By the year 2032, a shortage of 46,000 to 121,900 physicians is expected in the United States, including a shortage of approximately 25,000 to 65,000 surgical specialists. A more recent prognosis from 2024 indicated that there seems to be signs of improvement in the shortage of doctors.
By the year 2036, a shortage of 13,500 to 86,000 physicians is expected in the United States. While still high, this is much lower than the projected shortages in a previous report. The new projections are based on an assumed increase in funding in graduate medical education (GME). If this assumption is not met, physician shortfall will match that of previous years, upwards of 124,000 by 2034. As of 2021, the country is already facing a deficiency of 37,000 doctors. By 2036, the United States will be short on 20,200 to 40,400 primary care physicians (PCP). In comparison, a shortage of 5,500 to a surplus of 3,700 medical specialists was forecasted for 2036. This is caused by an over-supply in a few selected specialties, such as emergency medicine and critical care.
[Metadata] Mental Health Professional Shortage Areas as of April 2024. Source - Hawaii State Department of Health. Description: Designation of Health Professional Shortage Areas for Mental Health. See also Health Professional Shortage Areas for Dental Health and Primary Care. A Health Professional Shortage Area (HPSA) means any of the following which has a shortage of health professionals: (a) an urban or rural area which is a rational service area for the delivery of health services, (b) a population group, or (c) a public or nonprofit private medical facility. HPSAs are divided into three major categories according to the type of health professional shortage: primary care, dental or mental health HPSAs. For more information about HPSA’s, visit the Hawaii State Department of Health HPSA website at https://health.hawaii.gov/opcrh/home/health-professional-shortage-area-hpsa/. Hawaii Statewide GIS Program staff downloaded data from https://data.hrsa.gov/data/download?hmpgtitle=hmpg-hrsa-data April 2024. Projected to UTM Zone 4 NAD 83 HARN, and clipped to coastline. For additional information, please refer to summary metadata at https://files.hawaii.gov/dbedt/op/gis/data/hpsa.pdf or contact Hawaii Statewide GIS Program, Office of Planning and Sustainable Development, State of Hawaii; PO Box 2359, Honolulu, Hi. 96804; (808) 587-2846; email: gis@hawaii.gov; Website: https://planning.hawaii.gov/gis.
According to surveyed physicians in 2024, ** percent of physicians in health systems (or IDNs and ACOs) reported their clinical practice was moderately or severely impacted by the physician shortage in the United States. In comparison, only ** percent of physicians in solo practices stated so. Severity was highest among physicians working in larger health organizations.
According to a physicians' survey in 2024, as a result of the physician shortage in the United States, nearly **** in *** physicians said patients had experienced longer wait times. Most noticeably, over a ***** of physicians stated patients received later-stage diagnoses due to physician shortage.
This dataset contains the geographic Health Professional Shortage Area (HPSA) federal designations for Primary Care, Mental Health, and Dental Health. This California-specific data is a subset and snapshot of the complete national data maintained by the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA). For the full set of variables and most up-to-date information, visit https://data.hrsa.gov/data/download.
This dataset contains the geographies used to study medical service in California and identifies which areas are designated as Primary Care Shortage Areas (PCSA). PCSAs are approved by the California Healthcare Workforce Policy Commission (Commission). The Commission plans to reassess the PCSA designations in 2023.
[Metadata] Primary Health Care Professional Shortage Areas as of April 2024. Source - Hawaii State Department of Health. Description: Designation of Health Professional Shortage Areas for Primary Care. See also Professional Health Shortage Areas for Dental Health and Mental Health. A Health Professional Shortage Area (HPSA) means any of the following which has a shortage of health professionals: (a) an urban or rural area which is a rational service area for the delivery of health services, (b) a population group, or (c) a public or nonprofit private medical facility. HPSAs are divided into three major categories according to the type of health professional shortage: primary care, dental or mental health HPSAs. For more information about HPSA’s, visit the Hawaii State Department of Health HPSA website at https://health.hawaii.gov/opcrh/home/health-professional-shortage-area-hpsa/. Hawaii Statewide GIS Program staff downloaded data from https://data.hrsa.gov/data/download?hmpgtitle=hmpg-hrsa-data April 2024. Projected to UTM Zone 4 NAD 83 HARN, and clipped to coastline. For additional information, please refer to summary metadata at https://files.hawaii.gov/dbedt/op/gis/data/hpsa.pdf or contact Hawaii Statewide GIS Program, Office of Planning and Sustainable Development, State of Hawaii; PO Box 2359, Honolulu, Hi. 96804; (808) 587-2846; email: gis@hawaii.gov; Website: https://planning.hawaii.gov/gis.
