdsFor a description of each variable and its source, see this spreadsheet.Source: Chapple, K., & Thomas, T., and Zuk, M. (2022). Urban Displacement Project website. Berkeley, CA: Urban Displacement Project.(1) UDP used this time-frame because (a) the 2020 census had a large non-response rate and it implemented a new statistical modification that obscures and misrepresents racial and economic characteristics at the census tract level and (b) pandemic mobility trends are still in flux and UDP believes 2019 is more representative of “normal” or non-pandemic displacement trends.

The financial and operational success of property development markets depends on a range of socio-economic factors, such as property values, market sentiment and credit conditions. Building project developers' revenue is forecast to slide at a compound annual rate of 3.2% to £35.8 billion over the five years through 2024-25. The economic shock caused by the pandemic had a devastating impact on property development market in 2020-21. Severe supply chain and market disruption caused sentiment to wane and transaction activity fell, while property values initially depreciated and rental fee income stalled. Revenue rebounded in 2021-22, aided by low interest rates, house price inflation and a stronger than anticipated initial economic recovery from the pandemic. Nonetheless, revenue remained below pre-pandemic levels as growth was hindered by a further net deficit on revaluation of assets and lower rental income in office and brick-and-mortar retail markets. The fallout from the pandemic has caused developers to re-align investment towards lower-risk real estate markets which are likely to be more resilient to price shocks. Inaflationary pressures and rising interest rates spurred a further hit to portfolio valuations, discouraging developers from pursuing new developments. Revenue is forecast to grow by 2.5% in the current year, as interest rate cuts spur renewed growth in property values. Revenue is slated to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.3% to reach £38.2 billion over the five years through 2029-30. Following recent interest rate cuts, more stable economic conditions are set to continue to support improved sentiment in the near-term, spurring developers to pursue new ventures. Opportunities for growth are set to be most prominent in high-yield office markets and the technology sector, with growing use of artificial intelligence set to drive demand for the development and construction of data centres. Loosened planning policy is set to drive momentum in residential real estate markets, though more will need to be done for the government to achieve ambitious housebuilding targets.

The Canadian housing market, particularly in major urban centers, has experienced a prolonged period of rapid price appreciation, driven by factors such as low interest rates, strong population growth, and limited supply. According to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), the national average house price rose by more than 50% between 2020 and 2022, with prices in some major cities, such as Toronto and Vancouver, increasing by even more. This rapid price growth has made it increasingly difficult for many Canadians to afford a home, especially in the country's most desirable markets. However, the Canadian housing market is starting to show signs of cooling in 2023, as rising interest rates and stricter mortgage lending rules from the government begin to take effect. The CMHC predicts that the national average house price will decline by 7.6% in 2023, with prices in some markets, such as Toronto and Vancouver, expected to fall by even more. This cooling is expected to continue in 2024, with the CMHC predicting a further decline in the national average house price of 3.2%. The long-term outlook for the Canadian housing market is more uncertain, but the CMHC expects that prices will continue to rise, albeit at a more moderate pace. The Canadian housing market is one of the most expensive in the world, with prices in major cities like Toronto and Vancouver soaring to record highs in recent years. This has led to a growing concern about affordability, as many Canadians are being priced out of the market. Key drivers for this market are: Increasing Adoption of Remote and Hybrid Work Model. Potential restraints include: Lack of Privacy. Notable trends are: Pandemic Accelerated Luxury Home Sales in Major Canadian Markets.

