The U.S. housing market has slowed, after ** consecutive years of rising home prices. In 2021, house prices surged by an unprecedented ** percent, marking the highest increase on record. However, the market has since cooled, with the Freddie Mac House Price Index showing more modest growth between 2022 and 2024. In 2024, home prices increased by *** percent. That was lower than the long-term average of *** percent since 1990. Impact of mortgage rates on homebuying The recent cooling in the housing market can be partly attributed to rising mortgage rates. After reaching a record low of **** percent in 2021, the average annual rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage more than doubled in 2023. This significant increase has made homeownership less affordable for many potential buyers, contributing to a substantial decline in home sales. Despite these challenges, forecasts suggest a potential recovery in the coming years. How much does it cost to buy a house in the U.S.? In 2023, the median sales price of an existing single-family home reached a record high of over ******* U.S. dollars. Newly built homes were even pricier, despite a slight decline in the median sales price in 2023. Naturally, home prices continue to vary significantly across the country, with West Virginia being the most affordable state for homebuyers.

The average sales price of new homes in the United States experienced a slight decrease in 2024, dropping to 512,2000 U.S. dollars from the peak of 521,500 U.S. dollars in 2022. This decline came after years of substantial price increases, with the average price surpassing 400,000 U.S. dollars for the first time in 2021. The recent cooling in the housing market reflects broader economic trends and changing consumer sentiment towards homeownership. Factors influencing home prices and affordability The rapid rise in home prices over the past few years has been driven by several factors, including historically low mortgage rates and increased demand during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the market has since slowed down, with the number of home sales declining by over two million between 2021 and 2023. This decline can be attributed to rising mortgage rates and decreased affordability. The Housing Affordability Index hit a record low of 98.1 in 2023, indicating that the median-income family could no longer afford a median-priced home. Future outlook for the housing market Despite the recent cooling, experts forecast a potential recovery in the coming years. The Freddie Mac House Price Index showed a growth of 6.5 percent in 2023, which is still above the long-term average of 4.4 percent since 1990. However, homebuyer sentiment remains low across all age groups, with people aged 45 to 64 expressing the most pessimistic outlook. The median sales price of existing homes is expected to increase slightly until 2025, suggesting that affordability challenges may persist in the near future.

House prices grew year-on-year in most states in the U.S. in the first quarter of 2025. Hawaii was the only exception, with a decline of **** percent. The annual appreciation for single-family housing in the U.S. was **** percent, while in Rhode Island—the state where homes appreciated the most—the increase was ******percent. How have home prices developed in recent years? House price growth in the U.S. has been going strong for years. In 2025, the median sales price of a single-family home exceeded ******* U.S. dollars, up from ******* U.S. dollars five years ago. One of the factors driving house prices was the cost of credit. The record-low federal funds effective rate allowed mortgage lenders to set mortgage interest rates as low as *** percent. With interest rates on the rise, home buying has also slowed, causing fluctuations in house prices. Why are house prices growing? Many markets in the U.S. are overheated because supply has not been able to keep up with demand. How many homes enter the housing market depends on the construction output, whereas the availability of existing homes for purchase depends on many other factors, such as the willingness of owners to sell. Furthermore, growing investor appetite in the housing sector means that prospective homebuyers have some extra competition to worry about. In certain metros, for example, the share of homes bought by investors exceeded ** percent in 2025.

In this Economic Commentary , we compare characteristics of the 2000–2006 house-price boom that preceded the Great Recession to the house-price boom that began in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. These two episodes of high house-price growth have important differences, including the behavior of rental rates, the dynamics of housing supply and demand, and the state of the mortgage market. The absence of changes in fundamentals during the 2000s is consistent with the literature emphasizing house-price beliefs during this prior episode. In contrast to during the 2000s boom, changes in fundamentals (including rent and demand growth) played a more dominant role in the 2020s house-price boom.

