The year 2021 saw the peak in issuance of residential mortgage backed securities (MBS), at *** trillion U.S. dollars. Since then, MBS issuance has slowed, reaching *** trillion U.S. dollars in 2023. What are mortgage backed securities? A mortgage backed security is a financial instrument in which mortgages are bundled together and sold to investors. The idea is that the risk of these individual mortgages is pooled when they are packaged together. This is a sound investment policy, unless the foreclosure rate increases significantly in a short amount of time. Mortgage risk Since mortgages are loans backed by an asset, the house, the risk is often considered relatively low. However, the loan maturities are very long, sometimes decades, meaning lenders must factor in the risk of a shift in the economic climate. As such, interest rates on longer mortgages tend to be higher than on shorter loans. The ten-year treasury yield influences these rates, since it is a long-term rate that most investors accept as risk-free. Additionally, a decline in the value of homeowner equity could lead to a situation where the debtor is “underwater” and owes more than the home is worth.

Graph and download economic data for Rest of the World; U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities and Other U.S. Asset-Backed Bonds; Asset, Market Value Levels (BOGZ1LM263063603Q) from Q4 1945 to Q1 2025 about asset-backed, mortgage-backed, market value, bonds, securities, assets, and USA.

The Mortgage Backed Securities Market report segments the industry into By Type (Commercial MBS, Residental MBS), By Issuer (Government Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), Government Agencies, Private Financial Institutions), and By Geography (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, South America, Middle East). This report offers five years of historical data and five-year forecasts.

The global Mortgage-Backed Security market is poised for robust growth, with its market size projected to reach XX million in 2033, driven by a CAGR of XX% during the forecast period 2025-2033. Key drivers fueling this growth include increasing demand for residential and commercial mortgages, government support for housing markets, and the ongoing trend of securitization. However, factors such as rising interest rates, economic uncertainties, and regulatory challenges may pose restraints to market expansion. The market is segmented into types (commercial MBS, residential MBS) and applications (commercial banks, real estate enterprises, trust plans). Residential MBS dominate the market due to the high demand for home loans. Prominent players in the market include Construction Bank, ICBC, and Bank of China, among others. North America and Asia Pacific are expected to be key regional markets, with the US, China, and India driving growth. The study period for this analysis is 2019-2033, with the base year being 2025 and the forecast period extending from 2025 to 2033. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are financial instruments that are backed by a pool of mortgages. They are typically issued by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but can also be issued by private banks and investment firms. MBS offer investors a way to invest in the housing market without having to purchase a physical property.

The volume of mortgage-backed securities issuance fluctuated significantly in the United States between 2014 and 2024. In 2024, the volume of the mortgage-backed securities issuance in the United States amounted to 1.6 trillion U.S. dollars.

Mortgage Backed Security Market Outlook

The global mortgage-backed security (MBS) market size was valued at approximately $2.1 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach $3.5 trillion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 5.5%. A key driver of this growth is the increasing demand for mortgage-backed securities due to their ability to provide liquidity and diversify investment portfolios. The growth is further stimulated by favorable government policies and increased homeownership rates, which collectively bolster the issuance of new MBS.

One of the primary growth factors for the MBS market is the low-interest-rate environment, which has persisted over recent years. This scenario has encouraged borrowing and refinancing activities, leading to a higher number of mortgages that can be securitized. Moreover, the stability and relatively lower risk associated with MBS compared to other investment vehicles make them an attractive option for institutional investors. Additionally, advancements in financial technology have streamlined the process of bundling and selling these securities, increasing market efficiency.

Another significant factor contributing to the expansion of the MBS market is the role of government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae. These GSEs guarantee a significant portion of the residential MBS, providing a safety net that minimizes risk for investors. The support from these entities ensures a continuous and reliable flow of investment into the housing sector, which in turn stimulates further securitization of mortgages. Moreover, government policies aimed at bolstering housing finance systems in emerging markets are expected to create additional opportunities for growth.

The diversification of mortgage products, including the rise in demand for commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS), is another driving force for the market. Commercial real estate has shown robust growth, and investors are increasingly looking towards CMBS as a way to gain exposure to this sector. The structured nature of these securities, offering tranches with varying risk and return profiles, allows investors to tailor their investment strategies according to their risk tolerance.

