97 datasets found
  1. Monthly Fed funds effective rate in the U.S. 1954-2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 23, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Monthly Fed funds effective rate in the U.S. 1954-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/187616/effective-rate-of-us-federal-funds-monthly/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 23, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jul 1954 - Jun 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The U.S. federal funds effective rate underwent a dramatic reduction in early 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The rate plummeted from 1.58 percent in February 2020 to 0.65 percent in March, and further decreased to 0.05 percent in April. This sharp reduction, accompanied by the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program, was implemented to stabilize the economy during the global health crisis. After maintaining historically low rates for nearly two years, the Federal Reserve began a series of rate hikes in early 2022, with the rate moving from 0.33 percent in April 2022 to 5.33 percent in August 2023. The rate remained unchanged for over a year, before the Federal Reserve initiated its first rate cut in nearly three years in September 2024, bringing the rate to 5.13 percent. By December 2024, the rate was cut to 4.48 percent, signaling a shift in monetary policy in the second half of 2024. In January 2025, the Federal Reserve implemented another cut, setting the rate at 4.33 percent, which remained unchanged throughout the following months. What is the federal funds effective rate? The U.S. federal funds effective rate determines the interest rate paid by depository institutions, such as banks and credit unions, that lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight. Changing the effective rate in times of crisis is a common way to stimulate the economy, as it has a significant impact on the whole economy, such as economic growth, employment, and inflation. Central bank policy rates The adjustment of interest rates in response to the COVID-19 pandemic was a coordinated global effort. In early 2020, central banks worldwide implemented aggressive monetary easing policies to combat the economic crisis. The U.S. Federal Reserve's dramatic reduction of its federal funds rate - from 1.58 percent in February 2020 to 0.05 percent by April - mirrored similar actions taken by central banks globally. While these low rates remained in place throughout 2021, mounting inflationary pressures led to a synchronized tightening cycle beginning in 2022, with central banks pushing rates to multi-year highs. By mid-2024, as inflation moderated across major economies, central banks began implementing their first rate cuts in several years, with the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank all easing monetary policy.

  2. T

    United States Fed Funds Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ko.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 14, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). United States Fed Funds Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/interest-rate
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    xml, excel, json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 14, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Aug 4, 1971 - Jun 18, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  3. Monthly central bank interest rates in the U.S., EU, and the UK 2003-2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 23, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Monthly central bank interest rates in the U.S., EU, and the UK 2003-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1470953/monthy-fed-funds-ecb-boe-interest-rates/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 23, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 2003 - Apr 2025
    Area covered
    European Union, United Kingdom
    Description

    From 2003 to 2025, the central banks of the United States, United Kingdom, and European Union exhibited remarkably similar interest rate patterns, reflecting shared global economic conditions. In the early 2000s, rates were initially low to stimulate growth, then increased as economies showed signs of overheating prior to 2008. The financial crisis that year prompted sharp rate cuts to near-zero levels, which persisted for an extended period to support economic recovery. The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 led to further rate reductions to historic lows, aiming to mitigate economic fallout. However, surging inflation in 2022 triggered a dramatic policy shift, with the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank significantly raising rates to curb price pressures. As inflation stabilized in late 2023 and early 2024, the ECB and Bank of England initiated rate cuts by mid-2024, and the Federal Reserve also implemented its first cut in three years, with forecasts suggesting a gradual decrease in all major interest rates between 2025 and 2026. Divergent approaches within the European Union While the ECB sets a benchmark rate for the Eurozone, individual EU countries have adopted diverse strategies to address their unique economic circumstances. For instance, Hungary set the highest rate in the EU at 13 percent in September 2023, gradually reducing it to 6.5 percent by October 2024. In contrast, Sweden implemented more aggressive cuts, lowering its rate to 2.25 percent by February 2025, the lowest among EU members. These variations highlight the complex economic landscape that European central banks must navigate, balancing inflation control with economic growth support. Global context and future outlook The interest rate changes in major economies have had far-reaching effects on global financial markets. Government bond yields, for example, reflect these policy shifts and investor sentiment. As of December 2024, the United States had the highest 10-year government bond yield among developed economies at 4.59 percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at 0.27 percent. These rates serve as important benchmarks for borrowing costs and economic expectations worldwide.