Graph and download economic data for Median Sales Price of Houses Sold for the United States (MSPUS) from Q1 1963 to Q2 2025 about sales, median, housing, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for All-Transactions House Price Index for the United States (USSTHPI) from Q1 1975 to Q3 2025 about appraisers, HPI, housing, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

The USA home loan market is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 18% from 2025 to 2033. While the exact market size for 2025 is not provided, considering a typical large market size and the substantial growth rate, a reasonable estimate would place the market value at approximately $2 trillion in 2025. This significant expansion is driven by several key factors, including a rising population, increasing urbanization, favorable government policies promoting homeownership, and historically low-interest rates (though this last factor is less significant in recent years). The market is witnessing a shift towards digital platforms and online mortgage applications, streamlining the process for borrowers and increasing competition amongst lenders. However, challenges remain, such as fluctuating interest rates, potential economic downturns impacting affordability, and stringent lending regulations designed to protect borrowers. The competitive landscape is dominated by major players like Rocket Mortgage, LoanDepot, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America, along with regional and independent mortgage lenders. These companies are constantly innovating to cater to evolving customer preferences, offering personalized services, and leveraging data analytics for improved risk assessment. The market segmentation is likely diverse, encompassing various loan types (e.g., fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, FHA, VA loans), loan amounts, and borrower demographics. Future growth will depend on macroeconomic factors, including inflation, employment rates, and overall consumer confidence. Continued technological advancements and regulatory changes will significantly influence the market trajectory throughout the forecast period. Key drivers for this market are: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Potential restraints include: Increase in digitization in mortgage lending market, Increase in innovations in software designs to speed up the mortgage-application process. Notable trends are: Growth in Nonbank Lenders is Expected to Drive the Market.

In the United States, interest rates for all mortgage types started to increase in 2021. This was due to the Federal Reserve introducing a series of hikes in the federal funds rate to contain the rising inflation. In the second quarter of 2025, the 30-year fixed rate dropped slightly, to **** percent. The rate remained below the peak of **** percent in the fourth quarter of 2023. Why have U.S. home sales decreased? Cheaper mortgages normally encourage consumers to buy homes, while higher borrowing costs have the opposite effect. As interest rates increased in 2022, the number of existing homes sold plummeted. Soaring house prices over the past 10 years have further affected housing affordability. Between 2014 and 2024, the median price of an existing single-family home risen by about ** percent. On the other hand, the median weekly earnings have risen much slower. Comparing mortgage terms and rates Between 2008 and 2024, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage in the United States stood between **** and **** percent. Over the same period, a 30-year mortgage term averaged a fixed-rate of between **** and **** percent. Rates on 15-year loan terms are lower to encourage a quicker repayment, which helps to improve a homeowner’s equity.

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States decreased to 6.23 percent in November 26 from 6.26 percent in the previous week. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

The housing market has been booming, with mortgage lending growing, but the recent hike interest rate rise threatens to stop the residential property market in its tracks.

Graph and download economic data for All-Transactions House Price Index for California (CASTHPI) from Q1 1975 to Q3 2025 about appraisers, CA, HPI, housing, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Housing Index in Hong Kong increased to 143.46 points in November 23 from 142.49 points in the previous week. This dataset provides - Hong Kong House Price Index - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

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Residential Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029

The residential real estate market size is valued to increase USD 485.2 billion, at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2024 to 2029. Growing residential sector globally will drive the residential real estate market.

Major Market Trends & Insights

APAC dominated the market and accounted for a 55% growth during the forecast period.
By Mode Of Booking - Sales segment was valued at USD 926.50 billion in 2023
By Type - Apartments and condominiums segment accounted for the largest market revenue share in 2023

Market Size & Forecast

Market Opportunities: USD 41.01 billion
Market Future Opportunities: USD 485.20 billion
CAGR : 4.5%
APAC: Largest market in 2023

Market Summary

The market is a dynamic and ever-evolving sector that continues to shape the global economy. With increasing marketing initiatives and the growing residential sector globally, the market presents significant opportunities for growth. However, regulatory uncertainty looms large, posing challenges for stakeholders. According to recent reports, technology adoption in residential real estate has surged, with virtual tours and digital listings becoming increasingly popular. In fact, over 40% of homebuyers in the US prefer virtual property viewings. Core technologies such as artificial intelligence and blockchain are revolutionizing the industry, offering enhanced customer experiences and streamlined processes.
Despite these advancements, regulatory compliance remains a major concern, with varying regulations across regions adding complexity to market operations. The market is a complex and intriguing space, with ongoing activities and evolving patterns shaping its future trajectory.

