Gasoline fell to 2.17 USD/Gal on July 31, 2025, down 1.86% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gasoline's price has risen 3.64%, but it is still 10.00% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gasoline - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

As of June 2025, the average annual price of Brent crude oil stood at 71.91 U.S. dollars per barrel. This is over eight U.S. dollars lower than the 2024 average. Brent is the world's leading price benchmark for Atlantic basin crude oils. Crude oil is one of the most closely observed commodity prices as it influences costs across all stages of the production process and consequently alters the price of consumer goods as well. What determines crude oil benchmarks? In the past decade, crude oil prices have been especially volatile. Their inherent inelasticity regarding short-term changes in demand and supply means that oil prices are erratic by nature. However, since the 2009 financial crisis, many commercial developments have greatly contributed to price volatility, such as economic growth by BRIC countries like China and India, and the advent of hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling in the U.S. The outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are examples of geopolitical events dictating prices. Light crude oils - Brent and WTI Brent Crude is considered a classification of sweet light crude oil and acts as a benchmark price for oil around the world. It is considered a sweet light crude oil due to its low sulfur content and low density and may be easily refined into gasoline. This oil originates in the North Sea and comprises several different oil blends, including Brent Blend and Ekofisk crude. Often, this crude oil is refined in Northwest Europe. Another sweet light oil often referenced alongside UK Brent is West Texas Intermediate (WTI). WTI oil prices amounted to 76.55 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2024.

This data set is used in the Master's thesis: "A Comparison of Price Fluctuations Between Brent Crude Oil and Retail Fuel Prices in Stavanger - An Algorithmic Model for Refueling" by Ola Nes (2021) The data set contains the fuel prices collected (Excel and CSV files), and the Python code which contains all functions used in the thesis. Abstract for thesis: "This thesis investigates and compares the volatility in the retail fuel market in Stavanger and Brent crude oil. Gasoline and diesel prices have been collected from gas stations in Stavanger in 2020 and 2021, and are used for the thesis’ main goal of developing an algorithmic mathematical model for refueling vehicles at optimal times for consumers that could be used in practice. The collected data suggests that there is higher volatility in the retail fuel market in Stavanger compared to the Brent crude oil market. Gas stations follow a characteristic Edgeworth cycle pattern that have price spikes occur when restarting their price cycles. These occur for the most part at the same time across all gas stations monitored in Stavanger. This pattern can be difficult for consumers to predict. Therefore, a practical refueling algorithm could be useful. There are many factors that go in to such a model to make it efficient such as price spike analysis from the Edgeworth cycle pattern found in retail fuel markets and estimating volatility using GARCH(1,1) method."

Learn about the significant fluctuations in crude oil and petrol prices over the past 10 years, influenced by factors like geopolitical events, supply and demand dynamics, and global economic conditions. Understand the relationship between crude oil prices and petrol prices and how various factors impact the prices.

The global fuel energy price index stood at 166.79 index points in May 2025, up from 100 in the base year 2016. Figures increased that month due to greater demand for motor fuels and cooling. The fuel energy index includes prices for crude oil, natural gas, coal, and propane. Supply constraints across multiple commodities The global natural gas price index surged nearly 11-fold, and the global coal price index rose almost seven-fold from summer 2020 to summer 2022. This notable escalation was largely attributed to the Russia-Ukraine war, exerting increased pressure on the global supply chain. Tariffs bring economic uncertainty With the global economy having adjusted to the effects of the Russia-Ukraine war, new uncertainty has emerged due to tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. If these tariffs are fully implemented, global trade could be significantly disrupted, mainly the bilateral trade between the world’s two largest economies. In 2025, import tariffs between China and the United States exceeded 130 percent on both sides, while their tariffs on imports from the rest of the world were around 10 percent. U.S. tariffs on Chinese imported goods reached a high of 134.7 percent in April of that year, while China imposed a 147.6 percent tariff on U.S. goods. Early estimates indicate that the impact of Trump’s proposed tariffs on the U.S. economy could amount to 0.4 percent of GDP, mainly driven by the reduced trade with Mexico, Canada and China.

The UAE raises retail fuel prices in February 2025 amid global oil market volatility and geopolitical influences, affecting local and international economic dynamics.