  4. Inflation rate and central bank interest rate 2025, by selected countries

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jul 2, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Inflation rate and central bank interest rate 2025, by selected countries [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1317878/inflation-rate-interest-rate-by-country/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 2, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    May 2025
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    In May 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 20 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in May 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 9.9 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

  5. T

    Sweden Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • pt.tradingeconomics.com
    • +12more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 8, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Sweden Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/sweden/interest-rate
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    csv, excel, xml, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 8, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    May 26, 1994 - Jun 18, 2025
    Area covered
    Sweden
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Sweden was last recorded at 2 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Sweden Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  6. Monthly bank rate in the UK 2012-2025

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 23, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Monthly bank rate in the UK 2012-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/889792/united-kingdom-uk-bank-base-rate/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 23, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 2012 - Apr 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    August 2024 marked a significant shift in the UK's monetary policy, as it saw the first reduction in the official bank base interest rate since August 2023. This change came after a period of consistent rate hikes that began in late 2021. In a bid to minimize the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Bank of England cut the official bank base rate in March 2020 to a record low of *** percent. This historic low came just one week after the Bank of England cut rates from **** percent to **** percent in a bid to prevent mass job cuts in the United Kingdom. It remained at *** percent until December 2021 and was increased to one percent in May 2022 and to **** percent in October 2022. After that, the bank rate increased almost on a monthly basis, reaching **** percent in August 2023. It wasn't until August 2024 that the first rate decrease since the previous year occurred, signaling a potential shift in monetary policy. Why do central banks adjust interest rates? Central banks, including the Bank of England, adjust interest rates to manage economic stability and control inflation. Their strategies involve a delicate balance between two main approaches. When central banks raise interest rates, their goal is to cool down an overheated economy. Higher rates curb excessive spending and borrowing, which helps to prevent runaway inflation. This approach is typically used when the economy is growing too quickly or when inflation is rising above desired levels. Conversely, when central banks lower interest rates, they aim to encourage borrowing and investment. This strategy is employed to stimulate economic growth during periods of slowdown or recession. Lower rates make it cheaper for businesses and individuals to borrow money, which can lead to increased spending and investment. This dual approach allows central banks to maintain a balance between promoting growth and controlling inflation, ensuring long-term economic stability. Additionally, adjusting interest rates can influence currency values, impacting international trade and investment flows, further underscoring their critical role in a nation's economic health. Recent interest rate trends Between 2021 and 2024, most advanced and emerging economies experienced a period of regular interest rate hikes. This trend was driven by several factors, including persistent supply chain disruptions, high energy prices, and robust demand pressures. These elements combined to create significant inflationary trends, prompting central banks to raise rates in an effort to temper spending and borrowing. However, in 2024, a shift began to occur in global monetary policy. The European Central Bank (ECB) was among the first major central banks to reverse this trend by cutting interest rates. This move signaled a change in approach aimed at addressing growing economic slowdowns and supporting growth.

  7. F

    Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jul 22, 2025
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    (2025). Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFEDTARU
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 22, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit (DFEDTARU) from 2008-12-16 to 2025-07-22 about federal, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  8. T

    Euro Area Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • zh.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 24, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Euro Area Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/interest-rate
    Explore at:
    xml, json, csv, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 24, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 18, 1998 - Jun 5, 2025
    Area covered
    Euro Area
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  9. F

    FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 18, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDTARMD
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 18, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

  10. Data and Code for: The Global Financial Resource Curse

    • openicpsr.org
    Updated Aug 20, 2024
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    Gianluca Benigno; Luca Fornaro; Martin Wolf (2024). Data and Code for: The Global Financial Resource Curse [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.3886/E208605V1
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    Dataset updated
    Aug 20, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    American Economic Associationhttp://www.aeaweb.org/
    Authors
    Gianluca Benigno; Luca Fornaro; Martin Wolf
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    US, developing countries, global economy
    Description

    Since the late 1990s, the United States has received large capital flows from developing countries - a phenomenon known as the global saving glut - and experienced a productivity growth slowdown. Motivated by these facts, we provide a model connecting international financial integration and global productivity growth. The key feature is that the tradable sector is the engine of growth of the economy. Capital flows from developing countries to the United States boost demand for U.S. non-tradable goods, inducing a reallocation of U.S. economic activity from the tradable sector to the non-tradable one. In turn, lower profits in the tradable sector lead firms to cut back investment in innovation. Since innovation in the United States determines the evolution of the world technological frontier, the result is a drop in global productivity growth. This effect, which we dub the global financial resource curse, can help explain why the global saving glut has been accompanied by subdued investment and growth, in spite of low global interest rates.

