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Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to Jul 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.
In a June 2022 survey, more than half of Americans believed that the best indicator of whether or not the country is experiencing a recession was the prices of goods and services they buy. This response was given by ** percent of the respondents. A further ** percent felt that the unemployment rate and job reports are the best indicator.
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Graph and download economic data for Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator (JHDUSRGDPBR) from Q4 1967 to Q1 2025 about recession indicators, GDP, and USA.
By April 2026, it is projected that there is a probability of ***** percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.
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Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (USREC) from Dec 1854 to Jul 2025 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and USA.
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Graph and download economic data for GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index (JHGDPBRINDX) from Q4 1967 to Q1 2025 about recession indicators, percent, GDP, and indexes.
The Long Depression was, by a large margin, the longest-lasting recession in U.S. history. It began in the U.S. with the Panic of 1873, and lasted for over five years. This depression was the largest in a series of recessions at the turn of the 20th century, which proved to be a period of overall stagnation as the U.S. financial markets failed to keep pace with industrialization and changes in monetary policy. Great Depression The Great Depression, however, is widely considered to have been the most severe recession in U.S. history. Following the Wall Street Crash in 1929, the country's economy collapsed, wages fell and a quarter of the workforce was unemployed. It would take almost four years for recovery to begin. Additionally, U.S. expansion and integration in international markets allowed the depression to become a global event, which became a major catalyst in the build up to the Second World War. Decreasing severity When comparing recessions before and after the Great Depression, they have generally become shorter and less frequent over time. Only three recessions in the latter period have lasted more than one year. Additionally, while there were 12 recessions between 1880 and 1920, there were only six recessions between 1980 and 2020. The most severe recession in recent years was the financial crisis of 2007 (known as the Great Recession), where irresponsible lending policies and lack of government regulation allowed for a property bubble to develop and become detached from the economy over time, this eventually became untenable and the bubble burst. Although the causes of both the Great Depression and Great Recession were similar in many aspects, economists have been able to use historical evidence to try and predict, prevent, or limit the impact of future recessions.
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We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.
In a November 2022 survey, over ************** of Republicans believed that the United States is currently experiencing an economic recession, as opposed to only ** percent of Democrats. In the same survey, approximately half of the respondents said that the best indicator of a recession was the prices of goods and services.
This statistic shows the influence of the most recent economic recession (2008-2009) on consumer shopping behavior in Canada as of August 2013. During the survey, 44 percent of the respondents said that they shop around more to make sure they are paying the best price.
The experience of first Japan and now Europe and the USA suggests that Hansen's concept of secular stagnation is highly relevant. Recovery has been anemic and follows a generation of financially unsustainable and often lackluster growth. Investment demand has declined while the supply of saving has increased, leaving the economy vulnerable to liquidity traps. Although some US indicators have improved, forward real rates have declined sharply, European prospects remain muddled, and the zero-bound will likely constrain again during the next recession. Infrastructure and private investment are the best ways to both minimize the risk of secular stagnation and raise demand.
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Economic forecasters pay especially close attention to labor market indicators during periods of economic uncertainty. Labor market data are thought to provide early evidence about changes in the course of the economy. This article examines whether monthly changes in labor market indicators are useful for predicting real GDP. It then examines whether weekly changes in initial and continuing unemployment insurance claims are useful for helping to predict changes in important labor market indicators. Incoming monthly data on nonfarm payroll jobs and the index of aggregate weekly hours help predict changes in real GDP growth, but data on the civilian unemployment rate do not. The authors also find that unemployment insurance claims help to predict changes in monthly labor variables. As others have found, these predictions work best in periods of recession. However, this article shows that there was also some predictive ability during the 1990s expansion.
