This graph shows the population density in the federal state of New York from 1960 to 2018. In 2018, the population density of New York stood at 414.7 residents per square mile of land area.
Population Numbers By New York City Neighborhood Tabulation Areas The data was collected from Census Bureaus' Decennial data dissemination (SF1). Neighborhood Tabulation Areas (NTAs), are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. This report shows change in population from 2000 to 2010 for each NTA. Compiled by the Population Division – New York City Department of City Planning.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
Chart and table of population level and growth rate for the New York City metro area from 1950 to 2025.
The map shows population density in Tioga County NY using a quantile classification with 5 data breaks each rounded to the nearest 10 people. The population data is census block level data from the 2010 U.S. Census.
The 2022 cartographic boundary KMLs are simplified representations of selected geographic areas from the U.S. Census Bureau's Master Address File / Topologically Integrated Geographic Encoding and Referencing (MAF/TIGER) Database (MTDB). These boundary files are specifically designed for small-scale thematic mapping. When possible, generalization is performed with the intent to maintain the hierarchical relationships among geographies and to maintain the alignment of geographies within a file set for a given year. Geographic areas may not align with the same areas from another year. Some geographies are available as nation-based files while others are available only as state-based files. Census tracts are small, relatively permanent statistical subdivisions of a county or equivalent entity, and were defined by local participants as part of the 2020 Census Participant Statistical Areas Program. The Census Bureau delineated the census tracts in situations where no local participant existed or where all the potential participants declined to participate. The primary purpose of census tracts is to provide a stable set of geographic units for the presentation of census data and comparison back to previous decennial censuses. Census tracts generally have a population size between 1,200 and 8,000 people, with an optimum size of 4,000 people. When first delineated, census tracts were designed to be homogeneous with respect to population characteristics, economic status, and living conditions. The spatial size of census tracts varies widely depending on the density of settlement. Physical changes in street patterns caused by highway construction, new development, and so forth, may require boundary revisions. In addition, census tracts occasionally are split due to population growth, or combined as a result of substantial population decline. Census tract boundaries generally follow visible and identifiable features. They may follow legal boundaries such as minor civil division (MCD) or incorporated place boundaries in some states and situations to allow for census tract-to-governmental unit relationships where the governmental boundaries tend to remain unchanged between censuses. State and county boundaries always are census tract boundaries in the standard census geographic hierarchy. In a few rare instances, a census tract may consist of noncontiguous areas. These noncontiguous areas may occur where the census tracts are coextensive with all or parts of legal entities that are themselves noncontiguous. For the 2010 Census and beyond, the census tract code range of 9400 through 9499 was enforced for census tracts that include a majority American Indian population according to Census 2000 data and/or their area was primarily covered by federally recognized American Indian reservations and/or off-reservation trust lands; the code range 9800 through 9899 was enforced for those census tracts that contained little or no population and represented a relatively large special land use area such as a National Park, military installation, or a business/industrial park; and the code range 9900 through 9998 was enforced for those census tracts that contained only water area, no land area.
This dataset contains the New York City Population By Community Districts.The community boards of the New York City government are the appointed advisory groups of the community districts of the five boroughs. There are currently 59 community districts, including twelve in Manhattan, twelve in the Bronx, eighteen in Brooklyn, fourteen in Queens, and three in Staten Island.
