Esri ArcGIS Mission for Defense Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global Esri ArcGIS Mission for Defense market size in 2024 stands at USD 2.85 billion, with a robust compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.2% projected through the forecast period. By 2033, the market is expected to reach USD 8.14 billion, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions, the increasing adoption of real-time geospatial intelligence, and the need for advanced situational awareness in defense operations. The market’s upward trajectory is underpinned by the rapid digital transformation within the defense sector, where mission-critical decisions increasingly rely on accurate, real-time geospatial data and collaborative tools.

The primary growth driver for the Esri ArcGIS Mission for Defense market is the surging demand for integrated situational awareness solutions. Defense organizations worldwide are investing heavily in technologies that enable real-time data collection, analysis, and dissemination across multiple domains. The ability to visualize, analyze, and share geospatial data in mission-critical environments is transforming how military operations are planned and executed. As asymmetric warfare and hybrid threats become more prevalent, defense agencies are compelled to leverage advanced GIS platforms like Esri ArcGIS Mission to enhance operational effectiveness, reduce response times, and improve mission outcomes. This trend is further amplified by the integration of AI and machine learning, which enables predictive analytics and automated threat detection within the ArcGIS ecosystem.

Another significant factor fueling market growth is the increasing emphasis on interoperability and collaboration across defense forces. Modern military operations often require seamless coordination among diverse units and allied forces, making unified geospatial platforms indispensable. Esri ArcGIS Mission facilitates real-time collaboration, enabling distributed teams to access, update, and act upon shared geospatial intelligence. This capability not only supports joint operations but also enhances the agility and adaptability of defense organizations in rapidly evolving scenarios. As defense budgets prioritize digital modernization, investments in robust geospatial solutions are expected to accelerate, further propelling the market forward.

The growing prevalence of cloud-based deployments is also a critical catalyst for market expansion. Cloud platforms offer unparalleled scalability, flexibility, and cost-efficiency, making them ideal for defense agencies seeking to modernize their IT infrastructure without incurring prohibitive capital expenditures. Esri’s cloud-enabled ArcGIS Mission allows for secure, centralized data management and on-demand access to geospatial intelligence, even in remote or contested environments. As more defense organizations transition to cloud-first strategies, the demand for cloud-native GIS solutions is poised to surge, unlocking new growth opportunities for the market.

From a regional perspective, North America dominates the Esri ArcGIS Mission for Defense market, accounting for over 38% of global revenue in 2024. The region’s leadership is attributed to substantial defense budgets, early technology adoption, and the presence of key market players such as Esri Inc. Europe and Asia Pacific are also witnessing rapid growth, fueled by rising security concerns, increased defense spending, and government initiatives to modernize military capabilities. The Middle East & Africa and Latin America, while smaller in market share, are expected to demonstrate above-average growth rates, driven by ongoing security challenges and the need for advanced situational awareness tools.

Component Analysis

The Component segment of the Esri ArcGIS Mission for Defense market is bifurcated into Software and Services. Software represents the core of the market, encompassing a suite of GIS applications, mission management tools, and real-time analytics platforms. The demand for advanced software solutions is propelled by the need for intuitive user interfaces, robust data visualization, and seamless integration with existing defense IT infrastructure. Esri’s software offerings are renowned for their scalability and ability to support complex mission planning, situational awareness, and geospatial intelligence tasks. As defense a

Spatial Data Modeller, SDM, is a collection of tools for use with GIS software for adding categorical maps with interval, ordinal, or ratio scale maps to produce a predictive map of where something of interest is likely to occur. The tools include the data-driven methods of Weights of Evidence, Logistic Regression, and two supervised and one unsupervised neural network methods, and categorical tools for a knowledge-driven method Fuzzy Logic. All of the tools have help files that include references to publications discussing the applications of the methods implemented in the tool. Several of the tools create output rasters, tables, or files that require the user to enter a name. Default values are provided in most cases to serve as suggestions of the style of naming that has been found useful. These names, following ArcGIS conventions, can be changed to meet the user’s needs. To make all of the features of SDM work properly it is required that several Environment parameters are set. See the discussion of Environment Settings below for the details. The Weights of Evidence, WofE, and Logistic Regression, LR, tools addresses area as the count of unit cells. It is assumed in the WofE and LR tools that the data has spatial units of meters. If your data has other spatial units, these WofE and LR tools may not work properly.