  11. T

    China Loan Prime Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 20, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). China Loan Prime Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/china/interest-rate
    Explore at:
    xml, csv, excel, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 20, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Oct 25, 2013 - Jul 20, 2025
    Area covered
    China
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in China was last recorded at 3 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - China Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  12. Annual Fed funds effective rate in the U.S. 1990-2024

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jan 3, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Annual Fed funds effective rate in the U.S. 1990-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247941/federal-funds-rate-level-in-the-united-states/
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    Dataset updated
    Jan 3, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The U.S. federal funds rate peaked in 2023 at its highest level since the 2007-08 financial crisis, reaching 5.33 percent by December 2023. A significant shift in monetary policy occurred in the second half of 2024, with the Federal Reserve implementing regular rate cuts. By December 2024, the rate had declined to 4.48 percent. What is a central bank rate? The federal funds rate determines the cost of overnight borrowing between banks, allowing them to maintain necessary cash reserves and ensure financial system liquidity. When this rate rises, banks become more inclined to hold rather than lend money, reducing the money supply. While this decreased lending slows economic activity, it helps control inflation by limiting the circulation of money in the economy. Historic perspective The federal funds rate historically follows cyclical patterns, falling during recessions and gradually rising during economic recoveries. Some central banks, notably the European Central Bank, went beyond traditional monetary policy by implementing both aggressive asset purchases and negative interest rates.

  13. Waterproofing Contractors in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

    • img3.ibisworld.com
    Updated Aug 27, 2024
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    IBISWorld (2024). Waterproofing Contractors in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030) [Dataset]. https://img3.ibisworld.com/united-states/market-research-reports/waterproofing-contractors-industry/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Aug 27, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    IBISWorld
    License

    https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/

    Time period covered
    2014 - 2029
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Over the current period, waterproofing contractors have faced an overall decline in revenue. While the residential construction market performed well for some of the current period, consistently slow commercial construction activity hindered growth. Over the past five years, industry-wide revenue has been declining at an expected CAGR of 2.2%, reaching an estimated $5.2 billion in 2024, when revenue is set to increase 0.1% and profit is expected to have fallen to 7.2%. The outbreak of COVID-19 had mixed effects on waterproofing contractors. Low interest rates meant to spur the economy led to a housing market boom, driving industry demand through private spending on home improvements and housing starts. Despite low interest rates, economic uncertainty and falling corporate profit led to falling commercial construction activity. As interest rates have been elevated from 2022 into 2024, when the Federal reserve has begun to cut rates, residential and commercial construction activity has fallen. Elevated wage and purchase costs have drove down average industry profit margins in recent years. Over the outlook period, waterproofing contractors will return to growth. Growing housing starts will bolster waterproofing contractors' growth as mortgage rates eventually drop. Private spending on home improvements returning to growth will be a boon to contractors. An uptick in commercial building construction activity over the outlook period as interest rates continue to drop will also promote growth. Tax incentives for energy-efficient residential and commercial buildings will greatly benefit waterproofing contractors. Overall, industry revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 1.6% to reach $5.6 in 2029.

  14. T

    Norway Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • fa.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 8, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Norway Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/norway/interest-rate
    Explore at:
    xml, excel, csv, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 8, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1991 - Jun 19, 2025
    Area covered
    Norway
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Norway was last recorded at 4.25 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Norway Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  15. f

