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The objective behind attempting this dataset was to understand the predictors that contribute to the life expectancy around the world. I have used Linear Regression, Decision Tree and Random Forest for this purpose. Steps Involved: - Read the csv file - Data Cleaning: - Variables Country and Status were showing as having character data types. These had to be converted to factor - 2563 missing values were encountered with Population variable having the most of the missing values i.e 652 - Missing rows were dropped before we could run the analysis. 3) Run Linear Regression - Before running linear regression, 3 variables were dropped as they were not found to be having that much of an effect on the dependent variable i.e Life Expectancy. These 3 variables were Country, Year & Status. This meant we are now working with 19 variables (1 dependent and 18 independent variables) - We run the linear regression. Multiple R squared is 83% which means that independent variables can explain 83% change or variance in the dependent variable. - OULTLIER DETECTION. We check for outliers using IQR and find 54 outliers. These outliers are then removed before we run the regression analysis once again. Multiple R squared increased from 83% to 86%. - MULTICOLLINEARITY. We check for multicollinearity using the VIF model(Variance Inflation Factor). This is being done in case when two or more independent variables showing high correlation. The thumb rule is that absolute VIF values above 5 should be removed. We find 6 variables that have a VIF value higher than 5 namely Infant.deaths, percentage.expenditure,Under.five.deaths,GDP,thinness1.19,thinness5.9. Infant deaths and Under Five deaths have strong collinearity so we drop infant deaths(which has the higher VIF value). - When we run the linear regression model again, VIF value of Under.Five.Deaths goes down from 211.46 to 2.74 while the other variable's VIF values reduce very less. Variable thinness1.19 is now dropped and we run the regression once more. - Variable thinness5.9 whose absolute VIF value was 7.61 has now dropped to 1.95. GDP and Population are still having VIF value more than 5 but I decided against dropping these as I consider them to be important independent variables. - SET THE SEED AND SPLIT THE DATA INTO TRAIN AND TEST DATA. We run the train data and get multiple R squared of 86% and p value less than that of alpha which states that it is statistically significant. We use the train data to predict the test data to find out the RMSE and MAPE. We run the library(Metrics) for this purpose. - In Linear Regression, RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error) is 3.2. This indicates that on an average, the predicted values have an error of 3.2 years as compared to the actual life expectancy values. - MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) is 0.037. This indicates an accuracy prediction of 96.20% (1-0.037). - MAE (Mean Absolute Error) is 2.55. This indicates that on an average, the predicted values deviate by approximately 2.83 years from the actual values.
Conclusion: Random Forest is the best model for predicting the life expectancy values as it has the lowest RMSE, MAPE and MAE.
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Removes support for SPSS and Excel data.Changes the crimes that are stored in each file. There are more files now with fewer crimes per file. The files and their included crimes have been updated below.
Adds in agencies that report 0 months of the year.Adds a column that indicates the number of months reported. This is generated summing up the number of unique months an agency reports data for. Note that this indicates the number of months an agency reported arrests for ANY crime. They may not necessarily report every crime every month. Agencies that did not report a crime with have a value of NA for every arrest column for that crime.Removes data on runaways.
Version 4 release notes:
Changes column names from "poss_coke" and "sale_coke" to "poss_heroin_coke" and "sale_heroin_coke" to clearly indicate that these column includes the sale of heroin as well as similar opiates such as morphine, codeine, and opium. Also changes column names for the narcotic columns to indicate that they are only for synthetic narcotics.
Version 3 release notes:
Add data for 2016.Order rows by year (descending) and ORI.Version 2 release notes:
Fix bug where Philadelphia Police Department had incorrect FIPS county code.
The Arrests by Age, Sex, and Race data is an FBI data set that is part of the annual Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program data. This data contains highly granular data on the number of people arrested for a variety of crimes (see below for a full list of included crimes). The data sets here combine data from the years 1980-2015 into a single file. These files are quite large and may take some time to load.
All the data was downloaded from NACJD as ASCII+SPSS Setup files and read into R using the package asciiSetupReader. All work to clean the data and save it in various file formats was also done in R. For the R code used to clean this data, see here. https://github.com/jacobkap/crime_data. If you have any questions, comments, or suggestions please contact me at jkkaplan6@gmail.com.