Website:

http://www.ige.unicamp.br/sdm/

The Geospatial Analytics Market size was valued at USD 98.93 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 227.04 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.6 % during the forecasts period. The Geospatial Analytics Market describes an application of technologies and approaches processing geographic and spatial data for intelligence and decision-making purposes. This market comprises of mapping tools and software, spatial data and geographic information systems (GIS) used in various fields including urban planning, environmental, transport and defence. Use varies from inventory tracking and control to route optimization and assessment of changes in environment. Other trends are the growth of big data and machine learning to improve the predictive methods, the improved real-time data processing the use of geographic data in combination with other technologies, for example, IoT and cloud. Some of the factors that are fuelling the need to find a marketplace for GIS solutions include; Increasing importance of place-specific information Increasing possibilities for data collection The need to properly manage spatial information in a high stand environment. Recent developments include: In May 2023, Google launched Google Geospatial Creator, a powerful tool that allows users to create immersive AR experiences that are both accurate and visually stunning. It is powered by Photorealistic 3D Tiles and ARCore from Google Maps Platform and can be used with Unity or Adobe Aero. Geospatial Creator provides a 3D view of the world, allowing users to place their digital content in the real world, similar to Google Earth and Google Street View. , In April 2023, Hexagon AB launched the HxGN AgrOn Control Room. It is a mobile app that allows managers and directors of agricultural companies to monitor all field operations in real time. It helps managers identify and address problems quickly, saving time and money. Additionally, the app can help to improve safety by providing managers with a way to monitor the location and status of field workers. , In December 2022, ESRI India announced the availability of Indo ArcGIS offerings on Indian public clouds and services to provide better management, collecting, forecasting, and analyzing location-based data. , In May 2022, Trimble announced the launch of the Trimble R12i GNSS receiver, which has a powerful tilt adjustment feature. It enables land surveyors to concentrate on the task and finish it more quickly and precisely. , In May 2021, Foursquare purchased Unfolded, a US-based provider of location-based services. This US-based firm provides location-based services and goods, including data enrichment analytics and geographic data visualization. With this acquisition, Foursquare aims to provide its users access to various first and third-party data sets and integrate them with the geographical characteristics. , In January 2021, ESRI, a U.S.-based geospatial image analytics solutions provider, introduced the ArcGIS platform. ArcGIS Platform by ESRI operates on a cloud consumption paradigm. App developers generally use this technology to figure out how to include location capabilities in their apps, business operations, and goods. It aids in making geospatial technologies accessible. .

Background: Malaria continues to pose a major public health challenge in tropical regions. Despite significant efforts to control malaria in Tanzania, there are still residual transmission cases. Unfortunately, little is known about where these residual malaria transmission cases occur and how they spread. In Tanzania, for example, the transmission is heterogeneously distributed. In order to effectively control and prevent the spread of malaria, it is essential to understand the spatial distribution and transmission patterns of the disease. This study seeks to predict areas that are at high risk of malaria transmission so that intervention measures can be developed to accelerate malaria elimination efforts.

