The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Jerome Powell FED Press Conference Transcripts Dataset

Dataset Overview

The most comprehensive collection of Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve press conference transcripts (2018-2025) - perfect for NLP, sentiment analysis, and financial market research!

This dataset contains clean, structured transcripts from every FOMC press conference where Jerome Powell spoke as Federal Reserve Chair, with automated name tagging and text cleaning for immediate use in machine learning projects, data analysis or research.

ML Project ideas:

• LLM fine tuning - Create a Jerome Powell LLM, and ask it what will the FED do
• Sentiment Analysis - How Powell's tone affects markets
• Topic Modeling - Key themes in Fed communications
• Named Entity Recognition - Financial figure identification
• Time Series Analysis - Policy evolution over time
• Predictive Modeling - Market reaction forecasting

📊 Dataset Statistics - Data Points: 50,000+ text segments - Time Coverage: 6+ years of Fed communications - Market Events: 3 major economic cycles - Policy Changes: 15+ interest rate decisions - Market Impact: $100+ billion in daily volatility

🔥 Community ideas:

1. "Powell Sentiment Index"

• Real-time Fed sentiment scoring
• Market Impact: Predict market reactions to Fed communications
• Social Sharing: Daily sentiment updates on Twitter/LinkedIn #### 2. "Fed Policy Predictor"
• Predict Fed decisions before they happen
• Accuracy: Historical prediction validation
• Engagement: Weekly prediction contests #### 3. "Powell Word Cloud Generator" ☁️
• Visual representation of Fed priorities
• Interactive: Real-time word cloud updates
• Shareable: Perfect for social media #### 4. "Market Reaction Analyzer" Quantify Powell's market impact
• Real-time: Live analysis during press conferences
• Trading: Identify profitable trading opportunities

Author: Jonathan Paserman

This dataset quantifies hawkish and dovish headline volumes in financial media and maps them to the effective Fed Funds Rate from Jan 2018 to Jul 2025 (Chair Powell’s tenure). Using keyword-filtered, time-stamped headlines as a proxy for tone, it tracks sentiment volume (frequency and dominance of narratives) and overlays those dynamics against realised policy. What it shows Lead–lag behaviour: Dovish surges often precede easing (e.g., 2020 crisis), while hawkish momentum typically builds alongside inflation data into 2022–23 tightening. Narrative regimes: Blue (dovish) vs red (hawkish) bars reveal regime shifts where tone turns before action. Policy alignment: The Fed Funds Rate (black line) anchors sentiment to policy outcomes, clarifying when media tone diverges from guidance. How to use it Early-warning signals: Monitor shifts in sentiment volume as leading indicators of potential Fed pivots. Scenario design: Pair narrative momentum with CPI, labour prints, and term premium for policy path scenarios. Cross-asset testing: Examine lead–lag impacts on equities, USD, gold, and the curve around FOMC windows. Risk controls: Trigger pre-event hedges when narrative pressure materially diverges from the Fed’s stance. 2025 read-through Rising dovish pressure despite a 4.25–4.50% hold, growing internal Fed dispersion, and political noise indicate a widening sentiment–policy gap— historically a precursor to policy inflection.

Graph and download economic data for Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT (MTPOWE7URN) from Jan 1990 to Aug 2025 about Powell County, MT; MT; unemployment; rate; and USA.

Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT was 2.70% in August of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 13.40 in June of 1992 and a record low of 2.20 in September of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on December of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Unemployment Rate in Powell County, KY (KYPOWE7URN) from Jan 1990 to Aug 2025 about Powell County, KY; KY; unemployment; rate; and USA.

A dataset of mentions, growth rate, and total volume of the keyphrase 'Fed Chair Jerome Powell' over time.

Graph and download economic data for Premature Death Rate for Powell County, MT (CDC20N2U030077) from 2000 to 2020 about Powell County, MT; premature; death; MT; rate; and USA.

Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT was 3.50% in January of 2024, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 9.50 in January of 2009 and a record low of 3.00 in January of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Unemployment Rate in Powell County, KY was 5.20% in January of 2024, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Unemployment Rate in Powell County, KY reached a record high of 16.20 in January of 2009 and a record low of 4.10 in January of 2022. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Unemployment Rate in Powell County, KY - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Unemployment Rate in Powell County, KY was 4.20% in August of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Unemployment Rate in Powell County, KY reached a record high of 19.10 in January of 2010 and a record low of 3.30 in November of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Unemployment Rate in Powell County, KY - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Age-Adjusted Premature Death Rate for Powell County, MT was 503.40000 Rate per 100,000 in January of 2020, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Age-Adjusted Premature Death Rate for Powell County, MT reached a record high of 517.20000 in January of 2012 and a record low of 238.30000 in January of 1999. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Age-Adjusted Premature Death Rate for Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Premature Death Rate for Powell County, KY was 1097.30000 Rate per 100,000 in January of 2020, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Premature Death Rate for Powell County, KY reached a record high of 1097.30000 in January of 2020 and a record low of 489.20000 in January of 2001. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Premature Death Rate for Powell County, KY - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Age-Adjusted Premature Death Rate for Powell County, KY was 881.00000 Rate per 100,000 in January of 2020, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Age-Adjusted Premature Death Rate for Powell County, KY reached a record high of 881.00000 in January of 2020 and a record low of 484.10000 in January of 2001. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Age-Adjusted Premature Death Rate for Powell County, KY - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Homeownership (5-year estimate) for Powell County, MT was 72.78988 Rate in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Homeownership (5-year estimate) for Powell County, MT reached a record high of 74.99127 in January of 2010 and a record low of 68.13680 in January of 2015. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Homeownership (5-year estimate) for Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on October of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Premature Death Rate for Powell County, KY (CDC20N2U021197) from 1999 to 2020 about Powell County, KY; premature; death; KY; rate; and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Homeownership Rate (5-year estimate) for Powell County, KY (HOWNRATEACS021197) from 2009 to 2023 about Powell County, KY; homeownership; KY; 5-year; housing; rate; and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Rate of Preventable Hospital Admissions (5-year estimate) in Powell County, KY (DISCONTINUED) (DMPCRATE021197) from 2008 to 2015 about Powell County, KY; preventable; admissions; hospitals; KY; 5-year; rate; and USA.