This statistic shows the twenty countries with the projected largest urban populations worldwide in 2050. Forecasts estimate that the urban population of China will be 1.09 billion people in 2050.

Of the G7 countries, Canada, the United Kingdom and the United States were forecast to have a constant population increase until 2050. In Japan, Germany, and Italy, the population is forecast to constantly decline due to aging populations and falling fertility rates. In France, the population was first expected to decline from 2048.

Projections published in 2022 estimated that the population in Italy will decrease in the following years. In January 2024, the Italian population added up to 59 million people, but in 2030 Italians will be 57.5 million individuals. Twenty years later, the population will be around 52.3 million people. Low birth rate and old population The birth rate in Italy has constantly dropped in the last years. In 2023, 6.4 children were born per 1,000 inhabitants, three babies less than in 2002. Nationwide, the highest number of births was registered in the southern regions, whereas central Italy had the lowest number of children born every 1,000 people. More specifically, the birth rate in the south stood at 7 infants, while in the center it was equal to 5.9 births. Consequently, the population in Italy has aged over the last decade. Between 2002 and 2024, the age distribution of the Italian population showed a growing share of people aged 65 years and older. As a result, the share of young people decreased. The European exception Similarly, the population in Europe is estimated to decrease in the coming years. In 2024, there were 740 million people living in Europe. In 2100, the figure is expected to drop to 586 million inhabitants. However, projections of the world population suggest that Europe might be the only continent experiencing a population decrease. For instance, the population in Africa could grow from 1.41 billion people in 2022 to 3.92 billion individuals in 2100, the fastest population growth worldwide.

50 year Projected Urban Growth scenarios. Base year is 2000. Projected year in this dataset is 2050.

By 2020, most forecasters agree, California will be home to between 43 and 46 million residents-up from 35 million today. Beyond 2020 the size of California's population is less certain. Depending on the composition of the population, and future fertility and migration rates, California's 2050 population could be as little as 50 million or as much as 70 million. One hundred years from now, if present trends continue, California could conceivably have as many as 90 million residents. Where these future residents will live and work is unclear. For most of the 20th Century, two-thirds of Californians have lived south of the Tehachapi Mountains and west of the San Jacinto Mountains-in that part of the state commonly referred to as Southern California. Yet most of coastal Southern California is already highly urbanized, and there is relatively little vacant land available for new development. More recently, slow-growth policies in Northern California and declining developable land supplies in Southern California are squeezing ever more of the state's population growth into the San Joaquin Valley. How future Californians will occupy the landscape is also unclear. Over the last fifty years, the state's population has grown increasingly urban. Today, nearly 95 percent of Californians live in metropolitan areas, mostly at densities less than ten persons per acre. Recent growth patterns have strongly favored locations near freeways, most of which where built in the 1950s and 1960s. With few new freeways on the planning horizon, how will California's future growth organize itself in space? By national standards, California's large urban areas are already reasonably dense, and economic theory suggests that densities should increase further as California's urban regions continue to grow. In practice, densities have been rising in some urban counties, but falling in others.

These are important issues as California plans its long-term future. Will California have enough land of the appropriate types and in the right locations to accommodate its projected population growth? Will future population growth consume ever-greater amounts of irreplaceable resource lands and habitat? Will jobs continue decentralizing, pushing out the boundaries of metropolitan areas? Will development densities be sufficient to support mass transit, or will future Californians be stuck in perpetual gridlock? Will urban and resort and recreational growth in the Sierra Nevada and Trinity Mountain regions lead to the over-fragmentation of precious natural habitat? How much water will be needed by California's future industries, farms, and residents, and where will that water be stored? Where should future highway, transit, and high-speed rail facilities and rights-of-way be located? Most of all, how much will all this growth cost, both economically, and in terms of changes in California's quality of life? Clearly, the more precise our current understanding of how and where California is likely to grow, the sooner and more inexpensively appropriate lands can be acquired for purposes of conservation, recreation, and future facility siting. Similarly, the more clearly future urbanization patterns can be anticipated, the greater our collective ability to undertake sound city, metropolitan, rural, and bioregional planning.

Consider two scenarios for the year 2100. In the first, California's population would grow to 80 million persons and would occupy the landscape at an average density of eight persons per acre, the current statewide urban average. Under this scenario, and assuming that 10% percent of California's future population growth would occur through infill-that is, on existing urban land-California's expanding urban population would consume an additional 5.06 million acres of currently undeveloped land. As an alternative, assume the share of infill development were increased to 30%, and that new population were accommodated at a density of about 12 persons per acre-which is the current average density of the City of Los Angeles. Under this second scenario, California's urban population would consume an additional 2.6 million acres of currently undeveloped land. While both scenarios accommodate the same amount of population growth and generate large increments of additional urban development-indeed, some might say even the second scenario allows far too much growth and development-the second scenario is far kinder to California's unique natural landscape.

