The U.S. housing market continues to evolve, with the median home price forecast to reach ******* U.S. dollars by the second quarter of 2026. This projection comes after a period of significant growth and recent fluctuations, reflecting the complex interplay of economic factors affecting the real estate sector. The rising costs have not only impacted home prices, but also down payments, with the median down payment more than doubling since 2012. Regional variations in housing costs Home prices and down payments vary dramatically across the United States. While the national median down payment stood at approximately ****** U.S. dollars in early 2024, homebuyers in states like California, Massachusetts, and Hawaii faced down payments exceeding ****** U.S. dollars. This disparity highlights the challenges of homeownership in high-cost markets and underscores the importance of location in determining housing affordability. Market dynamics and future outlook The housing market has shown signs of cooling after years of rapid growth, with more modest price increases of *** percent in 2022 and *** percent in 2023. This slowdown can be attributed in part to rising mortgage rates, which have tempered demand. Despite these challenges, most states continued to see year-over-year price growth in the fourth quarter of 2023, with Rhode Island and Vermont leading the pack at over ** percent appreciation. As the market adjusts to new economic realities, potential homebuyers and investors alike will be watching closely for signs of stabilization or renewed growth in the coming years.
The number of U.S. home sales in the United States declined in 2024, after soaring in 2021. A total of four million transactions of existing homes, including single-family, condo, and co-ops, were completed in 2024, down from 6.12 million in 2021. According to the forecast, the housing market is forecast to head for recovery in 2025, despite transaction volumes expected to remain below the long-term average. Why have home sales declined? The housing boom during the coronavirus pandemic has demonstrated that being a homeowner is still an integral part of the American dream. Nevertheless, sentiment declined in the second half of 2022 and Americans across all generations agreed that the time was not right to buy a home. A combination of factors has led to house prices rocketing and making homeownership unaffordable for the average buyer. A survey among owners and renters found that the high home prices and unfavorable economic conditions were the two main barriers to making a home purchase. People who would like to purchase their own home need to save up a deposit, have a good credit score, and a steady and sufficient income to be approved for a mortgage. In 2022, mortgage rates experienced the most aggressive increase in history, making the total cost of homeownership substantially higher. Are U.S. home prices expected to fall? The median sales price of existing homes stood at 413,000 U.S. dollars in 2024 and was forecast to increase slightly until 2026. The development of the S&P/Case Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index shows that home prices experienced seven consecutive months of decline between June 2022 and January 2023, but this trend reversed in the following months. Despite mild fluctuations throughout the year, home prices in many metros are forecast to continue to grow, albeit at a much slower rate.
The number of home sales in the United States peaked in 2021 at almost ************* after steadily rising since 2018. Nevertheless, the market contracted in the following year, with transaction volumes falling to ***********. Home sales remained muted in 2024, with a mild increase expected in 2025 and 2026. A major factor driving this trend is the unprecedented increase in mortgage interest rates due to high inflation. How have U.S. home prices developed over time? The average sales price of new homes has also been rising since 2011. Buyer confidence seems to have recovered after the property crash, which has increased demand for homes and also the prices sellers are demanding for homes. At the same time, the affordability of U.S. homes has decreased. Both the number of existing and newly built homes sold has declined since the housing market boom during the coronavirus pandemic. Challenges in housing supply The number of housing units in the U.S. rose steadily between 1975 and 2005 but has remained fairly stable since then. Construction increased notably in the 1990s and early 2000s, with the number of construction starts steadily rising, before plummeting amid the infamous housing market crash. Housing starts slowly started to pick up in 2011, mirroring the economic recovery. In 2022, the supply of newly built homes plummeted again, as supply chain challenges following the COVID-19 pandemic and tariffs on essential construction materials such as steel and lumber led to prices soaring.
The U.S. mortgage market has declined notably since 2020 and 2021, mostly due to the effect of higher borrowing costs on refinance mortgages. The value of refinancing mortgage originations, amounted to 190 billion U.S. dollars in the fourth quarter of 2024, down from a peak of 851 billion U.S. dollars in the fourth quarter of 2020. The value of mortgage loans for the purchase of a property recorded milder fluctuations, with a value of 304 billion U.S. dollars in the fourth quarter of 2024. According to the forecast, mortgage lending is expected to slightly increase until the end of 2026. The cost of mortgage borrowing in the U.S. Mortgage interest rates in the U.S. rose dramatically in 2022, peaking in the final quarter of 2024. In 2020, a homebuyer could lock in a 30-year fixed interest rate of under three percent, whereas in 2024, the average rate for the same mortgage type exceeded 6.6 percent. This has led to a decline in homebuyer sentiment, and an increasing share of the population pessimistic about buying a home in the current market. The effect of a slower housing market on property prices and rents According to the S&P/Case Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, housing prices experienced a slight correction in early 2023, as property transactions declined. Nevertheless, the index continued to grow in the following months. On the other hand, residential rents have increased steadily since 2000.
