93 datasets found
  1. Forecast: world population, by continent 2100

    • ai-chatbox.pro
    • statista.com
    Updated Apr 8, 2025
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    Statista Research Department (2025). Forecast: world population, by continent 2100 [Dataset]. https://www.ai-chatbox.pro/?_=%2Ftopics%2F13342%2Faging-populations%2F%23XgboD02vawLKoDs%2BT%2BQLIV8B6B4Q9itA
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 8, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Authors
    Statista Research Department
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    Whereas the population is expected to decrease somewhat until 2100 in Asia, Europe, and South America, it is predicted to grow significantly in Africa. While there were 1.5 billion inhabitants on the continent at the beginning of 2024, the number of inhabitants is expected to reach 3.8 billion by 2100. In total, the global population is expected to reach nearly 10.4 billion by 2100. Worldwide population In the United States, the total population is expected to steadily increase over the next couple of years. In 2024, Asia held over half of the global population and is expected to have the highest number of people living in urban areas in 2050. Asia is home to the two most populous countries, India and China, both with a population of over one billion people. However, the small country of Monaco had the highest population density worldwide in 2021. Effects of overpopulation Alongside the growing worldwide population, there are negative effects of overpopulation. The increasing population puts a higher pressure on existing resources and contributes to pollution. As the population grows, the demand for food grows, which requires more water, which in turn takes away from the freshwater available. Concurrently, food needs to be transported through different mechanisms, which contributes to air pollution. Not every resource is renewable, meaning the world is using up limited resources that will eventually run out. Furthermore, more species will become extinct which harms the ecosystem and food chain. Overpopulation was considered to be one of the most important environmental issues worldwide in 2020.

  2. Population of the world 10,000BCE-2100

    • statista.com
    Updated Aug 7, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Population of the world 10,000BCE-2100 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1006502/global-population-ten-thousand-bc-to-2050/
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    Dataset updated
    Aug 7, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    Until the 1800s, population growth was incredibly slow on a global level. The global population was estimated to have been around 188 million people in the year 1CE, and did not reach one billion until around 1803. However, since the 1800s, a phenomenon known as the demographic transition has seen population growth skyrocket, reaching eight billion people in 2023, and this is expected to peak at over 10 billion in the 2080s.

  3. f

    World Population to 2100 - Trends and Data

    • futurebase.com
    Updated May 3, 2020
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    Futurebase (2020). World Population to 2100 - Trends and Data [Dataset]. https://futurebase.com/trends/world-population
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    Dataset updated
    May 3, 2020
    Dataset provided by
    Futurebase
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    These charts show the trend in world population growth from the year 1CE to 2100, and the future decline in birth and death rates.

  4. World population - forecast about the development 2024-2100

    • statista.com
    Updated May 28, 2025
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    Statista (2025). World population - forecast about the development 2024-2100 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/262618/forecast-about-the-development-of-the-world-population/
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    Dataset updated
    May 28, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2024
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    Before 2025, the world's total population is expected to reach eight billion. Furthermore, it is predicted to reach over 10 billion in 2060, before slowing again as global birth rates are expected to decrease. Moreover, it is still unclear to what extent global warming will have an impact on population development. A high share of the population increase is expected to happen on the African continent.

  5. Global population 1800-2100, by continent

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jul 4, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Global population 1800-2100, by continent [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/997040/world-population-by-continent-1950-2020/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 4, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    The world's population first reached one billion people in 1803, and reach eight billion in 2023, and will peak at almost 11 billion by the end of the century. Although it took thousands of years to reach one billion people, it did so at the beginning of a phenomenon known as the demographic transition; from this point onwards, population growth has skyrocketed, and since the 1960s the population has increased by one billion people every 12 to 15 years. The demographic transition sees a sharp drop in mortality due to factors such as vaccination, sanitation, and improved food supply; the population boom that follows is due to increased survival rates among children and higher life expectancy among the general population; and fertility then drops in response to this population growth. Regional differences The demographic transition is a global phenomenon, but it has taken place at different times across the world. The industrialized countries of Europe and North America were the first to go through this process, followed by some states in the Western Pacific. Latin America's population then began growing at the turn of the 20th century, but the most significant period of global population growth occurred as Asia progressed in the late-1900s. As of the early 21st century, almost two thirds of the world's population live in Asia, although this is set to change significantly in the coming decades. Future growth The growth of Africa's population, particularly in Sub-Saharan Africa, will have the largest impact on global demographics in this century. From 2000 to 2100, it is expected that Africa's population will have increased by a factor of almost five. It overtook Europe in size in the late 1990s, and overtook the Americas a decade later. In contrast to Africa, Europe's population is now in decline, as birth rates are consistently below death rates in many countries, especially in the south and east, resulting in natural population decline. Similarly, the population of the Americas and Asia are expected to go into decline in the second half of this century, and only Oceania's population will still be growing alongside Africa. By 2100, the world's population will have over three billion more than today, with the vast majority of this concentrated in Africa. Demographers predict that climate change is exacerbating many of the challenges that currently hinder progress in Africa, such as political and food instability; if Africa's transition is prolonged, then it may result in further population growth that would place a strain on the region's resources, however, curbing this growth earlier would alleviate some of the pressure created by climate change.

