In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 4.22% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.15 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.06 points, though it remains 0.43 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

The yield on US 4 Week Bill Yield eased to 4.34% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points, though it remains 1 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 4 Week Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

Albania Treasury Bills Rate: 12 Month data was reported at 2.780 % pa in Feb 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 2.780 % pa for Jan 2025. Albania Treasury Bills Rate: 12 Month data is updated monthly, averaging 5.605 % pa from Jan 2002 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 278 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 12.770 % pa in Jan 2003 and a record low of 1.110 % pa in Apr 2019. Albania Treasury Bills Rate: 12 Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Albania. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Albania – Table AL.M009: Treasury Bills Rate.

The yield on US 3 Month Bill Bond Yield eased to 4.29% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.05 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points and is 0.88 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 3 Month Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield eased to 4.84% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.06 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.02 points and is 0.73 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

Bangladesh Treasury Bills Rate: 1 Year data was reported at 10.840 % pa in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 10.420 % pa for Feb 2025. Bangladesh Treasury Bills Rate: 1 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 7.515 % pa from Sep 2003 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 234 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 12.000 % pa in Jun 2024 and a record low of 1.210 % pa in Jun 2021. Bangladesh Treasury Bills Rate: 1 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bangladesh Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Bangladesh – Table BD.M004: Government Treasury Bills.

Bangladesh Treasury Bills Rate: 182 Days data was reported at 10.730 % pa in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 10.410 % pa for Feb 2025. Bangladesh Treasury Bills Rate: 182 Days data is updated monthly, averaging 7.260 % pa from Sep 2003 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 227 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 11.890 % pa in Nov 2024 and a record low of 0.680 % pa in Jun 2021. Bangladesh Treasury Bills Rate: 182 Days data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bangladesh Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Bangladesh – Table BD.M004: Government Treasury Bills.

The yield on US 52 Week Bill Bond Yield eased to 3.86% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.25 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.14 points and is 0.51 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 52 Week Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

Key information about United States Short Term Interest Rate

• United States Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills: 3 Months was reported at 4.20 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.20 % pa in the previous month.
• US Short Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1954 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 15.52 % pa in Aug 1981 and a record low of -0.01 % pa in Sep 2015.
• Short Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Federal Reserve Board.

CEIC calculates monthly Short Term Interest Rate from daily Treasury Bills. Federal Reserve Board provides Treasury Bills. Short Term Interest Rate prior to December 1979 is sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.


Related information about United States Short Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, US Treasury Notes Yield: Constant Maturity: Nominal: 10 Years was reported at 4.45 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Effective Federal Funds Rate) was set at 4.33 % pa in Feb 2025.

Thailand Treasury Bill & Government Bond Yield: Average: BOT: 10 Year data was reported at 2.120 % pa in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.270 % pa for Feb 2025. Thailand Treasury Bill & Government Bond Yield: Average: BOT: 10 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 3.040 % pa from Jan 2005 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 243 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.400 % pa in Nov 2005 and a record low of 1.170 % pa in May 2020. Thailand Treasury Bill & Government Bond Yield: Average: BOT: 10 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Thailand. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Thailand – Table TH.M005: Treasury Bill and Bond Yield.

Bangladesh Government Treasury Bond Rate: 5 Years data was reported at 11.360 % pa in Mar 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 10.390 % pa for Feb 2025. Bangladesh Government Treasury Bond Rate: 5 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 8.330 % pa from Dec 2003 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 220 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 12.430 % pa in Jun 2024 and a record low of 3.810 % pa in Jul 2021. Bangladesh Government Treasury Bond Rate: 5 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bangladesh Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Bangladesh – Table BD.M004: Government Treasury Bills.

This statistic shows the yield on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands from 2011 to 2023 with a forecast for 2024 and 2025. In 2023, the long-term interest rate was at *** percent. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

Key information about United States Long Term Interest Rate

• United States Treasury Notes Yield: Constant Maturity: Nominal: 10 Years was reported at 4.45 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.63 % pa in the previous month.
• US Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Apr 1953 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 15.32 % pa in Sep 1981 and a record low of 0.62 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Federal Reserve Board.

CEIC calculates monthly Long Term Interest Rate from daily 10 year Treasury Constant Maturity Yield. The Federal Reserve Board provides 10 year Treasury Constant Maturity Yield. Long Term Interest Rate prior to January 1962 is sourced directly from the Federal Reserve Board.


Related information about United States Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, US Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills: 3 Months was reported at 4.20 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Effective Federal Funds Rate) was set at 4.33 % pa in Feb 2025.

Canada FIN Forecast: Marketable Bonds: Treasury Bills data was reported at 272,000.000 CAD mn in 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 242,000.000 CAD mn for 2024. Canada FIN Forecast: Marketable Bonds: Treasury Bills data is updated yearly, averaging 150,500.000 CAD mn from Mar 2010 (Median) to 2025, with 16 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 272,000.000 CAD mn in 2025 and a record low of 129,000.000 CAD mn in 2016. Canada FIN Forecast: Marketable Bonds: Treasury Bills data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Department of Finance Canada. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Canada – Table CA.F010: Federal Government Debt: Forecast: Department of Finance.

The yield on US 3 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 3.67% on August 1, 2025, marking a 0.24 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.10 points and is 0.04 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 3 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

India Treasury Bills: Yield: 182 Days data was reported at 5.926 % pa in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 6.518 % pa for Mar 2025. India Treasury Bills: Yield: 182 Days data is updated monthly, averaging 6.788 % pa from Apr 2005 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 241 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 12.010 % pa in Aug 2013 and a record low of 3.260 % pa in Nov 2020. India Treasury Bills: Yield: 182 Days data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of India. The data is categorized under Global Database’s India – Table IN.MD001: Treasury Bills Yield.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to Jun 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.