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The Paper Mills industry, which produces a range of communication papers and personal care products, has contended with many obstacles to success. Heightened foreign competition from industry frontrunners and developing economies – which can produce and export at lower costs – plus a persistent decline in downstream demand for paper and paper products have hindered the industry in recent years. Paper Mills industry revenue has plummeted at a CAGR of 5.4% over the past five years and is expected to total $34.3 billion in 2024, when revenue will fall by an estimated 2.6%. Major companies have had to contend with the rise of digital media and electronic alternatives, which have taken demand away from paper and paper products. By the end of 2024, the percentage of business conducted online will have rapidly grown, similar to how it has performed over the past two decades. Increased demand for personal care products has been a slight reprieve for some major companies, as demand for adult incontinence products has increased alongside a growing senior population. High barriers to entry and sluggish demand have discouraged new entrants to the industry, leading to a fall in the total number of industry participants. However, industry profit has remained steady over the past five years despite volatility in the world price of wood pulp, the industry's primary input. Companies have implemented cost-effective production methods and diversified their product lines to maintain stable profit. Declining demand will continue plaguing the industry over the next five years, albeit at a decelerated rate. Exports will continue falling as growing digitization in emerging countries depresses global demand. While growth in the percentage of business conducted online will slow, it will remain a significant obstacle for the industry as more consumers choose online substitutes for media, document storage and more. Companies will respond to perpetual declines in demand by focusing on operations in business segments outside of the industry. Businesses focusing solely on paper will continue losing market share, leading to a decline in market share concentration. Paper Mills industry revenue is expected to contract at a CAGR of 4.6% to $27.1 billion over the five years to 2029.
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The Paper Industry Machinery Market report segments the industry into Machinery Type (Wood Preparation Machinery and Other Pulp Mill Machinery, Converting Machinery, Paper Prodcution Machinery, Finishing Machinery, and more.), End-User Industry (Packaging Industry, Pulp & Papers Industry, Print Media Industry, and more.), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and more.).
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The industry has faced a challenging environment recently, with shifting consumer demands and evolving retail landscapes. While sustainability continues to influence a significant segment of buyers, growth has been shaped by where consumers shop. Private-label brands in grocery outlets have become increasingly prominent, offering affordable paper products that often outperform branded alternatives on price and perceived quality. This trend has proven favorable for smaller manufacturers but compresses profit, as companies must sell at lower prices to compete. Similarly, supplying large fast-food establishments with molded pulp solutions has created a new avenue for growth, but has exposed limitations in production capacity. Large-scale clients require higher outputs, straining supply chains competing with cardboard producers for recycled fiber. Constraints in recycled material availability have forced manufacturers to source more expensive inputs, passing along higher operational costs while serving primarily cost-sensitive food service distributors, further limiting profit. The paper cup segment of the industry highlights broader sustainability and cost challenges. Although often promoted as a renewable alternative, limited access to effective recycling programs undermines the appeal of paper cups to sustainability-oriented consumers. This limitation has prompted companies to explore reusable cup options to attract these markets, thereby endangering the market positioning of traditional paper cups. Efforts to adopt alternative materials to PE coatings demonstrate an opportunity to improve sustainability; however, these innovations come with higher costs, which inhibit widespread adoption. Despite these headwinds, one area of resilience is found in cellulose insulation, which has benefited from increased demand tied to eco-conscious residential construction activity. Nonetheless, the industry has experienced a drop in revenue at a CAGR of 3.8% over the five years through 2025, with earnings estimated to fall to $5.4 billion and an additional 1.0% contraction projected for 2025. Profitability also remains under pressure amid rising input and operational costs. The industry appears poised for modest recovery, with new opportunities emerging across several product categories. Stricter labeling requirements are expected to drive greater use of recycled materials, enabling manufacturers to attain FDA approval and appeal to sustainability-minded consumers. Meeting these standards will introduce the complexity of managing multiple supply streams, but could help stabilize input sourcing and foster more competitive pricing. Also, demand is set to grow as technology companies incorporate molded pulp components in packaging and beverage producers develop molded fiber bottles to comply with new environmental laws. Cellulose insulation will likely maintain momentum, supported by public funding for sustainable construction. Together, these trends support a revenue growth at a CAGR of 1.4% through 2030, with annual sales expected to reach $5.8 billion, signaling a gradual return to growth despite persistent cost pressures.