The survey charted Finnish opinions on and knowledge of the country's development cooperation, its importance, content, objectives, and allocation. Some questions focused on the UN Millennium Development Goals. The respondents were asked what came to mind upon hearing the word development cooperation, how important they regarded development cooperation, and to what extent they agreed with a number of statements relating to development cooperation (e.g. "Rich countries have an obligation to help developing countries"). Views on the effectiveness of development cooperation were charted as well as its greatest challenge. Familiarity with the UN Millennium Development Goals and views on the most important goals were surveyed. Factual questions relating to the Millennium Development Goals surveyed the respondents' perceptions on, for instance, whether the number of people living in absolute poverty had increased or decreased since 1990, how many children in all developing countries were able to start school, and the percentage of people with access to clean water. Opinions on the most important goals, activities (e.g. education, health care, industry), and key geographical areas for Finnish development cooperation were charted. Factual knowledge was further charted by asking how much the respondents thought Finland was going to spend on development cooperation in 2014 (as percentage of the GNI and in euros), how many euros they thought Finnish farms had received in the form of agricultural subsidies in 2013, and how much Finland was going to spend on defence in 2014. The respondents were asked whether Finland should increase the amount of funding allocated to development cooperation in light of the current economic situation. Those who thought funding should be increased were asked how the increase should be financed (e.g. by cutting other state expenditure or by increasing tax revenue). Some questions pertained to whether there was enough information available on development cooperation, development policy and developing countries, from which information sources the respondents had received information on these topics and from which of them they would like to receive more, whether more information should be available on certain topics, and how reliable public authorities, voluntary/civic organisations and the media were as sources of such information. Views were surveyed on what the four most important forms of development cooperation are (e.g. bilateral, multilateral, cooperation through the EU) as well as how the respondents as individuals could best help developing countries. Finally, opinions on the importance of humanitarian aid were investigated. Background variables included, among others, the respondent's gender, age, economic activity and occupational status, marital status, economic activity and occupational status of the household head, household composition, ages of children living at home, education, gross annual income of the household, municipality size and type, major region (NUTS2) and region (NUTS3) of residence, type of accommodation, and Internet use.
The UK economy shrank by 0.1 percent in May 2025 after shrinking by 0.3 percent in April. Since a huge decline in GDP in April 2020, the UK economy has gradually recovered and is now around 4.4 percent larger than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic. After the initial recovery from the pandemic, however, the UK economy has effectively flatlined, fluctuating between low growth and small contractions since January 2022. Labour banking on growth to turn around fortunes in 2025 In February 2025, just over half a year after winning the last general election, the approval rating for the new Labour government fell to a low of -48 percent. Furthermore, the Prime Minister, Keir Starmer was not only less popular than the new Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch, but also the leader of the Reform Party, Nigel Farage, whose party have surged in opinion polls recently. This remarkable decline in popularity for the new government is, in some part, due to a deliberate policy of making tough decisions early. Arguably, the most damaging of these policies was the withdrawal of the winter fuel allowance for some pensioners, although other factors such as a controversy about gifts and donations also hurt the government. While Labour aims to restore the UK's economic and political credibility in the long term, they will certainly hope for some good economic news sooner rather than later. Economy bounces back in 2024 after ending 2023 in recession Due to two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, in late 2023 the UK economy ended the year in recession. After not growing at all in the second quarter of 2023, UK GDP fell by 0.1 percent in the third quarter, and then by 0.3 percent in the last quarter. For the whole of 2023, the economy grew by 0.4 percent compared to 2022, and for 2024 is forecast to have grown by 1.1 percent. During the first two quarters of 2024, UK GDP grew by 0.7 percent, and 0.4 percent, with this relatively strong growth followed by zero percent growth in the third quarter of the year. Although the economy had started to grow again by the time of the 2024 general election, this was not enough to save the Conservative government at the time. Despite usually seen as the best party for handling the economy, the Conservative's economic competency was behind that of Labour on the eve of the 2024 election.