This resource is a member of a series. The TIGER/Line shapefiles and related database files (.dbf) are an extract of selected geographic and cartographic information from the U.S. Census Bureau's Master Address File / Topologically Integrated Geographic Encoding and Referencing (MAF/TIGER) Database (MTDB). The MTDB represents a seamless national file with no overlaps or gaps between parts, however, each TIGER/Line shapefile is designed to stand alone as an independent data set, or they can be combined to cover the entire nation. Census tracts are small, relatively permanent statistical subdivisions of a county or equivalent entity, and were defined by local participants as part of the 2020 Census Participant Statistical Areas Program. The Census Bureau delineated the census tracts in situations where no local participant existed or where all the potential participants declined to participate. The primary purpose of census tracts is to provide a stable set of geographic units for the presentation of census data and comparison back to previous decennial censuses. Census tracts generally have a population size between 1,200 and 8,000 people, with an optimum size of 4,000 people. When first delineated, census tracts were designed to be homogeneous with respect to population characteristics, economic status, and living conditions. The spatial size of census tracts varies widely depending on the density of settlement. Physical changes in street patterns caused by highway construction, new development, and so forth, may require boundary revisions. In addition, census tracts occasionally are split due to population growth, or combined as a result of substantial population decline. Census tract boundaries generally follow visible and identifiable features. They may follow legal boundaries such as minor civil division (MCD) or incorporated place boundaries in some States and situations to allow for census tract-to-governmental unit relationships where the governmental boundaries tend to remain unchanged between censuses. State and county boundaries always are census tract boundaries in the standard census geographic hierarchy. In a few rare instances, a census tract may consist of noncontiguous areas. These noncontiguous areas may occur where the census tracts are coextensive with all or parts of legal entities that are themselves noncontiguous. For the 2010 Census, the census tract code range of 9400 through 9499 was enforced for census tracts that include a majority American Indian population according to Census 2000 data and/or their area was primarily covered by federally recognized American Indian reservations and/or off-reservation trust lands; the code range 9800 through 9899 was enforced for those census tracts that contained little or no population and represented a relatively large special land use area such as a National Park, military installation, or a business/industrial park; and the code range 9900 through 9998 was enforced for those census tracts that contained only water area, no land area.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The codes attached are used to support our study. Each of these codes is exported from ArcMap where they were constructed using ModelBuilder.Our study area focuses on New York City, which provides a data-rich urban environment with extreme variations in local population density and diverse types of input data in which to construct multiple methods. In this study area we can then compare the efficacy of multiple methodologies, which employ a strong binary mask paired with a density variable directly derived from the binary mask. We test the following methodologies:
Land areas binary mask
Building footprint binary mask
Building footprint binary mask and area density variable
Building footprints binary mask and volume density variable
Residential building footprint binary mask
Residential building footprint binary mask and area density variable
Residential building footprint binary mask and volume density variable
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
Includes the error tables, ESRI ArcMap document, accompanying ESRI Geodatabase, ESRI Toolkit and the Python scripts/codes used in the analysis. The error tables are by Census Block for each tested method as well as the calculated grouped error statistics.Our study area focuses on New York City, which provides a data-rich urban environment with extreme variations in local population density and diverse types of input data in which to construct multiple methods. In this study area we can then compare the efficacy of multiple methodologies, which employ a strong binary mask paired with a density variable directly derived from the binary mask. We test the following methodologies:1. Land areas binary mask2. Building footprint binary mask3. Building footprint binary mask and area density variable4. Building footprints binary mask and volume density variable5. Residential building footprint binary mask6. Residential building footprint binary mask and area density variable7. Residential building footprint binary mask and volume density variable
The EcoTrends project was established in 2004 by Dr. Debra Peters (Jornada Basin LTER, USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range) and Dr. Ariel Lugo (Luquillo LTER, USDA-FS Luquillo Experimental Forest) to support the collection and analysis of long-term ecological datasets. The project is a large synthesis effort focused on improving the accessibility and use of long-term data. At present, there are ~50 state and federally funded research sites that are participating and contributing to the EcoTrends project, including all 26 Long-Term Ecological Research (LTER) sites and sites funded by the USDA Agriculture Research Service (ARS), USDA Forest Service, US Department of Energy, US Geological Survey (USGS) and numerous universities. Data from the EcoTrends project are available through an exploratory web portal (http://www.ecotrends.info). This web portal enables the continuation of data compilation and accessibility by users through an interactive web application. Ongoing data compilation is updated through both manual and automatic processing as part of the LTER Provenance Aware Synthesis Tracking Architecture (PASTA). The web portal is a collaboration between the Jornada LTER and the LTER Network Office. The following dataset from Harvard Forest (HFR) contains human population density measurements in numberPerKilometerSquared units and were aggregated to a yearly timescale.