What will be the Size of the Residential Real Estate Market during the forecast period?

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How is the Residential Real Estate Market Segmented and what are the key trends of market segmentation?

The residential real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Mode Of Booking

  Sales
  Rental or lease


Type

  Apartments and condominiums
  Landed houses and villas


Location

  Urban
  Suburban
  Rural


End-user

  Mid-range housing
  Affordable housing
  Luxury housing


Geography

  North America

    US
    Canada
    Mexico


  Europe

    France
    Germany
    UK


  APAC

    Australia
    Japan
    South Korea


  South America

    Brazil


  Rest of World (ROW)

By Mode Of Booking Insights

The sales segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

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The Sales segment was valued at USD 926.50 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

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Regional Analysis

APAC is estimated to contribute 55% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

See How Residential Real Estate Market Demand is Rising in APAC Request Free Sample

The market in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region holds a significant share and is projected to lead the global market growth. Factors fueling this expansion include the region's rapid urbanization and increasing consumer spending power. Notably, residential and commercial projects in countries like India and China are experiencing robust development. The residential real estate sector in China plays a pivotal role in the economy and serves as a major growth driver for the market.

With these trends continuing, the APAC the market is poised for continued expansion during the forecast period.

Market Dynamics

Our researchers analyzed the data with 2024 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challenges. A holistic analysis of drivers will help companies refine their marketing strategies to gain a competitive advantage.

In the Residential Real Estate Market, understanding the impact property tax rates home values and effect interest rates mortgage affordability is essential for buyers and investors. Key factors affecting home price appreciation and factors influencing housing affordability shape market trends, while the importance property due diligence process and requirements environmental site assessment ensure informed decisions. Investors benefit from methods calculating rental property roi, process home equity loan application, and benefits real estate portfolio diversification. Tools like property management software efficiency and techniques effective property marketing help tackle challenges managing rental properties. Additionally, strategies successf

Discover the booming global housing mortgage market! This comprehensive analysis reveals a $15 trillion market in 2025, projected to reach $23 trillion by 2033, driven by urbanization, rising incomes, and Fintech innovation. Explore regional trends, key players, and future growth forecasts.

Companies operating in the third-party real estate industry have had to navigate numerous economic headwinds in recent years, notably rising interest rates, spiralling inflation and muted economic growth. Revenue is projected to sink at a compound annual rate of 0.6% over the five years through 2025, including an estimated jump of 1.2% in 2025 to €207.6 billion, while the average industry profit margin is forecast to reach 35.1%. Amid spiralling inflation, central banks across Europe ratcheted up interest rates, resulting in borrowing costs skyrocketing over the two years through 2023. In residential markets, elevated mortgage rates combined with tightening credit conditions eventually ate into demand, inciting a drop in house prices. Rental markets performed well when house prices were elevated (2021-2023), being the cheaper alternative for cash-strapped buyers. However, even lessors felt the pinch of rising mortgage rates, forcing them to hoist rent prices to cover costs and pricing out potential buyers. This led to a slowdown in rental markets in 2023, weighing on revenue growth. However, this has started to turn around in 2025 as interest rates have been falling across Europe in the two years through 2025, reducing borrowing costs for buyers and boosting property transactions. This has helped revenue to rebound slightly in 2025 as estate agents earn commission from property transactions. Revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 3.7% over the five years through 2030 to €249.5 billion. Housing prices are recovering in 2025 as fixed-rate mortgages begin to drop and economic uncertainty subsides, aiding revenue growth in the short term. Over the coming years, PropTech—technology-driven innovations designed to improve and streamline the real estate industry—will force estate agents to adapt, shaking up the traditional real estate sector. A notable application of PropTech is the use of AI and data analytics to predict a home’s future value and speed up the process of retrofitting properties to become more sustainable.

Key information about House Prices Growth

• Mexico house prices grew 8.9% YoY in Sep 2025, following an increase of 8.7% YoY in the previous quarter.
• YoY growth data is updated quarterly, available from Mar 2006 to Sep 2025, with an average growth rate of 10.2%.
• House price data reached an all-time high of 11.7% in Mar 2023 and a record low of 2.2% in Jun 2010.