While the continuing impact of the recent economic recession still dampens economic optimism in Europe, most outlook studies foresee continued economic expansion globally in the coming decades, with accelerating consumption and resource use.The GINI coefficient quantifies the inequality among the values in a frequency distribution. A value zero denotes perfect equality. A value of 1 denotes perfect inequality.Read more: http://www.eea.europa.eu/soer-2015/synthesis/report/2-widerperspectiveOr read de whole report: http://www.eea.europa.eu/soer
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This data collection is part of a continuing series of monthly surveys that evaluate the Bush presidency and solicit opinions on a variety of political and social issues. Demographic information collected includes sex, age, race, education, interest in sports, experience with the police, knowledge of people looking for work, family income, religion, ethnicity, political orientation, party preference, and voting behavior in the 1988 presidential election. Issues addressed in this survey include Bush's handling of the economy and foreign policy, the most important problem facing the country and the political party that could best handle it, unemployment vs. inflation as the most important economic problem facing the country, and whether the United States was in an economic recession and the degree to which the policies of the Bush and Reagan administrations should be blamed. The survey also queried respondents concerning finances, employment, satisfaction with place of residence, likelihood of moving, percentage of income spent on housing, buying and owning a home, various aspects of major league baseball, issues related to police protection and brutality, the adoption of student codes of conduct at universities, and the probability of voting for George Bush or the Democratic presidential candidate in 1992.
Modular Data Centers Market Size 2024-2028
The global modular data centers market size is forecast to increase by USD 42.56 billion, at a CAGR of 19.8% between 2023 and 2028. The need to streamline traditional data centers is a major factor fueling market growth. Today, companies running single conventional data centers grapple with complex management and soaring capital costs due to sophisticated power and cooling systems. With the current economic recession, businesses are increasingly seeking cost-effective and scalable solutions. Modular data centers, with their standardized, portable designs, provide an ideal alternative that can be quickly deployed. Mobile network operators and colocation providers are among the leading users of these solutions. These modular setups are more environmentally friendly, thanks to their energy-efficient HVAC systems and IT equipment. As big data, AI, cloud computing, 5G, and IoT applications require higher operating temperatures, the flexibility and scalability of modular designs become even more crucial.
What will be the Size of the Market During the Forecast Period?
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Market Segmentation
By End-user
IT and Telecom is the Leading Segment to Dominate the Market
The IT and telecom segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. In the global market, Modular Data Centers hold a significant share, particularly in the IT and telecom sector. These centers are essential for providing the required computing power and storage for various applications and services in the industry. With the rise of cloud computing, the demand for data centers has escalated, as businesses seek to access resources without substantial capital expenditure. The IT and telecom segment was the largest and was valued at USD 4.02 billion in 2018. The influx of data from businesses and individuals necessitates data centers capable of handling vast amounts of information. Recession or not, Modular Data Centers offer scalability and rapid deployment, making them attractive to mobile network providers and data center colocation providers. Green data centers, with their standard design and cooling systems, are increasingly popular due to their energy efficiency. Big data, AI, cloud computing, 5G infrastructure, Internet of things, and cloud-based solutions are driving the market's growth.
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North America Holds a Prominent Position in the Market
North America is estimated to contribute 30% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period. Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period. The Edge computing trend is driving the growth of the market in the US and Canada, particularly in the BFSI industry. Large enterprises are shifting towards energy-efficient data centers to minimize costs and CAPEX, opting for cloud solutions from hyperscale providers like AWS, Microsoft, and Oracle. As of 2021, the US hosts over 2,670 data centers, making it the global leader. Quicksilver Capital and the World Economic Forum highlight the importance of digital transformation in this context. These offer Scalable data centers for large enterprises, enabling them to meet their computing capacity requirements efficiently.
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Market Dynamics and Customer Landscape
They have emerged as a popular solution for businesses seeking scalability and rapid deployment during times of economic uncertainty, such as a recession. These data centers utilize a modular design, allowing for easy expansion and contraction based on demand. Green data centers, which prioritize energy efficiency, are a key focus in the modular data center market. Mobile network providers and large enterprises are major consumers, as they require cloud-based networking and 5G infrastructure to support digital transformation initiatives. The solutions sub-segment and services segment of the modular data center market are expected to grow significantly, as businesses increasingly turn to cloud-based solutions for their data storage and processing needs. The World Economic Forum has the importance of energy-efficient data centers in reducing carbon emissions and mitigating the environmental impact of digitalization. Quicksilver Capital and other investors have shown interest in the modular data center market, recognizing its potential for innovation and growth. Overall, the modular data center market is poised for expansion, driven by the need for scalable, energy-efficient, and quickly deployable solutions.