  6. f

    World Urban Population to 2100 - Trends and Data

    • futurebase.com
    Updated May 3, 2020
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    Futurebase (2020). World Urban Population to 2100 - Trends and Data [Dataset]. https://futurebase.com/trends/world-urban-population
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    Dataset updated
    May 3, 2020
    Dataset provided by
    Futurebase
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    These charts shows the world trend in urban populations, people living in cities, from the year 1800 to 2100.

  7. Projected world population distribution, by age group 2024-2100

    • statista.com
    Updated Feb 14, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Projected world population distribution, by age group 2024-2100 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/672546/projected-world-population-distribution-by-age-group/
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 14, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2024
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    Until 2100, the world's population is expected to be ageing. Whereas people over 60 years made up less than 13 percent of the world's population in 2024, this share is estimated to reach 28.8 percent in 2100. On the other hand, the share of people between zero and 14 years was expected to decrease by almost ten percentage points over the same period.

  8. w

    World Population 0-2100

    • data.wu.ac.at
    csv, json, xls
    Updated Apr 26, 2014
    + more versions
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    Quandl (2014). World Population 0-2100 [Dataset]. https://data.wu.ac.at/schema/public_opendatasoft_com/d29ybGQtcG9wdWxhdGlvbi0wLTIxMDA=
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    csv, json, xlsAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 26, 2014
    Dataset provided by
    Quandl
    License

    https://www.quandl.com/about/termshttps://www.quandl.com/about/terms

    Area covered
    World
    Description

    Units: Millions of People. Source: Author's calculations from Angus Maddison's historical series, 'Historical statistics of the world economy 1-2008' (February 2010), United Nations/World Bank's official series for 1990-2012 (Octobre 2012), et UN official projections for 2012-2100 (UN Population Prospects, April 2011 version) (central scenario, then high scenario, then low scenario). Russia was included in Europe, and former Central Asia Republiques et Oceania in Asia. All the details are available in the followong excel files: population data 0-2012 are directly copied from table S1.2; projections directly copied from file WorldGDP.xls sheets TableW8, TableW8H et Table W8L

  9. Global population distribution 1800-2100, by continent

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 4, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Global population distribution 1800-2100, by continent [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1306046/world-population-distribution-by-continent-historical/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 4, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    Between 1800 and 2021, the total population of each continent experienced consistent growth, however as growth rates varied by region, population distribution has fluctuated. In the early 19th century, almost 70 percent of the world's population lived in Asia, while fewer than 10 percent lived in Africa. By the end of this century, it is believed that Asia's share will fall to roughly 45 percent, while Africa's will be on course to reach 40 percent. 19th and 20th centuries Fewer than 2.5 percent of the world's population lived in the Americas in 1800, however the demographic transition, along with waves of migration, would see this share rise to almost 10 percent a century later, peaking at almost 14 percent in the 1960s. Europe's share of the global population also grew in the 19th century, to roughly a quarter in 1900, but fell thereafter and saw the largest relative decline during the 20th century. Asia, which has consistently been the world's most populous continent, saw its population share drop by the mid-1900s, but it has been around 60 percent since the 1970s. It is important to note that the world population has grown from approximately one to eight billion people between 1800 and the 2020s, and that declines in population distribution before 2020 have resulted from different growth rates across the continents. 21st century Africa's population share remained fairly constant throughout this time, fluctuating between 7.5 and 10 percent until the late-1900s, but it is set to see the largest change over the 21st century. As Europe's total population is now falling, and it is estimated that the total populations of Asia and the Americas will fall by the 2050s and 2070s respectively, rapid population growth in Africa will see a significant shift in population distribution. Africa's population is predicted to grow from 1.3 to 3.9 billion people over the next eight decades, and its share of the total population will rise to almost 40 percent. The only other continent whose population will still be growing at this time will be Oceania, although its share of the total population has never been more than 0.7 percent.