In 2023, Washington, D.C. had the highest population density in the United States, with 11,130.69 people per square mile. As a whole, there were about 94.83 residents per square mile in the U.S., and Alaska was the state with the lowest population density, with 1.29 residents per square mile. The problem of population density Simply put, population density is the population of a country divided by the area of the country. While this can be an interesting measure of how many people live in a country and how large the country is, it does not account for the degree of urbanization, or the share of people who live in urban centers. For example, Russia is the largest country in the world and has a comparatively low population, so its population density is very low. However, much of the country is uninhabited, so cities in Russia are much more densely populated than the rest of the country. Urbanization in the United States While the United States is not very densely populated compared to other countries, its population density has increased significantly over the past few decades. The degree of urbanization has also increased, and well over half of the population lives in urban centers.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
Urbanization can have profound consequences for mammalian biodiversity and is thought to contribute to patterns of species richness and community composition. Large cities can be particularly challenging environments for mammals because these habitats are often impacted by anthropogenic perturbations, including high human population density, fragmented habitats, and extensive human development. In this study, we investigated mammalian species richness, Shannon–Wiener diversity, and evenness in the most densely populated region in the United States: the New York metropolitan area. Specifically, we deployed camera traps from 2015 to 2019 to investigate six drivers of mammalian diversity across 31 greenspaces: (1) human population density, (2) patch size, (3) habitat type, (4) surrounding land cover, (5) geographical barriers to dispersal, and (6) habitat heterogeneity. We found that mammal community composition is largely influenced by a multitude of anthropogenic factors. Specifically, mammal species richness was higher in greenspaces with larger patch sizes and lower in greenspaces surrounded by more development. Moreover, Shannon–Wiener diversity and evenness were higher in urban natural landscapes than human-altered landscapes. In a subset of data that only included carnivores, we found that carnivore Shannon–Wiener diversity was higher in urban natural habitats and in sites with lower human population densities. Finally, we found that geographical barriers to dispersal contributed to both patterns of mammalian diversity and patterns of carnivore diversity: mammal taxa richness, Shannon–Wiener diversity, and evenness were all significantly higher on the continent (Bronx/Westchester) than on Long Island. These results suggest that preserving urban greenspaces is important for maintaining both mammalian and carnivore biodiversity and that management of mammals in cities should concentrate on maintaining large, connected, natural greenspaces.
The map includes the 2010 U.S. Census block boundaries in Tioga County NY. Attached attributes include population density, total population, and voting age population.
Public Domain Mark 1.0https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/
License information was derived automatically
The Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11 consists of estimates of human population density (number of persons per square kilometer) based on counts consistent with national censuses and population registers, for the years 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020. A proportional allocation gridding algorithm, utilizing approximately 13.5 million national and sub-national administrative units, was used to assign population counts to 30 arc-second grid cells. The population density rasters were created by dividing the population count raster for a given target year by the land area raster. The data files were produced as global rasters at 30 arc-second (~1 km at the equator) resolution.
Purpose: To provide estimates of population density for the years 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020, based on counts consistent with national censuses and population registers, as raster data to facilitate data integration.
Recommended Citation(s)*: Center for International Earth Science Information Network - CIESIN - Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. Palisades, NY: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). https://doi.org/10.7927/H49C6VHW. Accessed DAY MONTH YEAR.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
Racial residential segregation is interconnected with several other phenomena such as income inequalities, property values inequalities, and racial disparities in health and education. Furthermore, recent literature suggests the phenomenon of gentrification as a cause of perpetuation or increase of racial residential segregation in some American cities. In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of racial residential segregation for white, black, Asian, and Hispanic citizens in New York City in 1990, 2000, and 2010. It was possible to observe that segregation between white and Hispanic citizens and between white and Asian ones has grown, while segregation between white and black is relatively stable. Furthermore, we analyzed the per capita income and the Gini coefficient in each segregated zone, showing that the highest inequalities occur in the zones where there is an overlap of high-density zones of pair of races. Focusing on the changing of the density of population across the city during these 20 years, and by analyzing white and black people’s segregation, our analysis reveals that a positive flux of white (black) people is associated with a substantial increase (decrease) of the property values, as compared with the city mean. Furthermore, by clustering the region with the higher density of black citizens, we measured the variation of area and displacement of the four most significant clusters from 1990 to 2010. The large displacements (≈1.6km) observed for two of these clusters, namely, one in the neighborhood of Harlem and the other inside the borough of Brooklyn, led to the emergence of typically gentrified regions.