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The Commercial Real Estate (CRE) industry is exhibiting significant variations across markets, with persistently high office vacancy rates juxtaposed against thriving prime office spaces. Hard hit by the widespread adoption of remote and hybrid work models, the overall office vacancy rate rose to 20.4% in Q4 2024 from the pre-pandemic rate of 16.8%. However, leasing volumes for prime office spaces are set to climb, providing opportunities for seasoned investors. On the other hand, the multifamily sector is gaining from a prominent move towards renting, primarily driven by housing affordability concerns and changing lifestyle preferences. This has increased demand for multifamily properties and opportunities to convert underutilized properties, such as offices, into residential rentals. The industrial real estate segment is also evolving, with the boom in e-commerce necessitating the development of strategically located warehouses for quick fulfillment and last-mile delivery. Industry revenue has gained at a CAGR of 0.8% to reach $1.4 trillion through the end of 2025, including a 0.4% climb in 2025 alone. The industry is grappling with multiple challenges, including high interest rates, wide buyer-seller expectation gaps and significant disparities in demand across different geographies and asset types. The Federal Reserve's persistent high-interest-rate environment creates refinancing hurdles for properties purchased during the low-rate period of 2020-2021. Because of remote working trends, office delinquency rates are predicted to climb from 11.0% in late 2024 to 14.0% by 2026, leading to a job market increasingly concentrated in certain urban centers. Through the end of 2030, the CRE industry is expected to stabilize as the construction pipeline shrinks, reducing new supply and, in turn, rebalancing supply and demand dynamics. With this adjustment, occupancy rates are likely to improve, and rents may observe gradual growth. The data center segment is set to witness accelerating demand propelled by the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence, cloud computing and the Internet of Things. Likewise, mixed-use properties are poised to gain popularity, driven by the growing appeal of flexible spaces that accommodate diverse businesses and residents. This new demand, coupled with the retiring baby boomer generation's preference for leisure-centric locales, is expected to push the transformation of traditional shopping plazas towards destination centers, offering continued opportunities for savvy CRE investors. Industry revenue will expand at a CAGR of 1.9% to reach $1.6 trillion in 2030.
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New Home Sales in the United States increased to 627 Thousand units in June from 623 Thousand units in May of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States New Home Sales - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
Retail properties had the highest capitalization rates in the United States in 2023, followed by offices. The cap rate for office real estate was **** percent in the fourth quarter of the year and was forecast to rise further to **** percent in 2024. Cap rates measure the expected rate of return on investment, and show the net operating income of a property as a percentage share of the current asset value. While a higher cap rate indicates a higher rate of return, it also suggests a higher risk. Why have cap rates increased? The increase in cap rates is a consequence of a repricing in the commercial real estate sector. According to the National NCREIF Property Return Index, prices for commercial real estate declined across all property types in 2023. Rental growth was slow during the same period, resulting in a negative annual return. The increase in cap rates reflects the increased risk in the investment environment. Pricing uncertainty in the commercial real estate sector Between 2014 and 2021, commercial property prices in the U.S. enjoyed steady growth. Access to credit with low interest rates facilitated economic growth and real estate investment. As inflation surged in the following two years, lending policy tightened. That had a significant effect on the sector. First, it worsened sentiment among occupiers. Second, it led to a decline in demand for commercial spaces and commercial real estate investment volumes. Uncertainty about the future development of interest rates and occupier demand further contributed to the repricing of real estate assets.
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Housing Starts in the United States increased to 1321 Thousand units in June from 1263 Thousand units in May of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Housing Starts - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
In 2023, the U.S. Consumer Price Index was 309.42, and is projected to increase to 352.27 by 2029. The base period was 1982-84. The monthly CPI for all urban consumers in the U.S. can be accessed here. After a time of high inflation, the U.S. inflation rateis projected fall to two percent by 2027. United States Consumer Price Index ForecastIt is projected that the CPI will continue to rise year over year, reaching 325.6 in 2027. The Consumer Price Index of all urban consumers in previous years was lower, and has risen every year since 1992, except in 2009, when the CPI went from 215.30 in 2008 to 214.54 in 2009. The monthly unadjusted Consumer Price Index was 296.17 for the month of August in 2022. The U.S. CPI measures changes in the price of consumer goods and services purchased by households and is thought to reflect inflation in the U.S. as well as the health of the economy. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics calculates the CPI and defines it as, "a measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services." The BLS records the price of thousands of goods and services month by month. They consider goods and services within eight main categories: food and beverage, housing, apparel, transportation, medical care, recreation, education, and other goods and services. They aggregate the data collected in order to compare how much it would cost a consumer to buy the same market basket of goods and services within one month or one year compared with the previous month or year. Given that the CPI is used to calculate U.S. inflation, the CPI influences the annual adjustments of many financial institutions in the United States, both private and public. Wages, social security payments, and pensions are all affected by the CPI.
