A survey held in the United States in March 2024 revealed that what respondents most wanted from national news organizations during coverage of state and local elections was information about the candidates' values or character, with 76 percent saying this would be useful to see for them to make decisions about the 2024 presidential election. A similar share said the same about coverage coming from local news organizations. Whether candidates were behind or ahead in public opinion polls was considered less important than the candidates themselves and their positions on key social issues.

According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, almost two-thirds of voters who had never attended college reported voting for Donald Trump. In comparison, a similar share of voters with advanced degrees reported voting for Kamala Harris.

Scholars are only beginning to understand the evolution of electoral sentiment over time. How do preferences come into focus over the electoral cycle in different countries? Do they evolve in patterned ways? Does the evolution vary across countries? This paper addresses these issues. We consider differences in political institutions and how they might impact voter preferences over the course of the election cycle. We then outline an empirical analysis relating support for parties or candidates in pre-election polls to their final vote. The analysis relies on over 26,000 vote intention polls in 45 countries since 1942, covering 312 discrete electoral cycles. Our results indicate that early polls contain substantial information about the final result but that they become increasingly informative over the election cycle. Although the degree to which this is true varies across countries in important and understandable ways given differences in political institutions, the pattern is strikingly general.

Granite State Poll is a quarterly poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. The poll sample consists of about 500 New Hampshire adults with a working telephone across the state. Each poll contains a series of basic demographic questions that are repeated in future polls, as well as a set of unique questions that are submitted by clients. This poll includes two questions related to preferences about dams. These questions were designed by Natallia Leuchanka Diessner, Catherine M. Ashcraft, Kevin H. Gardner, and Lawrence C. Hamilton as part of the "Future of Dams" project.The first file is a screenshot of the survey to provide a preview for Figshare. The second file is the survey protocol in Microsoft Word format.

According to exit polling in the 2020 Presidential Election in the United States, 62 percent of surveyed 18 to 29 year old voters reported voting for former Vice President Joe Biden. In the race to become the next president of the United States, 51 percent of voters aged 65 and older reported voting for incumbent President Donald Trump.

In the aftermath of the German Federal Election of 2025, the CDU were polling at around 28 percent of the vote as of March 7, 2025, with the party receiving 28.5 percent of the vote in the election held the previous month. The Ampel's woes continue in 2024 The Ampel coalition came to power in 2021 due to the surprise surge in support for the Social Democrats, who secured almost 26 percent of the vote in that election. Unwilling to re-enter a 'grand coalition' with the Christian Democrats, the SPD instead opted to create a coalition with the center-left environmentalist party, the Greens, and the free-market neoliberal party, the FDP. This unlikely coalition which promised to "dare to make more progress" (mehr Fortschritt wagen) has instead been mired by constant infighting between the three parties, as well as being hit by several external crises, most notably Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine. At the same time, the German economy's post-pandemic recovery has faltered, with the country being one of the few European countries to experience a recession in 2023, while one of the government's key economic plans - a special investment fund designed to bypass the constitutional debt brake - was struck down by the constitutional court in Karlsruhe. These factors have led to consistently declining support for the three governing parties, with the latest poll showing their combined share of the vote being only 33 percent, slightly more than the vote share of the Christian Democrats. While the Greens' vote share would remain roughly equal to what they achieved in 2021, the popularity of the SPD and FDP has collapsed compared to their 2021 levels. The Social Democrats are now the third most popular party in Germany, with Chancellor Olaf Scholz's party on track to achieve their worst election result since 1887. The Liberals (FDP), on the other hand, look likely to not gain any seats in the parliament at all in the next election, as they are currently falling below the five percent threshold to enter the Bundestag (federal parliament). The rise of the far-right in German politics The Ampel's loss has been the far-right's gain, as the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has seen its fortunes rise consistently in opinion polls since the 2021 election. The party was originally founded to oppose plans for the EU to provide bailouts to struggling member states during the Eurozone debt crisis in the early 2010s, however, following the 2015 Syrian refugee crisis the party pivoted towards a hardline anti-immigration stance. Since then, the AfD has drifted consistently to the right, with one of the dominant factions, known as Der Flügel ("the wing"), being labelled far-right extremists and even, in some cases, fascists. While the federal-level party is currently led by Alice Weidel and Tino Chrupulla, members of the more moderate faction of the party, at the regional-level the party is often led by more extreme figures, such as in the state of Thuringia where party leader Björn Höcke has been labelled in the media as a far-right extremist. In January 2024, an article by investigative journalists brought to light secret meetings between AfD members and far-right supporters to discuss plans for mass deportations of foreigners from Germany, were the AfD to come to power. The scandal led to the largest street protests in the country so far this century, with estimates showing as many as 1.4 million people turning out across the country. Some protesters have even gone so far as to call for a constitutional ban against the AfD, claiming that they pose a threat to German democracy. The party suffered a drop in support in the aftermath of the scandal, with their share of prospective voters declining by four percent from their high-point in January of 2024. The Alternative for Germany currently is the party of choice for 18 percent of German voters, which would make them the second largest party in parliament after the Christian Democrats. While no other party currently says they would work with the AfD on a national level, this Brandmauer ("fire wall") may be tested in regional parliaments during 2024, as the party looks set to come first in several states in East Germany during the year.