  10. d

    Country-Level Population and Downscaled Projections Based on the SRES A1,...

    • catalog.data.gov
    • earthdata.nasa.gov
    • +1more
    Updated Apr 24, 2025
    + more versions
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    SEDAC (2025). Country-Level Population and Downscaled Projections Based on the SRES A1, B1, and A2 Scenarios, 1990-2100 [Dataset]. https://catalog.data.gov/dataset/country-level-population-and-downscaled-projections-based-on-the-sres-a1-b1-and-a2-sc-1990
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 24, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    SEDAC
    Description

    The Country-Level Population and Downscaled Projections Based on Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A1, B1, and A2 Scenarios, 1990-2100, were adopted in 2000 from population projections realized at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in 1996. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) SRES A1 and B1 scenarios both used the same IIASA "rapid" fertility transition projection, which assumes low fertility and low mortality rates. The SRES A2 scenario used a corresponding IIASA "slow" fertility transition projection (high fertility and high mortality rates). Both IIASA low and high projections are performed for 13 world regions including North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, China and Centrally Planned Asia, Pacific Asia, Pacific OECD, Central Asia, Middle East, South Asia, Eastern Europe, European part of the former Soviet Union, Western Europe, Latin America, and North America. This data set is produced and distributed by the Columbia University Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN).

  11. Global 1 km-grid population distributions dataset from 2020 to 2100

    • figshare.com
    zip
    Updated Aug 29, 2022
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    Xinyu Wang; Xiangfeng Meng; Ying Long (2022). Global 1 km-grid population distributions dataset from 2020 to 2100 [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.19609356.v3
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    zipAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 29, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    Figsharehttp://figshare.com/
    Authors
    Xinyu Wang; Xiangfeng Meng; Ying Long
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Spatially explicit population grid can play an important role in climate change, resource management, sustainable development and other fields. Several gridded datasets already exist, but global data, especially high-resolution data on future populations are largely lacking. Based on the WorldPop dataset, we present a global gridded population dataset covering 248 countries or areas at 30 arc-seconds (approximately 1 km) spatial resolution with 5-year intervals for the period 2020–2100 by implementing Random Forest (RF) algorithm. Our dataset is quantitatively consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways’ (SSPs) national population. The spatially explicit population grid we predicted in this research is validated by comparing it with the WorldPop dataset both at the sub-national level and grid level. 3569 provinces (almost all provinces on the globe) and more than 480 thousand grids are taken into verification, and the results show that our dataset can serve as an input for predictive research in various fields.

  12. d

    Replication Data for: \"World population growth over millennia: Ancient and...

    • dataone.org
    Updated Nov 8, 2023
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    Nemčok, Miroslav (2023). Replication Data for: \"World population growth over millennia: Ancient and present phases with a temporary halt in-between\" [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/YOQ2QK
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    Dataset updated
    Nov 8, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    Harvard Dataverse
    Authors
    Nemčok, Miroslav
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    Published in The Anthropocene Review. Abstract: Enormous growth of the world population during the last two centuries and its present slowing down pose questions about precedents in history and broader forces shaping the population size. Population estimates collected in an extensive survey of literature (873 estimates from 25 studies covering 1,000,000 BCE to 2100 CE) show that world population growth has proceeded in two distinct phases of acceleration followed by stoppage—from at least 25,000 BCE to 100 BCE, and from 400 CE to the present, interrupted by centuries of standstill and 10% decrease. Both phases can be fitted with a mathematical function that projects to a peak at 11.2 ± 1.5 billion around 2100 CE. An interaction model can account for this acceleration-stoppage pattern in quantitative detail: Technology grows exponentially, with rate boosted by population. Population grows exponentially, capped by Earth’s carrying capacity. Technology raises this cap, but only until it approaches Earth’s ultimate carrying capacity.