Vacation Rental Market Size 2025-2029
The vacation rental market size is forecast to increase by USD 22 billion, at a CAGR of 4.1% between 2024 and 2029. The market is experiencing significant growth, fueled by the expanding tourism industry and the increasing preference for short-term stays.
Major Market Trends & Insights
Europe dominated the market and accounted for a 32% share in 2023.
The market is expected to grow significantly in North America region as well over the forecast period.
Based on the Management, the managed by owners segment led the market and was valued at USD 61.00 billion of the global revenue in 2023.
Based on the Method, the offline segment accounted for the largest market revenue share in 2023.
Market Size & Forecast
Market Opportunities: USD 98.00 Billion
Future Opportunities: USD 22 Billion
CAGR (2024-2029): 4.1%
Europe: Largest market in 2023
Marketing automation tools, rental income tracking, guest experience metrics, calendar synchronization, and host communication platforms facilitate effective marketing and guest engagement. Legal compliance standards, cleaning service scheduling, digital marketing strategies, online reputation management, booking platform integration, customer relationship management, multi-property management, and revenue management software are indispensable for managing a large and diverse rental portfolio. Prices for vacation rentals are expected to grow by 5% annually, driven by the increasing popularity of short-term rentals and the adoption of advanced technologies. The market is witnessing a shift towards automation and integration, with automated check-in/out, keyless entry systems, and data analytics dashboards becoming standard offerings.
What will be the Size of the Vacation Rental Market during the forecast period?
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The market continues to evolve, with innovative technologies and strategies shaping the industry landscape. Dynamic pricing algorithms are increasingly being adopted to optimize revenue based on real-time market demand and supply dynamics. For instance, a leading player in the market reported a 15% increase in average daily rate through dynamic pricing. Maintenance request systems, tax compliance software, and smart home integration are essential tools for property managers, ensuring efficient operations and regulatory compliance. Moreover, rental agreement templates, payment gateway security, and security camera monitoring enhance the guest experience and property protection. Insurance policy coverage, occupancy rate optimization, and channel management strategies are crucial components of a successful rental business. The professionally managed segment is the second largest segment of the management and was valued at USD 33.50 billion in 2023.
In conclusion, the market is characterized by continuous innovation and adaptation to meet the evolving needs of property managers and guests. By leveraging technologies such as dynamic pricing algorithms, maintenance request systems, tax compliance software, smart home integration, and more, rental businesses can optimize operations, enhance guest experiences, and grow their revenue.
The convenience of instant booking features has made vacation rentals an attractive alternative to traditional hotels, particularly for travelers seeking more personalized and affordable accommodations. However, this market is not without challenges. The rise of fraudulent vacation rental properties poses a significant risk to both renters and property owners. Malicious actors create fake listings or misrepresent existing properties, leading to dissatisfied customers and potential financial losses.
Companies operating in this market must prioritize security measures to mitigate these risks and maintain customer trust. By addressing these challenges and capitalizing on the growing demand for vacation rentals, businesses can effectively position themselves to thrive in this dynamic and evolving market.
How is this Vacation Rental Industry segmented?
The vacation rental industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Management
Managed by owners
Professionally managed
Method
Offline
Online
Type
Home
Apartments
Resort/Condominium
Others
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Europe
France
Italy
UK
APAC
China
India
Japan
South America
Brazil
Rest of World (ROW)
By Management Insights
The managed by owners segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast
The average house price in the Canadian province of Prince Edward Island stood at ******* Canadian dollars in 2024 and was expected to increase in the next two years. By 2026, the average house price is forecast to reach ******* Canadian dollars. Compared to other provinces in Canada, Prince Edward Island stood below the national average in terms of house prices. Nevertheless, housing was still significantly more expensive than in Newfoundland and New Brunswick. House prices in Canada Prince Edward Island is one of the most affordable Canadian provinces for buying a house, with prices almost half below the national median in 2024. The national figure is somewhat skewed however by the extremely high cost of housing in British Colombia, and, to a lesser extent, Ontario. A better measure of affordability is the provincial house-price-to-income ratio, which shows Prince Edward Island to be the second most affordable province. Global comparison Canada is one of the most expensive countries in the OECD in terms of house-price-to-income ratio. In 2023, Canada scored higher than the United States, the UK, and Korea. That means that the cost of housing has increased at a much higher rate than the average income in the country.