My ArcGIS StoryMap is centered around The Green Book, an annual travel guide that allowed African Americans to travel safely during the height of the Jim Crow Era in the United States. More specifically, The Green Book listed establishments, such as hotels and restaurants, that would openly accept and welcome black customers into their businesses. As someone who is interested in the intersection between STEM and the humanities, I wanted to utilize The Science of Where to formulate a project that would reveal important historical implications to the public. Therefore, my overarching goal was to map each location in The Green Book in order to draw significant conclusions regarding racial segregation in one of the largest cities in the entire world.Although a more detailed methodology of my work can be found in the project itself, the following is a step by step walkthrough of my overall scientific process:Develop a question in relation to The Green Book to be solved through the completion of the project.Perform background research on The Green Book to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the subject matter.Formulate a hypothesis that answers the proposed question based on the background research.Transcribe names and addresses for each of the hotel listings in The Green Book into a comma separated values file.Transcribe names and addresses for each of the restaurants listings in The Green Book into a comma separated values file.Repeat Steps 4 and 5 for the 1940, 1950, 1960, and 1966 publications of The Green Book. In total, there should be eight unique database files (1940 New York City Hotels, 1940 New York City Restaurants, 1950 New York City Hotels, 1950 New York City Restaurants, 1960 New York City Hotels, 1960 New York City Restaurants, 1966 New York City Hotels, and 1966 New York City Restaurants.)Construct an address locator that references a New York City street base map to plot the information from the databases in Step 6 as points on a map.Manually plot locations that the address locator did not automatically match on the map.Repeat Steps 7 and 8 for all eight database files.Find and match the point locations for each listing in The Green Book with historical photographs.Generate a map tour using the geotagged images for each point from Step 10.Create a point density heat map for the locations in all eight database files.Research and obtain professional and historically accurate racial demographic data for New York City during the same time period as when The Green Book was published.Generate a hot spot map of the black population percentage using the demographic data.Analyze any geospatial trends between the point density heat maps for The Green Book and the black population percentage hot spot maps from the demographic data.Research and obtain professional and historically accurate redlining data for New York City during the same time period as when The Green Book was published.Overlay the points from The Green Book listings from Step 9 on top of the redlining shapefile.Count the number of point features completely located within each redlining zone ranking utilizing the spatial join tool.Plot the data recorded from Step 18 in the form of graphs.Analyze any geospatial trends between the listings for The Green Book and its location relative to the redlining ranking zones.Draw conclusions from the analyses in Steps 15 and 20 to present a justifiable rationale for the results._Student Generated Maps:New York City Pin Location Maphttps://arcg.is/15i4nj1940 New York City Hotels Maphttps://arcg.is/WuXeq1940 New York City Restaurants Maphttps://arcg.is/L4aqq1950 New York City Hotels Maphttps://arcg.is/1CvTGj1950 New York City Restaurants Maphttps://arcg.is/0iSG4r1960 New York City Hotels Maphttps://arcg.is/1DOzeT1960 New York City Restaurants Maphttps://arcg.is/1rWKTj1966 New York City Hotels Maphttps://arcg.is/4PjOK1966 New York City Restaurants Maphttps://arcg.is/1zyDTv11930s Manhattan Black Population Percentage Enumeration District Maphttps://arcg.is/1rKSzz1930s Manhattan Black Population Percentage Hot Spot Map (Same as Previous)https://arcg.is/1rKSzz1940 Hotels Point Density Heat Maphttps://arcg.is/jD1Ki1940 Restaurants Point Density Heat Maphttps://arcg.is/1aKbTS1940 Hotels Redlining Maphttps://arcg.is/8b10y1940 Restaurants Redlining Maphttps://arcg.is/9WrXv1950 Hotels Redlining Maphttps://arcg.is/ruGiP1950 Restaurants Redlining Maphttps://arcg.is/0qzfvC01960 Hotels Redlining Maphttps://arcg.is/1KTHLK01960 Restaurants Redlining