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The global pulp and paper market, valued at $84.92 billion in 2025, is poised for significant growth. While the provided CAGR is missing, a reasonable estimation, considering industry growth trends and the influence of factors like increasing packaging demand and e-commerce, would place the CAGR in the range of 3-5% for the forecast period (2025-2033). This translates to a substantial market expansion over the next decade. Key drivers include the rising demand for packaging materials, fueled by the booming e-commerce sector and the increasing consumption of packaged goods. Growth in the construction and consumer products sectors also significantly contributes to market expansion. Furthermore, ongoing innovations in pulp and paper production, focusing on sustainability and efficiency, are expected to propel market growth. However, the industry faces challenges such as fluctuating raw material prices, environmental concerns related to deforestation, and increasing competition from alternative packaging materials. Segmentation reveals strong growth potential across various application areas like packaging (dominating the market share), consumer products, and building and construction. The regional landscape exhibits variations, with North America and Europe holding significant shares, while Asia-Pacific is predicted to witness considerable growth driven by rapid industrialization and urbanization. Major players like International Paper, Georgia-Pacific, and UPM are expected to maintain their market presence through strategic investments and technological advancements. The competitive landscape is characterized by both large multinational corporations and smaller regional players. Consolidation through mergers and acquisitions is anticipated to continue shaping the market structure. The future of the pulp and paper industry hinges on adopting sustainable practices, embracing technological innovation, and effectively addressing environmental concerns to ensure continued growth while minimizing its ecological footprint. Meeting the growing global demand for packaging and paper products while simultaneously adhering to stringent environmental regulations will be crucial for the long-term success of this dynamic market. This in-depth report provides a comprehensive analysis of the global pulp and paper market, valued at approximately $250 billion, exploring its current state, future trajectory, and key players. It leverages extensive market research and incorporates data from leading companies such as International Paper, Georgia-Pacific, and Stora Enso, to provide actionable insights for businesses operating within or looking to enter this dynamic sector. This report covers crucial aspects including market size, segmentation, competitive landscape, growth drivers, and emerging trends in the pulp and paper industry. Keywords: Pulp and Paper Market, Paper Industry Trends, Packaging Industry, Pulp Production, Paper Manufacturing, Cardboard Market, Sustainable Packaging, Circular Economy.
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The Report Covers Global Specialty Paper Market Trends & Size and it is segmented by application (packaging and labeling, food service, printing and publication, building and construction), and geography.
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The industry has demonstrated steady growth, with specific growth trends driven by rising demand for pulp and paper products due to increasing population and economic activities. Over the past two decades, the industry experienced varying growth rates, including a 1.2% CAGR growth during the current period. In 2025, industry revenue is expected to grow by 1.6%, reaching $746.0 billion, despite the challenges posed by increased digitization and recent economic uncertainties. China has emerged as a significant player, contributing substantially to global production, while the US and Europe have seen their market shares decline as they transition toward service-oriented economies. The industry structure has evolved through landmark mergers and acquisitions, signaling a trend toward consolidation. The acquisition of DS Smith by International Paper and Smurfit Kappa's acquisition of WestRock represent significant structural shifts designed to optimize processes and expand global footprints. These moves have created mega-companies, such as Smurfit WestRock, and suggest a growing emphasis on sustainable packaging solutions. The focus on packaging and specialty papers has increased amid declining demand for graphic, newsprint and printing paper, driven by digitization trends. Germany has maintained its position as the largest exporter of paper products despite its reliance on imported wood pulp, highlighting potential supply chain vulnerabilities. Looking ahead, the industry's outlook will see a continued shift towards paperboards driven by digital media consumption, sustainability concerns and e-commerce growth. A projected 1.1% CAGR growth is anticipated over the next five years, with an industry revenue projection of $787.5 billion by 2030. Additionally, anticipated increases in input costs, such as wood pulp prices, will influence revenue growth as companies adapt to evolving demands. Sustainability remains a key focus, with efforts directed toward decarbonization and the development of recyclable and fiber-based alternatives to plastic. The industry's ongoing consolidation is expected to enhance production efficiencies and innovation despite potential concerns over profit, competition, and market concentration. To remain competitive, companies must prioritize sustainability and strategic partnerships, while regulatory bodies may increase merger scrutiny to maintain a fair marketplace.