Key Market Driver
Requirement to reduce complexity of traditional data centers is notably driving market growth. In today's business landscape, enterprises operating a single traditional data center face
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This poll, fielded April 5-12, 2010, is a part of a continuing series of monthly surveys that solicits public opinion on the presidency and on a range of other political and social issues. Respondents were asked whether they approved of the way that Barack Obama was handling his job as president, the economy, health care, and the federal budget deficit, what they liked best and least about Obama, whether they thought things in the country were going in the right direction, and what they thought was the most important problem facing the country. Information was collected on whether respondents approved or disapproved of the way Congress was handling its job, whether they approved or disapproved of the way their representative in Congress was handling their job, whether they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of President Obama, how respondents would rate the national economy, and who they thought was mostly to blame for the state of the national economy. Respondents were queried on whether they thought that the government's stimulus package made the economy better or worse, whether they thought that the country needed a third political party, whether they would rather have a smaller government with fewer services or a bigger government providing more services, how they felt things were going in Washington, DC, whether they thought the federal government should spend money to create jobs even if it means increasing the budget deficit, and whether they would rather reduce the federal budget deficit or cut taxes. Respondents were also asked who they thought was to blame for the current federal budget deficit, whether they thought providing government money to banks and other financial institutions was necessary to get the economy out of a recession, whether they had a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republican Party, the Democratic Party, John McCain, George Bush, Ron Paul, Glen Beck, and Sarah Palin. Information was collected on what political figure the respondents admired most, whether they thought Sarah Palin would have the ability to be an effective president, whether they thought President Obama understands the need and problems of people like themselves, whether respondents thought he was more of a liberal, a moderate, or a conservative, whether they thought his policies were moving the country more towards socialism, whether they thought he favored a particular race over another, and whether they thought the Obama Administration had raised or lowered taxes for most Americans. Respondents were asked whether they thought that the federal government should require nearly all Americans to have health insurance, whether they thought it would be a good idea to raise income taxes on households that make more than $250,000 a year in order to help provide health insurance for people who do not already have it, whether they approved or disapproved of requiring health insurance companies to cover anyone who applies regardless of whether they have an existing medical condition, and whether they thought that the programs such as Social Security and Medicare are worth the cost of those programs for taxpayers. Respondents were queried on whether they thought legal immigration into the United States should be kept at its presents level, increased, or decreased, how serious a problem they thought illegal immigration was, whether they thought that global warming was causing a serious environmental problem, whether they thought gay couples should be allowed to marry, whether they thought abortion should be legal, whether they thought gun control law should be made more strict, what socialism means to them, and whether they thought it was ever justified for citizens to take violent action against the government. Respondents were also asked a number of questions about the Tea Party movement, including how much have they heard about it, whether they had a favorable opinion of it, whether they supported it, and whether they thought the Tea Party movement generally reflected the views of most Americans. Finally, respondents were asked if they were ever active in a political campaign, whether they purchased gold bars or coins in the past year, what political party they usually vote for, what news network they watched most, how concerned were they that they or someone in their household would lose their job in the next year, whe
The Covid-19 pandemic saw growth fall by 2.2 percent, compared with an increase of 2.5 percent the year before. The last time the real GDP growth rates fell by a similar level was during the Great Recession in 2009, and the only other time since the Second World War where real GDP fell by more than one percent was in the early 1980s recession. The given records began following the Wall Street Crash in 1929, and GDP growth fluctuated greatly between the Great Depression and the 1950s, before growth became more consistent.
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Payoff matrix of project Owner A-Owner B.
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Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to Jul 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.