According to surveyed physicians in 2024, the top factor contributing to the physician shortage in the U.S. was ********************. Over **** also stated greater patient needs (due to a growing and aging U.S. population) as a main cause of the physician shortage.
The Find Shortage Areas: Health Professional Shortage Area (HPSA) and Medically Underserved Area/Population (MUA/P) by Address tool helps you determine if a specific address is located in a designated shortage area. Shortage areas are designated by HRSA as specific geographic areas or sites that have the greatest need for health care. Shortage areas are categorized by specific needs (Primary Care HPSA, Mental Health HPSA, Dental Care HPSA, or MUA/P).
A 2024 survey found that ** percent of physicians had feelings of overwork or burnout as a result of the physician shortage in the United States. Another repercussion of the physician shortage on their well-being was ********** job satisfaction. **** of physicians surveyed had thought of leaving clinical practice altogether due to the shortage.
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Demographic trends drive the rising demand for comprehensive primary care doctor services. An aging population's expanding medical needs are increasing the demographic's consumption of medical services. Primary care physicians are also first in line to help this demographic navigate complex conditions and visit specialists. Sudden population growth – an outcome of a surge in immigration and temporary residents – has also expanded the need for primary care physicians. When the pandemic abruptly disrupted healthy spending on primary care, providers had to navigate unprecedented financial and operating pressures. Telehealth adoption did allow primary care providers to continue to meet with patients, while federal funding allowed practices to cover wage expenses as patient volume dropped. Though pandemic concerns have been alleviated, inflation and labor shortages have introduced new challenges and industry-wide revenue has stagnated over the past five years to reach $42.6 billion in 2024, including expected growth of 2.7% in 2024 alone. Staffing shortages predated the pandemic. Persistent labor shortages jeopardize primary care providers' ability to address demand, creating staff burnout and high turnover rates. Shortages resulting from significant retirements and a lack of residency slots have different impacts. Shortages have accelerated wage growth in some provinces, squeezing profit for some as others address the primary care shortage by raising pay to recruit new physicians. Demographic trends will continue to support rising demand for primary care services. Yet, increasing demand and elevated costs will pressure primary care practices to look for ways to address growing needs. Consolidation activity will ramp up as smaller providers join larger or team-based practices to expand capacity. Digital tools and telehealth will become an integrated part of healthcare delivery because they can lower costs, increase capacity and improve access to underserved areas. The exact adoption of telehealth will depend on how each province offers it. Growth in total health expenditure per capita has varied by province and telehealth adoption will likely proceed at differing paces due to funding levels and programs. The country's industry revenue will expand at a CAGR of 2.2% to an estimated $47.5 billion over the next five years.
This statistic shows the projected physician deficit in the U.S. from 2017 to 2030. It is estimated that in 2020 there will be a deficit of 65,500 physicians in the U.S., and that this number will rise to around 121,300 by 2030.
According to recent national projections, between 2024 and 2033, Canada will be short an estimated 22,000 general practitioners and family physicians, indicating a major shortage of family doctors. Projections for specialists, whether in surgery, or clinal and laboratory medicine show a relatively matched number of jobseekers to job openings in 2024 to 2033. Nevertheless, due to shortages in recent years, the outlook of 'strong risk of shortage' was projected for all physicians.
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Additional file 4: Missing data in Rural Health Statistics (RHS). Missing data in the Rural Health Statistics 2019 with variable names and states given.
