The Conservative party suffered a landslide defeat in the 2024 General Election, with the center-left Labour Party winning 412 seats, and the Conservatives just 121 seats. With 326 seats needed for a majority government, this was a crushing defeat for the Conservative Party, and the end of their 14 years in power. Despite winning a clear majority of seats, Labour won just 33.7 percent of the vote, just ahead of the Conservatives on 23.7 percent, and the Reform Party on 14.3 percent. Sunak unable to close the gap on Labour When Rishi Sunak announced the date of the 2024 general election on May 22, 2024, it ended months of speculation as to when the election would take place. Although Sunak likely hoped that more positive economic news regarding GDP growth and inflation would help him narrow the gap to Labour in the polls, this did not happen. Despite Keir Starmer's own unpopularity, Sunak was viewed even more unfavorably, perhaps due to his association with the chaotic reigns of his predecessors, Boris Johnson and Liz Truss. At this point, the Conservative's were also seen by the electorate as less competent than Labour on major issues such as the economy, immigration, and healthcare, and faced an uphill task in changing these perceptions in time. Major stories of the campaign The inability of the Conservative to close the gap on Labour was also not been helped by a series of unforced errors by the Tories. One of the main news stories at the start of June, for example, was Rishi Sunak leaving the D-Day commemorations in Normandy early, to attend a pre-planned interview. This was then overshadowed by an alleged insider betting scandal regarding Conservative election candidates and the date of the general election. Another key event was also the return of Nigel Farage to mainstream UK politics, after he took over leadership of Reform UK early in the campaign. Farage's return gave the right-wing party a noticeable boost in the polls, mainly at the expense of the Conservatives.

As of March 2025, approximately 26 percent of people in the UK would vote for the governing Labour Party in a potential general election, just ahead of the Reform Party on 25 percent, with the Conservatives third on 21 percent. Since returning to power, support for the Labour Party has fallen considerably, with the government's sinking approval rating approaching the unpopularity of the previous government. Labour's return to power in 2024 On May 22, 2024, Rishi Sunak announced his decision to hold the 2024 general election on July 4. Sunak's surprise announcement came shortly after some positive economic figures were released in the UK, and he may have hoped this would boost his poor job ratings and perhaps also his government's low approval ratings. This was a long-shot, however, and as predicted in the polls, Labour won the 2024 general election by a landslide, winning 412 out of 650 seats. The sting in the tale for the Labour Party was that despite this large majority, they won a relatively low share of the votes and almost immediately saw their popularity fall in the second half of 2024. Sunak's five pledges in 2023 After a tough 2022, in which Britain suffered through its worst cost of living crisis in a generation, the economy was consistently identified as the main issue facing the country, just ahead of healthcare. To respond to these concerns, Rishi Sunak started 2023 with five pledges; halve inflation, grow the economy, reduce national debt, cut NHS waiting times, and stop small boats. By the end of that year, just one pledge can be said to have been fully realized, with CPI inflation falling from 10.1 percent at the start of 2023 to four percent by the end of it. There is some ambiguity regarding the success of some of the other pledges. The economy shrank in the last two quarters of 2023 but started to grow again in early 2024. National debt increased slightly, while small boat arrivals declined compared to 2022, but were still higher than in most other years. The pledge to cut NHS waiting times was not fulfilled either, with the number of people awaiting treatment rising in 2023.

Principal projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics.

Period and cohort expectation of life in Wales using the principal projection by single year of age 0 to 100.

Forecast: Import of Projection Screens to the UK 2024 - 2028 Discover more data with ReportLinker!

It is forecast that the United Kingdom will install roughly 2.6 gigawatts of offshore wind energy in 2024. New capacity additions are forecast to reach 4.5 gigawatts in 2031, the year with the highest new installations in the forecast period.

Detailed disaggregated household projections for England, by region and local authority. The 2018-based projections are the most recent available.

This graph shows the resident population projection of middle aged people in the United Kingdom from 2020 to 2050, by age group. There is expected to be an overall growth in the numbers of middle aged people, however certain age groups are expected to fall in number, such as those aged from 50 to 54 years and 55 to 59 years.

The UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) probabilistic climate projections of climate change over land. These data consist of various meteorological parameters such as temperature, precipitation, surface pressure, humidity. The projections of future absolute climate that assign a probability level to different climate possibilities, the absolute values, percentage change relative to the observed climate (1961-1990) and percentiles of the parameter projections are provided over 30 year time periods over the projection period 2010-2099. The averaging periods provided are: 2010-2039, 2020-2049, 2030-2059, 2040-2069, 2050-2079, 2060-2089, 2070-2099. Data are provided over three aggregated areas, (1) a 25km grid over the UK, (2) administrative regions that are areas of the UK based on administrative boundaries and (3) river basins that are based on a division of the UK land area based on the Water Framework Directive River Basin Districts. In 2009 the first version of the UK probabilistic projections of climate change over land were provided. In 2013 an update was made to some of the files (version 2). Both versions of this data are made available here with the version 2 data being the most recent. These projections provides an absolute value for the future climate (as opposed to giving values that are relative to a baseline period). A probabilistic climate projection is a measure of strength of evidence in different future climate change outcomes. This measure is dependent on the method used, is based on the current available evidence and encapsulates some, but not all, of the uncertainty associated with projecting future climate. The climate projections report contains further details.

United Kingdom ONS Projection: Population: Deaths data was reported at 836.931 Person th in 2116. This records a decrease from the previous number of 837.061 Person th for 2115. United Kingdom ONS Projection: Population: Deaths data is updated yearly, averaging 811.698 Person th from Dec 2017 (Median) to 2116, with 100 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 837.061 Person th in 2115 and a record low of 591.786 Person th in 2018. United Kingdom ONS Projection: Population: Deaths data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Office for National Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.G005: Population: Projection: Office for National Statistics.

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Global climate model projections for the CMIP5 RCP8.5 emissions scenario produced as part of the UK Climate Projection 2018 (UKCP18) project. Data has been produced by the UK Met Office Hadley Centre, and provides information on changes in 21st century climate for the UK, helping to inform adaptation to a changing climate. The set of 28 projections is a combination of 15 coupled model simulations produced by the Met Office Hadley Centre, and 13 coupled simulations from CMIP5 contributed by different climate modelling centres. This data set provides information on changes in climate across the entire globe from 1900 to 2100 for RCP8.5. Each projection provides an example of climate variability in a changing climate, which is consistent across many climate variables at different times and spatial locations. This dataset contains regional averages for 16 administrative regions across the UK.

European Union Eurostat Projection: Population: EU 27 excl UK: Women data was reported at 210,461,140.000 Person in 2099. This records a decrease from the previous number of 210,471,160.000 Person for 2098. European Union Eurostat Projection: Population: EU 27 excl UK: Women data is updated yearly, averaging 220,952,082.000 Person from Dec 2017 (Median) to 2099, with 83 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 229,609,227.000 Person in 2025 and a record low of 210,461,140.000 Person in 2099. European Union Eurostat Projection: Population: EU 27 excl UK: Women data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Eurostat. The data is categorized under Global Database’s European Union – Table EU.G003: Eurostat: Population: by Sex: Projection.

The UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) probabilistic marine projections data are projections of a future climate with an associated probability. Monthly and annual data are provided for mean sea level pressure, temperature, precipitation and total cloud cover in 30 year averages (2010-2039, 2020-2049, 2030-2059, 2040-2069, 2050-2079, 2060-2089, 2070-2099).

These projections provide an absolute value for the future climate (as opposed to giving values that are relative to a baseline period). A probabilistic climate projection is a measure of the strength of evidence in different future climate change outcomes. This measure is dependent on the method used, is based on the currently available evidence and encapsulates some, but not all, of the uncertainty associated with projecting future climate.

The marine and coastal projections report contains further details (see linked documentation).

Forecast: Import of Image Projectors, Photographic Enlargers and Reducers to the UK 2024 - 2028 Discover more data with ReportLinker!

Electric vehicle sales are forecast to experience significant growth across segments through 2028. Battery-electric vehicles are projected to make up most of the 2028 sales, at around 451,600 sales.

United Kingdom ONS Projection: Population: Deaths: Male data was reported at 422.848 Person th in 2116. This records a decrease from the previous number of 422.930 Person th for 2115. United Kingdom ONS Projection: Population: Deaths: Male data is updated yearly, averaging 404.095 Person th from Dec 2017 (Median) to 2116, with 100 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 422.930 Person th in 2115 and a record low of 289.401 Person th in 2018. United Kingdom ONS Projection: Population: Deaths: Male data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Office for National Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.G005: Population: Projection: Office for National Statistics.

Forecast: Obesity Prevalence in the UK 2024 - 2028 Discover more data with ReportLinker!