Following NFT hype and growing demand in the DeFi community, the price of cryptocurrency Solana or SOL more than tripled during the summer of 2021. This had all but evaporated by the end of 2022, as a price of 143.82 U.S. dollars for SOL on March 25, 2025 was similar to the price of Solana in early 2021. The collapse of crypto trader FTX in 2022 especially impacted the cryptocurrency, as FTX and its sister firm Alameda Research sold a large amount of the coin in order to avoid bankruptcy. The Solana protocol is similar to Ethereum in that can allow for nun-fungible tokens to be created ('minted') or traded. Solana, however, uses a technology called 'PoH' or Proof of History, which allows it to reach high transaction speeds. The Solana Foundation - the creators of the protocol, based in Switzerland - claims they could reach up to 65,000 transactions per second compared to 16 for Ethereum. Additionally, Solano had no transaction fees or 'gas', unlike Ethereum, which had growing transaction costs. These two reasons combined - Solana being deemed cheaper and faster than Ethereum - turned this relatively young protocol into a breeding ground for NFT projects in August 2021.

The market cap of Solana, a cryptocurrency connected with Decentralized Finance or DeFi, grew by 400 percent in the summer of 2021. Originally launched only in April 2020, the rapid growth in 2021 made the digital coin one of the biggest in the world in terms of market capitalization. The altcoin's move into the spotlight coincided with the growing interest in NFTs and especially DeFi, as Solana is one of the biggest blockchains in this world. It is seen as a direct competitor to Ethereum, in that it can power decentralized applications, but in a more efficient way. Solana is said, for instance, to reach transaction speeds that are similar to a VISA transaction whilst using far less energy than Bitcoin miners.

The dominance of Solana (SOL) almost tripled between July and August 2021, and continued to grow in the following months. Within the crypto world, this so-called "dominance" ratio is one of the oldest and most investigated metrics available. It measures the coin's market cap relative to the overall crypto market - for instance, it shows how strong Bitcoin is compared to all the other cryptocurrencies that are not BTC, called "altcoins". In the case of Solana, the dominance somewhat reveals how often it is used for smart contracts and whether it is a popular blockchain for Decentralized Finance (DeFi) applications.

This is a submission for Challenge #24 by Desights User

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Submission Description

The cryptocurrency is not just a new form of value store and exchange, it is a revolution of its own. Beginning with its use to provide peer-to-peer payment network (or digital money) like Bitcoin, today’s cryptocurrency, or crypto for short, have evolved way beyond its humble start. Underlying the crypto world, there lies amazing technology called Blockchain. In simple term, blockchain is a decentralized and shared digital ledger that records transactions transparently and immutably across nodes in the network. Today’s Crypto community has slowly turned into industry of its own introducing a whole spectrum of enigmatic pattern, trends, and economic framework. In this report we will explore the trend, correlations, and dynamics related to 20 selected Crypto projects to derived insights and build models that predict the future of crypto. Key Findings: Our exploratory data analysis (EDA) underlines the span and general pattern of the Google Trend and Price related data. The data being analyzed span from the earliest entry on 2014-09-17 up to the latest on 2024-04-07. Time series decomposition was performed to extract trend, seasonal cycle, and residuals that made up the Google Interest Trend data. Analysis on the time-series decomposition help us distinguish cluster (a) with projects on the rise such as Solana, SingularityNet, Fetch.ai, and Ocean Protocol; and cluster (b) containing old project such as Dogecoin, Litecoin Filecoin, Tezos that are facing stagnant/downfall trend. Based on the Google Trends’s Correlation across projects we characterize Highly correlated projects cluster with correlation of about >0.8, and up to 0.92 with Bitcoin-Ethereum-Chainlink-Litecoin-Monero as the prominent group members. By introducing additional Google Trend data to understand Crypto Narrative, we worked toward building interpretable Event/Entity driving the market sentiment to explain our decomposed Time-series data. Based on Lag Characteristics in Correlation of Google Trend and Price/Trade Volume we highlight the tendency for the correlation to accumulate at longer lag time. Using NeuralProphet Framework we build forecasting models for Google Trend and Token Price for all 20 projects investigated here. We deployed these models to predict Trend and Price for all 20 projects for the following 52 weeks (up until April 2025). The developed models performed extraordinarily well with the R^2 value for most fall between the range of 0.75-0.88, while the highest goes up to 0.919. We highlight the correlation between Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ocean, with the rest of other projects. Ocean and Bitcoin, also Ethereum and Solana are the most correlated, both with correlation value of 0.89. The Kucoin’s KCS token is the least correlated with both Ocean and Bitcoin (0.31), while with Ethereum, Filecoin have the least correlation (0.41).

