Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to Aug 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.

In May 2025, the Sahm recession indicator was ****, indicating no change from the previous month. The Sahm Rule was developed to flag the onset of an economic recession more quickly than other indicators. The Sahm Rule signals the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rises by **** percentage points or more relative to its low during the previous 12 months.

Graph and download economic data for Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator (JHDUSRGDPBR) from Q4 1967 to Q1 2025 about recession indicators, GDP, and USA.

By April 2026, it is projected that there is a probability of ***** percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.

Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (USRECD) from 1854-12-01 to 2025-09-18 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index (JHGDPBRINDX) from Q4 1967 to Q1 2025 about recession indicators, percent, GDP, and indexes.

Graph and download economic data for Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMCURRENT) from Mar 1949 to Aug 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.

Stagflation (stagnation and inflation in one word) depicts a time period when an economy is not only suffering from a recession (declining GDP), but high unemployment and inflation rates as well. Usually unemployment and inflation are inversely related, which makes stagflation a rare occurrence. It first happened in the 1970s, when OPEC put an oil embargo on the United States, resulting in oil prices skyrocketing to three times the standard value at that time. As of September 2023, the price of oil fell by 20 percent in comparison to last year after having increased by 76 perent as a result of Russian invasion of Ukraine. The has been signs of stagflation in some countries through 2022 and 2023, but falling inflation rates indicate that the worst has been avoided.

Graph and download economic data for OECD based Recession Indicators for Major Seven Countries from the Peak through the Trough (DISCONTINUED) (MSCRECM) from Feb 1960 to Aug 2022 about G7, peak, trough, and recession indicators.

Germany's factory activity slump signals possible winter recession, highlighting manufacturing challenges and economic concerns.

Graph and download economic data for OECD based Recession Indicators for Euro Area from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (DISCONTINUED) (EUROREC) from Mar 1960 to Aug 2022 about peak, trough, recession indicators, Euro Area, and Europe.

BackgroundOrganizational downsizing has become highly common during the global recession of the late 2000s with severe repercussions on employment. We examine whether the severity of the downsizing process is associated with a greater likelihood of depressive symptoms among displaced workers, internally redeployed workers and lay-off survivors.MethodsA cross-sectional survey involving telephone interviews was carried out in France, Hungary, Sweden and the United Kingdom. The study analyzes data from 758 workers affected by medium- and large-scale downsizing, using multiple logistic regression.Main ResultsBoth unemployment and surviving layoffs were significantly associated with depressive symptoms, as compared to reemployment, but the perceived procedural justice of a socially responsible downsizing process considerably mitigated the odds of symptoms. Perception of high versus low justice was assessed along several downsizing dimensions. In the overall sample, chances to have depressive symptoms were significantly reduced if respondents perceived the process as transparent and understandable, fair and unbiased, well planned and democratic; if they trusted the employer’s veracity and agreed with the necessity for downsizing. The burden of symptoms was significantly greater if the process was perceived to be chaotic. We further tested whether perceived justice differently affects the likelihood of depressive symptoms among distinct groups of workers. Findings were that the odds of symptoms largely followed the same patterns of effects across all groups of workers. Redeploying and supporting surplus employees through the career change process–rather than forcing them to become unemployed–makes a substantial difference as to whether they will suffer from depressive symptoms.ConclusionsWhile depressive symptoms affect both unemployed and survivors, a just and socially responsible downsizing process is important for the emotional health of workers.

In the United States, consumer spending on media was estimated to amount to about *** billion U.S. dollars in 2022. According to the forecast scenarios, that annual value would surpass *** billion or stand just below *** billion dollars by 2027. What do the scenarios mean? In scenario A, the recession would only have a short-term impact on consumer media spending. At the height of the recession in 2023, consumers are expected to spend less on entertainment to offset rising energy and consumer product prices. The economy should begin to recover by 2024 and should be fully mended by 2027, with spending on media back to pre-pandemic levels.

Scenario B predicts a long-term impact of the recession on media consumption behavior. Ad-supported options will replace subscription-based offers, whereas on-and-off subscribing will increase, driven by special offers and consumers unsubscribing after those offers expire. Behavior changes will stick even after 2027 when the economy has fully recovered. Media usage today Media usage in the United States has already changed within just one year. Recent data from the beginning of 2023 shows that consumers opt for free entertainment choices. More people indicate watching free-on-demand TV, more of them also listen to the radio. Podcasts also gained in popularity, compared to the first quarter of 2022. Also fewer people say they don’t watch live TV, which is a potential sign of the growing popularity of free-ad-supported-TV (FAST) services as well.