In the context of the MBS market, Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI) plays a crucial role in facilitating homeownership, especially for borrowers who are unable to provide a substantial down payment. LMI is a type of insurance that protects lenders against the risk of borrower default, allowing them to offer loans with lower down payment requirements. This insurance is particularly significant in markets where home prices are high, and saving for a large deposit is challenging for many potential homeowners. By mitigating the risk for lenders, LMI enables more individuals to enter the housing market, thereby supporting the overall growth of mortgage-backed securities. As a result, LMI not only aids in increasing homeownership rates but also contributes to the liquidity and stability of the housing finance system.

Type Analysis

The mortgage-backed security market is bifurcated into Residential MBS and Commercial MBS. Residential MBS (RMBS) dominate the market due to the larger volume of residential mortgages compared to commercial ones. RMBS are typically backed by residential loans, including home mortgages, and are considered less risky. They offer a steady income stream to investors through mortgage payments made by homeowners. The demand for RMBS is bolstered by the high rate of homeownership and the continuous flow of new mortgages.

On the other hand, Commercial MBS (CMBS) are seeing increased traction due to their attractive yields and the growth of the commercial real estate sector. CMBS are backed by loans on commercial properties such as office buildings, retail centers, and hotels. They offer investors exposure to the commercial property market, which is often less correlated with the residential real estate market, providing an additional layer of diversification. The complexity and higher risk associated with CMBS attract sophisticated investors looking for higher returns.

Within RMBS, the market is further segmented into agency RMBS and non-agency RMBS. Agency RMBS are guaranteed by GSEs, making them more secure and attractive to risk-averse investors. Non-agency RMBS, though not backed by GSEs, offer higher yields and are appealing to investors with a higher risk appetite. The interplay betw

Global Mortgage Backed Security market size 2025 was XX Million. Mortgage Backed Security Industry compound annual growth rate (CAGR) will be XX% from 2025 till 2033.

Global Asset-Backed Securities market size is expected to reach $3360.39 billion by 2029 at 6.6%, rising real estate activities fueling growth in the asset-backed securities market

The weekly average value of mortgage-backed securities held by Federal Reserve Banks in the United States decreased in the second half of 2022 and the first half of 2023, after a period of sharp increase in 2020 and 2021. As of May 17, 2023, the weekly average value of mortgage-backed securities held by the Federal Reserve amounted to roughly 2.57 trillion U.S. dollars.

Explore the growth potential of Market Research Intellect's Mortgage-Backed Security Market Report, valued at USD 12 trillion in 2024, with a forecasted market size of USD 15 trillion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 3.1% from 2026 to 2033.

Graph and download economic data for Treasury and Agency Securities: Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS), All Commercial Banks (TMBACBW027SBOG) from 2009-07-01 to 2025-06-18 about mortgage-backed, agency, securities, Treasury, banks, depository institutions, and USA.

Asset Backed Securities Market size was valued at USD 2510.83 Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 3757.14 Billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5.70% from 2024 to 2031.Key Market Drivers:Growing demand for alternative investments: With traditional assets offering lower returns, investors are increasingly turning to ABS for diversification and higher yields. The global ABS market is expected to grow, driven by its appeal to institutional investors seeking stable cash flows in volatile market environments.Rising consumer credit growth: The global consumer credit market, valued at over $15 trillion, is a key driver for ABS, especially in sectors like auto loans, credit cards, and personal loans. With increased borrowing, particularly in emerging markets, the securitization of these loans through ABS provides lenders with additional liquidity.

Asset-backed Securities Market Outlook 2032

The global asset-backed securities market size was USD 2,060.97 Million in 2023 and is likely to reach USD 4,431.66 Million by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 7.5% during 2024–2032. The market is driven by the increasing financial awareness among the consumers worldwide.



Increasing demand for higher yield in a low-interest-rate environment is expected to drive the asset-backed securities (ABS) market, during the forecast period. ABS are financial securities backed by a loan, lease, or receivables against assets other than real estate and mortgage-backed securities. They are a way to raise money for companies and a means of investment for investors, offering a diverse range of investment opportunities with varying risk and return profiles.

Growing awareness and understanding of ABS among investors are contributing to their popularity. These securities provide a way to invest in a wide range of income-generating assets, from credit card receivables and auto loans to student loans and other services. The ability to tailor ABS to meet specific investment objectives, such as risk tolerance and return requirements, makes them an attractive option for many investors.



Rising regulatory scrutiny and the need for transparent and robust structures are shaping the ABS market. The financial crisis of 2008 highlighted the risks associated with these securities, leading to significant changes in the market. Today, issuers are focusing on creating transparent, straightforward, and robust structures, which is expected to further boost investor confidence and drive the growth of the ABS market.

Impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Asset-backed Securities Market

The use of artificial intelligence is likely to boost the asset-backed securities market. AI's "https://dataintelo.com/report/global-advanced-analytics-market" style="color:#0563c1; " target="_blank"><span lang="EN-US"

The Asset Securitization Market size was valued at USD 1,310 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2.69 Billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 9.4% during the forecast period 2026-2032.● Enhanced Capital Efficiency: Capital resources are being optimized by financial institutions through securi-tization processes. Balance sheets are being strengthened as illiquid assets are converted into tradable securities, allowing for improved regulatory capital management.● Diversification of Funding Sources: Alternative funding avenues are being accessed by entities through securitization structures. Dependency on traditional lending sources is being reduced as multiple investor segments are tapped into, resulting in more stable and varied financing mechanisms.● Risk Transfer Capabilities: Credit and interest rate risks are being effectively distributed across the financial system through securitization techniques. Concentration vulnerabilities are being mitigated as exposures are spread among willing investors with appropriate risk appetites.

MBS Market Outlook

The global mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market size was valued at approximately $2.5 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $3.8 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5%. This growth is driven by factors such as increasing demand for diversified investment products, the stability of real estate markets in key regions, and the rising involvement of government-sponsored entities in the securitization process.

One of the primary growth factors of the MBS market is the increasing demand for investment diversification. Investors are continually on the lookout for stable yet lucrative investment opportunities, and MBS provides a unique avenue by offering a relatively safer investment backed by real estate assets. The combination of regular income streams and the potential for capital appreciation makes MBS an attractive option for both institutional and retail investors. Furthermore, the growing sophistication of financial markets globally ensures better transparency and understanding of MBS products, thereby boosting investor confidence.

Another significant growth factor is the stability and growth of the real estate market, particularly in developed regions such as North America and Europe. As the real estate market continues to show robust growth, the underlying assets backing these securities become more valuable and stable, thus enhancing the attractiveness of MBS. Additionally, favorable regulatory frameworks in these regions have facilitated the smooth functioning and growth of the MBS market. Government regulations often play a pivotal role in providing the necessary safeguards and ensuring market stability, which in turn attracts more investors.

The increasing involvement of government-sponsored entities such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae in the United States has also significantly contributed to the growth of the MBS market. These entities not only provide a level of security and credibility but also ensure a steady supply of MBS products in the market. Their active participation helps in maintaining market liquidity and provides a safety net for investors, making the MBS market more resilient to economic downturns. Additionally, similar government-backed initiatives in other regions are expected to drive the market further in the coming years.

From a regional perspective, North America remains the largest market for MBS, driven primarily by the well-established real estate and financial markets in the United States. The presence of major market players and a favorable regulatory environment further solidify its leading position. Europe follows closely, with increasing investments in real estate and government initiatives to boost the financial markets. The Asia Pacific region is expected to witness the highest growth rate, owing to rapid urbanization, increasing disposable incomes, and favorable government policies aimed at boosting the housing sector. Latin America and the Middle East & Africa regions are also expected to show steady growth, driven by improving economic conditions and increasing investment activities.

Type Analysis

The MBS market can be segmented by type into Residential MBS (RMBS) and Commercial MBS (CMBS). Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) are typically backed by residential real estate properties. These securities are attractive to investors due to the low default rates associated with residential properties. The demand for RMBS is particularly high in regions with stable and growing residential real estate markets, such as North America and Europe. The growing trend of homeownership, along with favorable mortgage rates, has significantly contributed to the growth of the RMBS segment. Additionally, the increasing availability of data and analytics has improved the risk assessment associated with RMBS, making it a more attractive investment option.

Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) are backed by commercial real estate properties, such as office buildings, shopping malls, and hotels. The performance of CMBS is closely tied to the health of the commercial real estate market. With the recovery of the global economy post the COVID-19 pandemic, the commercial real estate market has shown significant signs of recovery, thereby boosting the demand for CMBS. Investors are increasingly looking at CMBS as a means to diversify their portfolios, given the attractive yields and potential for capital appreciation. Moreover, the increasing trend of mixed-use developments and smart cities is expected to drive the demand for CMBS in the coming years.&