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[250 Pages Report] The base paper market is likely to record a strong CAGR of 1.75% during the forecast period. The base paper market is currently valued at US$ 302.66 Bn in 2022 and is likely to reach US$ 360 Bn by 2032.
Report Attribute | Details |
---|---|
Estimated Base Year Value (2022) | US$ 302.66 Bn |
Anticipated Forecast Value (2032) | US$ 360 Bn |
Projected Growth Rate (2022-2032) | 1.75% CAGR |
Report Scope
Report Attribute | Details |
---|---|
Growth Rate | CAGR of 1.75% from 2022 to 2032 |
Base year for estimation | 2022 |
Historical data | 2015 – 2021 |
Forecast period | 2023 – 2032 |
Quantitative units | Revenue in USD Million and CAGR from 2022 to 2032 |
Report coverage | Revenue forecast, volume forecast, company ranking, competitive landscape, growth factors, and trends, Pricing Analysis |
Segments covered | Raw material, Product form, Grade, Region |
Regional scope | North America, Latin America, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, East Asia, South Asia, Middle East & Africa (MEA) |
Country scope | U.S., Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Peru, Chile Germany, Italy, France, U.K, Spain, Nordic Countries, Benelux, Eastern Europe, CIS, Russia, Japan, Greater China, India, South Korea, ASEAN Countries, GCC Countries, Turkey, Iran, Israel, South Africa |
Key companies profiled | Twin Rivers Paper Company, KRPA Holding CZ, A.S., Ahlstrom-Munksjö, International Paper, Graphic packaging, Stora Enso Oyj, Pudumjee Paper Products |
Customization scope | Free report customization (equivalent to up to 8 analysts working days) with purchase. Addition or alteration to country, regional & segment scope. |
Pricing and purchase options | Avail customized purchase options to meet your exact research needs. |
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The specialty paper market is anticipated to reach USD 18.0 billion in 2025. It is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.1% during the forecast period and reach a value of USD 29.6 billion in 2035.
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Estimated Market Size in 2025 | USD 18.0 Billion |
Projected Market Size in 2035 | USD 29.6 Billion |
CAGR (2025 to 2035) | 5.1% |
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The Europe Paper Market is segmented by Type (Graphic Papers, Case Materials, Sanitary and Household, Wrappings, Carton Board, and Other Types (Specialty Paper)) and Country (Germany, France, Sweden, Italy, Spain, and Rest of Europe). The market sizes and forecasts are provided in terms of value (USD million) for all the above segments.