The global home loan market is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 7% from 2025 to 2033. While the exact 2025 market size ("XX Million") is unspecified, considering a typical market size for such sectors and the provided CAGR, a reasonable estimation would place it in the range of several hundred billion to a trillion dollars depending on the geographical scope of the report (global, regional etc.). This substantial market value underscores the significant demand for home financing globally. The growth is propelled by several key factors, including increasing urbanization, rising disposable incomes in developing economies, supportive government policies promoting homeownership, and the ongoing expansion of the mortgage lending sector itself. Technological advancements, such as online lending platforms and streamlined application processes, also contribute to market expansion by increasing accessibility and efficiency. Conversely, factors like fluctuating interest rates, stringent lending regulations intended to mitigate risk, and economic downturns impacting consumer confidence can act as market restraints. However, the consistent growth trajectory suggests that the positive drivers outweigh these challenges in the long term. The home loan market is segmented based on various criteria such as loan type (fixed-rate, adjustable-rate, etc.), borrower profile (first-time homebuyers, repeat buyers), and loan amount (high-value, low-value). Key players in this dynamic market include established financial institutions like Bank of America, Charles Schwab, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs (Marcus), HSBC, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo, alongside specialized mortgage lenders such as Dewan Housing Finance Corporation and LIC Housing Finance. Competition among these entities is intense, with each striving to innovate and offer competitive products and services to capture market share within their respective segments. This competition benefits consumers through improved terms and offerings, further driving market growth. The market's future growth trajectory will largely be influenced by the interplay between these driving forces, the potential impact of unforeseen economic events, and ongoing regulatory changes. Key drivers for this market are: Real Estate Market Trends, Government Policies. Potential restraints include: Real Estate Market Trends, Government Policies. Notable trends are: Turkey has the Highest Mortgage Interest Rate.

View weekly updates and historical trends for 30 Year Mortgage Rate. from United States. Source: Freddie Mac. Track economic data with YCharts analytics.

The Residential Mortgage Service market is projected to reach a value of XXX million by 2033, expanding at a CAGR of XX% during the forecast period. This growth is attributed to increasing disposable income, urbanization, and the growing number of first-time homebuyers. Additionally, government initiatives and favorable interest rates have further fueled market expansion. Key market drivers include the rising demand for affordable housing, technological advancements in mortgage processing, and the expansion of the real estate sector. The market is segmented based on application, type, and region. The first-time buyer segment is expected to witness significant growth due to the increasing number of millennials entering the housing market. The purchase segment dominates the type category, driven by the rising demand for new homes. In terms of region, North America is anticipated to hold the largest market share owing to the presence of a large and well-established mortgage industry. Asia Pacific is projected to exhibit the highest growth rate during the forecast period due to the increasing urbanization and growing middle class. Major market players include Accenture, Residential Mortgage Services, Bigelow LLC., Cummings Mortgage Service, and East Shore Mortgage Services.

The U.S. housing market continues to evolve, with the median price for existing homes forecast to fall to ******* U.S. dollars by 2027. This projection comes after a period of significant growth and recent fluctuations, reflecting the complex interplay of economic factors affecting the real estate sector. The rising costs have not only impacted home prices but also down payments, with the median down payment more than doubling since 2012. Regional variations in housing costs Home prices and down payments vary dramatically across the United States. While the national median down payment stood at approximately ****** U.S. dollars in early 2024, homebuyers in states like California, Massachusetts, and Hawaii faced down payments exceeding ****** U.S. dollars. This disparity highlights the challenges of homeownership in high-cost markets and underscores the importance of location in determining housing affordability. Market dynamics and future outlook The housing market has shown signs of cooling after years of rapid growth, with a modest price increase of *** percent in 2024. This slowdown can be attributed in part to rising mortgage rates, which have tempered demand. Despite these challenges, most states continued to see year-over-year price growth in 2025, with Rhode Island and West Virginia leading the packby home appreciation. As the market adjusts to new economic realities, potential homebuyers and investors alike will be watching closely for signs of stabilization or renewed growth in the coming years.