  13. Countries with the highest population 1950-2100

    • ai-chatbox.pro
    • statista.com
    Updated Jan 23, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Countries with the highest population 1950-2100 [Dataset]. https://www.ai-chatbox.pro/?_=%2Fstatistics%2F268107%2Fcountries-with-the-highest-population%2F%23XgboD02vawLYpGJjSPEePEUG%2FVFd%2Bik%3D
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    Dataset updated
    Jan 23, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2024
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    From now until 2100, India and China will remain the most populous countries in the world, however China's population decline has already started, and it is on course to fall by around 50 percent in the 2090s; while India's population decline is projected to begin in the 2060s. Of the 10 most populous countries in the world in 2100, five will be located in Asia, four in Africa, as well as the United States. Rapid growth in Africa Rapid population growth across Africa will see the continent's population grow from around 1.5 billion people in 2024 to 3.8 billion in 2100. Additionally, unlike China or India, population growth in many of these countries is not expected to go into decline, and instead is expected to continue well into the 2100s. Previous estimates had projected these countries' populations would be much higher by 2100 (the 2019 report estimated Nigeria's population would exceed 650 million), yet the increased threat of the climate crisis and persistent instability is delaying demographic development and extending population growth. The U.S. as an outlier Compared to the nine other largest populations in 2100, the United States stands out as it is more demographically advanced, politically stable, and economically stronger. However, while most other so-called "advanced countries" are projected to see their population decline drastically in the coming decades, the U.S. population is projected to continue growing into the 2100s. This will largely be driven by high rates of immigration into the U.S., which will drive growth despite fertility rates being around 1.6 births per woman (below the replacement level of 2.1 births per woman), and the slowing rate of life expectancy. Current projections estimate the U.S. will have a net migration rate over 1.2 million people per year for the remainder of the century.

  14. MANET: uncertainty in demographics – data on population projections

    • zenodo.org
    • data.niaid.nih.gov
    zip
    Updated Aug 19, 2024
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    Sara Giarola; Sara Giarola (2024). MANET: uncertainty in demographics – data on population projections [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13335264
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    zipAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 19, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    Zenodohttp://zenodo.org/
    Authors
    Sara Giarola; Sara Giarola
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    This is a repository of global and regional human population data collected from: the databases of scenarios assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Sixth Assessment Report, Special Report on 1.5 C; Fifth Assessment Report), multi-national databases of population projections (World Bank, International Database, United Nation population projections), and other very long-term population projections (Resources for the Future).

    More specifically, it contains:

    - in `other_pop_data` folder files from World Bank, the International Database from the US Census, and from IHME

    - in the `SSP` folder, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, as in the version 2.0 downloaded from IIASA and as in the version 3.0 downloaded from IIASA workspace

    - in the `UN` folder, the demographic projections from UN

    - `IAMstat.xlsx`, an overview file of the metadata accompanying the scenarios present in the IPCC databases

    - `RFF.csv`, an overview file containing the population projections obtained by Resources For the Future

    '- the remaining `.csv` files with names `AR6#`, `AR5#`, `IAMC15#` contain the IPCC scenarios assessed by the IPCC for preparing the IPCC assessment reports. They can be downloaded from AR5, SR 1.5, and AR6

    This data in intended to be downloaded for use together with the package downloadable here.

    The dataset was used as a supporting material for the paper "Underestimating demographic uncertainties in the synthesis process of the IPCC" accepted on npj Climate Action (DOI : 10.1038/s44168-024-00152-y).

  15. d

    Data from: Country-Level Population and Downscaled Projections Based on the...

    • catalog.data.gov
    • datasets.ai
    • +4more
    Updated Apr 24, 2025
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    SEDAC (2025). Country-Level Population and Downscaled Projections Based on the SRES B2 Scenario, 1990-2100 [Dataset]. https://catalog.data.gov/dataset/country-level-population-and-downscaled-projections-based-on-the-sres-b2-scenario-1990-210
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 24, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    SEDAC
    Description

    The Country-Level Population and Downscaled Projections Based on Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) B2 Scenario, 1990-2100, were based on the UN 1998 Medium Long Range Projection for the years 1995 to 2100. The official version projects population for 8 regions of the world including Africa, Asia (minus India and China), India, China, Europe, Latin America, Northern America, and Oceania. This data set is produced and distributed by the Columbia University Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN).