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USA Pulp Paper Market Analysis The USA pulp paper market is estimated to be valued at USD 51139.4 million in 2025 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 1.00% during the forecast period 2025-2033. The market is driven by factors such as rising demand for packaging paper due to the growth of e-commerce, increasing use of paper in printing and writing applications, and demand for sanitary papers. The market is also witnessing increasing adoption of sustainable packaging solutions, which is expected to further drive growth in the coming years. Key market trends include the growing popularity of e-commerce, increasing demand for sustainable packaging solutions, and rising use of digital printing technology. The market is fragmented, with a number of major players accounting for a significant share of the total revenue. Some of the key companies operating in the market include International Paper (U.S.), Georgia-Pacific Corporation (U.S.), WestRock (U.S.), Packaging Corporation of America (U.S.), and Domtar Inc. (U.S.). The market is expected to experience moderate growth in the coming years, with the growing demand for packaging paper and sustainable packaging solutions being the key growth drivers. Recent developments include: December 2021: International Paper planned to construct a corrugated packaging manufacturing facility in Atglen, Pennsylvania. The company's objective is to expand its industrial packaging presence in the northeastern United States. Construction of the plant is slated to commence in the first quarter of 2022, with full operational status anticipated by the first quarter of 2023., July 2021: Georgia-Pacific Corporation announced plans to expand its production capacity for curbside recyclable paper padded mailers, responding to the growing demand for environmentally friendly shipping envelopes. The expansion will benefit customers in the Northeast and Southeast regions, including major companies like Amazon. The new manufacturing sites in Jonestown, Pennsylvania, and McDonough, Georgia, will complement the company's existing facility in the Phoenix area, which commenced operations in 2020 and is being expanded with the addition of a third production line.. Notable trends are: Increasing demand for eco-friendly packaging materials and rapid expansion of online retail are driving the market growth.
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The Pulp and Paper Marketsize was valued at USD 351.53 USD Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 497.95 USD Billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.1 % during the forecast period. Pulp and paper industry comprises companies that use wood, specifically pulpwood, as raw material and produce pulp, paper, paperboard, and other cellulose-based products. The main applications for pulp are paper and board production. The furnish of pulps used depends on the quality on the finished paper. Important quality parameters are wood furnish, brightness, viscosity, extractives, dirt count and strength. Chemical pulps are used for making nanocellulose. Pulp is a renewable, biodegradable raw material made from trees. As one of the most versatile materials around, uses for pulp range from the everyday to the more innovative, such as car filters, LCD screens, renewable fuel, and stickers. Recent developments include: Acquisitions and mergers to consolidate market share Investments in research and development for innovative products Collaborations between pulp and paper companies and technology providers. Key drivers for this market are: Increasing Demand for Eco-friendly Packaging Material to Drive the Market . Potential restraints include: Raw Materials & Resource Management to Hinder Market Growth. Notable trends are: Increasing demand for packaging and hygiene products.
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The global paper pulp market, valued at $252,910 million in 2025, is projected to experience steady growth, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 2.4% from 2025 to 2033. This growth is driven by several factors. The increasing demand for packaging materials in the e-commerce sector fuels significant consumption of paper pulp. Furthermore, the ongoing expansion of the printing and writing paper industry, although facing digitalization challenges, continues to contribute to market demand. Growth is also supported by the rising awareness of sustainability, with many businesses and consumers opting for eco-friendly packaging options, boosting the demand for sustainably sourced paper pulp. However, fluctuating raw material prices and the environmental concerns related to pulp production pose challenges to the market's consistent expansion. Market segmentation reveals a strong presence of both bleached and unbleached kraft pulp (BSKP and BHKP) alongside other types, predominantly serving the paper industry. Key players in the market, including Northwood, Kamloops, Celgar, and international giants like International Paper and Smurfit Kappa, are strategically navigating these dynamics through innovation in sustainable pulp production and supply chain optimization. Geographic analysis indicates that North America and Asia Pacific are currently leading market regions, yet opportunities exist for expansion within emerging economies in South America and Africa. The market segmentation by type (BSKP, BHKP, BCTMP, and others) and application (paper industry and others) allows for a granular understanding of consumer needs and market trends. The dominance of the paper industry as the primary application highlights the interconnectedness of this market with broader packaging and printing sectors. Growth strategies deployed by leading players often involve vertical integration to secure raw materials and enhance supply chain efficiency. Government regulations promoting sustainable forestry practices and reducing carbon emissions are also significantly impacting the industry. Overall, the paper pulp market's future trajectory is dependent on a delicate balance between demand from key sectors, the availability and cost of raw materials, and the industry's ability to address environmental concerns through sustainable production methods. The projected CAGR reflects this balanced outlook, suggesting continuous, albeit moderate, expansion over the forecast period.