Glaciers across the Himalayan arc are showing varying signs of recession. Glaciers in the eastern and western parts of the Himalayan arc are retreating more rapidly as compared to other regions. This differential retreat is often attributed to climatic, topographic, and geologic influences. The glaciers in the Trans-Himalayan region of Ladakh are believed to be relatively stable as compared to other parts of the western Himalaya. The present study ascertained the area changes and frontal retreat of 87 glaciers in the Pangong Region between 1990 and 2019 using satellite data. The geodetic mass changes were also assessed using SRTM and TanDEM-X digital elevation models of 2000 and 2012 respectively. Besides, the glacier outlines were delineated manually and compared with existing regional and global glacier inventories that are available over the region. The GlabTop model was used to simulate the glacier-bed overdeepenings of four glaciers that are associated with a proglacial lake. The study also analyzed the impact of topographic influences and varying debris cover on glacier recession. This analysis indicated deglaciation of 6.7 ± 0.1% (0.23% a−1) from 1990 to 2019 over the Pangong Region with clean-ice glaciers showing a higher retreat (8.4 ± 0.28%) compared to the debris-covered glaciers (5.7 ± 0.14%). However, the overall recession is lower compared to other parts of northwestern Himalayas. The glacier recession showed a positive correlation with mean glacier slope (r = 0.3) and debris cover (r = 0.1) with bigger size glaciers having retreated at a lesser pace compared to smaller ones. This underpins the need for in-situ data about debris thickness to precisely ascertain the role of debris on glacier recession in the Trans-Himalayan Ladakh where debris thickness data is absent. The mean glacier elevation did not indicate any influence on glacier recession. From 2000 to 12, the glaciers lost an ice mass amounting to 0.33 ± 0.05 m we. per year. The formation of four new proglacial lakes, although small (

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

What did Belgian consumers think of the general economic situation of Belgium for the last 12 months? According to this survey, from January 2018 to January 2025 the appraisals of the economic situation in Belgium for the last 12 months were rather pessimistic. A lasting negative economic appraisal Indeed, in January 2025, the balance of consumer appraisals of Belgium's economic situation was ***. This means that negative appraisals outweighed positive ones by ** percentage points. The overall negative assessment of Belgium's economy appeared around May 2018 and seemed to be persisting ever since. On the other hand, Belgian consumers appraised positively the actual financial situation of households in 2023. Indicators on the health of the Belgian economy Although consumers shared cynical views of Belgium's economic situation, the nation's GDP was steadily growing except 2020 and the GDP's quarterly calculation showed no signs of depression or even recession. According to the International Monetary Fund, the Belgian national debt in relation to GDP was decreasing. Furthermore, it was forecasted that Belgium’s national debt would amount to almost *** percent of its GDP in 2026.

Abstract Objectives: This study aimed to compare two different soft tissue replacement grafts in their ability to treat gingival recession defects and successfully integrate with the surrounding tissues. Methodology: Nine beagle dogs were included and followed up to 10 weeks. Sites for intervention were allocated to one of the grafting materials investigated. Treatment consisted of coronally advanced flap combined with one of the two soft tissue substitutes on a previous surgically created defect. Materials employed were porcine-derived acellular dermal matrix (ADM) [Novomatrix™ (Test)] and collagen-based matrix (CBM) [Mucograft® (Control)]. Animals were sacrificed at 2, 6, and 10 weeks postoperatively and compared using descriptive histology and histomorphometric outcomes. Results: Macroscopic findings were similar between test and control groups at all intervals. After 10 weeks, both groups demonstrated successful incorporation of the grafting materials without signs of rejection and with comparable tissue integration. The histomorphometric data were similar between groups at 2 weeks; however, the test group provided greater root coverage and increase in tissue thickness than the control at 6- and 10-weeks post surgically. Conclusions: Both porcine-derived ADM and CBM revealed similar histological outcomes with successful integration and absence of adverse events. Test group provided superior outcomes regarding root coverage and increase in tissue thickness.