All fuel prices experienced a decrease in prices between January and April 2025. The price index was also lower than at the same time in the previous year. Overall, prices have been notably less volatile throughout 2024 and 2025 when compared to 2021 and 2022.

Learn about the factors that influence the price of refined petroleum, such as global supply and demand, crude oil prices, production costs, refining capacity, taxes, and government policies. Discover how fluctuations in these factors can lead to price volatility in the market.

The average price of Indian basket crude oil was estimated to reach ***** U.S. dollars per barrel in the financial year 2024. While Indian basket crude oil prices have fluctuated during the reported period, this figure significantly decreased from the previous year’s average of ***** U.S. dollars. The average price of crude oil went up marginally around the financial year 2012, touching almost *** U.S. dollars per barrel. Recent trends in the Indian oil industry The last several years have seen a slight but steady increase in Indian crude oil refinery capacity. However, the annual domestic crude oil production volume has consistently decreased. Not surprisingly, the volume of crude oil imports had recently been on the rise for several years. The future of the Indian energy sector As the third-largest primary energy consumer globally, India relies on various sources to meet its energy demands. At the same time, a significant increase in primary energy consumption across various sources is projected for the coming decades, with renewables playing a vital role in the Indian energy transition.

Snapshot img

US Gasoline Market Size 2023-2027

The US gasoline market size is forecast to decrease by -258 mn L, at a CAGR of -4.18% between 2022 and 2027.

The Gasoline Market in the US is driven by the increasing number of automobiles and the rise in oil and gas production. These factors contribute to the market's growth, as the demand for gasoline continues to escalate. However, the market faces challenges due to the fluctuation in prices of gasoline. This volatility can significantly impact market dynamics, making it essential for companies to navigate these price swings effectively. The oil industry's production levels, geopolitical tensions, and economic conditions are key factors influencing gasoline prices.
To capitalize on market opportunities and mitigate challenges, companies must adopt strategic initiatives such as price differentiation, supply chain optimization, and innovation in fuel efficiency technologies. By staying agile and responsive to market trends and price fluctuations, market participants can effectively position themselves for long-term success in the Gasoline Market.

What will be the size of the US Gasoline Market during the forecast period?

Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2017-2021 and forecasts 2023-2027 - in the full report.
Request Free Sample

The gasoline market in the US is influenced by various factors, including the composition of gasoline, energy policy impact, fuel additives chemistry, and fuel demand forecasting. The refining process of crude oil plays a significant role in producing high-quality gasoline that meets consumer preferences and regulatory requirements. Gasoline pricing models are shaped by the cost of crude oil, production process, and fuel market analysis. Fuel blending technology and gasoline quality assurance are crucial in optimizing engine performance and reducing emissions. Innovations in engine performance optimization and emissions reduction technologies continue to shape the gasoline industry. Fuel efficiency optimization and fuel policy analysis are essential in assessing the environmental impact of gasoline use.
The future of gasoline involves research into fuel alternatives, such as renewable fuels, and the development of new testing methods for fuel quality assessment. The use of fuel additives and their chemistry plays a vital role in enhancing fuel performance and reducing emissions. The gasoline industry remains dynamic, with ongoing efforts to improve fuel production processes and respond to changing consumer preferences and regulatory requirements.

How is this market segmented?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD mn L' for the period 2023-2027, as well as historical data from 2017-2021 for the following segments.

Type

  Regular
  Premium


End-user

  Transportation
  Power generation
  Others


Geography

  North America

    US

By Type Insights

The regular segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

The US gasoline market is a significant sector within the global energy industry, shaped by various factors including consumer behavior, climate change, and technological advancements. Regular gasoline, a hydrocarbon mixture derived from crude oil, is the most commonly used fuel for standard internal combustion engines. It typically contains around 10% ethanol for octane enhancement, with an octane rating of 87 or 88. Higher-performance engines may require higher-octane fuels to prevent engine damage from knocking or pinging. The petroleum industry's refining process produces regular gasoline, which is distributed through an extensive pipeline infrastructure to retailers. Gasoline retailing involves marketing and selling the fuel to consumers, with prices influenced by factors such as crude oil prices, taxes, and regional variations.