Canada's Lumber and Building Material Stores industry has exhibited volatility because of fluctuations in construction markets. The pandemic greatly contributed to industry volatility, with housing starts ballooning in 2020 amid low interest rates. At the same time, the pandemic and associated business closures and work stoppages depleted private nonresidential construction markets. This trend has partially reversed as recent interest rate hikes have dissuaded investment in residential construction while commercial construction markets have grown. The ebb and flow of these markets have largely offset each other. Overall, revenue for lumber and building material stores is expected to climb at a CAGR of 2.3% to $7.7 billion through the end of 2024, including growth of 1.3% in 2024. Profit has been pressured by a complicated supply and demand environment and has not returned to pre-pandemic levels. Most lumber and building materials stores are relatively small operations that endure fierce competition from big-box retailers and wholesalers. Companies in these external industries can leverage their large size to achieve economies of scale. Big box stores can save on purchasing costs by buying in bulk and passing their savings down to consumers. Many lumber and building material stores have joined cooperatives or distribution networks to take on these large stores. Members of these businesses have benefited from growing purchasing power and business services, achieving economies of scale while remaining operational at a single location or local level. Stores are poised to undergo more pronounced growth as the economy normalizes following volatile conditions. While interest rates will remain above coronavirus-era lows, a robust rejuvenation in private nonresidential construction activity will boost sales. Growth in housing starts, alongside climbing residential and nonresidential construction values, will benefit stores in the coming years. The growing popularity of new, sustainable materials will also contribute to profit growth. Revenue is expected to swell at a CAGR of 2.7% to $8.8 billion through the end of 2029.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of house sales in the UK spiked, followed by a period of decline. In 2023 and 2024, the housing market slowed notably, and in January 2025, transaction volumes fell to 46,774. House sales volumes are impacted by a number of factors, including mortgage rates, house prices, supply, demand, as well as the overall health of the market. The economic uncertainty and rising unemployment rates has also affected the homebuyer sentiment of Brits. How have UK house prices developed over the past 10 years? House prices in the UK have increased year-on-year since 2015, except for a brief period of decline in the second half of 2023 and the beginning of 2024. That is based on the 12-month percentage change of the UK house price index. At the peak of the housing boom in 2022, prices soared by nearly 14 percent. The decline that followed was mild, at under three percent. The cooling in the market was more pronounced in England and Wales, where the average house price declined in 2023. Conversely, growth in Scotland and Northern Ireland continued. What is the impact of mortgage rates on house sales? For a long period, mortgage rates were at record-low, allowing prospective homebuyers to take out a 10-year loan at a mortgage rate of less than three percent. In the last quarter of 2021, this period came to an end as the Bank of England rose the bank lending rate to contain the spike in inflation. Naturally, the higher borrowing costs affected consumer sentiment, urging many homebuyers to place their plans on hold and leading to a decline in sales.

Correlation between housing price, property management fee, and neighborhood size.

Investment pouring into residential housing construction has benefited apartment and condominium construction activity in Canada in recent years. Immigration into Canada has spurred record population growth, fueling a deepening housing crisis. In major urban centres, demand for housing units has exceeded the supply for years, inciting investment in retrofits and multistory apartment dwellings. Apartment contractors have been vital in filling the gaps in housing, with a low-interest environment and chronically low vacancy rates enticing investors. The imbalance between housing supply and demand kept investors bullish on apartments through COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, supporting growth. Still, the pandemic's disruption to global supply chains didn't spare contractors, with equipment and material costs reaching unprecedented highs. Particularly through 2021 and 2022, materials price and wage inflation pushed up contractors rates, contributing to industry revenue growth. While the year following saw slower building construction price inflation, high demand has kept the price level from falling. In all, industry-wide revenue has been rising at an expected CAGR of 4.2% over the past five years, totaling an estimated $62.3 billion in 2025, when revenue will rise an expected 2.6%. Beginning in 2022, the Bank of Canada steadily raised or maintained interest rates to combat inflation. Higher interest rates made developers more hesitant to invest in projects, driving up costs for builders and impeding profit. In 2024, however, the Bank of Canada began cutting interest rates, continuing the policy into 2025. Contractors will navigate a challenging landscape over the coming years. While interest rates will continue to fall, they will not reach pandemic lows. Labour shortages and elevated costs will also strain contractors' capacity. These challenges will face the broader construction sector, pushing federal and provincial governments to introduce infrastructure and workforce development programs. Over the next five years, apartment and condominium construction revenue is expected to expand at a CAGR of 1.9% to reach $68.4 billion in 2030.

France's Third-Party Real Estate Activities industry thrives on economic drivers like consumer and business sentiment, the number of property transactions and house prices. Interest rates also play a crucial role in shaping market conditions and the number of property transactions, as the majority of residential and commercial transactions are funded by mortgages and loans. Fluctuating economic conditions have created volatility in industry performance in recent years. Industry revenue is expected to climb at a compound annual rate of 1% over the five years through 2025, including a 2.6% hike in 2025 to reach €20.6 billion. A post-pandemic rebound saw property transactions soar, benefitting estate agents in 2021. Low mortgage rates and government schemes like interest-free loans bolstered property sales, reaching a record 1.2 million home transactions in August 2021, according to data from Notaires de France. However, by 2023, soaring inflation and geopolitical tensions cooled the real estate market. The surge in interest rates made mortgages more expensive and significantly reduced property transactions to a low not seen since 2017. Estate agents pivoted strategies to focus on recurring revenues like property management amid declining transaction-driven income. The adverse economic climate also deterred investment and activity in the commercial real estate market, further restricting revenue for estate agents and property management companies. Nevertheless, a resilient residential rental market has supported industry demand. Despite easing inflation and lower interest rates, prevailing uncertainty and political instability in France have subdued consumer and business confidence, weakening activity in the residential and commercial real estate segments. This is constraining industry revenue and profit growth over the two years through 2025. Revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 2.7% over the five years through 2030 to €23.6 billion. Improving economic conditions, as inflation and interest rates drop, are set to spur a hike in house prices and residential property transactions. This, alongside a recovering commercial real estate market amid improving business sentiment and investment in expansionary activity, will swell demand for estate agents and property management companies. Evolving client preferences towards sustainability and flexible workspaces will push companies to innovate their offerings to keep up. More and more companies will invest in technology, including AI, blockchain and virtual reality, to boost efficiency and enhance the services provided to clients, who increasingly seek digital, data-driven solutions.