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IntroductionA persistent maldistribution of medical workforce exists across Canada, with rural areas facing a greater physician shortage. Medical education can be instrumental to increase physicians in rural communities, and medical schools have adapted strategies to generate interest in rural careers among medical students. Many of these efforts occur within formal structured curriculum. This study appraises the effectiveness of peer-led learning (PLL) as a novel approach in rural medical education to provide students with a better understanding of rural life and rural medical practice.MethodsThis is mixed methods study using a survey and follow-up focus group discussion to evaluate a day-long educational experience organized and led by a medical student to their rural community. Quantitative data were summarized with descriptive statistics. Reflexive thematic analysis was conducted on qualitative insights to describe the students’ experiences and perceptions about the educational rural day.ResultsOf 54 participants, 50 completed the survey and 13 consented for the follow-up focus group. Most (78%) were female, have non-rural origins (78%), with only 2 having Indigenous status. Majority (61%) have low familiarity with rural medicine. Trustworthiness scores for information about rural life and medical practice were higher for rural-origin peers and rural-origin faculty compared to other sources of information such as government websites, social media, and traditional media. Thematic analysis yielded three main themes: (i) informal teaching facilitated learning, (ii) trust in their peer enabled students to receive information more favorably, and (iii) students gained a better understanding of rural life and medical practice.ConclusionThis study demonstrated that medical students engage differently with peer-led learning activities about rural medical curriculum versus a formal teaching environment. Medical students are cautious about promotional information regarding rural medical education from formal sources but are less skeptical when learning from peers. Information about the way of life and healthcare needs in rural communities may be perceived as more credible and valid if coming from a peer, and hence, is more likely to be received favorably. Thus, when promoting rural education and careers, medical schools should work with rural-origin students, whose messaging may be considered more trustworthy than traditional sources.
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The Physician Recruitment Process Outsourcing (RPO) market has emerged as a vital segment of the healthcare industry, addressing the increasing demand for qualified healthcare professionals. With the challenges of physician shortages becoming more pronounced across various regions, health systems and hospitals are t
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Due to the financial crisis facing Puerto Rico, many medical professionals on the island have left. Former Governor Rossello passed Act 14 in April of 2017 hoping to stave off the exodus of physicians. Act 14 reduces the income tax charge on medical services from 30 percent to 4 percent for 15 years. During the same year Puerto Rico experience a devastating category 4 hurricane, which left the island without power or water for several months. We will use a difference in difference estimation to estimate the effects of this change in the marginal tax rate to both keep physicians on the island as well as attract new physicians to the island from the mainland US. We use data from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, the May Occupational Employment Statistics counts, and the AAMC Report on Residents. We find the number of healthcare providers decreased by 6.5 percent. The number of family physicians and pediatricians fell by 17.5 percent and 62 percent respectively. However, the number of registered nurses increased by 2.7 percent. Although the levels of healthcare providers decreases, the rate of healthcare provides per capita actually increased during this time period since the population decreases more rapidly than the fall in the level of healthcare providers.The zip file includes a STATA do file, readme file, and the following data files.AAMC Report of Resident xls file contains counts of residents by state and yearMay Occupational Employment Statistics Counts 2000-2019Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages establishment counts of physician offices by county by quarter from 2000 to 2019
As of September 30, 2022, health professional shortage in the United States was especially high in rural areas. At that time, **** percent of health professional shortages in the primary medical field was in rural areas, compared to **** percent in non-rural areas.
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This indicator shows the share of general practitioners aged 55 and over among the doctors active in the entity, without age limitation. Doctors are listed in the entity in which they practise their profession, which is not necessarily that of their home. If they work in more than one entity, they will be listed in the one corresponding to their main workload. A significant proportion of doctors aged 55 and over indicate a risk of shortage of general practitioners in the medium term (due to the transition to a pension and the time needed to renew them or the absence of one).
Walloon general practitioners have been listed by the AVIQ in a cadastre.
Included in the data of this cadastre are all general practitioners, regardless of their age, - whose INAMI approval number ends with 003 or 004 (approved general practitioners) - and who declare that they practise general medicine on Walloon territory (active general practitioners).
The following are not included in this cadastre: - General practitioners in training, - General practitioners who are retired or deregistered, - Full-time doctors who carry out a medical activity other than classical general medicine (nutrition, acupuncture, homeopathy, dietetics, sports medicine, occupational medicine, preventive medicine, school medicine, ONE doctors, activity at the Red Cross, nursing home coordinators, prison doctor, etc.), - General practitioners practising in hospitals, - Doctors who were off work during the past year.
The cadastre of general practitioners contains data by number of doctors (staff) or by full-time equivalent (FTE). For this indicator, the number of general practitioners aged 55 and over is related to the number of general practitioners of all ages.
By the year 2032, a shortage of 46,000 to 121,900 physicians is expected in the United States, including a shortage of approximately 25,000 to 65,000 surgical specialists. A more recent prognosis from 2024 indicated that there seems to be signs of improvement in the shortage of doctors.