  16. Hybrid gridded demographic data for China, 1979-2100

    • zenodo.org
    • explore.openaire.eu
    nc
    Updated Feb 23, 2021
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    Zhao Liu; Zhao Liu; Si Gao; Yidan Chen; Wenjia Cai; Wenjia Cai; Si Gao; Yidan Chen (2021). Hybrid gridded demographic data for China, 1979-2100 [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4554571
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    ncAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 23, 2021
    Dataset provided by
    Zenodohttp://zenodo.org/
    Authors
    Zhao Liu; Zhao Liu; Si Gao; Yidan Chen; Wenjia Cai; Wenjia Cai; Si Gao; Yidan Chen
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    China
    Description

    This is a hybrid gridded dataset of demographic data for China from 1979 to 2100, given as 21 five-year age groups of population divided by gender every year at a 0.5-degree grid resolution.

    The historical period (1979-2020) part of this dataset combines the NASA SEDAC Gridded Population of the World version 4 (GPWv4, UN WPP-Adjusted Population Count) with gridded population from the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP, Histsoc gridded population data).

    The projection (2010-2100) part of this dataset is resampled directly from Chen et al.’s data published in Scientific Data.

    This dataset includes 31 provincial administrative districts of China, including 22 provinces, 5 autonomous regions, and 4 municipalities directly under the control of the central government (Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macao were excluded due to missing data).

    Method - demographic fractions by age and gender in 1979-2020

    Age- and gender-specific demographic data by grid cell for each province in China are derived by combining historical demographic data in 1979-2020 with the national population census data provided by the National Statistics Bureau of China.

    To combine the national population census data with the historical demographics, we constructed the provincial fractions of demographic in each age groups and each gender according to the fourth, fifth and sixth national population census, which cover the year of 1979-1990, 1991-2000 and 2001-2020, respectively. The provincial fractions can be computed as:

    \(\begin{align*} \begin{split} f_{year,province,age,gender}= \left \{ \begin{array}{lr} POP_{1990,province,age,gender}^{4^{th}census}/POP_{1990,province}^{4^{th}census} & 1979\le\mathrm{year}\le1990\\ POP_{2000,province,age,gender}^{5^{th}census}/POP_{2000,province}^{5^{th}census} & 1991\le\mathrm{year}\le2000\\ POP_{2010,province,age,gender}^{6^{th}census}/POP_{2010,province}^{6^{th}census}, & 2001\le\mathrm{year}\le2020 \end{array} \right. \end{split} \end{align*}\)

    Where:

    - \( f_{\mathrm{year,province,age,gender}}\)is the fraction of population for a given age, a given gender in each province from the national census from 1979-2020.

    - \(\mathrm{PO}\mathrm{P}_{\mathrm{year,province,age,gender}}^{X^{\mathrm{th}}\mathrm{census} }\) is the total population for a given age, a given gender in each province from the Xth national census.

    - \(\mathrm{PO}\mathrm{P}_{\mathrm{year,province}}^{X^{\mathrm{th}}\mathrm{census} }\) is the total population for all ages and both genders in each province from the Xth national census.

    Method - demographic totals by age and gender in 1979-2020

    The yearly grid population for 1979-1999 are from ISIMIP Histsoc gridded population data, and for 2000-2020 are from the GPWv4 demographic data adjusted by the UN WPP (UN WPP-Adjusted Population Count, v4.11, https://beta.sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/gpw-v4-population-count-adjusted-to-2015-unwpp-country-totals-rev11), which combines the spatial distribution of demographics from GPWv4 with the temporal trends from the UN WPP to improve accuracy. These two gridded time series are simply joined at the cut-over date to give a single dataset - historical demographic data covering 1979-2020.

    Next, historical demographic data are mapped onto the grid scale to obtain provincial data by using gridded provincial code lookup data and name lookup table. The age- and gender-specific fraction were multiplied by the historical demographic data at the provincial level to obtain the total population by age and gender for per grid cell for china in 1979-2020.

    Method - demographic totals and fractions by age and gender in 2010-2100

    The grid population count data in 2010-2100 under different shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios are drawn from Chen et al. published in Scientific Data with a resolution of 1km (~ 0.008333 degree). We resampled the data to 0.5 degree by aggregating the population count together to obtain the future population data per cell.

    This previously published dataset also provided age- and gender-specific population of each provinces, so we calculated the fraction of each age and gender group at provincial level. Then, we multiply the fractions with grid population count to get the total population per age group per cell for each gender.

    Note that the projected population data from Chen’s dataset covers 2010-2020, while the historical population in our dataset also covers 2010-2020. The two datasets of that same period may vary because the original population data come from different sources and are calculated based on different methods.