Conclusion This investigative study presents a thorough data analysis and exploration of correlations, time-lag characteristics, and time-series decomposition concerning Google Trends and token prices for 20 selected crypto/blockchain projects. By decomposing the time-series data, we have identified several clusters of crypto projects that is moving up in popularity such as Fetch.ai, SingularityNet, Solana, Ocean and some others that are stuck or in downfall trend, such as Dogecoin and Litecoin. Our analysis also includes a detailed exploration of various factors that contribute to understanding the data better, such as the incorporation of event-driven trends that explain outlier spikes in the residual data from our decomposed time-series.

In addition to our in-depth analysis, we build strong mini-library of forecasting models for predicting the Google Trend as well as price for the upcoming year with R^2 score that goes as high as 0.88 for most cases. Moreover, in order to demonstrate the utility of our exploratory data analysis tools and pipeline in full we also include all the results and analysis output produced in this work.

Looking ahead, we plan to expand our developed forecasting models and the presented data into a "CryptoForecast MiniApp." This application, based on the Streamlit package, will be hosted on a decentralized cloud (Akash) and connected to the Ocean marketplace and Predictoor, enhancing accessibility and utility for users interested in real-time data for Google Trends and Crypto Token Price forecasts.

By July 2024, over 464 million Solana tokens were issued and in active circulation - but new coins arrive slowly. Although the cryptocurrency has an unlimited supply - unlike Bitcoin, of which there can only be 21 million tokens and not a single more - the Solana blockchain only issues a set amount of new tokens at the beginning of each year. This issuance is based off the year-to-year inflation rate, and can therefore vary. When SOL first launched, there was a maximum supply of around 500 million, but the blockchain burned (erased from the blockchain) 11 million of them. By December 2021, the maximum supply was around 510 million SOL.

Wall Street Bets Solana Ang pagsubaybay sa kasaysayan ng presyo ay nagbibigay-daan sa mga crypto investor na madaling masubaybayan ang performance ng kanilang pamumuhunan. Maginhawa mong masusubaybayan ang opening value, high, at close sa Wall Street Bets Solana sa paglipas ng panahon, pati na rin ang trade volume. Bukod pa rito, maaari mong agad na tingnan ang pang-araw-araw na pagbabago bilang isang porsyento, na ginagawang effortless na tukuyin ang mga araw na may significant fluctuations. Ayon sa aming data ng history ng presyo ng Wall Street Bets Solana, tumaas ang halaga nito sa hindi pa naganap na peak sa 2024-02-03, na lumampas sa $0.0006642 USD. Sa kabilang banda, ang pinakamababang punto sa trajectory ng presyo ni Wall Street Bets Solana, na karaniwang tinutukoy bilang "Wall Street Bets Solana all-time low", ay naganap noong 2025-02-28. Kung ang isa ay bumili ng Wall Street Bets Solana sa panahong iyon, kasalukuyan silang masisiyahan sa isang kahanga-hangang kita na 3%. Sa pamamagitan ng disenyo, ang 6.9B Wall Street Bets Solana ay malilikha. Sa ngayon, ang circulating supply ng Wall Street Bets Solana ay tinatayang 0. Ang lahat ng mga presyong nakalista sa pahinang ito ay nakuha mula sa Bitget, galing sa isang reliable source. Napakahalagang umasa sa iisang pinagmulan upang suriin ang iyong mga investment, dahil maaaring mag-iba ang mga halaga sa iba't ibang nagbebenta. Kasama sa aming makasaysayang Wall Street Bets Solana dataset ng presyo ang data sa pagitan ng 1 minuto, 1 araw, 1 linggo, at 1 buwan (bukas/mataas/mababa/close/volume). Ang mga dataset na ito ay sumailalim sa mahigpit na pagsubok upang matiyak ang consistency, pagkakumpleto, at accurancy. Ang mga ito ay partikular na idinisenyo para sa trade simulation at mga layunin ng backtesting, madaling magagamit para sa libreng pag-download, at na-update sa real-time.