This dataset covers ballots 280-83, and 285, spanning January, March, May, July, and November 1960. The dataset contains the data resulting from these polls in ASCII. The ballots are as follows: 280 - January This Gallup poll looks to collect the opinions and ideas of Canadians on subjects of interest and importance to the country. Some of these important topics concern unions, strikes, defence policy and old age pensions. There are also several variables that deal with religious and moral questions like the afterlife and capital punishment. Respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, demographic, and social variables. Topics of interest include: advertisements; the afterlife; big business influencing laws; Canadian Pension Plan (CPP) benefits; capital punishment abolishment; church attendance; defence policy; Diefenbaker's performance as Prime Minister; family issues; the Federal election; the frequency of the respondents reading the Bible; labour influencing laws; magazine advertisements; the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO); newspaper advertisements; whether CPP payments should be paid to ex-patriots; radio commercials; railroad workers pay raises; the truthfulness of radio commercials; union membership; and voting behaviour. Basic demographics variables are also included. 281 - March This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians on various topics. Included in the discussion are questions about problems facing the country and their solutions, sweepstakes, marriage, divorce, and issues involving the employment of women. Respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, demographic, and social variables. Topics of interest include: belief in Hell; birth control information; canned laughter on television; credit cards and purchases; divorce; employment equity; federal elections; goods produced by different countries; marriage issues; the population explosion; quarrels in marriage; the United Nations; voting behaviour; women's fashion; and working women. Basic demographics variables are also included. 282 - May This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians on leading topics of the day. The primary subjects of this survey are politics and foreign affairs. In addition to asking questions of a political nature dealing specifically with Canada and its politicians, the survey aims to collect the opinions on policies, leaders, and relations with Canada of other countries, mainly the United States. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, demographic, and social groups. Topics of interest include: alcohol consumption; American foreign policy; anti Jewish feelings; bomb shelter; C.C.F. party; Conservative party; Diefenbaker's performance as Prime Minister; federal elections; friction between Canada and the United States; Liberal party; likelihood of another world war; likelihood of Nazis returning to power; marriage issues; preferred political parties; the prosperity of Canada; Social Credit party; union membership; United States; voting behaviour; and preparedness in the event of war. Basic demographics variables are also included. 283 - July This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians on various topics. Included in the discussion are questions about problems facing the country and their solutions, issues involving unemployment, US presidential elections, political party preference, and ways to prevent war. Respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, demographic, and social variables. Topics of interest include: alcohol consumption; world conflicts; personal savings; John Diefenbaker, voting behaviour; neutral and non neutral countries; federal elections; power of the Provinces; immigration; and union membership. Basic demographics variables are also included. 285 - November This Gallup poll seeks to attain the views Canadians have of primarily political subjects. The majority of questions are about Canadian politics, and Canadian relations with the United States. There are also some questions about some other leading issues of the day, including birth control, and seeing movies on Sunday. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, demographic, and social variables. Topics of interest include: the American president; whether birth control is right or wrong; Diefenbaker's performance as Prime Minister; federal elections; whether movie theatres should be open on Sundays; price predictions; socialism for Canada; unemployment predictions; union membership; and voting behaviour. Basic demographics variables are also included.The codebook for this dataset is available through the UBC Library catalogue, with call number HN110.Z9 P84.