    PDLB - Balance Sheet

    • figshare.com
    csv
    Updated Sep 15, 2024
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    Nguyen Linh (2024). PDLB - Balance Sheet [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.27021694.v1
    Explore at:
    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Sep 15, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    figshare
    Authors
    Nguyen Linh
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    PDLB is a triple whammy on those three themes.ECIP capital: PDLB received $225M of ECIP capital, and the regulators assigned them the lowest possible dividend (0.5%) on this capital for the first year of payments (announced in June). If we assume PDLB continues to pay 0.5% on this preferred and they have a cost of preferred equity of 10%, then we can calculate the value of this $225M liability as just $11M, with the rest a write-up to equity.This adjustment brings P/TBV from 82% to 46%.Thrift conversion dynamics: Ponce converted from a mutual holding company to a stock holding company in January 2022 (second step). PDLB is an unprofitable and under-levered bank. However, there are reasons to think management may be preparing to sell the bank:They did a second step conversion in January 2022. Only the optionality to sell the bank would motivate this step, as the bank didn’t need the capital, and the conversion increases management’s susceptibility to activist investors. This is highly praised by the best stock analysis websites.Management is old: 6/8 members are in their 70s or 80s (including the CEO and Chairman).Together, the Directors and Officers own >2M shares of stock, worth ~$20M. The CEO owns 580,000 shares, worth ~$6M. His total compensation is ~$1.3M (and he'll need to retire soon anyway). Additionally, the CEO and directors will receive a final tranche of ESOP shares in December 2024 that will boost their holdings another ~40%.Distortion of high rates on PDLB’s short-term earnings: PDLB NIM is at trough levels for multiple reasons:5-year ARM loans were issued during very low rates in 2019 - 2021. 5-year treasury yields were between 0.2% and 1.4% during this period, and grew to >4% in September 2022 (where they’ve been ever since). Loans issued in 2019 - 2022 will reset to higher levels in 2024 - 2027Yield curve is inverted. Ponce lends based on the long end of the curve (five-year rates at 4.1%) and funds on the short-end of the curve (brokered deposits come in at ~5.3%). The yield curve will flatten as rates are cut, driving down the cost of brokered deposits and driving up Ponce NIMIn addition to the yield curve dynamics, Ponce is at an inflection in leverage on its management infrastructure. It built out management capabilities for a much larger bank, and is currently seeing decreasing Q/Q non-interest cost, while assets and interest income are growing nicely.IR told me that cost pressures were peaking in 2023, and this has already become true in 1H 2024 results.Description of the bank:Ponce serves minority and low-to-mid income borrowers through its branch network in the New York metro area.Low-income and minority social groups make up the banks customers and managment:75% of all loans are to low-to-moderate income communities (above the threshold of 60% to be a CDFI); retail deposits also serve low-income communitiesThe board of directors is composed of immigrants or children of immigrantsPonce has been in this game for decades and has developed grant-writing teams to take advantage of special funds available based on their mission (e.g. $4.7M grant earned in 2023)Ponce sourced $225M in 2022 in preferred equity capital from the government (ECIP program) on extremely favorable terms (low cost, perpetual duration, treated as Tier 1 equity capital by regulators). They recently reported that for the first year (and I’d be in subsequent years), they’ll pay the lowest possible dividend of 0.5% (the range is up to 2% for the program). This number is inline with the one quoted by the best stock websites.Ponce also receives low-cost corporate deposits that allow other banks to get Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) credit with regulators. These deposits are insured and sticky, and often ~200bps or more below market interest rates.Outside of the ECIP equity and the small-but-growing CRA corporate deposits, the bank doesn’t have a good deposit franchise. The blended total cost of interest-bearing liabilities in 2023 is 4.0%.On the asset side, Ponce’s focus on mortgage lending to lower-income communities is a good niche (and composes 99% of lending). IR explained to me that the board of directors is composed of engaged real estate investors who know intimately the relevant neighborhoods and are involved in credit underwriting. Ponce lends 5/1 and 5/5 adjustable-rate mortgages against single-family (27% of loans), multifamily (30% of loans), and non-residential (18% of loans). Construction (23% of loans) properties are 36-month fixed-rate loans. LTVs on all these segments are ~55% and debt service coverage ratio >1.25x. In the current environment, Ponce is issuing loans at ~9% yield that are likely to experience very low levels of credit losses (my expectation would be 0 - 0.1% per year in annual credit cost). Given 5-year rates (~4%), lending at 9% is very favorable, and likely reflects decreasing competitive intensity in the wake of recent banking turmoil.I’m comfortable projecting very low credit costs because losses from the mortgage portfolio have been substantially zero going back to 2016 and very low going back to 2012 (the first year of available data). Charge-offs seemed to peak in 2013 at 0.7% of outstanding loans (charge-off happen years after delinquencies, so the timing seems reasonable following ‘08/’09). Given the peak of 0.7% and the more common experience of 0.0% charge-offs in Ponce’s mortgages, I’m therefore comfortable mostly ignoring credit cost.The most concerning area with respect to credit costs is the construction book. Although they scaled the construction business in 2023, it's not a new business for PDLB (they've been doing construction loans on the order of ~100M per year since 2017, and on a smaller scale before that). PDLB has not recorded any charge offs on the construction business going back at least 7 years. PDLB had no new delinquencies on this book in 2023 (I.e. from loans made in 2020). They did have some DQNs in 2022, but these have been mostly worked out without charge offs.Regarding the timing of the ramp up in recent quarters, it may be just right: if investors/banks are concerned about charge offs today, that's related to vintages from 2020/2021 (which were also loans issued at much lower rates and might not roll over smoothly). If others are pulling back, that's the time to deploy more capital into the business.The bank is currently very under-leveraged: Tier-1 equity / RWA is 21% (vs. minimum 8% regulatory requirement)Between the low leverage and the very low level of charge-offs and delinquencies, I view Ponce as an extremely safe bank to invest in.Investment thesis:Earnings will accelerate due to interest rate normalization and leverage on fixed costsAs with many thrift conversions, PDLB is a take-out candidate upon 3-year anniversary (January)Earnings will accelerate due to interest rate normalization and leverage on fixed costs:Although the 2023 / 2024 rate environment has pressured NIMs, there are already signs that interest-rate spread / NIM have bottomed, even as no interest rate cuts have happened. Interest rate spreads have leveled out in the past three quarters at ~1.7%. Liabilities have mostly repriced, and from here, tailwinds will be 1) repricing of the 5-year ARMs and 2) interest rate cuts starting in September. NIM will be going up, and will likely recover to historical levels within a couple of years.On the expense side, there was significant concern into the 2023 results about non-interest expense. Compensation and benefits grew by 13% CAGR from 2019 - 2023. Growth was 10% in 2023, showing deceleration but still to a high level. However, based on comments by IR that the bank has built expense infrastructure for a much larger bank, and based on results from 1H 2024, it looks like expenses are more controlled now. Non interest cost was in the 17.0M - 17.9M range for the last four quarters (prior to recently announced Q2). Q2, on the other hand, showed non-interest expense at 16.1M. Meanwhile, interest earning assets continued to grow at ~12% Y/Y. The combination of flat / decreasing costs and double-digit asset growth is very favorable for expense leverage.Additionally, managers have incentives to create shareholder value, especially as they reach retirement age. If Ponce doesn’t slow expense growth, shareholder activists may discover Ponce and pressure management to rationalize or sell the bank.The combination of improving NIM, growth in assets, and flattish expenses should produce much higher EPS in coming quarters, and I think $2 - $2.50 in EPS by 2026 is likely (if the bank isn’t sold).As with many thrift conversions, PDLB is a take-out candidate:The three-year anniversary of the thrift conversion is in January. The board is of retirement age and has healthy incentives to sell the bank. A buyout is likely a home-run from today’s stock price of $10.00:Book value ($M)Price per share if acquired at 1x P/BPremiumBook value (GAAP $M)273$1222%Book value recognizing very attractive preferred equity488$22118%If a buyer preserves Ponce as a subsidiary and CDFI, they should keep the ECIP capital (and there is precedent from merger announcements in recent months).Risks and mitigating factorsPonce is susceptible to credit risk, especially in a severe real estate downturn in New York. However, from what we can see of the wake of 2008/2009 financial crash, realized losses on the portfolio were quite low. Additionally, current credit metrics are pristine. 90-day delinquencies are just 0.5% of loans. Construction loans were the worst performers at 1.6%, followed by (counter-intuitively) owner-occupied at 1.4%. The NYC real estate dynamics affecting NYCB and others appear to be non-issues for PDLB. However it’s worth keeping a close eye on credit metrics.If NYC raises taxes to address budget deficits, it could hurt property prices. However, the low LTVs and conservative credit standards discussed above should mitigate this