Methods: This study employs a geospatial-based model to predict and map out malaria risk area in Kilombero Valley. Environmental factors related to malaria transmission were considered and assigned valuable weights in the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), an online system using a pairwise comparison technique. The malaria hazard map was generated by a weighted overlay of the altitude, slope, curvature, aspect, rainfall distribution, and distance to streams in Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Finally, the risk map was created by overlaying components of malaria risk including hazards, elements at risk, and vulnerability. Results: The study demonstrates that the majority of the study area falls under the moderate-risk level (61%), followed by the low-risk level (31%), while the high-malaria risk area covers a small area, which occupies only 8% of the total area. Conclusion: The findings of this study are crucial for developing spatially targeted interventions against malaria transmission in residual transmission settings. Predicted areas prone to malaria risk provide information that will inform decision-makers and policymakers for proper planning, monitoring, and deployment of interventions. Methods Data acquisition and description The study employed both primary and secondary data, which were collected from numerous sources based on the input required for the implementation of the predictive model. Data collected includes the locations of all public and private health centers that were downloaded free from the health portal of the United Republic of Tanzania, Ministry of Health, Community Development, Gender, Elderly, and Children, through the universal resource locator (URL) (http://moh.go.tz/hfrportal/). Human population data was collected from the 2012 population housing census (PHC) for the United Republic of Tanzania report. Rainfall data were obtained from two local offices; Kilombero Agricultural Training and Research Institute (KATRIN) and Kilombero Valley Teak Company (KVTC). These offices collect meteorological data for agricultural purposes. Monthly data from 2012 to 2017 provided from thirteen (13) weather stations. Road and stream network shapefiles were downloaded free from the MapCruzin website via URL (https://mapcruzin.com/free-tanzania-arcgis-maps-shapefiles.htm). With respect to the size of the study area, five neighboring scenes of the Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS images (path/row: 167/65, 167/66, 167/67, 168/66 and 168/67) were downloaded freely from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) website via URL: http://earthexplorer.usgs.gov. From July to November 2017, the images were selected and downloaded from the USGS Earth Explorer archive based on the lowest amount of cloud cover coverage as viewed from the archive before downloading. Finally, the digital elevation data with a spatial resolution of three arc-seconds (90m by 90m) using WGS 84 datum and the Geographic Coordinate System were downloaded free from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) via URL (https://dds.cr.usgs.gov/srtm/version2_1/SRTM3/Africa/). Only six tiles that fall in the study area were downloaded, coded tiles as S08E035, S09E035, S10E035, S08E036, S09E036, S10E036, S08E037, S09E037 and S10E037. Preparation and Creation of Model Factor Parameters Creation of Elevation Factor All six coded tiles were imported into the GIS environment for further analysis. Data management tools, with raster/raster data set/mosaic to new raster feature, were used to join the tiles and form an elevation map layer. Using the spatial analyst tool/reclassify feature, the generated elevation map was then classified into five classes as 109–358, 359–530, 531–747, 748–1017 and >1018 m.a.s.l. and new values were assigned for each class as 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5, respectively, with regards to the relationship with mosquito distribution and malaria risk. Finally, the elevation map based on malaria risk level is levelled as very high, high, moderate, low and very low respectively. Creation of Slope Factor A slope map was created from the generated elevation map layer, using a spatial analysis tool/surface/slope feature. Also, the slope raster layer was further reclassified into five subgroups based on predefined slope classes using standard classification schemes, namely quantiles as 0–0.58, 0.59–2.90, 2.91–6.40, 6.41–14.54 and >14.54. This classification scheme divides the range of attribute values into equal-sized sub-ranges, which allow specifying the number of the intervals while the system determines where the breaks should be. The reclassified slope raster layer subgroups were ranked 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 according to the degree of suitability for malaria incidence in the locality. To elaborate, the steeper slope values are related to lesser malaria hazards, and the gentler slopes are highly susceptible to malaria incidences. Finally, the slope map based on malaria risk level is leveled as very high, high, moderate, low and very low respectively. Creation of Curvature Factor Curvature is another topographical factor that was created from the generated elevation map using the spatial analysis tool/surface/curvature feature. The curvature raster layer was further reclassified into five subgroups based on predefined curvature class. The reclassified curvature raster layer subgroups were ranked to 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 according to their degree of suitability for malaria occurrence. To explain, this affects the acceleration and deceleration of flow across the surface. A negative value indicates that the surface is upwardly convex, and flow will be decelerated, which is related to being highly susceptible to malaria incidences. A positive profile indicates that the surface is upwardly concave and the flow will be accelerated which is related to a lesser malaria hazard, while a value of zero indicates that the surface is linear and related to a moderate malaria hazard. Lastly, the curvature map based on malaria risk level is leveled as very high, high, moderate, low, and very low respectively.