Government regulations play a crucial role in the gasoline market, with emissions standards and fuel efficiency requirements driving innovation in fuel technology. Alternative fuels, such as ethanol blends, renewable fuels, and electric vehicles, are gaining popularity due to their environmental benefits and potential to reduce carbon emissions. Fuel efficiency standards, such as Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) regulations, have led to advancements in engine performance and fuel economy. Fuel additives, including biofuel additives and octane enhancers, are used to improve fuel quality and performance. Geopolitical influences and fuel volatility can impact the gasoline market, with supply chain disruptions and price fluctuations affecting both domestic and international markets.

The energy sector's transition towards sustainable fuels and decarbonization is also shaping the future of the gasoline market. Regular gasoline remains widely available and a

The 2025 annual OPEC basket price stood at ***** U.S. dollars per barrel as of June. This would be lower than the 2024 average, which amounted to ***** U.S. dollars. The abbreviation OPEC stands for Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and includes Algeria, Angola, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, and the United Arab Emirates. The aim of the OPEC is to coordinate the oil policies of its member states. It was founded in 1960 in Baghdad, Iraq. The OPEC Reference Basket The OPEC crude oil price is defined by the price of the so-called OPEC (Reference) basket. This basket is an average of prices of the various petroleum blends that are produced by the OPEC members. Some of these oil blends are, for example: Saharan Blend from Algeria, Basra Light from Iraq, Arab Light from Saudi Arabia, BCF 17 from Venezuela, et cetera. By increasing and decreasing its oil production, OPEC tries to keep the price between a given maxima and minima. Benchmark crude oil The OPEC basket is one of the most important benchmarks for crude oil prices worldwide. Other significant benchmarks are UK Brent, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and Dubai Crude (Fateh). Because there are many types and grades of oil, such benchmarks are indispensable for referencing them on the global oil market. The 2025 fall in prices was the result of weakened demand outlooks exacerbated by extensive U.S. trade tariffs.

The unleaded petrol market, a crucial segment of the global fuel industry, is characterized by significant dynamism and considerable growth potential. While precise market size figures are not provided, considering the involvement of major global players like Saudi Aramco, ExxonMobil, and Shell, and referencing industry reports indicating substantial global fuel consumption, a reasonable estimate for the 2025 market size could be in the range of $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion (USD). This is a conservative estimate, acknowledging the volatility of oil prices and variations in regional consumption patterns. The market's Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is expected to remain positive, driven primarily by the continued reliance on gasoline-powered vehicles, especially in developing nations with burgeoning middle classes. However, this growth is moderated by increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and stringent emission regulations worldwide. The market is segmented by application (automobile and motorcycle) and quality (regular, silver, and gold grades), reflecting varying consumer needs and price sensitivities. The geographical distribution reveals strong regional variations, with North America and Asia Pacific likely accounting for significant market share due to high vehicle ownership and consumption levels. Emerging markets in Asia and Africa, however, hold significant future growth potential. Constraints on unleaded petrol market growth primarily stem from environmental concerns associated with greenhouse gas emissions and growing governmental support for alternative fuel sources. The ongoing transition to electric vehicles and the implementation of carbon pricing mechanisms pose a long-term challenge. The competitive landscape is highly concentrated, with a few multinational oil and gas giants dominating the market. However, smaller regional players and independent distributors also contribute significantly, particularly in specific geographic regions. The future trajectory of the unleaded petrol market will heavily depend on the pace of EV adoption, the effectiveness of government policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions, and fluctuations in global crude oil prices. Strategic initiatives by oil companies to diversify into renewable energy sources will also influence the market's long-term outlook.

In 2024, the petrol price index in Vietnam was 478 index points, indicating an increase from the previous year. Throughout the entire period, the petrol price index in the country displayed fluctuations, with its peak reaching 582 index points in 2020.

Discover how the drop in crude oil prices below $60 is driving a surge in consumer hedging as companies aim to lock in lower fuel costs amid volatile market conditions.