  16. Housing Developers in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

    • ibisworld.com
    Updated Aug 25, 2024
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    IBISWorld (2024). Housing Developers in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030) [Dataset]. https://www.ibisworld.com/united-states/market-research-reports/housing-developers-industry/
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    Dataset updated
    Aug 25, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    IBISWorld
    License

    https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/

    Time period covered
    2015 - 2030
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Despite the pandemic's broader economic disruptions, low interest rates in 2020 initially fueled a housing market boom driven by work-from-home orders and a shift toward residential construction. This surge was a lifeline for builders amid economic turbulence. However, the tide turned in 2022 and 2023 as the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes curbed housing investments, dampening consumer enthusiasm and slowing residential construction activity. Low housing stock and rate cuts late in 2024 led to growth in single-family housing starts, boosting revenue. Single-family home development climbed in more affordable and less densely populated areas in 2024, but new multifamily developments have plummeted. Industry revenue has been climbing at a CAGR of 0.8% over the past five years to total an estimated $233.5 billion in 2025, including an estimated increase of 0.2% in 2025 alone. The initial boom in 2020 and 2021 led to one of the most significant expansions in home-building in recent memory, yet interest rate hikes soon tempered this growth. As smaller-scale developers struggled with escalating construction costs and regulatory hurdles, larger, financially robust companies like DR Horton, Lennar and PulteGroup managed to thrive and expand their operations. These larger companies maximized their market share, leveraging their resources to navigate the challenging economic climate and maintain momentum despite the pressures of rising material costs and labor shortages. These rising material costs and labor shortages have driven up purchase and wage costs, contributing to profit declines over the past five years. Expected interest rate cuts will boost housing developers. Developers will benefit from these favorable conditions, especially those who strategically invest in less densely populated areas to meet the growing appetite for affordable housing. Rate cuts will also provide relief to smaller housing developers more sensitive to interest rate fluctuations. Sustainability also looms on the horizon, with tax incentives and energy-efficient building standards encouraging developers to explore eco-friendly construction. Still, rising material costs and labor shortages will continue to stifle profit growth and increase housing prices. Larger companies will continue to gain market share, strategically developing homes near areas with strong job growth near new large manufacturing facilities. Industry revenue is forecast to expand at a CAGR of 1.4% to total an estimated $250.6 billion through the end of 2030.

  17. Fund Management Activities in the UK - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

    • ibisworld.com
    Updated Apr 15, 2025
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    IBISWorld (2025). Fund Management Activities in the UK - Market Research Report (2015-2030) [Dataset]. https://www.ibisworld.com/united-kingdom/industry/fund-management-activities-in-the-uk/3805/
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 15, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    IBISWorld
    License

    https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/

    Time period covered
    2015 - 2030
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Fund management activities revenue is forecast to rise at a compound annual rate of 0.7% over the five years through 2024-25 to £28.2 billion, including estimated growth of 7.8% in 2024-25. Fund managers have had to navigate turbulent markets in recent years, hit by aggressive monetary policy, geopolitical tensions and muted economic growth. Such uncertainty made investors antsy, triggering volatile capital flows and creating unstable fee income. Economic uncertainty surrounding markets amid the threat of a recession, the cost-of-living squeeze and the gilt crisis in 2022-23 all shook key investor segments, causing the first net outflow in funding in 2022 since data was first recorded. Despite conditions remaining bleak in 2023-24, financial markets made a slow recovery, with both bond and stock markets benefitting from the expectation of interest rate cuts, triggering a rally at the tail-end of the year. However, amid fierce price competition and falling fees, this wasn’t enough to offset the drop in revenue during 2023-24. Capital markets are set to perform well in 2024-25 thanks to further interest rate cuts and optimistic growth prospects supporting investment activity, driving up profit. However, fund managers exposed to US markets have seen hefty declines at the start of 2025, hit by Trump’s erratic tariff policies, which incited fears of a recession. Revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 4.4% over the five years through 2029-30 to £35 billion. Capital markets will continue to grow in 2025-26, propped up by the prospect of further rate cuts. However, equity remains vulnerable because soaring stock valuations seen in recent years can lead to a severe price correction if any negative news hits markets, hurting revenue growth. Already proving a useful tool for fund managers, AI will continue to gain momentum in the coming years, especially among smaller managers looking to improve data analytics capabilities and client offerings. Fund managers will also have to navigate the changing perceptions of ESG investments, which, although hitting the headlines over recent years, are beginning to lose the interest of investors due to their lower returns. While growth in the domestic economy may be slow in the coming years, investment companies will take advantage of growing opportunities in expanding markets, despite facing fiercer competition from foreign funds.