After declining slightly in the third quarter of 2023, the value of the Halifax standardized house price increased in the fourth quarter of the year. The average house price stood at approximately 287,000 British pounds in December, up from approximately 279,000 British pounds in September 2023. The correction is a result of the combination of the rising interest rates, dramatic house price increase since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, and the low housing inventory.

The manufactured home dealer industry has been navigating a dynamic landscape, influenced by volatile lending conditions and changing consumer preferences. In 2025, the industry’s revenue will stand at $11.4 billion, growing by 3.6% from the previous year. With a focus on affordability, the industry's appeal is growing as traditional housing becomes less accessible due to soaring prices and high mortgage rates. Recent trends highlight dealers' efforts to align with market shifts by investing in quality enhancements and strategic partnerships to bolster occupancy rates. As traditional homeownership becomes increasingly elusive, manufactured homes are emerging as an attractive alternative, catering to a widespread need for cost-effective housing solutions. Over the past five years, the manufactured home industry has faced many challenges. Revenue’s expansion at a CAGR of 5.3% over the past five years signals resilience, driven largely by low interest rates post-pandemic, which initially fueled financing options. However, rising inflation and corresponding interest rate hikes tightened borrowing conditions, impacting sales among core low- to moderate-income buyers. This period also saw significant industry consolidation, with major entities like Skyline Champion Corporation and Cavco Industries expanding their footprint through strategic acquisitions. Despite these hurdles, the industry capitalized on the surging prices of traditional homes, emphasizing affordability and improved product quality, drawing in a broader customer base, including middle- and high-income consumers. Looking ahead, the industry’s growth will moderate to a projected CAGR of 1.3%, reaching a revenue of $12.2 billion by 2030. Dealers are poised to capture an expanded market share as traditional homes remain unaffordable for many, and the aging population seeks budget-friendly, low-maintenance housing options. Technological advancements in production and virtual sales processes promise to cut costs and boost profitability. Meanwhile, customization trends are set to further revolutionize the industry, attracting discerning buyers with personalized offerings that meet diverse needs. As inflation tempers and purchase costs stabilize, the industry's profitability outlook remains strong, offering an enticing proposition for both consumers and investors.

The Building Inspectors industry evaluates a building's structure and component systems, workmanship and compliance with building standards and zoning laws. One of the industry's most significant revenue streams comes from homebuyers and sellers that hire inspectors to ensure the integrity of the house and that all regulations are met before sale. Other major markets include commercial building buyers, government agencies and parties involved in building construction. The industry benefited from a long period of low interest rates, with consumers encouraged to invest in large-item purchases, such as homes. These positive economic trends have enabled revenue to grow at a CAGR of 3.3% to an estimated $6.0 billion over the past five years. Profit, measured as earnings before interest and taxes, is expected to account for a 9.9% share of revenue in 2024. Rising per capita disposable income and low housing stock have bolstered demand for industry services as the homeownership rate continued to increase. The COVID-19 pandemic acted as a booster for the housing market, increasing demand for new and existing residential real estate while also expanding the number of housing starts across the broader marketplace, boosting demand for building inspectors. Nonetheless, these strong trends will slow down due to rising inflationary pressures and interest rates, making borrowing more difficult for consumers and dampening broader demand for real estate assets. These shifts will cause revenue to stagnate in 2024. Over the next five years, revenue is expected to inch upward at a CAGR of 0.5% to an estimated $6.2 billion. Higher interest rates, significant inflationary pressure and macroeconomic uncertainty will dampen residential consumers' propensity. Nonetheless, commercial real estate market improvements will help mitigate the decline in other markets, as corporations looking to reopen office spaces and expand their in-person presence following the COVID-19 pandemic will fuel industry demand. Additional economic trends influencing this development can be attributed to growth in corporate profit and the value of private nonresidential real estate. Nonetheless, a volatile consumer real estate market will dampen building inspection demand and depends on macroeconomic stability.

Home working by time point across the 7 studies (weighted data).