Electoral registrations for parliamentary and local government elections as recorded in electoral registers for England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland.

This survey was conducted prior to the 1984 presidential election involving candidates Ronald Reagan and Walter Mondale. Respondents were asked about their voter registration status, whether they intended to vote in the presidential election, the candidate they would vote for if the election were held that day, the candidate they were currently leaning toward voting for, and whether they would vote that way in the November election. Those surveyed were also asked about their party preferences regarding congressional elections in their districts. Background information on respondents includes political party, participation in the 1980 presidential election, education, age, race, Hispanic origin, and sex.

Ipsos I-Rep polls survey consumers on brands and brand reputations in Canada. Data collected in the series helps to measure the reputation of companies in the marketplace and their respective industries. These polls are then used to produce studies that develop a broader reputation ranking list of leading companies in Canada. I-Rep polls in particular will query respondents on how they understand corporate reputation and then ask them to apply it to brands and companies. Facets such as innovation, international success, trust, profit and customer service are queried. This poll has a total of 5118 Respondents.

Political institutions and parties define the set of choices faced by voters, and structure the evolution of electoral preferences over the election cycle. While previous research examines characteristics of institutions, here we consider the influence of political parties. We theorize ways in which they matter to the formation of electoral preferences over the election timeline, and also how these relate to institutional features. Our analysis simultaneously assesses the influence of different system- and party-level variables on the dynamic structure of voters’ preferences in legislative elections using a dataset of 27,357 vote intention polls in 26 countries since 1942, covering 231 discrete electoral cycles and encompassing 208 political parties. The results indicate that electoral institutions and parties both are important, but the characteristics of parties matter most of all, and effectively mediate institutional influences. These have implications for the effects of election campaigns, the prediction of election outcomes, and party behavior itself.

This round of Euro-Barometer surveys focused on the European Community and on the European Parliamentary elections, energy resources, environmental pollution, and the financial well-being of the respondents' households. Respondents' attitudes towards the European Community were elicited through a series of questions that asked about respondents' interest in politics and in European Community politics, views on the importance of European Community matters for the future and, more specifically, for people of the respondent's country, support of efforts to unify western Europe, and opinions on whether the respondent's country had benefited from being a member the European Community. Questions about the European Parliamentary elections included queries on the role of the media, whether the respondent had voted in the recent European elections and which party the respondent voted for, and reasons for not voting. Respondents were asked if candidates' stands on domestic matters or on European matters were important in their voting decision, and which reason best explained the way they voted. Other questions examined the respondent's views on whether cooperation among national members of the European Parliament should be based on nationality or on party affiliations. Political queries included questions about the idea of democracy, how well democracy worked in the respondent's country, and to what extent the respondent believed the European Community was democratic. In a series of questions on environmental issues, respondents were asked to evaluate major energy resources in terms of price stability, supply, and pollution, and to weigh the risks, costs, and benefits of nuclear energy. They were also asked about the causes, effects, and possible solutions for the problems of acid rain, the greenhouse effect, and the deteriorating ozone layer. Additional information gathered by the survey includes life satisfaction, family income, home ownership, number of persons and children under 15 residing in the home, size of locality, region of residence, occupation of the head of household, and the respondent's age, sex, occupation, education, religion, religiosity, and subjective social class standing.

This dataset provides the number of votes and the percentage of the first preference vote won by each of the parties in the 2019 federal election. The data also includes the first preferences swing by party - a comparison of the percentage of first preference votes for each party compared to the percentage of first preference votes received at the previous federal election. For more information please visit the Australian Electoral Commission.

This survey asked questions related to the State of Texas such as quality of life, presidential elections, state and local issues, voting behavior, candidate preferences, Iran-Contra, gun control, immigration laws, taxes, health issues, mammograms, and rating of Texas State Technical Institute.