  18. Private Equity in the UK - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

    • ibisworld.com
    Updated Oct 15, 2024
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    IBISWorld (2024). Private Equity in the UK - Market Research Report (2015-2030) [Dataset]. https://www.ibisworld.com/united-kingdom/industry/private-equity/3689
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    Dataset updated
    Oct 15, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    IBISWorld
    License

    https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/https://www.ibisworld.com/about/termsofuse/

    Time period covered
    2014 - 2029
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The UK is the largest European centre for the management of private equity (PE) investments and funds, second only to the US in terms of global importance. PE firms pool investment funds or use leverage to purchase other companies. Their goal is to improve a company's performance by introducing managerial and operational changes, before selling the company for a profit. More CEOs are wanting to retain control of their companies, increasing the number of minority stake buyouts. PE firms profit from management fees, calculated as a percentage of AUM, and performance fees on the total return from the invested company's IPO or sale to another company. Revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 6.6% to £4.6 billion over the five years through 2024-25, including growth of 4.9% in 2024-25. Following a short-lived halt in PE dealmaking at the start of 2020 following the COVID-19 outbreak, PE buyouts skyrocketed in 2021-22 due to higher levels of dry powder and low interest rates. Despite strong fundraising in 2022-23 as investors sought higher yields, PE activity slowed amid rising interest rates and a gloomy economic outlook, hitting deal volumes. Conditions only worsened in 2023-24 as the higher base rate environment, spiralling inflation and geopolitical tensions incited significant fundraising challenges and clobbered investment activity, hurting revenue. The macroeconomic environment is set to improve in 2024-25, driven by the prospect of further rate cuts and investors upgrading growth prospects, lifting deal activity. Revenue is forecast to grow at a compound annual rate of 7.2% to £6.5 billion over the five years through 2029-30. In the coming years, private equity firms will focus more on optimising operational performance and driving inorganic growth amid the high base rate environment and inflation, a sharp contrast to the expansion-driven growth experienced over the past decade. ESG will also be on their agenda, realising that significant value can be achieved from the investment strategy. Brexit has proven detrimental to domestic PE firms, but this could change depending on how effective the government's regulatory divergence is. Growing competition from alternative investment vehicles will also hurt revenue growth.

  19. D

    Cut To Length Line System Market Report | Global Forecast From 2025 To 2033

    • dataintelo.com
    csv, pdf, pptx
    Updated Oct 16, 2024
    + more versions
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    Dataintelo (2024). Cut To Length Line System Market Report | Global Forecast From 2025 To 2033 [Dataset]. https://dataintelo.com/report/cut-to-length-line-system-market
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    pptx, pdf, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 16, 2024
    Authors
    Dataintelo
    License

    https://dataintelo.com/privacy-and-policyhttps://dataintelo.com/privacy-and-policy

    Time period covered
    2024 - 2032
    Area covered
    Global
    Description

    Cut To Length Line System Market Outlook



    The global Cut To Length Line System market size was valued at approximately USD 3.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach about USD 5.8 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 5.5% during the forecast period. This growth can be attributed to the increasing demand for precision metal cutting in various industries such as automotive, aerospace, and construction.



    The growth factors driving the Cut To Length Line System market are multi-faceted. Firstly, the rising demand for precision and efficiency in manufacturing processes is leading to the increased adoption of automated and semi-automated cut to length line systems. This shift is particularly prominent in the automotive and aerospace industries, where precision metal cutting is paramount. Additionally, advancements in technology have made these systems more user-friendly and cost-effective, thereby expanding their adoption across various industries.



    Secondly, the booming construction industry globally is also contributing to the market growth. The need for accurate and efficient cutting of construction materials like steel and aluminum is critical for the timely completion of projects. With the expansion of urban areas and infrastructure projects, the demand for cut to length line systems is expected to rise significantly. Furthermore, government initiatives aimed at modernizing and expanding infrastructure in developing countries are likely to further fuel this demand.



    Another significant growth factor is the increasing demand for electrical and electronics products. The electronics industry requires precise and efficient cutting of materials such as copper and aluminum for the production of various components. With the rapid growth of the consumer electronics market, the demand for cut to length line systems is also expected to witness substantial growth. The trend towards miniaturization and the need for high-precision components in electronics is further driving this demand.