I did not make any changes to the data other than the following. When an arrest column has a value of "None/not reported", I change that value to zero. This makes the (possible incorrect) assumption that these values represent zero crimes reported. The original data does not have a value when the agency reports zero arrests other than "None/not reported." In other words, this data does not differentiate between real zeros and missing values. Some agencies also incorrectly report the following numbers of arrests which I change to NA: 10000, 20000, 30000, 40000, 50000, 60000, 70000, 80000, 90000, 100000, 99999, 99998.
To reduce file size and make the data more manageable, all of the data is aggregated yearly. All of the data is in agency-year units such that every row indicates an agency in a given year. Columns are crime-arrest category units. For example, If you choose the data set that includes murder, you would have rows for each agency-year and columns with the number of people arrests for murder. The ASR data breaks down arrests by age and gender (e.g. Male aged 15, Male aged 18). They also provide the number of adults or juveniles arrested by race. Because most agencies and years do not report the arrestee's ethnicity (Hispanic or not Hispanic) or juvenile outcomes (e.g. referred to adult court, referred to welfare agency), I do not include these columns.
To make it easier to merge with other data, I merged this data with the Law Enforcement Agency Identifiers Crosswalk (LEAIC) data. The data from the LEAIC add FIPS (state, county, and place) and agency type/subtype. Please note that some of the FIPS codes have leading zeros and if you open it in Excel it will automatically delete those leading zeros.
I created 9 arrest categories myself. The categories are:
Total Male JuvenileTotal Female JuvenileTotal Male AdultTotal Female AdultTotal MaleTotal FemaleTotal JuvenileTotal AdultTotal ArrestsAll of these categories are based on the sums of the sex-age categories (e.g. Male under 10, Female aged 22) rather than using the provided age-race categories (e.g. adult Black, juvenile Asian). As not all agencies report the race data, my method is more accurate. These categories also make up the data in the "simple" version of the data. The "simple" file only includes the above 9 columns as the arrest data (all other columns in the data are just agency identifier columns). Because this "simple" data set need fewer columns, I include all offenses.
As the arrest data is very granular, and each category of arrest is its own column, there are dozens of columns per crime. To keep the data somewhat manageable, there are nine different files, eight which contain different crimes and the "simple" file. Each file contains the data for all years. The eight categories each have crimes belonging to a major crime category and do not overlap in crimes other than with the index offenses. Please note that the crime names provided below are not the same as the column names in the data. Due to Stata limiting column names to 32 characters maximum, I have abbreviated the crime names in the data. The files and their included crimes are:
Index Crimes
MurderRapeRobberyAggravated AssaultBurglaryTheftMotor Vehicle TheftArsonAlcohol CrimesDUIDrunkenness
LiquorDrug CrimesTotal DrugTotal Drug SalesTotal Drug PossessionCannabis PossessionCannabis SalesHeroin or Cocaine PossessionHeroin or Cocaine SalesOther Drug PossessionOther Drug SalesSynthetic Narcotic PossessionSynthetic Narcotic SalesGrey Collar and Property CrimesForgeryFraudStolen PropertyFinancial CrimesEmbezzlementTotal GamblingOther GamblingBookmakingNumbers LotterySex or Family CrimesOffenses Against the Family and Children
Other Sex Offenses
ProstitutionRapeViolent CrimesAggravated AssaultMurderNegligent ManslaughterRobberyWeapon Offenses
Other CrimesCurfewDisorderly ConductOther Non-trafficSuspicion
VandalismVagrancy
Simple
This data set has every crime and only the arrest categories that I created (see above).
If you have any questions, comments, or suggestions please contact me at jkkaplan6@gmail.com.
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Supplementary Material for
Human Wellbeing and Machine Learning
by Ekaterina Oparina (r) Caspar Kaiser (r) Niccolò Gentile; Alexandre Tkatchenko, Andrew E. Clark, Jan-Emmanuel De Neve and Conchita D'Ambrosio
This repository contains the list of variables that are used in the Extended Set analysis for the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP.csv), the UK Household Longitudinal Study (UKHLS.csv), and the American Gallup Daily Poll (Gallup.csv). We use the 2013 Wave of Gallup and SOEP, and Wave 3 of the UKHLS (which covers 2011-2012). Our dataset includes all of the available variables, apart from direct measures of subjective wellbeing (such as domain satisfaction, happiness, or subjective health) or mental health. We also exclude variables with more than 50% missing values.
The presented lists include the variables before processing. For the analysis, we convert categorical variables into a set of dummies, one for each category. We then drop all perfectly collinear variables.