    Disclaimer

    This dataset is a hybrid of different datasets with independent methodologies. Spatial or temporal consistency across dataset boundaries cannot be guaranteed.

  17. S

    National and provincial population and economy projection databases under...

    • scidb.cn
    Updated Apr 18, 2022
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    Tong Jiang; Buda Su; Cheng Jing; Yanjun Wang; Jinlong Huang; Huanhuan Guo; Yuming Yang; Guojie Wang; Yong Luo (2022). National and provincial population and economy projection databases under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways(SSP1-5)_v2 [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.01683
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    CroissantCroissant is a format for machine-learning datasets. Learn more about this at mlcommons.org/croissant.
    Dataset updated
    Apr 18, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    Science Data Bank
    Authors
    Tong Jiang; Buda Su; Cheng Jing; Yanjun Wang; Jinlong Huang; Huanhuan Guo; Yuming Yang; Guojie Wang; Yong Luo
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    V1 dataset:Under the global framework of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), based on localized population and economic parameters, a Population Development Environment (PDE) model is adopted to construct population grid data for SSPs from 2020 to 2100; Using the Cobb Douglas model, construct economic data for SSPs from 2020 to 2100.The v1 dataset includes:Population grid data of the world, The Belt and Road region, and China, with a spatial resolution of 0.5°GDP grid data of the world, The Belt and Road region, and China, with a spatial resolution of 0.5 °Grid data on the output value of three industries in the Chinese region, with a spatial resolution of 0.1 °V2 dataset:Based on the data from the 7th National Population Census of China, starting from 2020, the parameters such as fertility rate, mortality rate, migration rate, and education level in the Population Development Environment (PDE) model were updated. Under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-5), a new version (v2) of the total population and age and gender specific population projection dataset for China and its provinces from 2020 to 2100 was created. Based on the data from the 7th National Population Census and the 4th Economic Census of China, with 2020 as the starting year, the parameters of total factor productivity, capital stock, labor input, and capital elasticity coefficient in the Cobb Douglas model were updated. Under the shared SSP1-5, a new version (v2) of China and its provincial GDP projectiondataset from 2020 to 2100 was created.The v2 (2024 version) dataset includes:Total Population Data of China and Provinces (2020-2100)Population data by age and gender in China (2020-2100)China and Provincial GDP Data (2020-2100)

  18. International Database: Time Series International Database: International...

    • s.cnmilf.com
    • catalog.data.gov
    Updated Aug 26, 2023
    + more versions
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    U.S. Census Bureau (2023). International Database: Time Series International Database: International Populations by Single Year of Age and Sex [Dataset]. https://s.cnmilf.com/user74170196/https/catalog.data.gov/dataset/international-data-base-time-series-international-database-international-populations-by-si
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    Dataset updated
    Aug 26, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    United States Census Bureauhttp://census.gov/
    Description

    Midyear population estimates and projections for all countries and areas of the world with a population of 5,000 or more // Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division, International Programs Center// Note: Total population available from 1950 to 2100 for 227 countries and areas. Other demographic variables available from base year to 2100. Base year varies by country and therefore data are not available for all years for all countries. For the United States, total population available from 1950-2060, and other demographic variables available from 1980-2060. See methodology at https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/international-programs/about/idb.html

  19. a

    Total Population SSPs

    • maps-cadoc.opendata.arcgis.com
    Updated Apr 27, 2023
    + more versions
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    ArcGIS Living Atlas Team (2023). Total Population SSPs [Dataset]. https://maps-cadoc.opendata.arcgis.com/maps/arcgis-content::total-population-ssps
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 27, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    ArcGIS Living Atlas Team
    Area covered
    Description

