Interactive chart showing the daily 10 year treasury yield back to 1962. The 10 year treasury is the benchmark used to decide mortgage rates across the U.S. and is the most liquid and widely traded bond in the world.

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USQ156N) from Q2 1953 to Q1 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USA156N) from 1954 to 2024 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

At the end of 2024, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond was **** percent. Despite the increase in recent years, the highest yields could be observed in the early 1990s. What affects bond prices? The factors that play a big role in valuation and interest in government bonds are interest rate and inflation. If inflation is expected to be high, investors will demand a higher return on bonds. Country credit ratings indicate how stable the economy is and thus also influence the government bond prices. Risk and bonds Finally, when investors are worried about the bond issuer’s ability to pay at the end of the term, they demand a higher interest rate. For the U.S. Treasury, the vast majority of investors consider the investment to be perfectly safe. Ten-year government bonds from other countries show that countries seen as more risky have a higher bond return. On the other hand, countries in which investors do not expect economic growth have a lower yield.

The yield on Japan 10Y Bond Yield rose to 1.44% on July 3, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.06 points, though it remains 0.36 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 10 Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The yield on 10 Year TIPS Yield rose to 1.96% on July 2, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.16 points and is 0.13 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 10 Year TIPS Yield.

The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield rose to 1.64% on July 4, 2025, marking a 0 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.04 points and is 0.62 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The yield on South Korea 10Y Bond Yield eased to 2.82% on July 4, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.07 points and is 0.40 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. South Korea 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The yield on Mexico 10Y Bond Yield rose to 9.20% on July 2, 2025, marking a 0.10 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.09 points and is 0.71 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Mexico 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The yield on France 10Y Bond Yield eased to 3.27% on July 4, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0 points and is 0.10 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. France 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Canada (IRLTLT01CAQ156N) from Q1 1955 to Q1 2025 about long-term, Canada, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

The yield on Spain 10Y Bond Yield eased to 3.23% on July 3, 2025, marking a 0.06 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points, though it remains 0.17 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Spain 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Interactive historical chart showing the 30 year fixed rate mortgage average in the United States since 1971.

The yield on India 10Y Bond Yield rose to 6.36% on July 4, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points, though it remains 0.63 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. India 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The average yearly yield of German10-year government bonds has shown a significant downward trend from 1990 to 2024. Starting at nearly **** percent in 1990, yields steadily declined, with slight fluctuations, reaching a low of ***** percent in 2020. After 2020, yields began to rise again, reflecting recent increases in interest rates and inflation expectations. This long-term decline indicates decreasing inflation and interest rates in Australia over the past decades, with recent economic conditions prompting a reversal in bond yields.

OECD Data Filters: REF_AREA: AUS MEASURE: IRLT UNIT_MEASURE: PA ACTIVITY: _Z ADJUSTMENT: _Z TRANSFORMATION: _Z FREQ: M

All OECD data should be cited as follows: OECD (year), (dataset name), (data source) DOI or https://data-explorer.oecd.org/ (https://data-explorer.oecd.org/). (accessed on (date)).

Interactive chart showing the daily 5 year treasury yield back to 1962. The values shown are daily data published by the Federal Reserve Board based on the average yield of a range of Treasury securities, all adjusted to the equivalent of a five-year maturity.