Hong Kong had the highest prices for premium gasoline (95-RON) on May 12, 2025. That day, prices averaged 3.44 U.S. dollars per liter, which was notably more than in any other country. While oil-rich countries enjoy some of the lowest gasoline prices, drivers in big car markets such as Europe pay around 2 U.S. dollars per liter.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

The Commodity Petroleum Index: A Reliable Gauge of Market Volatility?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

The unleaded petrol market, while facing headwinds from the growth of electric vehicles and biofuels, continues to be a significant global industry. Driven by persistent demand from the transportation sector, particularly in developing economies experiencing rapid motorization, the market is projected to maintain a healthy growth trajectory. Although the exact market size in 2025 is unavailable, considering a global CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) of let's assume 2% based on industry averages and factoring in the existing major players like Saudi Aramco, ExxonMobil, and Shell, we can estimate a 2025 market value of approximately $1.5 trillion. This estimation accounts for fluctuations in oil prices, regional economic growth, and evolving governmental regulations influencing fuel consumption patterns. The market is segmented geographically and by application (e.g., passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles), with regions like North America and Asia-Pacific dominating due to higher vehicle ownership and extensive road networks. Key market drivers include consistent global economic growth (excluding periods of significant recession), expanding infrastructure in emerging markets, and a relative affordability of unleaded petrol compared to alternative fuels. However, restraining factors include increasing environmental concerns, stricter emission regulations promoting electric vehicle adoption, and volatility in crude oil prices. Further analysis reveals a dynamic interplay of forces shaping the future of the unleaded petrol market. The ongoing transition to cleaner energy sources presents a long-term challenge, yet the substantial existing infrastructure, coupled with the widespread use of internal combustion engine vehicles, ensures continued demand for unleaded petrol in the medium term. Growth will likely be concentrated in regions with growing middle classes and increasing vehicle ownership. The market will witness a stronger competition among major producers, with a focus on operational efficiency and exploration of opportunities in refining and downstream operations. Technological advancements in refining processes aimed at improving fuel quality and reducing emissions will also play a crucial role. Strategic collaborations, mergers and acquisitions, and innovations focused on improving fuel efficiency are expected to reshape the market landscape in the coming years. In conclusion, while the long-term outlook is gradually shifting towards alternative fuels, the unleaded petrol market will retain its importance for at least the next decade, exhibiting moderate growth influenced by the interplay of global economic conditions and environmental policy shifts.

Retail Fuel Market size was valued at USD 3.5 Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 5.3 Billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 6.1% during the forecasted period 2024 to 2031. Global Retail Fuel Market Drivers The market drivers for the Retail Fuel Market can be influenced by various factors. These may include:

• Rising Fuel Demand: Increasing vehicle ownership and the growing transportation sector, particularly in emerging economies, drive the demand for retail fuel. • Urbanization: The rapid urbanization trend leads to higher fuel consumption as more people migrate to urban areas, increasing transportation needs.

Global Retail Fuel Market Restraints Several factors can act as restraints or challenges for the Retail Fuel Market. These may include:

• Regulatory Challenges: Stringent regulations related to environmental standards, emissions, and fuel quality can increase operational costs and limit market entry for new players. Compliance with government policies can also be resource-intensive. • Price Volatility: Fluctuations in crude oil prices significantly impact fuel retailing. Sudden price increases can lead to reduced demand from consumers, while price drops can erode profit margins for retailers.

The global retail fuel market is a dynamic sector experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing urbanization, rising vehicle ownership, and expanding industrial and commercial activities. While precise market size figures are unavailable, based on industry trends and comparable markets, we can estimate the 2025 market value at approximately $1.5 trillion USD. This substantial market is expected to exhibit a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of around 4% from 2025 to 2033, reaching an estimated value of $2.2 trillion USD by 2033. This growth is fueled by factors such as the increasing demand for transportation fuels in developing economies, the expansion of the aviation industry, and the growing use of fuel in power generation and industrial processes. However, the market faces constraints, such as fluctuating crude oil prices, governmental regulations on emissions, and the increasing adoption of alternative energy sources like electric vehicles. Segment-wise analysis reveals diverse growth patterns. Natural gas and high-speed diesel are dominant fuel types, driving a significant portion of the market value. Within applications, power generation, industrial uses, and transportation (including aviation and captive power) are key drivers. Geographic distribution shows significant regional variations. North America and Asia Pacific are currently leading markets due to high vehicle ownership and industrialization. However, emerging economies in regions like the Middle East & Africa and South America are exhibiting rapid growth, presenting substantial future opportunities. Key players in the retail fuel market include national oil companies such as Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation and Petrobangla, as well as international giants like Chevron Corporation. These players are constantly adapting to changing market dynamics, investing in infrastructure and exploring new fuel technologies to maintain their competitiveness. The future of the retail fuel market hinges on successful navigation of environmental concerns, strategic infrastructure development, and the management of volatile energy prices.

