Gold fell to 4,199.97 USD/t.oz on December 2, 2025, down 0.75% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gold's price has risen 4.93%, and is up 58.92% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gold - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

In 2024, one troy ounce of gold had an annual average price of ******** U.S. dollars. Gold pricing determinants Gold is a metal that is considered malleable, ductile, and is known for its bright lustrous yellow color. This transition metal is highly valued as a precious metal for its use in coins, jewelry, and in investments. Gold was also once used as a standard for monetary policies between different countries. The price of gold is determined by daily fixings where participants agree to buy or sell at a set price or to maintain the price through supply and demand control. For gold, companies like Barclays Capital, Scotia-Mocatta, Sociétè Générale, HSBC, and Deutsche Bank are members in gold fixing at the London Bullion Market Association.

In August 2022, the gold price stood at $56.6K per kg (FOB, Australia), falling by -2% against the previous month.

Context

Historically, gold had been used as a form of currency in various parts of the world including the USA. In present times, precious metals like gold are held with central banks of all countries to guarantee re-payment of foreign debts, and also to control inflation which results in reflecting the financial strength of the country. Recently, emerging world economies, such as China, Russia, and India have been big buyers of gold, whereas the USA, SoUSA, South Africa, and Australia are among the big seller of gold.

Forecasting rise and fall in the daily gold rates can help investors to decide when to buy (or sell) the commodity. But Gold prices are dependent on many factors such as prices of other precious metals, prices of crude oil, stock exchange performance, Bonds prices, currency exchange rates, etc.

The challenge of this project is to accurately predict the future adjusted closing price of Gold ETF across a given period of time in the future. The problem is a regression problem, because the output value which is the adjusted closing price in this project is continuous value.

Content

Data for this study is collected from November 18th 2011 to January 1st 2019 from various sources. The data has 1718 rows in total and 80 columns in total. Data for attributes, such as Oil Price, Standard and Poor’s (S&P) 500 index, Dow Jones Index US Bond rates (10 years), Euro USD exchange rates, prices of precious metals Silver and Platinum and other metals such as Palladium and Rhodium, prices of US Dollar Index, Eldorado Gold Corporation and Gold Miners ETF were gathered.

The dataset has 1718 rows in total and 80 columns in total. Data for attributes, such as Oil Price, Standard and Poor’s (S&P) 500 index, Dow Jones Index US Bond rates (10 years), Euro USD exchange rates, prices of precious metals Silver and Platinum and other metals such as Palladium and Rhodium, prices of US Dollar Index, Eldorado Gold Corporation and Gold Miners ETF were gathered.

The historical data of Gold ETF fetched from Yahoo finance has 7 columns, Date, Open, High, Low, Close, Adjusted Close, and Volume, the difference between Adjusted Close and Close is that the closing price of a stock is the price of that stock at the close of the trading day. Whereas the adjusted closing price takes into account factors such as dividends, stock splits, and new stock offerings to determine a value. So, Adjusted Close is the outcome variable which is the value you have to predict.

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Acknowledgements

The data is collected from Yahoo finance.

Inspiration

Can you predict Gold prices accurately using traditional machine learning algorithms

Silver fell to 57.28 USD/t.oz on December 2, 2025, down 1.22% from the previous day. Over the past month, Silver's price has risen 19.11%, and is up 84.81% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Silver - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

Context

This is a multi factor data set about crude oil futures

Including the rise and fall of the US dollar index and the US dollar index, and the rise and fall of gold price and gold price

The time length is from 2020 to 2021, and the time granularity is days

Platinum fell to 1,646.20 USD/t.oz on December 2, 2025, down 0.99% from the previous day. Over the past month, Platinum's price has risen 5.18%, and is up 73.12% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Platinum - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

In 2024, an estimated *** metric tons of gold were consumed across the United States. Gold consumption in the North American country has experienced a continual annual decline since 2021, when figures reached a record high of *** metric tons. Gold trade in the United States The United States imported an estimated *** metric tons worth of gold for consumption purposes in 2024. This was the second-lowest import volume reported by the North American country since the year 2010. Most of the gold shipments came from Mexico – accounting for more than ** percent – with other important trading partners including neighboring country Canada, as well as Colombia. Meanwhile, the volume of gold exported from the United States jumpped to an estimated *** metric tons in 2024. Gold: a dynamic and precious commodity Gold is one of the most precious and coveted elements on Earth. It is relatively rare, which contributes greatly to the element's value. Demand for gold has increased constantly over the last decade. This has influenced the price of gold on the global market, which is an important indicator of the global economy. With approximately ***** metric tons worth of gold reserves, the United States is amongst the largest gold holding countries worldwide, topped only by Australia, Russia, and South Africa.

In the last five years, the jewellery manufacturing industry has recorded a slight decline in sales on average. Between 2019 and 2024, industry sales fell by an average of 0.3% per year, primarily due to the challenges posed by the pandemic. However, since the lifting of the strict lockdown measures in the second half of 2021, there has been a catch-up effect in marriages, leading to an increase in demand for wedding and engagement rings. Nevertheless, jewellery manufacturers are facing increasing price pressure from cheap imports and rising raw material costs, as they have to source precious metals from abroad. Higher raw material prices in some cases are also contributing to rising sales, as jewellery manufacturers pass on rising material costs to their customers. Industry turnover is expected to fall by 1.5% to 751 million euros in 2024, as high inflation tends to have a negative impact on demand for luxury goods such as jewellery. Tourism, which is important for the retail sector, has been picking up again since 2021, which is having a positive impact on demand for jewellery. However, the jewellery industry will continue to face challenges such as increasing price pressure from cheap imports and the rising cost of raw materials. In addition, jewellery manufacturers could benefit from the trend towards sustainable and ethically responsible jewellery, as more and more consumers are placing value on environmentally friendly and socially responsible products.Over the next five years, IBISWorld expects industry turnover to fall by an average of 0.6% per year and reach 729.7 million euros in 2029. The main reasons for the slight decline in sales forecast are the strong price competition with suppliers from abroad and the falling number of marriages, which is reducing the demand for wedding rings. Nevertheless, efficiency gains are expected due to the gradual implementation of networked production lines.

Selected model for falls within 6-months of follow-up (developed and internally validated).