Maphttps://arcg.is/0jiu9q1966 Hotels Redlining Maphttps://arcg.is/PXKn41966 Restaurants Redlining Maphttps://arcg.is/uCD05_Bibliography:Image Credits (In Order of Appearance)Header/Thumbnail Image:Student Generated Collage (Created Using Pictures from the Schomburg Center for Research in Black Culture, Manuscripts, Archives and Rare Books Division, The New York Public Library, https://digitalcollections.nypl.org/collections/the-green-book#/?tab=about.)Mob Violence Image:Kelley, Robert W. “A Mob Rocks an out of State Car Passing.” Life Magazine, www.life.com/history/school-integration-clinton-history, The Green Book Example Image:Schomburg Center for Research in Black Culture, Manuscripts, Archives and Rare Books Division, The New York Public Library Digital Collections, https://images.nypl.org/index.php?id=5207583&t=w. 1940s Borough of Manhattan Hotels and Restaurants Photographs:“Manhattan 1940s Tax Photos.” NYC Municipal Archives Collections, The New York City Department of Records & Information Services, https://nycma.lunaimaging.com/luna/servlet/NYCMA~5~5?cic=NYCMA~5~5.Figure 1:Student Generated GraphFigure 2:Student Generated GraphFigure 3:Student Generated GraphGIS DataThe Green Book Database:Student Generated (See Above)The Green Book Listings Maps:Student Generated (See Above)The Green Book Point Density Heat Maps:Student Generated (See Above)The Green Book Road Trip Map:Student GeneratedLION New York City Single Line Street Base Map:https://www1.nyc.gov/site/planning/data-maps/open-data/dwn-lion.page 1930s Manhattan Census Data:https://s4.ad.brown.edu/Projects/UTP2/ncities.htm Mapping Inequality Redlining Data:https://dsl.richmond.edu/panorama/redlining/#loc=12/40.794/-74.072&city=manhattan-ny&text=downloads 1940 The Green Book Document:Schomburg Center for Research in Black Culture, Manuscripts, Archives and Rare Books Division, The New York Public Library. "The Negro Motorist Green-Book: 1940" The New York Public Library Digital Collections, 1940, https://digitalcollections.nypl.org/items/dc858e50-83d3-0132-2266-58d385a7b928. 1950 The Green Book Document:Schomburg Center for Research in Black Culture, Manuscripts, Archives and Rare Books Division, The New York Public Library. "The Negro Motorist Green-Book: 1950" The New York Public Library Digital Collections, 1950, https://digitalcollections.nypl.org/items/283a7180-87c6-0132-13e6-58d385a7b928. 1960 The Green Book Document:Schomburg Center for Research in Black Culture, Manuscripts, Archives and Rare Books Division, The New York Public Library. "The Travelers' Green Book: 1960" The New York Public Library Digital Collections, 1960, https://digitalcollections.nypl.org/items/a7bf74e0-9427-0132-17bf-58d385a7b928. 1966 The Green Book Document:Schomburg Center for Research in Black Culture, Manuscripts, Archives and Rare Books Division, The New York Public Library. "Travelers' Green Book: 1966-67 International Edition" The New York Public Library Digital Collections, 1966, https://digitalcollections.nypl.org/items/27516920-8308-0132-5063-58d385a7bbd0. Hyperlink Credits (In Order of Appearance)Referenced Hyperlink #1: Coen, Ross. “Sundown Towns.” Black Past, 23 Aug. 2020, blackpast.org/african-american-history/sundown-towns.Referenced Hyperlink #2: Foster, Mark S. “In the Face of ‘Jim Crow’: Prosperous Blacks and Vacations, Travel and Outdoor Leisure, 1890-1945.” The Journal of Negro History, vol. 84, no. 2, 1999, pp. 130–149., doi:10.2307/2649043. Referenced Hyperlink #3:Driskell, Jay. “An Atlas of Self-Reliance: The Negro Motorist's Green Book (1937-1964).” National Museum of American History, Smithsonian Institution, 30 July 2015, americanhistory.si.edu/blog/negro-motorists-green-book. Referenced Hyperlink #4:Kahn, Eve M. “The 'Green Book' Legacy, a Beacon for Black Travelers.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 6 Aug. 2015, www.nytimes.com/2015/08/07/arts/design/the-green-book-legacy-a-beacon-for-black-travelers.html. Referenced Hyperlink #5:Giorgis, Hannah. “The Documentary Highlighting the Real 'Green Book'.” The Atlantic, Atlantic Media Company, 25 Feb. 2019, www.theatlantic.com/entertainment/archive/2019/02/real-green-book-preserving-stories-of-jim-crow-era-travel/583294/. Referenced Hyperlink #6:Staples, Brent. “Traveling While Black: The Green Book's Black History.