Creation of Aspect Factor As a topographic factor associated with mosquito larval habitat formation, aspect determines the amount of sunlight an area receives. The more sunlight received the stronger the influence on temperature, which may affect mosquito larval survival. The aspect of the study area also was generated from the elevation map using spatial analyst tools/ raster /surface /aspect feature. The aspect raster layer was further reclassified into five subgroups based on predefined aspect class. The reclassified aspect raster layer subgroups were ranked as 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 according to the degree of suitability for malaria incidence, and new values were re-assigned in order of malaria hazard rating. Finally, the aspect map based on malaria risk level is leveled as very high, high, moderate, low, and very low, respectively. Creation of Human Population Distribution Factor Human population data was used to generate a population distribution map related to malaria occurrence. Kilombero Valley has a total of 42 wards, the data was organized in Ms excel 2016 and imported into the GIS environment for the analysis, Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) interpolation in the spatial analyst tool was applied to interpolate the population distribution map. The population distribution map was further reclassified into five subgroups based on potential to malaria risk. The reclassified map layer subgroups were ranked according to the vulnerability to malaria incidence in the locality such as areas having high population having the highest vulnerability and the less population having less vulnerable, and the new value was assigned as 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5, and then leveled as very high, high, moderate, low and very low malaria risk level, respectively. Creation of Proximity to Health Facilities Factor The distribution of health facilities has a significant impact on the malaria vulnerability of the population dwellings in the Kilombero Valley. The health facility layer was created by computing distance analysis using proximity multiple ring buffer features in spatial analyst tool/multiple ring buffer. Then the map layer was reclassified into five sub-layers such as within (0–5) km, (5.1–10) km, (10.1–20) km, (20.1–50) km and >50km. According to a WHO report, it is indicated that the human population who live nearby or easily accessible to health facilities is less vulnerable to malaria incidence than the ones who are very far from the health facilities due to the distance limitation for the health services. Later on, the new values were assigned as 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5, and then reclassified as very high, high, moderate, low and very low malaria risk levels, respectively. Creation of Proximity to Road Network Factor The distance to the road network is also a significant factor, as it can be used as an estimation of the access to present healthcare facilities in the area. Buffer zones were calculated on the path of the road to determine the effect of the road on malaria prevalence. The road shapefile of the study area was inputted into GIS environment and spatial analyst tools / multiple ring buffer feature were used to generate five buffer zones with the

Soil erosion is an increasingly issue worldwide, due to several factors including climate variations and humans’ activities, especially in Mediterranean ecosystems. Therefore, the aim of this paper is: (i) to quantify and to predict soil erosion rate for the baseline period (2000–2013) and a future period (2014–2027), using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) and the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model in the R’Dom watershed in Morocco, based on the opportunities of Remote Sensing (RS) techniques and Geographical Information System (GIS) geospatial tools. (ii) we based on classical statistical downscaling model (SDSM) for rainfall prediction. Due to the lack of field data, the model results are validated by expert knowledge. As a result of this study, it is found that both agricultural lands and bare lands are most affected by soil erosion. Moreover, it is showed that soil erosion in the watershed was dominated by very low and low erosion. Although the area of very low erosion and low erosion continued to decrease. Hence, we hereby envisage that our contribution will provide a more complete understanding of the soil degradation in this study area and the results of this research could be a crucial reference in soil erosion studies and also may serve as a valuable guidance for watershed management strategies.https://doi.org/10.3390/land11010093