Home Services Market Size 2025-2029
The home services market size is forecast to increase by USD 1029.6 billion, at a CAGR of 10.5% between 2024 and 2029.
The market is experiencing significant growth and digital transformation, driven by the increasing urbanization trend and the introduction of innovative services. Urbanization is leading to a surge in demand for home services as more people move into smart cities and seek convenience and efficiency in managing their homes. This trend is particularly evident in developed markets, where urban populations continue to grow, and in emerging economies, where urbanization is accelerating. However, the market is not without challenges. Regulatory and compliance issues pose significant obstacles for home services providers. Compliance with various regulations, such as labor laws, safety standards, and environmental regulations, can be complex and time-consuming.
Failure to comply can result in legal and reputational risks, making it essential for companies to stay informed and adapt to changing regulations. Additionally, the fragmented nature of the market, with numerous small and local players, creates competition and makes it challenging for companies to differentiate themselves and scale their operations effectively. To succeed in this dynamic market, companies must focus on innovation, regulatory compliance, and building strong customer relationships. By addressing these challenges and capitalizing on the opportunities presented by urbanization and the introduction of new services, home services providers can position themselves for long-term growth and success.
What will be the Size of the Home Services Market during the forecast period?
Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2019-2023 and forecasts 2025-2029 - in the full report.
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The market continues to evolve, with dynamic market dynamics shaping various sectors. Online reputation management assumes increasing importance as customers increasingly rely on online reviews to make informed decisions. Green building practices, such as energy efficiency and renewable energy, gain traction as homeowners seek sustainable solutions. Safety regulations and building codes influence material sourcing and installation processes for entities offering services like HVAC systems, electrical wiring, and foundation repair. Snow removal companies adapt to labor costs and customer service expectations, while home inspection services ensure structural engineering and safety standards are met. General contractors balance energy efficiency, project management, and employee training to meet evolving customer demands.
Waste management and inventory management solutions become essential for businesses seeking to minimize costs and streamline operations. Home staging and interior design services cater to the growing trend of universal design, while pest control companies integrate green practices to meet eco-conscious consumers' needs. Project timelines, customer satisfaction, and profit margins remain key performance indicators for businesses in this sector. Home automation and smart home technology, along with lawn care and tree services, add value to homeowners' experiences. Appliance repair and plumbing fixtures require ongoing equipment maintenance, while safety standards and employee management remain critical for maintaining a strong online reputation.
How is this Home Services Industry segmented?
The home services industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.
Type
Home care and design
Repair and maintenance
HWB
Others
Deployment
Offline
Online
Service Provider Type
Independent Contractors
Small Businesses
Franchises
Large Enterprises
Business Model
Commission-Based Platforms
Subscription-Based Platforms
Direct Service Provision
Geography
North America
US
Canada
Mexico
Europe
France
Germany
UK
Middle East and Africa
UAE
APAC
Australia
China
India
Japan
South Korea
South America
Brazil
Rest of World (ROW)
By Type Insights
The home care and design segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
The market in the US spans various sectors, including HVAC systems, foundation repair, electrical wiring, plumbing, and appliance repair. Pricing strategies differ among these services, with some relying on hourly rates, while others offer fixed prices. Safety regulations and building codes are stringently enforced to ensure the safety and quality of work. Material sourcing is a critical factor, with some companies prioritizing green bu
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The U.S. housing market continues to evolve, with the median home price forecast to reach ******* U.S. dollars by the second quarter of 2026. This projection comes after a period of significant growth and recent fluctuations, reflecting the complex interplay of economic factors affecting the real estate sector. The rising costs have not only impacted home prices, but also down payments, with the median down payment more than doubling since 2012. Regional variations in housing costs Home prices and down payments vary dramatically across the United States. While the national median down payment stood at approximately ****** U.S. dollars in early 2024, homebuyers in states like California, Massachusetts, and Hawaii faced down payments exceeding ****** U.S. dollars. This disparity highlights the challenges of homeownership in high-cost markets and underscores the importance of location in determining housing affordability. Market dynamics and future outlook The housing market has shown signs of cooling after years of rapid growth, with more modest price increases of *** percent in 2022 and *** percent in 2023. This slowdown can be attributed in part to rising mortgage rates, which have tempered demand. Despite these challenges, most states continued to see year-over-year price growth in the fourth quarter of 2023, with Rhode Island and Vermont leading the pack at over ** percent appreciation. As the market adjusts to new economic realities, potential homebuyers and investors alike will be watching closely for signs of stabilization or renewed growth in the coming years.