Thermal Paper Market Size 2024-2028
The thermal paper market size is forecast to increase by USD 909.2 million at a CAGR of 3.4% between 2023 and 2028.
The market is experiencing significant growth due to several key drivers. The increasing trend toward cashless transactions is one major factor, as more businesses adopt point-of-sale (POS) systems and electronic receipts. Additionally, favorable government initiatives, such as incentives for eco-friendly practices, are encouraging the adoption of renewable thermal paper processes and the use of recycled thermal paper. Additionally, the use of thermal paper is expanding in the warehousing and logistics sectors for labeling and tracking purposes. The demand for high-quality thermal paper with excellent color retention and durable surfaces is also driving market growth. As consumers and businesses continue to prioritize sustainability, there is a growing interest in eco-friendly paper solutions.
What will be the Size of the Thermal Paper Market During the Forecast Period?
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The market is a significant segment In the larger printing industry, primarily used for various applications in retail, logistics, healthcare, education, and food industries. This market is driven by the increasing demand for efficient labeling and ticketing solutions in various sectors. They play a crucial role in various industries, including retail stores, warehouses, and POS terminals. In retail, tit is extensively used for producing cash register receipts, price tags, and labels. In logistics, it is used for creating shipping labels and tracking documents. In healthcare, it is used for producing patient records and labels.
In education, it is used for creating attendance records and labels for student belongings. In the food industry, particularly in packaged food, it is used for printing expiration dates and nutritional information. The market is witnessing growth due to several factors. The need for efficient labeling and ticketing solutions is driving the demand. Retail chains, grocery chains, and inventory systems rely heavily on thermal paper for their labeling processes. The use of thermal paper in POS systems is also increasing due to its direct heat solutions, which provide quick and accurate results. Moreover, the trend towards eco-friendly and renewable processes is influencing the market.
How is this Thermal Paper Industry segmented and which is the largest segment?
The industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments.
Application
PoS
Tags and labels
Lottery and gaming
Others
Geography
North America
US
Europe
Germany
UK
France
APAC
China
South America
Middle East and Africa
By Application Insights
The PoS segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
In the business world, Point of Sale (PoS) receipts have become an essential component of transactions, whether it's a purchase of goods or a service. These receipts are generated at various retail outlets, including grocery stores, supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, restaurants, clubs, gas pumps, and parking lots. PoS receipts come in various forms, such as grocery receipts, restaurant receipts, and parking receipts. Thermal paper is the primary material used to produce these receipts due to its ability to produce high-quality prints. companies provide thermal paper with advanced features, including imaging on both sides, graphics capabilities, and barcode and logo imaging.
The market caters to various industries, including pharmaceuticals, commercial printing, and educational materials. Direct thermal technology is widely used in the production of thermal paper, making it an ideal choice for PoS receipts due to its ability to produce high-quality images without the need for additional heat or pressure. Moreover, thermal paper is suitable for flexographic and ultraviolet (UV) lithography printing, further expanding its applications. Additionally, it is used in other industries, such as shipping labels, kiosk cards, tourist tags, and RFID identification. Noise reduction is a crucial factor In thermal paper production, ensuring clear and legible prints.
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The PoS segment was valued at USD 2.35 billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.
Regional Analysis
Europe is estimated to contribute 32% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.
Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.