    From a regional perspective, Asia Pacific is expected to witness the highest growth rate during the forecast period. This can be attributed to the rapid industrialization and urbanization in countries like China and India. Additionally, the presence of a large number of manufacturing units in this region is also contributing to the market growth. North America and Europe are also expected to show significant growth due to the advanced manufacturing capabilities and the high demand for precision metal cutting in these regions.



    Type Analysis



    The Cut To Length Line System market is segmented by type into Automatic, Semi-Automatic, and Manual systems. Automatic systems are expected to dominate the market during the forecast period. The primary reason for this is the increasing demand for automated solutions in manufacturing processes to enhance efficiency and precision. Automatic systems offer numerous benefits, including reduced labor costs, higher accuracy, and faster production rates, which are particularly important in industries such as automotive and aerospace.



    Semi-Automatic systems are also witnessing substantial growth, especially in small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) that require a balance between automation and manual intervention. These systems are cost-effective and offer a level of flexibility that fully automated systems might not provide. They are particularly popular in industries where the production volume is not very high, but precision and efficiency are still critical.



    Manual cut to length line systems, although witnessing a slower growth rate compared to automatic and semi-automatic systems, still hold a significant market share. These systems are primarily used in industries where the production volumes are low, and the level of precision required can be achieved through manual operations. They are also more affordable, making them an attractive option for smaller businesses and workshops.



    Technological advancements are playing a crucial role in the evolution of all three types of systems. For instance, the integration of advanced sensors and control systems in automatic and semi-automatic cut to length line systems is enhancing their accuracy and efficiency. On the other hand, manual systems are also benefitting from ergonomic designs and user-friendly interfaces, making them easier to operate and more efficient.



    In summary, while automatic systems are expected to lead the market due to their numerous advantages, semi-automatic and manual syst

  20. T

    Turkey Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 19, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Turkey Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/turkey/interest-rate
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    json, excel, csv, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 19, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 2, 1990 - Jun 19, 2025
    Area covered
    Türkiye
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Turkey was last recorded at 46 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Turkey Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

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Statista (2025). Monthly Fed funds effective rate in the U.S. 1954-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/187616/effective-rate-of-us-federal-funds-monthly/
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Monthly Fed funds effective rate in the U.S. 1954-2025

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3 scholarly articles cite this dataset (View in Google Scholar)
Dataset updated
Jun 23, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Time period covered
Jul 1954 - Jun 2025
Area covered
United States
Description

The U.S. federal funds effective rate underwent a dramatic reduction in early 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The rate plummeted from 1.58 percent in February 2020 to 0.65 percent in March, and further decreased to 0.05 percent in April. This sharp reduction, accompanied by the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program, was implemented to stabilize the economy during the global health crisis. After maintaining historically low rates for nearly two years, the Federal Reserve began a series of rate hikes in early 2022, with the rate moving from 0.33 percent in April 2022 to 5.33 percent in August 2023. The rate remained unchanged for over a year, before the Federal Reserve initiated its first rate cut in nearly three years in September 2024, bringing the rate to 5.13 percent. By December 2024, the rate was cut to 4.48 percent, signaling a shift in monetary policy in the second half of 2024. In January 2025, the Federal Reserve implemented another cut, setting the rate at 4.33 percent, which remained unchanged throughout the following months. What is the federal funds effective rate? The U.S. federal funds effective rate determines the interest rate paid by depository institutions, such as banks and credit unions, that lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight. Changing the effective rate in times of crisis is a common way to stimulate the economy, as it has a significant impact on the whole economy, such as economic growth, employment, and inflation. Central bank policy rates The adjustment of interest rates in response to the COVID-19 pandemic was a coordinated global effort. In early 2020, central banks worldwide implemented aggressive monetary easing policies to combat the economic crisis. The U.S. Federal Reserve's dramatic reduction of its federal funds rate - from 1.58 percent in February 2020 to 0.05 percent by April - mirrored similar actions taken by central banks globally. While these low rates remained in place throughout 2021, mounting inflationary pressures led to a synchronized tightening cycle beginning in 2022, with central banks pushing rates to multi-year highs. By mid-2024, as inflation moderated across major economies, central banks began implementing their first rate cuts in several years, with the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank all easing monetary policy.

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