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 25 Jan. 2019, www.nytimes.com/2019/01/25/opinion/green-book-black-travel.html. Referenced Hyperlink #7:Pollak, Michael. “How Official Is Official?” The New York Times, The New York Times, 15 Oct. 2010, www.nytimes.com/2010/10/17/nyregion/17fyi.html. Referenced Hyperlink #8:“New Name: Avenue Becomes a Boulevard.” The New York Times, The New York Times, 22 Oct. 1987, www.nytimes.com/1987/10/22/nyregion/new-name-avenue-becomes-a-boulevard.html. Referenced Hyperlink #9:Norris, Frank. “Racial Dynamism in Los Angeles, 1900–1964.” Southern California Quarterly, vol. 99, no. 3, 2017, pp. 251–289., doi:10.1525/scq.2017.99.3.251. Referenced Hyperlink #10:Shertzer, Allison, et al. Urban Transition Historical GIS Project, 2016, https://s4.ad.brown.edu/Projects/UTP2/ncities.htm. Referenced Hyperlink #11:Mitchell, Bruce. “HOLC ‘Redlining’ Maps: The Persistent Structure Of Segregation And Economic Inequality.” National Community Reinvestment Coalition, 20 Mar. 2018,
The EcoTrends project was established in 2004 by Dr. Debra Peters (Jornada Basin LTER, USDA-ARS Jornada Experimental Range) and Dr. Ariel Lugo (Luquillo LTER, USDA-FS Luquillo Experimental Forest) to support the collection and analysis of long-term ecological datasets. The project is a large synthesis effort focused on improving the accessibility and use of long-term data. At present, there are ~50 state and federally funded research sites that are participating and contributing to the EcoTrends project, including all 26 Long-Term Ecological Research (LTER) sites and sites funded by the USDA Agriculture Research Service (ARS), USDA Forest Service, US Department of Energy, US Geological Survey (USGS) and numerous universities. Data from the EcoTrends project are available through an exploratory web portal (http://www.ecotrends.info). This web portal enables the continuation of data compilation and accessibility by users through an interactive web application. Ongoing data compilation is updated through both manual and automatic processing as part of the LTER Provenance Aware Synthesis Tracking Architecture (PASTA). The web portal is a collaboration between the Jornada LTER and the LTER Network Office. The following dataset from Harvard Forest (HFR) contains human population density measurements in numberPerKilometerSquared units and were aggregated to a yearly timescale.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
The features in the order shown under “Feature name” are: GDP, inter-state distance based on lat-long coordinates, gender, ethnicity, quality of health care facility, number of homeless people, total infected and death, population density, airport passenger traffic, age group, days for infection and death to peak, number of people tested for COVID-19, days elapsed between first reported infection and the imposition of lockdown measures at a given state.
Classical epidemiological models assume mass action. However, this assumption is violated when interactions are not random. With the recent COVID-19 pandemic, and resulting shelter in place social distancing directives, mass action models must be modified to account for limited social interactions. In this paper we apply a pairwise network model with moment closure to study the early transmission of COVID-19 in New York and San Francisco and to investigate the factors determining the severity and duration of outbreak in these two cities. In particular, we consider the role of population density, transmission rates and social distancing on the disease dynamics and outcomes. Sensitivity analysis shows that there is a strongly negative correlation between the clustering coefficient in the pairwise model and the basic reproduction number and the effective reproduction number. The shelter in place policy makes the clustering coefficient increase thereby reducing the basic reproduction number and the effective reproduction number. By switching population densities in New York and San Francisco we demonstrate how the outbreak would progress if New York had the same density as San Francisco and vice-versa. The results underscore the crucial role that population density has in the epidemic outcomes. We also show that under the assumption of no further changes in policy or transmission dynamics not lifting the shelter in place policy would have little effect on final outbreak size in New York, but would reduce the final size in San Francisco by 97%.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically
Values of parameters.
This graph shows the population density in the federal state of New York from 1960 to 2018. In 2018, the population density of New York stood at 414.7 residents per square mile of land area.