This report presents the results of a series of baseline population and urban growth projections for California's 38 urban counties through the year 2100. Presented in map and table form, these projections are based on extrapolations of current population trends and recent urban development trends. The next section, titled Approach, outlines the methodology and data used to develop the various projections. The following section, Baseline Scenario, reviews the projections themselves. A final section, entitled Baseline Impacts, quantitatively assesses the impacts of the baseline projections on wetland, hillside, farmland and habitat loss.

Mexico MX: Population Projection: Mid Year data was reported at 150,567,503.000 Person in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 150,471,915.000 Person for 2049. Mexico MX: Population Projection: Mid Year data is updated yearly, averaging 99,775,434.000 Person from Jun 1950 (Median) to 2050, with 101 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 150,567,503.000 Person in 2050 and a record low of 28,485,180.000 Person in 1950. Mexico MX: Population Projection: Mid Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Mexico – Table MX.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

United States US: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data was reported at 0.450 % in 2050. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.450 % for 2049. United States US: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data is updated yearly, averaging 0.700 % from Jun 2001 (Median) to 2050, with 50 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.980 % in 2006 and a record low of 0.450 % in 2050. United States US: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

India Population Projection: Single Year data was reported at 1,667,873,933.000 Person in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 1,658,330,351.000 Person for 2049. India Population Projection: Single Year data is updated yearly, averaging 1,394,461,787.000 Person from Mar 2001 (Median) to 2050, with 50 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1,667,873,933.000 Person in 2050 and a record low of 1,019,001,911.000 Person in 2001. India Population Projection: Single Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under India Premium Database’s Demographic – Table IN.GAI001: Population Projection: Single Year.

The West Africa Coastal Vulnerability Mapping: Population Projections, 2030 and 2050 data set is based on an unreleased working version of the Gridded Population of the World (GPW), Version 4, year 2010 population count raster but at a coarser 5 arc-minute resolution. Bryan Jones of Baruch College produced country-level projections based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 4 (SSP4). SSP4 reflects a divided world where cities that have relatively high standards of living, are attractive to internal and international migrants. In low income countries, rapidly growing rural populations live on shrinking areas of arable land due to both high population pressure and expansion of large-scale mechanized farming by international agricultural firms. This pressure induces large migration flow to the cities, contributing to fast urbanization, although urban areas do not provide many opportUnities for the poor and there is a massive expansion of slums and squatter settlements. This scenario may not be the most likely for the West Africa region, but it has internal coherence and is at least plausible.

Nigeria NG: Population Projection: Mid Year data was reported at 416,996,080.000 Person in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 409,470,192.000 Person for 2049. Nigeria NG: Population Projection: Mid Year data is updated yearly, averaging 125,580,732.000 Person from Jun 1950 (Median) to 2050, with 101 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 416,996,080.000 Person in 2050 and a record low of 31,796,939.000 Person in 1950. Nigeria NG: Population Projection: Mid Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Nigeria – Table NG.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

Kazakhstan KZ: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data was reported at 0.260 % in 2050. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.290 % for 2049. Kazakhstan KZ: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data is updated yearly, averaging 0.505 % from Jun 1989 (Median) to 2050, with 62 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.320 % in 2009 and a record low of -2.170 % in 1994. Kazakhstan KZ: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Kazakhstan – Table KZ.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

Before 2025, the world's total population is expected to reach eight billion. Furthermore, it is predicted to reach over 10 billion in 2060, before slowing again as global birth rates are expected to decrease. Moreover, it is still unclear to what extent global warming will have an impact on population development. A high share of the population increase is expected to happen on the African continent.