Snapshot img

Gasoline As A Fuel Market Size 2025-2029

The gasoline as a fuel market size is forecast to increase by USD 131.6 billion, at a CAGR of 1.4% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to the increasing number of automobiles worldwide and the rising utilization of portable gasoline generators. The automotive sector's expansion is driven by population growth, urbanization, and increasing disposable income in developing economies. Moreover, the demand for portable gasoline generators is surging due to power outages and the need for backup power sources in both residential and commercial applications. However, the market faces challenges from the volatility in global crude oil prices, which directly impacts the cost of gasoline production and, consequently, its price for end-users. This price instability can hinder market growth and create uncertainty for businesses operating in the sector. To navigate these challenges, companies must focus on optimizing their production processes, exploring alternative fuel sources, and implementing pricing strategies that insulate them from price fluctuations. By staying agile and responsive to market trends, these organizations can capitalize on the growing demand for gasoline as a fuel and maintain a competitive edge.

What will be the Size of the Gasoline As A Fuel Market during the forecast period?

Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2019-2023 and forecasts 2025-2029 - in the full report.
Request Free SampleThe fuel distribution market is an intricately woven web of dynamic and evolving market activities. This complex ecosystem encompasses various sectors, including the aviation industry, oil consumption, and the fuel refining market. The ongoing unfolding of market patterns is shaped by a multitude of factors, such as ISO and emissions standards, fuel transportation, and gasoline refining. In the realm of fuel distribution, the application of advanced gasoline engine technology and the emergence of alternative fuels like hydrogen and renewables are reshaping the landscape. The fuel additives market plays a crucial role in enhancing fuel quality and optimizing fuel economy. The transportation sector, particularly the marine industry, relies heavily on fuel distribution, necessitating stringent fuel quality control and fuel stability. The aviation industry's reliance on jet fuel and the oil consumption patterns of various sectors contribute significantly to global oil demand. The fuel retail market, in turn, is influenced by gasoline pricing and energy security concerns. The fuel distribution market's continuous evolution is further fueled by advancements in fuel system design, such as fuel injection systems and compression ignition engines, and the emergence of electric vehicles and fuel cell vehicles. Geopolitical factors and crude oil processing also impact the fuel distribution market, as does the carbon footprint of traditional fuels and the push towards sustainable fuels. The fuel distribution market's intricate nature is further accentuated by the interplay of various market entities, including fuel pumps, fuel tankers, fuel filters, and fuel management systems. The ongoing quest for fuel efficiency and reduced greenhouse gas emissions continues to drive innovation and growth in the fuel distribution sector.

How is this Gasoline As A Fuel Industry segmented?

The gasoline as a fuel industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments. ApplicationPassenger vehiclesCommercial vehiclesSmall enginesMarine enginesDistribution ChannelFuel stationsDirect supply to fleetsOnline fuel delivery servicesGeographyNorth AmericaUSCanadaEuropeFranceGermanyUKMiddle East and AfricaUAEAPACChinaIndiaJapanSouth AmericaBrazilRest of World (ROW)

By Application Insights

The passenger vehicles segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.The market is marked by the extensive use of gasoline in the passenger vehicles segment. This segment comprises various types of vehicles such as sedans, hatchbacks, SUVs, and crossovers, all relying on gasoline as their primary fuel source. The segment's prominence is attributed to several factors, including the extensive gasoline infrastructure, consumer preferences, and technological advancements in gasoline engines that boost performance and efficiency. Furthermore, the segment benefits from the well-established supply chain and distribution networks that ensure a consistent gasoline supply, enabling the uninterrupted operation of passenger vehicles. Gasoline engines, both compression ignition and spark ignition, dominate the transportation sector, accounting for a significant portion of greenhouse ga