100+ datasets found
  1. Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

  2. United States FRBOP Forecast: Treasury Bills Rate: 3 Months: Mean: Plus 1...

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Apr 17, 2018
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    CEICdata.com (2018). United States FRBOP Forecast: Treasury Bills Rate: 3 Months: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/treasury-bills-rates-forecast-federal-reserve-bank-of-philadelphia/frbop-forecast-treasury-bills-rate-3-months-mean-plus-1-qtr
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 17, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 1, 2015 - Mar 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States FRBOP Forecast: Treasury Bills Rate: 3 Months: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr data was reported at 1.981 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.667 % for Mar 2018. United States FRBOP Forecast: Treasury Bills Rate: 3 Months: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr data is updated quarterly, averaging 4.450 % from Sep 1981 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 148 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 14.439 % in Sep 1981 and a record low of 0.057 % in Mar 2012. United States FRBOP Forecast: Treasury Bills Rate: 3 Months: Mean: Plus 1 Qtr data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.M006: Treasury Bills Rates: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

  3. T

    United States 3 Month Bill Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). United States 3 Month Bill Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/3-month-bill-yield
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    xml, json, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 29, 1982 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 3 Month Bill Bond Yield eased to 4.35% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.03 points and is 0.99 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 3 Month Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  4. T

    United States 52 Week Bill Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 15, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). United States 52 Week Bill Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/52-week-bill-yield
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    excel, json, csv, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 15, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 2, 1962 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 52 Week Bill Bond Yield rose to 4.08% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.02 points, though it remains 0.79 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 52 Week Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  5. 30-year fixed rate mortgage vs. 10-year treasury yield forecast in the U.S....

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated May 13, 2025
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    Statista (2025). 30-year fixed rate mortgage vs. 10-year treasury yield forecast in the U.S. 2024-2027 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/275190/ten-year-treasury-constant-maturity-rate-in-the-united-states-as-of-2009/
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    Dataset updated
    May 13, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2024
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

  6. T

    United States 4 Week Bill Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). United States 4 Week Bill Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/4-week-bill-yield
    Explore at:
    json, csv, xml, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jul 31, 2001 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 4 Week Bill Yield rose to 4.31% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.12 points, though it remains 1.03 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 4 Week Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  7. Sweden NIER Forecast: Treasury Bill Rate: 3 Months

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Jul 26, 2018
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    CEICdata.com (2018). Sweden NIER Forecast: Treasury Bill Rate: 3 Months [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/sweden/treasury-bill-rate-forecast-national-institute-of-economic-research
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 26, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 1, 2017 - Dec 1, 2028
    Area covered
    Sweden
    Description

    NIER Forecast: Treasury Bill Rate: 3 Months data was reported at 3.050 % in 2028. This stayed constant from the previous number of 3.050 % for 2027. NIER Forecast: Treasury Bill Rate: 3 Months data is updated yearly, averaging 2.310 % from Dec 1993 (Median) to 2028, with 36 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.750 % in 1995 and a record low of -0.720 % in 2018. NIER Forecast: Treasury Bill Rate: 3 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Institute of Economic Research. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Sweden – Table SE.M015: Treasury Bill Rate: Forecast: National Institute of Economic Research.

  8. United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual 10 Year Bond Yield: Median: Next 10 Yrs...

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Apr 17, 2018
    + more versions
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    CEICdata.com (2018). United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual 10 Year Bond Yield: Median: Next 10 Yrs [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/treasury-bills-rates-forecast-federal-reserve-bank-of-philadelphia/frbop-forecast-annual-10-year-bond-yield-median-next-10-yrs
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Apr 17, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 1, 2007 - Dec 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual 10 Year Bond Yield: Median: Next 10 Yrs data was reported at 3.700 % in 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3.860 % for 2017. United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual 10 Year Bond Yield: Median: Next 10 Yrs data is updated yearly, averaging 5.000 % from Dec 1992 (Median) to 2018, with 27 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.500 % in 1992 and a record low of 3.386 % in 2016. United States FRBOP Forecast: Annual 10 Year Bond Yield: Median: Next 10 Yrs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.M006: Treasury Bills Rates: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

  9. T

    United States 3 Year Note Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). United States 3 Year Note Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/3-year-note-yield
    Explore at:
    xml, csv, excel, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Nov 18, 1983 - Jul 14, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 3 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 3.89% on July 14, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points and is 0.36 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 3 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  10. Yield forecast on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands 2013-2023

