The yield on Australia 10Y Bond Yield rose to 4.38% on July 14, 2025, marking a 0.05 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.13 points and is 0.04 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Key information about Australia Short Term Government Bond Yield

• Australia Short Term Government Bond Yield: Daily: Australia: 2 Years was reported at 3.76 % pa in Mar 2025, compared with 3.74 % pa in the previous day.
• Australia Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated daily, available from May 2013 to Mar 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 4.47 % pa in Oct 2023 and a record low of -0.00 % pa in Jun 2021.
• Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

The yield on Australia 5 Year Bond Yield rose to 3.65% on July 14, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.09 points, though it remains 0.42 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Australia 5 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Key information about Australia Long Term Interest Rate

• Australia Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: 10 Years was reported at 4.42 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.48 % pa in the previous month.
• Australia Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jul 1969 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 16.50 % pa in Aug 1982 and a record low of 0.80 % pa in Oct 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Reserve Bank of Australia.

• In the latest reports, Australia Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Bank Acceptance Bills Rates: 90 days was reported at 4.12 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Cash Target Rate) was set at 4.10 % pa in Feb 2025.
• Australia Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.49 (USD/AUD) in Jun 2023.

This report analyses the current market yield on 10-year Treasury bonds. Treasury bonds are debt securities issued by the Australian government, which are considered to have no default risk. They pay interest semi-annually and return the face value of the bond at maturity. The yield is comparable to the interest rate on a newly issued 10-year bond, priced at face value. The yield on a bond can be calculated from the bond interest rate and the difference between the market price of the bond and the face value that is paid back at maturity. Data for this report is sourced from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and is presented as the average yield over each financial year.

The yield on Australia 30 Year Bond Yield eased to 4.81% on July 1, 2025, marking a 0.05 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.18 points, though it remains 0.01 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Australia 30Y.

The yield on Australia 20 Year Bond Yield rose to 4.95% on July 14, 2025, marking a 0.04 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.09 points and is 0.17 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Australia 20Y.

‘System cash position’ is an estimate of the change in the aggregate level of Exchange Settlement (ES) balances at the RBA, prior to the RBA’s open market operations on that day. A negative value …Show full description‘System cash position’ is an estimate of the change in the aggregate level of Exchange Settlement (ES) balances at the RBA, prior to the RBA’s open market operations on that day. A negative value indicates a projected fall in the level of ES balances, while a positive value indicates a projected rise. The estimate is based on information about settlements arising from transactions by the RBA’s clients, including the Australian Government, as well as the RBA’s own transactions, and is announced at 9:30 am each trading day. ‘Outright transactions’ is the cash value of purchases and sales, conducted as part of the Bank’s open market operations, of securities issued by the Australian Government and State and Territory central borrowing authorities with remaining terms to maturity up to around 18 months. A positive value indicates the RBA has purchased securities while a negative value indicates the RBA has sold securities. ‘Foreign exchange swaps’ is the aggregate value of the first leg of foreign exchange swaps transacted for same-day value specifically for domestic liquidity management purposes. A positive value indicates the RBA has sold Australian dollars for foreign currency while a negative value indicates the RBA has purchased Australian dollars. The value of the second leg of a foreign exchange swap is captured in the ‘System cash position’ on the unwind date. ‘Repurchase agreements (RPs)’ is the amount of the first leg of securities bought/sold by the RBA under repurchase agreement (RP). 'General Collateral' refers to eligible eligible securities issued by the Australian Government, State and Territory governments, supranational institutions, foreign governments and government agencies as well as eligible securities with a sovereign government guarantee. ‘Private securities’ covers all other eligible collateral, including ADI-issued securities (eligible bank-issued discount securities and certificates of deposit with 12 months or less to maturity and bonds issued by ADIs), asset-backed securities (eligible residential mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed commercial paper) and eligible commercial paper. A positive value indicates the RBA has purchased securities under RPs while a negative value indicates the RBA has sold securities under RPs. It does not include RPs which are transacted through the RBA’s overnight RP facility. The value of the second leg of all RPs is captured in the ‘System cash position’ on the respective value dates. ‘Exchange Settlement account balances (end day)’ is the aggregate of all ES balances held at the RBA at the close of business. Unexpected movements in ES balances and overnight RPs transacted through the RBA’s overnight RP facility mean that ‘Exchange Settlement account balances (end day)’ will not necessarily be the sum of the previous day’s ‘Exchange Settlement account balances (end day)’, the ‘System cash position’ and the total of ‘Open market operations’ transacted. ‘Overnight repurchase agreements with RBA’ is the aggregate of the first leg of securities bought by the RBA through the overnight RP facility. These data are updated with a one month lag. Outright Transaction Details The 'Outright Transactions Details' sheet provides further information on the outright purchases and sales of Bonds and Discount Securities issued by the Australian Commonwealth, State & Territory Governments, conducted as part of the Bank's open market operations. “Issuer” is the acronym of the issuer of the bond/security. A positive “Face value dealt” indicates a purchase while a negative value indicates a sale. 'Weighted average rate' is the average of the rates dealt for each bond/security, weighted by the amount transacted. 'Cut-off rate' is the lowest yield accepted. Repo Details The Repo Details sheets provide a summary of the type of securities delivered to/by the RBA under RP at each term dealt through the open market operations. 'Govt and Quasi-Govt Repo Details' covers repo against General Collateral (eligible securities issued by the Australian Government, State and Territory governments, supranational institutions, foreign governments and government agencies as well as eligible securities with a sovereign government guarantee). ‘Private securities’ covers all other eligible collateral, including ADI-issued securities (eligible bank-issued discount securities and certificates of deposit with 12 months or less to maturity and bonds issued by ADIs), asset-backed securities (eligible residential mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed commercial paper) and eligible commercial paper. 'Term' is the number of days dealt in open market operations. 'Value Dealt' is the amount of the first leg of securities bought/sold by the RBA under RP. Weighted average rate' is the is the average of the rates on RPs dealt by the RBA through open market operations, weighted by the amount transacted. 'Cut-off rate' is the lowest rate dealt by the RBA through open market operations for each term dealt. Repo Unwinds The Repos Unwinds sheet provides a summary of the value of repurchase agreements due to unwind in the future, for both General Collateral and Private Securities. The unwind amount is equal to the sum of the total value dealt to that date plus accrued interest.