    This layer shares SEDAC's population projections for U.S. counties for 2020-2100 in increments of 5 years, for each of five population projection scenarios known as Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). This layer supports mapping, data visualizations, analysis and data exports.Before using this layer, read:The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview by Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Elmar Kriegler, Jae Edmonds, Brian C. O’Neill, Shinichiro Fujimori, Nico Bauer, Katherine Calvin, Rob Dellink, Oliver Fricko, Wolfgang Lutz, Alexander Popp, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma, Samir KC, Marian Leimbach, Leiwen Jiang, Tom Kram, Shilpa Rao, Johannes Emmerling, Kristie Ebi, Tomoko Hasegawa, Petr Havlik, Florian Humpenöder, Lara Aleluia Da Silva, Steve Smith, Elke Stehfest, Valentina Bosetti, Jiyong Eom, David Gernaat, Toshihiko Masui, Joeri Rogelj, Jessica Strefler, Laurent Drouet, Volker Krey, Gunnar Luderer, Mathijs Harmsen, Kiyoshi Takahashi, Lavinia Baumstark, Jonathan C. Doelman, Mikiko Kainuma, Zbigniew Klimont, Giacomo Marangoni, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Michael Obersteiner, Andrzej Tabeau, Massimo Tavoni. Global Environmental Change, Volume 42, 2017, Pages 153-168, ISSN 0959-3780, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009.From the 2017 paper: "The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the climate change research community in order to facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The pathways were developed over the last years as a joint community effort and describe plausible major global developments that together would lead in the future to different challenges for mitigation and adaptation to climate change. The SSPs are based on five narratives describing alternative socio-economic developments, including sustainable development, regional rivalry, inequality, fossil-fueled development, and middle-of-the-road development. The long-term demographic and economic projections of the SSPs depict a wide uncertainty range consistent with the scenario literature."According to SEDAC, the purpose of this data is:"To provide subnational (county) population projection scenarios for the United States essential for understanding long-term demographic changes, planning for the future, and decision-making in a variety of applications."According to Francesco Bassetti of Foresight, "The SSP’s baseline worlds are useful because they allow us to see how different socioeconomic factors impact climate change. They include: a world of sustainability-focused growth and equality (SSP1); a “middle of the road” world where trends broadly follow their historical patterns (SSP2); a fragmented world of “resurgent nationalism” (SSP3); a world of ever-increasing inequality (SSP4);a world of rapid and unconstrained growth in economic output and energy use (SSP5).There are seven sublayers, each with county boundaries and an identical set of attribute fields containing projections for these seven groupings across the five SSPs and nine decades.Total PopulationBlack Non-Hispanic PopulationWhite Non-Hispanic PopulationOther Non-Hispanic PopulationHispanic PopulationMale PopulationFemale PopulationMethodology: Documentation for the Georeferenced U.S. County-Level Population Projections, Total and by Sex, Race and Age, Based on the SSPs, v1 (2020 – 2100)Data currency: This layer was created from a shapefile downloaded April 18, 2023 from SEDAC's Georeferenced U.S. County-Level Population Projections, Total and by Sex, Race and Age, Based on the SSPs, v1 (2020 – 2100)Enhancements found in this layer: Every field was given a field alias and field description created from SEDAC's Data Dictionary downloaded April 18, 2023. Citation: Hauer, M., and Center for International Earth Science Information Network - CIESIN - Columbia University. 2021. Georeferenced U.S. County-Level Population Projections, Total and by Sex, Race and Age, Based on the SSPs, 2020-2100. Palisades, New York: NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). https://doi.org/10.7927/dv72-s254. Accessed 18 April 2023.Hauer, M. E. 2019. Population Projections for U.S. Counties by Age, Sex, and Race Controlled to Shared Socioeconomic Pathway. Scientific Data 6: 190005. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2019.5.Distribution Liability: CIESIN follows procedures designed to ensure that data disseminated by CIESIN are of reasonable quality. If, despite these procedures, users encounter apparent errors or misstatements in the data, they should contact SEDAC User Services at +1 845-465-8920 or via email at ciesin.info@ciesin.columbia.edu. Neither CIESIN nor NASA verifies or guarantees the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of any data provided. CIESIN provides this data without warranty of any kind whatsoever, either expressed or implied. CIESIN shall not be liable for incidental, consequential, or special damages arising out of the use of any data provided by CIESIN.

  20. Z

    Pop-AUT: Subnational SSP Population Projections for Austria

    • data.niaid.nih.gov
    • zenodo.org
    Updated Jan 16, 2024
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    Marbler, Alexander (2024). Pop-AUT: Subnational SSP Population Projections for Austria [Dataset]. https://data.niaid.nih.gov/resources?id=zenodo_10477869
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    Dataset updated
    Jan 16, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Marbler, Alexander
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Austria
    Description

    General Information

    The Pop-AUT database was developed for the DISCC-AT project, which required subnational population projections for Austria consistent with the updated Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs). For this database, the most recent version of the nationwide SSP population projections (IIASA-WiC POP 2023) are spatially downscaled, offering a detailed perspective at the subnational level in Austria. Recognizing the relevance of this information for a wider audience, the data has been made publicly accessible through an interactive dashboard. There, users are invited to explore how the Austrian population is projected to evolve under different SSP scenarios until the end of this century.