For more insig
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India Paper Market, By End Use, By Raw Material, By Region, Competition, Forecast & Opportunities, 2018-2028F
Pages | 70 |
Market Size | |
Forecast Market Size | |
CAGR | |
Fastest Growing Segment | |
Largest Market | |
Key Players |
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BASE YEAR | 2024 |
HISTORICAL DATA | 2019 - 2024 |
REPORT COVERAGE | Revenue Forecast, Competitive Landscape, Growth Factors, and Trends |
MARKET SIZE 2023 | 332.03(USD Billion) |
MARKET SIZE 2024 | 341.99(USD Billion) |
MARKET SIZE 2032 | 433.0(USD Billion) |
SEGMENTS COVERED | Product Type ,End-Use Industry ,Basis Weight ,Pulp Source ,Manufacturing Process ,Regional |
COUNTRIES COVERED | North America, Europe, APAC, South America, MEA |
KEY MARKET DYNAMICS | Rising ecommerce increasing demand for packaging growing urbanization sustainable packaging trend technological advancements |
MARKET FORECAST UNITS | USD Billion |
KEY COMPANIES PROFILED | Nine Dragons Paper ,WestRock ,Lee & Man Paper ,Mondi ,Nippon Paper Group ,Hengan International ,Metsä Board ,Zhongshan Paper ,UPMKymmene ,Smurfit Kappa Group ,Stora Enso ,APP Sinar Mas ,International Paper ,Asia Pulp & Paper |
MARKET FORECAST PERIOD | 2025 - 2032 |
KEY MARKET OPPORTUNITIES | 1 Growing demand for sustainable packaging solutions 2 Ecommerce boom driving paperboard and corrugated packaging 3 Rise of singleuse plastics ban boosting paperbased alternatives 4 Increasing disposable income in emerging markets 5 Technological advancements in paper production |
COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE (CAGR) | 3.0% (2025 - 2032) |
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The global sales of woodfree paper are estimated to be worth USD 2.4 billion in 2024 and are anticipated to reach a value of USD 3.3 billion by 2034. Sales are projected to rise at a CAGR of 3.1% over the forecast period between 2024 and 2034. The revenue generated by woodfree paper in 2023 was USD 2.3 billion. The industry is anticipated to exhibit a Y-o-Y growth of 2.7% in 2024.
Attributes | Key Insights |
---|---|
Historical Size, 2023 | USD 2.3 billion |
Estimated Size, 2024 | USD 2.4 billion |
Projected Size, 2034 | USD 3.3 billion |
Value-based CAGR (2024 to 2034) | 3.1% |
Semi Annual Market Update
Particular | Value CAGR |
---|---|
H1 | 3.4% (2023 to 2033) |
H2 | 2.8% (2023 to 2033) |
H1 | 2.9% (2024 to 2034) |
H2 | 3.2% (2024 to 2034) |
Country-wise Insights
Countries | Value CAGR (2024 to 2034) |
---|---|
USA | 2.1% |
Germany | 1.9% |
UK | 3.4% |
Canada | 3.0% |
India | 6.1% |
China | 5.2% |
Japan | 2.6% |
Thailand | 4.1% |
Category-wise Insights
Pulp Type | Softwood Pulp |
---|---|
Value Share (2034) | 66.4% |
Coating Type | Coated |
---|---|
Value Share (2034) | 71.2% |
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Sales of machine-glazed paper in Asia Pacific are estimated to be valued at around US$ 6,050.0 million in 2024. The industry is expected to reach US$ 10,359.7 million by 2034. Revenue of the machine-glazed paper industry in Asia Pacific is projected to expand at a CAGR of 5.8% in the forecast period 2024 to 2034.