Key information about Australia Policy Rate

• Australia cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Cash Target Rate) was set at 4.10 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.35 % pa in the previous Jan 2025.
• Australia Policy Rate averaged 4.75 % pa and is updated monthly, available from Aug 1990 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 14.00 % pa in Sep 1990 and a record low of 0.10 % pa in Apr 2022.

• In the latest reports, Australia Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Bank Acceptance Bills Rates: 90 days was reported at 4.25 % pa in Jan 2025.
• Its Long Term Interest Rate (Government Bond Yield: Australian Government: 10 Years) was reported at 4.48 % pa in Jan 2025.
• Australia Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.49 (USD/AUD) in Jun 2023.
• Its Real Effective Exchange Rate was 100.34 in Jan 2025.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Is RBA Stock Expected to Go Up?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

The yield on Australia 2 Year Bond Yield rose to 3.40% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.08 points, though it remains 0.77 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Australia 2 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

RBA:TSX Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers Incorporated

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data was reported at 2.160 % in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.320 % for Dec 2024. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.620 % from Dec 1985 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 157 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.370 % in Mar 1989 and a record low of 0.660 % in Mar 2020. Break Even Inflation Rate: 10-Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.I067: Breakeven Inflation Rate. The Breakeven 10 Year Inflation Rate is measured by the Reserve Bank of Australia using Commonwealth government securities. For data since 1996, the RBA uses interpolation and projection of the yield curve to estimate both nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields with an exact 10-year maturity. Prior to 1996, these adjustments are not made and the nominal and inflation-indexed bond yields used to derive the series may not reflect ideal 10-year maturities. [COVID-19-IMPACT]

Prices for Australia 3Y including live quotes, historical charts and news. Australia 3Y was last updated by Trading Economics this July 14 of 2025.

Disclaimer

All information presented here is for display purpose only, and may not be complete nor accurate. This information does not constitute a financial advice, and should not be used to make any investment decisions or financial transactions. This author rejects any claims for liabilities resulting from the use, misuse, or abuse of this information. Use at your own risk.

Motivation

Due to time zone differences between Australia and most of the rest of the world, Australians have the advantage of knowing what happened at markets elsewhere in the world, before the Australian market (ASX) is open in the morning, Sydney time.

This prior knowledge provides an excellent opportunity for arbitrage. In the hands of a savvy day-trader, or a shrewd long-term investor, this information gives you the advantage of predicting the ASX, and achieve potentially significant financial gains.

Method

For the ten years period from 1/7/2010 to 30/6/2020, the daily closing prices for 41 global market indicators are collected from various reliable public-domain sources. We checked the data for error or omissions and normalised all tabulated records in a format that facilitates further analysis and visulaisation.

Those 41 market indicators are what we consider significant measures of various external factors that may affect the performance of the Australian Stock Market, as represented by the ASX200. Those indicators are:

• Nine other major stock market indices from the USA, Europe, and Asia.

• The exchange rate of the $AU against 10 world currencies that are most relevant to Australia's international trade.

• Official interest rates by the RBA and the US Feds, as indicators of affinity of foreign funds to Australia.

• Yield rates for governments-issued bonds by 10 countries from Western and Asian economies, as measures of relative availability of credit and cross-border investment. Bonds are grouped into "Short-term" (one year maturity) and "Long-term" (10 to 30 years maturity).

• Since Australia's economy is mainly an exporter of raw materials, we include prices for commodities that are most traded by Australia, as indicators for potential profitability for various relevant sectors of the ASX.

We feed relevant data to a machine learning model, which uses this data to extract heuristic parameters that are used to predict the ASX200 on daily basis, before market opens, and validates predictions at market close, with favourable results.

For more information, please visit the Tableau viz at: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/yasser.ali.phd/viz/PredictingAustralianStockMarket/Story

Bank Bill Swap Rate in Australia remained unchanged at 3.58 percent on Tuesday July 8. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Australia Bank Bill Swap Rate.