This poll, fielded November 9-12, 2007, is a part of a continuing series of monthly surveys that solicits public opinion on the presidency and on a range of other political and social issues. New Hampshire residents were asked whether they approved of the way George W. Bush was handling the presidency, how much attention they had been paying to the 2008 presidential campaign, how likely it was that they would vote in the New Hampshire presidential primary, and whether they were going to vote in the Democratic or Republican primary. Opinions were solicited on Democratic and Republican presidential candidates, which candidate respondents would vote for if the New Hampshire Republican presidential primary were being held that day, which candidate was most likely to make the right decision on various issues such as Social Security, which issues were most important to respondents, whether respondents had attended any presidential campaign events, and which candidate they thought would win the presidential election. Respondents were also asked about Bill Clinton's involvement in Hillary Clinton's campaign, whether other Democratic nominees had been attacking Hillary Clinton, how important it was that the candidate they supported spent a lot of time in New Hampshire, how important the results of the Iowa Caucus would be when deciding who to vote for in January's primary, whether respondents attended the New Hampshire Democratic Caucus in 2004, and whether New Hampshire should always hold the nation's first presidential caucus. Additional topics included abortion, illegal immigration in New Hampshire, whether Iran is a threat to the United States, whether wages in New Hampshire were generally keeping up with the cost of living, terrorism, the war in Iraq, and ownership of a firearm. Demographic information includes sex, age, race, education level, household income, marital status, religious preference, frequency of religious attendance, labor union membership, type of residential area (e.g., urban or rural), political party affiliation, political philosophy, voter registration status and participation history, and the presence of children in the household under 18.