Attributes | Key Insights |
---|---|
Base Value (2023) | US$ 5,707.1 million |
Asia Pacific Machine Glazed Paper Industry Size (2024) | US$ 6,050.0 million |
Asia Pacific Machine Glazed Paper Value (2034) | US$ 10,359.7 million |
Value-based CAGR (2024 to 2034) | 5.8% |
Semi-annual Industry Update
Particular | Value CAGR |
---|---|
H1 | 5.7% (2023 to 2033) |
H2 | 3.9% (2023 to 2033) |
H1 | 4.8% (2024 to 2034) |
H2 | 6.0% (2024 to 2034) |
Category-wise Insights
Segment | Value CAGR (2024 to 2034) |
---|---|
Unbleached (Paper Grade) | 5.6% |
Sacks (Application) | 5.0% |
Country-wise Insights
Countries | Value CAGR (2024 to 2034) |
---|---|
China | 4.9% |
Japan | 5.6% |
India | 7.5% |
Indonesia | 7.2% |
Vietnam | 6.6% |
Comprehensive dataset of 1 Paper industries in Alabama, United States as of June, 2025. Includes verified contact information (email, phone), geocoded addresses, customer ratings, reviews, business categories, and operational details. Perfect for market research, lead generation, competitive analysis, and business intelligence. Download a complimentary sample to evaluate data quality and completeness.
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Specialty Paper Market is segmented By Raw Material (Pulp, Binder, Fillers, and Additives), and Product Type (Paper, Release Liner, Label Paper, Packaging Paper, and Printing Paper)
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The paper, cardboard and paperboard manufacturing industry has experienced an ambivalent development over the past five years. While demand for packaging materials has increased over time due to growing online trade, demand in other areas has declined. Especially in the area of graphic papers, which are used in newspaper and magazine printing, manufacturers have recently lost numerous customers due to the declining circulation figures of newspaper and magazine publishers. Sales have fallen by an average of 3.1% per year since 2019.In 2024, the industry's turnover is expected to be 17.3 billion euros, which corresponds to a decline of 3.9% compared to 2023. The production of paper is extremely energy-intensive, which is why companies in the industry were hit hard by the increases in electricity and gas prices triggered by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The passing on of these cost increases had a very negative impact on paper production in 2022 and 2023, especially as many customers in the industry had previously built up high inventories. For the current year, IBISWorld expects the sales situation in the industry to gradually stabilise. On the one hand, the demand situation is likely to improve minimally overall compared to the previous year, while on the other hand, the players in the graphic paper sector are likely to take further capacity from the market in 2024. By 2029, turnover in the sector is expected to increase by an average of 2.8% per year to 19.8 billion euros. Mail order and online retail in particular are likely to provide positive impetus in the coming years. At the same time, the number of companies in the sector is likely to decrease. Smaller and technically outdated production facilities are likely to be closed by their operators and production is likely to be concentrated in larger and more modern facilities.
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The Paper Mills industry, which produces a range of communication papers and personal care products, has contended with many obstacles to success. Heightened foreign competition from industry frontrunners and developing economies – which can produce and export at lower costs – plus a persistent decline in downstream demand for paper and paper products have hindered the industry in recent years. Paper Mills industry revenue has plummeted at a CAGR of 5.4% over the past five years and is expected to total $34.3 billion in 2024, when revenue will fall by an estimated 2.6%. Major companies have had to contend with the rise of digital media and electronic alternatives, which have taken demand away from paper and paper products. By the end of 2024, the percentage of business conducted online will have rapidly grown, similar to how it has performed over the past two decades. Increased demand for personal care products has been a slight reprieve for some major companies, as demand for adult incontinence products has increased alongside a growing senior population. High barriers to entry and sluggish demand have discouraged new entrants to the industry, leading to a fall in the total number of industry participants. However, industry profit has remained steady over the past five years despite volatility in the world price of wood pulp, the industry's primary input. Companies have implemented cost-effective production methods and diversified their product lines to maintain stable profit. Declining demand will continue plaguing the industry over the next five years, albeit at a decelerated rate. Exports will continue falling as growing digitization in emerging countries depresses global demand. While growth in the percentage of business conducted online will slow, it will remain a significant obstacle for the industry as more consumers choose online substitutes for media, document storage and more. Companies will respond to perpetual declines in demand by focusing on operations in business segments outside of the industry. Businesses focusing solely on paper will continue losing market share, leading to a decline in market share concentration. Paper Mills industry revenue is expected to contract at a CAGR of 4.6% to $27.1 billion over the five years to 2029.