The price of the native coin from BNB Chain (formerly BSC) grew by 50 percent in late 2021 but was much lower in 2022. In March 25, 2025, for example, a single BNB coin was worth more than 629.94 U.S. dollars - a value that very different to the all-time high of 600 U.S. dollars in November 2021. Regardless, Binance Coin ranked in the top 10 most expensive cryptocurrencies in 2022. Noticeable is that the price increase of BNB in November 2021 coincides with a similar price change for Ethereum (ETH) - a cryptocurrency where BNB initially originated in 2017 before coming on its own years later.BNB's history: From reward token in 2017 to an ecosystem after 2019As the name suggests, Binance Coin or BNB originally started as an extension of the Binance.com trading platform - the most used cryptocurrency exchange in the world. It initially functioned on the Ethereum blockchain network as an ERC-20 token, offering incentives to owners like reduced trading fees, affiliate rewards, or a lottery ticket system ('Launchpad') that let users invest in new, Binance-selected crypto projects. In 2019, however, BNB moved away from the Ethereum network and migrated to Binance's self-developed blockchain: Binance Smart Chain or BSC (called BNB Chain since February 2022). Here, BNB started to support a chain that initially did not focus on hosting decentralized apps but focused on high transaction speed and being able to handle large amounts of traffic.DeFi and GameFi: the main segments for BNBBSC, however, made significant strides in 2021 partly due to traffic overload and high gas prices on Ethereum as well as the growing interest in both Decentralized Finance (DeFI) and NFTs. Much like Cardano, Solana, and Terra, Binance Smart Chain consequently became a valid alternative to Ethereum: The total value locked (TVL) of BNBs blockchain within DeFi, for example, ranked only behind that of Terra and Ethereum in early 2022. Another area where Binance's blockchain and token play a significant role is that of GameFi - or 'play-to-earn' blockchain games that are powered by cryptocurrencies. Some of the more well-known and most popular NFT games like Alien Worlds and Axie Infinity run on the blockchain behind BNB.

The staking values of both Solana and Cardano made up around 70 percent of their circulating supply, a percentage significantly higher than for Ethereum. This difference stems from how the cryptocurrencies are created. Ethereum 1.0, similar to Bitcoin, relies on a mechanism called "Proof-of-Work" or PoW, and is similar to mining: Lots of processing power is used to verify transactions on the blockchain and those who do all that verification work — the "miners" — get rewarded with a predetermined amount of crypto. As this process became more energy-consuming and too complicated for individuals to perform — alongside the rapid growth of decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols that demanded even more verifications — another mechanism appeared: "Proof-of-Stake" or POS. Here, people — or "validators" — commit — or "stake" — their own cryptocurrency in an automated system — often a wallet, where people will simply hold their crypto — which at certain times will randomly pick a person who gets to validate a batch of blockchain transactions. Same as before, validation leads to new cryptocurrency as a reward — essentially acting as interest after initial investment. As the amount of crypto needed can be considerable, there are also so-called "staking pools" where groups of people gather the coins needed for — or "delegate" to — an external validator, and still get the rewards. Cardano and Solana only use proof of stake, whereas the relatively new Ethereum 2.0 is also relying on it.

Transactions in NFTs were significantly lower in 2024 than during the summer of 2021 when several tokens gained popularity. Most of these transactions were likely related to play-to-earn Vietnamese video game Axie Infinity, which became the world's most valuable NFT collection in August 2021 - although its sales volume did decline since. The gaming segment reported the highest sales volume of the non-fungible token (NFT) market in 2020, with over six times the sales in sports projects. The overall market cap of NFTs in 2024, however, was noticeably smaller. NFT in 2024: Searching for legitimacy While cryptocurrency and Bitcoin saw their interest surge in early 2024 after the acceptance of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States, the NFT market has been struggling. For the larger audience, non-fungible tokens still seemed to be confusing what they are supposed to do, whereas crypto increasingly found legitimacy. The slowdown in the NFT market led one of the world's largest NFT marketplaces, OpenSea, to lay off large parts of its staff in October 2023. Solana to pave the way for NFTs? One of the blockchain networks that is closely affiliated with NFTs in 2024 is that of Solana. The monthly sales volume of this blockchain outperformed that of Ethereum in January 2024, causing Solana's market share in the overall crypto market to reach its highest value ever. Solana's position comes from relatively low costs but especially high transaction speeds and the sizable airdrops from multiple projects. This attracted significant amounts of capital, further fuelling the network. Solana's growth may provide the framework for the NFT market as a whole, as it slowly seeks to take over Ethereum's position in this part of the decentralized digital asset world.