data related candidate preferences by list section 5

This dataset covers ballots 529-33, 752, 761, 765-67, 776, 806-12, spanning January-December 1988. The dataset contains the data resulting from these polls in ASCII. The ballots are as follows: 529-1 - January This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians, on predominantly social and political issues. The questions ask opinions on what Canada's biggest problem is, the prospect of peace in the Middle-east and which party is best equipped to deal with Canada's biggest problem. There are also questions on other topics of interest such as subsidized day-care, whether or not an election should be called and how hard people work . The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, political and social variables. Topics of interest include: Canada's biggest problem; evaluation of party to best deal with Canada's problems; subsidized day-care; the conflict in the Middle-east; Canada's economic situation in the next six months; the security of computer credit information; whether or not an election should be called; how hard people work; and predictions for Canada's next parliament. Basic demographic variables are also included. 530-1 - February This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians, on predominantly social and political issues. The questions ask opinions on what Canada's biggest problem is, the prospect of peace in the Middle-east and which party is best equipped to deal with Canada's biggest problem. There are also questions on other topics of interest such as subsidized day-care, whether or not an election should be called and how hard people work . The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, political and social variables. Topics of interest include: Canada's biggest problem; evaluation of party to best deal with Canada's problems; subsidized day-care; the conflict in the Middle-east; Canada's economic situation in the next six months; the security of computer credit information; whether or not an election should be called; how hard people work; and predictions for Canada's next parliament. Basic demographic variables are also included. 531-1 - March This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians, on predominantly political and social issues. The questions ask opinions about different political figures and parties, current events and the severity of substance abuse in Canada. There are also questions on other topics of interest such as the ability of the United States to treat the world's problems, the existence of U.F.O's and life on other planets and unemployment insurance. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, political and social variables. Topics of interest include: drug and alcohol use in Canada; bias in new reporting; cabinet minister identification; opinions on Canadian political leaders; cruise missile testing in Canada's north; nuclear energy in Canada; immigration quotas; unemployment insurance; disposable income; and U.F.O's. Basic demographics are also included. 532-1 - April This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians, on predominantly political and social issues. The questions ask opinions on the prevelance and acceptance of homosexuality, and approval of the Meech Lake accord. There are also questions on other topics of interest such acid rain versus free trade negotiations with the Unite States, patriotism in Canada and Sunday shopping. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, political and social variables. Topics of interest include: acid rain versus free trade as most important issue to negotiate with U.S.; approval of granting Quebec distinct society status in the Meech Lake accord; approval of granting more power to the provinces in the Meech Lake accord; degree of patriotism in Canada; effect of a candidate's sexual orientation on getting votes; general familiarity with and approval of the Meech Lake accord; professions homosexuals should or should not be allowed to pursue; rights for homosexuals; Svend Robinson's declaring himself as a homosexual; the minimum amount of money a family of four needs per week to get by; abortion as woman and doctor's decision; and Sunday shopping. Basic demographic variables are also included. 533-1 - May This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians, on predominantly political and social issues. The questions ask opinions about the frequency of political preference, influential factors in political choices and general economic issues. There are also questions on other topics of interest such as religious habits, anti-smoking bylaws and the impact of computers. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, political and social variables. Topics of interest include: the rate and regulation of bank fees; importance of organized religion; the economic future of Canada; the ideal number of children to have; the impact and availability of computers; anti-smoking bylaws; approval of 1984 Progressive Conservative government; approval of 1988 party leaders; abortion; influential factors on voter choice; and free trade. Basic demographics are also included. 752-p - August (Alberta Regional Review) This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Albertans on predominantly political issues. Topics of interest include: whether Canadian farmers require special government assistance, remuneration for the Principal Group failure, voting behavior in the provincial election, opinion on the Progressive Conservative government in Edmonton, Don Getty, Ray Martin, Don Getty stepping down as leader of the Alberta Progressive Conservative Party, the Provincial Liberal Part, voting behavior in the federal election, and the trading of Wayne Gretzky's effect on the Edmonton Oilers and Los Angeles Kings. Basic demographics are also included. 761-t - October This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians, on predominantly political issues and social issues. The questions ask opinions about political leaders and upcoming political voting trends. There are also questions dealing with Party leaders and the situations they would excel in. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographical variables. Topics of interest include: voting behaviour; the Election; party leaders; Brian Mulroney; Ed Broadbent; John Turner/ Basic demographic variables are also included. 765-t - October This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians from the Toronto area, on predominantly political issues. The questions ask opinions about current municipal level problems like traffic congestion and housing prices as well as opinions on federal issues like abortion and free trade. There are also questions on other topics of interest such as voting choice, political leaders at the federal level and who would make the best Prime Minister. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, political and social variables. Topics of interest include: degree of interest in upcoming federal election; likelihood that respondent will choose to vote; vote inclination or preferences; federal election's main issue; social issues facing Toronto; and evaluations of Brian Mulroney, John Turner and Edbroadbent. Basic demographics are also included. 766-t - October This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians, on political leaders during the televised debate. The questions ask opinions about the winner fo the debate, the impact of the debate on the respondents upcoming vote and the free trade issue. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, political and social variables. Topics of interest include: wether the respondents watched the debate in full or only part; the winner according to the respondents; the impact on the respondents upcoming vote; the preferences of the respondents before viewing the debate; and the necessity of a separate debate concerning the free trade issue. Basic demographics are also included. 767-t - October This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians, on predominantly political questions. The questions ask opinions about candidates and parties in the upcoming federal election, the respondents' degree of interest in the current electoral campaign. There are also questions on other topics of interest such as voting choice, and the proposed Canada - U.S. Free Trade Agreement. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, political and social variables. Topics of interest include: degree of interest in upcoming election; likelihood that respondent will choose to vote; previous voting; voter preferences; factors influencing voter's choice; support for, and potential impact of free trade; and assessments of party leaders and other prominent political leaders. Basic demographics are also included. 776-t - November (missing) 806-1 - June This Gallup poll seeks the opinions of Canadians, on predominantly political issues. The questions ask opinions about political leaders, business conditions, free trade and social issues such as abortion. There are also questions on other topics of interest such as amnesty for illegal immigrants and child birth incentives to counteract the falling birth rate. The respondents were also asked questions so that they could be grouped according to geographic, political and social variables. Topics of interest include: allowing amnesty to illegal immigrants; business conditions; Canadian political party leaders; Free Trade and its effect on employment, income and Canada U.S. relations; incentives to counter falling birth rates; legalization of abortion; political figures: Brian Mulrooney, John Turner, Ed Broadbent and the 1988 Canadian Cabinet; problems facing Canada today; and American investment in Canada.

Data summary (main sample).

This dataset provides the number of votes and the percentage of the first preference vote won by each of the parties in the 2016 federal election. The data also includes the first preferences swing by party - a comparison of the percentage of first preference votes for each party compared to the percentage of first preference votes received at the previous federal election. For more information please visit the Australian Electoral Commission.

Ipsos I-Rep polls survey consumers on brands and brand reputations in Canada. Data collected in the series helps to measure the reputation of companies in the marketplace and their respective industries. These polls are then used to produce studies that develop a broader reputation ranking list of leading companies in Canada. I-Rep polls in particular will query respondents on how they understand corporate reputation and then ask them to apply it to brands and companies. Facets such as innovation, international success, trust, profit and customer service are queried. This poll has a total of 3606 Respondents.