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The 7.9% of 401 participants had missing survival data. The imputation assumption adopted in the model to replace missing survival data were; (i)–that all missing participants were alive. (ii)–that all missing participants were dead. (XLSX)
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#https://www.kaggle.com/c/facial-keypoints-detection/details/getting-started-with-r #################################
###Variables for downloaded files data.dir <- ' ' train.file <- paste0(data.dir, 'training.csv') test.file <- paste0(data.dir, 'test.csv') #################################
###Load csv -- creates a data.frame matrix where each column can have a different type. d.train <- read.csv(train.file, stringsAsFactors = F) d.test <- read.csv(test.file, stringsAsFactors = F)
###In training.csv, we have 7049 rows, each one with 31 columns. ###The first 30 columns are keypoint locations, which R correctly identified as numbers. ###The last one is a string representation of the image, identified as a string.
###To look at samples of the data, uncomment this line:
###Let's save the first column as another variable, and remove it from d.train: ###d.train is our dataframe, and we want the column called Image. ###Assigning NULL to a column removes it from the dataframe
im.train <- d.train$Image d.train$Image <- NULL #removes 'image' from the dataframe
im.test <- d.test$Image d.test$Image <- NULL #removes 'image' from the dataframe
################################# #The image is represented as a series of numbers, stored as a string #Convert these strings to integers by splitting them and converting the result to integer
#strsplit splits the string #unlist simplifies its output to a vector of strings #as.integer converts it to a vector of integers. as.integer(unlist(strsplit(im.train[1], " "))) as.integer(unlist(strsplit(im.test[1], " ")))
###Install and activate appropriate libraries ###The tutorial is meant for Linux and OSx, where they use a different library, so: ###Replace all instances of %dopar% with %do%.
library("foreach", lib.loc="~/R/win-library/3.3")
###implement parallelization im.train <- foreach(im = im.train, .combine=rbind) %do% { as.integer(unlist(strsplit(im, " "))) } im.test <- foreach(im = im.test, .combine=rbind) %do% { as.integer(unlist(strsplit(im, " "))) } #The foreach loop will evaluate the inner command for each row in im.train, and combine the results with rbind (combine by rows). #%do% instructs R to do all evaluations in parallel. #im.train is now a matrix with 7049 rows (one for each image) and 9216 columns (one for each pixel):
###Save all four variables in data.Rd file ###Can reload them at anytime with load('data.Rd')
#each image is a vector of 96*96 pixels (96*96 = 9216). #convert these 9216 integers into a 96x96 matrix: im <- matrix(data=rev(im.train[1,]), nrow=96, ncol=96)
#im.train[1,] returns the first row of im.train, which corresponds to the first training image. #rev reverse the resulting vector to match the interpretation of R's image function #(which expects the origin to be in the lower left corner).
#To visualize the image we use R's image function: image(1:96, 1:96, im, col=gray((0:255)/255))
#Let’s color the coordinates for the eyes and nose points(96-d.train$nose_tip_x[1], 96-d.train$nose_tip_y[1], col="red") points(96-d.train$left_eye_center_x[1], 96-d.train$left_eye_center_y[1], col="blue") points(96-d.train$right_eye_center_x[1], 96-d.train$right_eye_center_y[1], col="green")
#Another good check is to see how variable is our data. #For example, where are the centers of each nose in the 7049 images? (this takes a while to run): for(i in 1:nrow(d.train)) { points(96-d.train$nose_tip_x[i], 96-d.train$nose_tip_y[i], col="red") }
#there are quite a few outliers -- they could be labeling errors. Looking at one extreme example we get this: #In this case there's no labeling error, but this shows that not all faces are centralized idx <- which.max(d.train$nose_tip_x) im <- matrix(data=rev(im.train[idx,]), nrow=96, ncol=96) image(1:96, 1:96, im, col=gray((0:255)/255)) points(96-d.train$nose_tip_x[idx], 96-d.train$nose_tip_y[idx], col="red")
#One of the simplest things to try is to compute the mean of the coordinates of each keypoint in the training set and use that as a prediction for all images colMeans(d.train, na.rm=T)
#To build a submission file we need to apply these computed coordinates to the test instances: p <- matrix(data=colMeans(d.train, na.rm=T), nrow=nrow(d.test), ncol=ncol(d.train), byrow=T) colnames(p) <- names(d.train) predictions <- data.frame(ImageId = 1:nrow(d.test), p) head(predictions)
#The expected submission format has one one keypoint per row, but we can easily get that with the help of the reshape2 library:
library(...
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