Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Median (UNRATEMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, civilian, median, unemployment, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Low (GDPC1RL) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, real, GDP, rate, and USA.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Central Tendency, Midpoint was 1.80000 Fourth Qtr. to Fourth Qtr. % Chg. in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Central Tendency, Midpoint reached a record high of 5.50000 in January of 2021 and a record low of -2.35000 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Central Tendency, Midpoint - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, Low was 4.10000 Fourth Qtr., % in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, Low reached a record high of 7.00000 in January of 2020 and a record low of 3.50000 in January of 2019. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High was 4.70000 Fourth Qtr., % in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High reached a record high of 6.90000 in January of 2020 and a record low of 3.60000 in January of 2019. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States FOMC Projection: PCE Inflation: Central Tendency: Y3: Upper End data was reported at 2.000 % in Dec 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 2.000 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: PCE Inflation: Central Tendency: Y3: Upper End data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.100 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 20 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.200 % in Sep 2023 and a record low of 2.000 % in Dec 2024. United States FOMC Projection: PCE Inflation: Central Tendency: Y3: Upper End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I: PCE Price Index: Projection: Federal Reserve Board.

United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data was reported at 2.900 % in Dec 2024. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.600 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.500 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 20 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.000 % in Sep 2015 and a record low of 0.100 % in Dec 2020. United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M005: Federal Funds Rates: Summary of Economic Projections: Federal Reserve Board.

United States FOMC Projection: Unemployment Rate: Range: Y3: Upper End data was reported at 4.500 % in Dec 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 4.500 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Unemployment Rate: Range: Y3: Upper End data is updated quarterly, averaging 4.550 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 20 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.000 % in Sep 2020 and a record low of 4.000 % in Dec 2021. United States FOMC Projection: Unemployment Rate: Range: Y3: Upper End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.G041: Current Population Survey: Unemployment Rate: Projection: Federal Reserve Board.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures less Food and Energy Inflation Rate, Central Tendency, High (JCXFECTH) from 2025 to 2027 about core, projection, PCE, consumption expenditures, consumption, personal, inflation, rate, and USA.

Content

More details about each file are in the individual file descriptions.

Context

This is a dataset from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis hosted by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED). FRED has a data platform found here and they update their information according to the frequency that the data updates. Explore the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using Kaggle and all of the data sources available through the St. Louis Fed organization page!

• Update Frequency: This dataset is updated daily.

Acknowledgements

This dataset is maintained using FRED's API and Kaggle's API.

Cover photo by Vita Vilcina on Unsplash
Unsplash Images are distributed under a unique Unsplash License.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation Rate, Range, High was 2.80000 Fourth Qtr. to Fourth Qtr. % Chg. in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation Rate, Range, High reached a record high of 5.90000 in January of 2022 and a record low of 1.50000 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation Rate, Range, High - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures less Food and Energy Inflation Rate, Range, Low was 2.00000 Fourth Qtr. to Fourth Qtr. % Chg. in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures less Food and Energy Inflation Rate, Range, Low reached a record high of 4.60000 in January of 2022 and a record low of 1.20000 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures less Food and Energy Inflation Rate, Range, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States FOMC Projection: Core PCE Inflation: Range: Y3: Upper End data was reported at 2.600 % in Dec 2024. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.200 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Core PCE Inflation: Range: Y3: Upper End data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.250 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 20 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.000 % in Dec 2022 and a record low of 2.100 % in Sep 2020. United States FOMC Projection: Core PCE Inflation: Range: Y3: Upper End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I: PCE Price Index: Projection: Federal Reserve Board.

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Median was 4.20% in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Median reached a record high of 5.00 in June of 2015 and a record low of 4.00 in March of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Median - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Central Tendency, Low (GDPC1CTLLR) from 2009-02-18 to 2025-06-18 about projection, real, GDP, rate, and USA.

United States FOMC Projection: Change in Real GDP: Range: Y3: Upper End data was reported at 2.500 % in Dec 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 2.500 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Change in Real GDP: Range: Y3: Upper End data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.400 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 21 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.000 % in Sep 2020 and a record low of 2.000 % in Sep 2017. United States FOMC Projection: Change in Real GDP: Range: Y3: Upper End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.A026: NIPA 2023: GDP by Expenditure: Constant Price: saar: QoQ: Projection: Federal Reserve Board.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low was 2.90% in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low reached a record high of 5.40 in January of 2023 and a record low of 0.10 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

Description: This dataset contains historical economic data spanning from 1871 to 2024, used in Jaouad Karfali’s research on Economic Cycle Analysis with Numerical Time Cycles. The study aims to improve economic forecasting accuracy through the 9-year cycle model, which demonstrates superior predictive capabilities compared to traditional economic indicators.

Dataset Contents: The dataset includes a comprehensive range of economic indicators used in the research, such as:

USGDP_1871-2024.csv – U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. USCPI_cleaned.csv – U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), cleaned and processed. USWAGE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. average wages data. EXCHANGEGLOBAL_cleaned.csv – Global exchange rates for the U.S. dollar. EXCHANGEPOUND_cleaned.csv – U.S. dollar to British pound exchange rates. INTERESTRATE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. interest rate data. UNRATE.csv – U.S. unemployment rate statistics. POPTOTUSA647NWDB.csv – U.S. total population data. Significance of the Data: This dataset serves as a foundation for a robust economic analysis of the U.S. economy over multiple decades. It was instrumental in testing the 9-year economic cycle model, which demonstrated an 85% accuracy rate in economic forecasting when compared to traditional models such as ARIMA and VAR.

Applications:

Economic Forecasting: Predicts a 1.5% decline in GDP in 2025, followed by a gradual recovery between 2026-2034. Economic Stability Analysis: Used for comparing forecasts with estimates from institutions like the IMF and World Bank. Academic and Institutional Research: Supports studies in economic cycles and long-term forecasting. Source & Further Information: For more details on the methodology and research findings, refer to the full paper published on SSRN:

https://ssrn.com/author=7429208 https://orcid.org/0009-0002-9626-7289

• Jaouad Karfali

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High was 4.50000 Fourth Qtr., % in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High reached a record high of 6.30000 in November of 2009 and a record low of 4.30000 in December of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.