Pakistan PK: Population Projection: Mid Year data was reported at 290,847,790.000 Person in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 288,878,950.000 Person for 2049. Pakistan PK: Population Projection: Mid Year data is updated yearly, averaging 152,429,036.000 Person from Jun 1950 (Median) to 2050, with 101 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 290,847,790.000 Person in 2050 and a record low of 40,382,206.000 Person in 1950. Pakistan PK: Population Projection: Mid Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Pakistan – Table PK.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

New Zealand NZ: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data was reported at 0.100 % in 2050. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.110 % for 2049. New Zealand NZ: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data is updated yearly, averaging 0.650 % from Jun 1986 (Median) to 2050, with 65 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.730 % in 2002 and a record low of 0.100 % in 2050. New Zealand NZ: Population Projection: Mid Year: Growth data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s New Zealand – Table NZ.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

Taiwan TW: UCB Projection: Population: Mid Year: Growth data was reported at -0.940 % in 2050. This records a decrease from the previous number of -0.910 % for 2049. Taiwan TW: UCB Projection: Population: Mid Year: Growth data is updated yearly, averaging 0.100 % from Jun 1990 (Median) to 2050, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.140 % in 1990 and a record low of -0.940 % in 2050. Taiwan TW: UCB Projection: Population: Mid Year: Growth data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Taiwan – Table TW.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

Egypt EG: Population Projection: Mid Year data was reported at 168,937,974.000 Person in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 166,881,786.000 Person for 2049. Egypt EG: Population Projection: Mid Year data is updated yearly, averaging 65,504,309.000 Person from Jun 1950 (Median) to 2050, with 101 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 168,937,974.000 Person in 2050 and a record low of 21,197,691.000 Person in 1950. Egypt EG: Population Projection: Mid Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Egypt – Table EG.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

Projection of total population 2024-2050 Territorial entities: arrondissements (Wallonie), départements (Lorraine), Grand-Duché (Luxembourg), Kreise (Saarland, Rheinland-Pfalz) Statistical data sources: Destatis, Eurostat, Statbel, STATEC, Statistisches Amt Saarland, Statistisches Landesamt Rheinland-Pfalz. Calculations: OIE/IBA 2024 Geodata sources: ACT Luxembourg, IGN France, GeoBasis-DE / BKG, NGI-Belgium. Harmonization: SIG-GR / GIS-GR 2024 Link to interactive map: https://map.gis-gr.eu/theme/main?version=3&zoom=8&X=708580&Y=6429642&lang=fr&rotation=0&layers=2425&opacities=1&bgLayer=basemap_2015_global Link to Geocatalog: https://geocatalogue.gis-gr.eu/geonetwork/srv/eng/catalog.search#/metadata/05879c75-1c5f-4eea-be23-53e27662fb16 This dataset is published in the view service (WMS) available at: https://ws.geoportail.lu/wss/service/GR_Population_projection_WMS/guest with layer name(s): -Projection_20_64_years_2024_2050

Denmark DK: Population Projection: Mid Year data was reported at 6,266,278.000 Person in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 6,262,335.000 Person for 2049. Denmark DK: Population Projection: Mid Year data is updated yearly, averaging 5,337,416.000 Person from Jun 1950 (Median) to 2050, with 101 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6,266,278.000 Person in 2050 and a record low of 4,271,000.000 Person in 1950. Denmark DK: Population Projection: Mid Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Denmark – Table DK.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.

According to a population projection based on 2020 Census Data, in 2040, California's population will amount to 42.16 million inhabitants

TAZ Population and Employment Forecasts for the DVRPC region, 2015 - 2050. To be used for planning purposes.

As a part of DVRPC’s long-range planning activities, the Commission is required to maintain forecasts with at least a 20-year horizon, or to the horizon year of the long-range plan. Allocation of growth is forecasted using a land use model, UrbanSim, and working closely with member county planning staffs. DVRPC has prepared regional, county, and municipal-level population and employment forecasts in five-year increments through 2050, using 2015 Census population estimates and 2015 National Establishments Time Series (NETS) employment data as the base. A forthcoming Analytical Data Report will document the forecasting process and methodologies.

While the forecast is not adopted at the transportation analysis zone (TAZ) level, it is allocated to these zones for use in DVRPC’s travel demand model and conforms to municipal/district level adopted totals. This data provides TAZ-level population and employment. Other travel model attributes are available upon request. Note: while 2019 land use model results are provided, the forecast was only adopted for 2015, 2020, 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040, 2045, and 2050.

Philippines PH: Population Projection: Mid Year data was reported at 155,380,252.000 Person in 2050. This records an increase from the previous number of 154,083,502.000 Person for 2049. Philippines PH: Population Projection: Mid Year data is updated yearly, averaging 76,451,531.000 Person from Jun 1950 (Median) to 2050, with 101 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 155,380,252.000 Person in 2050 and a record low of 21,131,264.000 Person in 1950. Philippines PH: Population Projection: Mid Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Philippines – Table PH.US Census Bureau: Demographic Projection.