    Methodology

    The downscaling process of the nationwide Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) population projections is a four-step procedure developed to obtain subnational demographic projections for Austria. In the first step, population potential surfaces for Austria are derived. These indicate the attractiveness of a location in terms of habitability and are obtained using machine learning techniques, specifically random forest models, along with geospatial information such as land use, roads, elevation, distance to cities, and elevation (see, e.g., Wang et al. 2023).

    The population potential surfaces play a crucial role in distributing the Austrian population effectively across the country. Calculations are based on the 1×1 km spatial resolution database provided by Wang et al. (2023), covering all SSPs in 5-year intervals from 2020 to 2100.

    Moving to the second step, the updated nationwide SSP population projections for Austria (IIASA-WiC POP 2023) are distributed to all 1×1 km grid cells within the country. This distribution is guided by the previously computed grid cell-level population potential surfaces, ensuring a more granular representation of demographic trends.

    The base year for all scenarios is 2015, obtained by downscaling the UN World Population Prospects 2015 count for Austria using the WorldPop (2015) 1×1 km population count raster.

    In the third step, the 1×1 km population projections are temporally interpolated to obtain yearly projections for all SSP scenarios spanning the period from 2015 to 2100.

    The final step involves the spatial aggregation of the gridded SSP-consistent population projections to the administrative levels of provinces (Bundesländer), districts (Bezirke), and municipalities (Gemeinden).

    Dashboard

    The data can be explored interactively through a dashboard.

    Data Inputs

    Updated nationwide SSP population projections: IIASA-WiC POP (2023) (https://zenodo.org/records/7921989)

    Population potential surfaces: Wang, X., Meng, X., & Long, Y. (2022). Projecting 1 km-grid population distributions from 2020 to 2100 globally under shared socioeconomic pathways. Scientific Data, 9(1), 563.

    Shapefiles: data.gv.at

    WorldPop 2015: WorldPop (www.worldpop.org - School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton; Department of Geography and Geosciences, University of Louisville; Departement de Geographie, Universite de Namur) and Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University (2018). Global High Resolution Population Denominators Project - Funded by The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1134076). https://dx.doi.org/10.5258/SOTON/WP00647

    Version

    This is version 1.0, built upon the Review-Phase 2 version of the updated nationwide SSP population projections (IIASA-WiC POP 2023). Once these projections are revised, this dataset will be accordingly updated.

    File Organization

    The SSP-consistent population projections for Austria are accessible in two formats: .csv files for administrative units (provinces = Bundesländer, districts = Politische Bezirke, municipalities = Gemeinden) and 1×1 km raster files in GeoTIFF and NetCDF formats. All files encompass annual population counts spanning from 2015 to 2100.

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Statista Research Department (2025). Forecast: world population, by continent 2100 [Dataset]. https://www.ai-chatbox.pro/?_=%2Ftopics%2F13342%2Faging-populations%2F%23XgboD02vawLKoDs%2BT%2BQLIV8B6B4Q9itA
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Forecast: world population, by continent 2100

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Dataset updated
Apr 8, 2025
Dataset provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Authors
Statista Research Department
Area covered
World
Description

Whereas the population is expected to decrease somewhat until 2100 in Asia, Europe, and South America, it is predicted to grow significantly in Africa. While there were 1.5 billion inhabitants on the continent at the beginning of 2024, the number of inhabitants is expected to reach 3.8 billion by 2100. In total, the global population is expected to reach nearly 10.4 billion by 2100. Worldwide population In the United States, the total population is expected to steadily increase over the next couple of years. In 2024, Asia held over half of the global population and is expected to have the highest number of people living in urban areas in 2050. Asia is home to the two most populous countries, India and China, both with a population of over one billion people. However, the small country of Monaco had the highest population density worldwide in 2021. Effects of overpopulation Alongside the growing worldwide population, there are negative effects of overpopulation. The increasing population puts a higher pressure on existing resources and contributes to pollution. As the population grows, the demand for food grows, which requires more water, which in turn takes away from the freshwater available. Concurrently, food needs to be transported through different mechanisms, which contributes to air pollution. Not every resource is renewable, meaning the world is using up limited resources that will eventually run out. Furthermore, more species will become extinct which harms the ecosystem and food chain. Overpopulation was considered to be one of the most important environmental issues worldwide in 2020.

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