The contraction of species range is one of the most significant symptoms of biodiversity loss worldwide. While anthropogenic activities and habitat alteration are major threats for several species, climate change has not been overlooked either. For species at risk, differentiating the effects of human disturbances and climate change on past and current range transformations is an important step towards improved conservation strategies. We paired historical range maps with global atmospheric reanalyses from different sources (ERA5, CERA-20C, 20CRv3) to assess the potential effects of recent climate change on the observed northward contraction of the distribution range of boreal populations of woodland caribou (Rangifer tarandus caribou) in Quebec (Canada) since 1850. We quantified these effects by highlighting the discrepancies between different southern limits of the caribou’s range (used as references) observed in the past and reconstitutions obtained through the hindcasting of the cli..., Adult caribou females were captured and fitted with GPS-collars. We examined archives and other sources to find reliable information on past boreal caribou distributions. We extracted the climate data used in this study from three datasets, i.e. ERA5, CERA-20C and 20CRv3. We modelled the realized climate niche of boreal caribou by linking current climate conditions and occurrences of caribou and then hindcasted past boreal caribou distributions using the identified climatic niche. Different algorithms were used to do so: Generalized Linear Models (GLM), Generalized Additive Models (GAM), Random Forests (RF) and Boosted Regression Trees (BRT). , , # Data for: Climate change alone cannot explain boreal caribou range recession in Quebec since 1850

https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.76hdr7t2d

Boreal caribou GPS Telemetry Data:

• The GPS telemetry data cannot be shared with the reviewers, editors and readers of this manuscript, as a request of the Government of Quebec.
• Potential users interested in accessing these datasets have to contact the Direction générale de la gestion de la faune et des habitats of the
• Ministère de l'Environnement, de la Lutte contre les Changements Climatiques, de la Faune et des Parcs du Québec and submit their data access request.
• They can be contacted at: services.clientele@mffp.gouv.qc.ca.

Southern limits of the boreal caribou ranges between 1850 and 2010: - These shapefiles were uploaded on Dryad in a .zip file named "Morineau et al_Southern limits caribou distribution ranges.zip". This .zip file contained the 4 southern limits for 1850 ("limite_su...

The statistic shows GDP per capita in the United Kingdom from 1987 to 2020, with projections up until 2030. In 2020, GDP per capita in the United Kingdom was at around 40,230.55 US dollars. The same year, the total UK population amounted to about 67.26 million people. The United Kingdom is among the leading countries in a world GDP ranking.Falling unemployment in a time of recessionGDP is a useful indicator when it comes to measuring the state of a nation’s economy. GDP is the market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time, usually a year. GDP per capita equals exactly the GDI (gross domestic income) per capita and is not a measure of an individual’s personal income.As can be seen clearly in the statistic, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita in the United Kingdom is beginning to increase, albeit not to pre-recession levels. The UK is beginning to see signs of an economic recovery, though as of yet it remains unclear what sort of recovery this is. Questions have been raised as to whether the growth being seen is the right sort of growth for a well balanced recovery across the necessary sectors. An interesting oddity occurred in the United Kingdom for nine months in 2012, which saw a decreasing unemployment occurring at the same time as dip in nationwide economic productivity. This seems like good - if not unusual - news, but could be indicative of people entering part-time employment. It could also suggest that labor productivity is falling, meaning that the UK would be less competitive as a nation. The figures continue to rise, however, with an increase in employment in the private sector. With the rate of inflation in the UK impacting everyone’s daily lives, it is becoming increasingly difficult for vulnerable groups to maintain a decent standard of living.

In recent years, the cargo handling industry in Europe has encountered challenges. The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted both passenger and freight traffic, leading to a decline in industry revenue. Additionally, there has been a notable shift towards road transport, impacting the industry's performance. Industry revenue is expected to fall at a compound annual rate of 4.3% over the five years through 2024 to €44.5 billion, including a contraction of 3.4% in the current year. Despite signs of recovery in the Cargo Handling industry, it has not yet fully regained its pre-pandemic footing. Government investments in the rail sector represent a promising step in aiding this recovery, offering hope for improved infrastructure and operational efficiency. Nevertheless, external factors, like the introduction of customs checks between the UK and the EU and geopolitical events like Russia's invasion of Ukraine, continue to pose challenges by disrupting intra-European trade and weakening the flow of freight traffic across the continent. These external uncertainties add complexity to the industry's path to full restoration. Industry revenue is forecast to grow at a compound annual rate of 2.2% over the five years through 2029 to €49.6 billion. The cargo handling industry in Europe is poised for growth, with a focus on sustainability. The EU's plan to double high-speed rail by 2030, backed by substantial investments, is expected to drive revenue growth. Adaptability to market changes and efficient management of external disruptions are pivotal for achieving this potential. The industry's success will hinge on seizing these opportunities amid the intricate European transport and trade landscape.