Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

By April 2026, it is projected that there is a probability of ***** percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to May 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.

1Estimated odds ratios are computed using a logistic regression model accounting for the sampling design and adjusting for gender and behavioral risk score, as described in Haynes et al [2].2Estimated odds ratio per one standard deviation increment in the immune biomarker; not available (NA) if response rates, when applicable, are less than 50%. For example, the OR of 0.70 (ELISA binding to gp70-V1V2) means that for every higher SD value, the rate of infection is reduced by 30%, while the OR of 0.43 means that vaccinees with responses in the upper third had an infection rate 57% lower than vaccinees with responses in the lower third.3Estimated odds ratios comparing subgroups defined by high vs. low responses except for two (IgA V2 A244 K178 and V2 MN) which compare positive vs. negative response and one (biotin V2 peptide 6) which compares high vs. negative; not available (NA) for Cyclic V2 scrambled mid-region (ELISA) which has no positive responses.

Incidence Rate Ratios (IRR) (exponentiated log-odds) for the focal variables in the regression models for three outcome variables of interest.