The structured finance market, valued at $1336.19 billion in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.8% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is fueled by several key drivers. Increasing demand for alternative financing solutions from both large enterprises and SMEs is a significant factor, as these structures offer tailored funding options beyond traditional bank loans. Furthermore, the growth of asset-backed securities, particularly in sectors like mortgages and collateralized debt obligations (CBOs), is significantly contributing to market expansion. Geographic diversification is another key trend, with North America and Europe currently holding substantial market share, but regions like APAC and South America showing promising growth potential due to increasing infrastructure development and economic expansion. However, regulatory changes and economic uncertainties pose potential restraints, necessitating careful risk management strategies within the sector. The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of global investment banks, specialized financial institutions, and legal firms. Key players like JPMorgan Chase & Co., Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup leverage their extensive networks and expertise to dominate significant market segments. Their competitive strategies focus on innovation in product offerings, technological advancements to streamline processes, and strategic partnerships to expand their reach. The industry's success hinges on maintaining strong credit ratings, navigating regulatory complexities, and effectively mitigating risks associated with underlying assets. The forecast period (2025-2033) promises substantial growth opportunities, particularly within emerging markets and specialized asset classes, although careful consideration of potential economic headwinds will be crucial for continued success.

In response to the COVID-19 crisis, the Board's emergency lending facilities have provided a critical backstop. The Board launched a centralized 13(3) Lending Facilities Data Repository on November 6, 2020 to bring together the emergency lending facilities data from different systems and databases. The Federal Reserve established the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) on March 23, 2020 to support the flow of credit to consumers and businesses. The TALF will enable the issuance of asset-backed securities (ABS) backed by student loans, auto loans, credit card loans, loans guaranteed by the Small Business Administration (SBA), and certain other assets. Under the TALF, the Federal Reserve will lend on a non-recourse basis to holders of certain AAA-rated ABS backed by newly and recently originated consumer and small business loans. The Federal Reserve will lend an amount equal to the market value of the ABS less a haircut and will be secured at all times by the ABS. Treasury, using the ESF, will also make an equity investment in the SPV established by the Federal Reserve for this facility. The TALF ceased extending credit on December 31, 2020.

Graph and download economic data for Agency-and GSE-Backed Mortgage Pools; Total Mortgages; Asset, Level (AGSEBMPTCMAHDFS) from Q4 1945 to Q1 2025 about GSE, credit market, agency, mortgage, sector, financial, domestic, assets, and USA.

The industry is composed of non-depository institutions that conduct primary and secondary market lending. Operators in this industry include government agencies in addition to non-agency issuers of mortgage-related securities. Through 2025, rising per capita disposable income and low levels of unemployment helped fuel the increase in primary and secondary market sales of collateralized debt. Nonetheless, due to the pandemic and the sharp contraction in economic activity in 2020, revenue gains were limited, but have climbed as the economy has normalized and interest rates shot up to tackle rampant inflation. However, in 2024 the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as inflationary pressures eased and is expected to be cut further in 2025. Overall, these trends, along with volatility in the real estate market, have caused revenue to slump at a CAGR of 1.5% to $485.0 billion over the past five years, including an expected decline of 1.1% in 2025 alone. The high interest rate environment has hindered real estate loan demand and caused industry profit to shrink to 11.6% of revenue in 2025. Higher access to credit and higher disposable income have fueled primary market lending over much of the past five years, increasing the variety and volume of loans to be securitized and sold in secondary markets. An additional boon for institutions has been an increase in interest rates in the latter part of the period, which raised interest income as the spread between short- and long-term interest rates increased. These macroeconomic factors, combined with changing risk appetite and regulation in the secondary markets, have resurrected collateralized debt trading since the middle of the period. Although the FED cut interest rates in 2024, this will reduce interest income for the industry but increase loan demand. Although institutions are poised to benefit from a strong economic recovery as inflationary pressures ease, relatively steady rates of homeownership, coupled with declines in the 30-year mortgage rate, are expected to damage the primary market through 2030. Shaky demand from commercial banking and uncertainty surrounding inflationary pressures will influence institutions' decisions on whether or not to sell mortgage-backed securities and commercial loans to secondary markets. These trends are expected to cause revenue to decline at a CAGR of 0.8% to $466.9 billion over the five years to 2030.

The Bond Market report segments the industry into By Type (Treasury Bonds, Municipal Bonds, Corporate Bonds, High-Yield Bonds, Mortgage-Backed Securities, and more), By Issuer (Public Sector Issuers, Private Sector Issuers), By Sectors (Government Backed Entities, Financial Corporations, and more), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, South America, Middle East).