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 10, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Yield forecast on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands 2013-2023 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/691965/yield-forecast-on-ten-year-government-bonds-in-the-netherlands/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 10, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Netherlands
    Description

    This statistic shows the yield on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands from 2011 to 2023 with a forecast for 2024 and 2025. In 2023, the long-term interest rate was at *** percent. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

  11. T

    United States 30 Year Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 27, 2017
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2017). United States 30 Year Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/30-year-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    excel, json, xml, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 27, 2017
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Feb 15, 1977 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield rose to 4.96% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.09 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points and is 0.56 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  12. F

    Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 16, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IRLTLT01USM156N
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 16, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to May 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  13. T

    US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/2-year-note-yield
    Explore at:
    csv, excel, json, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 1, 1976 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 3.91% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.01 points and is 0.55 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  14. T

    United States 6 Month Bill Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). United States 6 Month Bill Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/6-month-bill-yield
    Explore at:
    xml, json, csv, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 4, 1982 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 6 Month Bill Bond Yield rose to 4.27% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.01 points and is 0.91 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 6 Month Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  15. United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Current

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Apr 12, 2018
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    CEICdata.com (2018). United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Current [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/treasury-bills-rates-forecast-federal-reserve-bank-of-philadelphia/frbop-annual-corp-bond-yield-moodys-baa-median-current
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Apr 12, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 1, 2015 - Mar 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Current data was reported at 4.810 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 4.800 % for Mar 2018. United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Current data is updated quarterly, averaging 5.030 % from Mar 2010 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 34 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.515 % in Mar 2010 and a record low of 4.487 % in Dec 2017. United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Current data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.M006: Treasury Bills Rates: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

  16. F

    10-Year Real Interest Rate

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 11, 2025
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    (2025). 10-Year Real Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 11, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

  17. T

    United States 7 Year Note Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Oct 11, 2014
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2014). United States 7 Year Note Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/7-year-note-yield
    Explore at:
    xml, json, csv, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 11, 2014
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jul 1, 1969 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 7 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.18% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.05 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.03 points and is 0.05 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 7 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  18. Albania Treasury Bills Rate: 12 Month

    • ceicdata.com
    • dr.ceicdata.com
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    CEICdata.com, Albania Treasury Bills Rate: 12 Month [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/albania/treasury-bills-rate/treasury-bills-rate-12-month
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    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 2024 - Dec 1, 2024
    Area covered
    Albania
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    Albania Treasury Bills Rate: 12 Month data was reported at 2.780 % pa in Feb 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 2.780 % pa for Jan 2025. Albania Treasury Bills Rate: 12 Month data is updated monthly, averaging 5.605 % pa from Jan 2002 (Median) to Feb 2025, with 278 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 12.770 % pa in Jan 2003 and a record low of 1.110 % pa in Apr 2019. Albania Treasury Bills Rate: 12 Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Albania. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Albania – Table AL.M009: Treasury Bills Rate.

  19. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years

    • ceicdata.com
    + more versions
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    CEICdata.com, United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/treasury-securities-yields-projection-congressional-budget-office/cbo-projection-treasury-notes-yield-10-years
    Explore at:
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 1, 2026 - Dec 1, 2028
    Area covered
    United States
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years data was reported at 3.753 % in Dec 2028. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.745 % for Sep 2028. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years data is updated quarterly, averaging 3.677 % from Mar 2013 (Median) to Dec 2028, with 64 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.958 % in Sep 2021 and a record low of 1.563 % in Sep 2016. United States CBO Projection: Treasury Notes Yield: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Congressional Budget Office. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M009: Treasury Securities Yields: Projection: Congressional Budget Office.

  20. U

    United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Curr Plus...

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Mar 15, 2018
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    CEICdata.com (2018). United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Curr Plus 1 Yr [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/treasury-bills-rates-forecast-federal-reserve-bank-of-philadelphia/frbop-annual-corp-bond-yield-moodys-baa-median-curr-plus-1-yr
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Mar 15, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 1, 2015 - Mar 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Curr Plus 1 Yr data was reported at 5.400 % in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 5.300 % for Mar 2018. United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Curr Plus 1 Yr data is updated quarterly, averaging 5.536 % from Mar 2010 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 34 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.900 % in Jun 2010 and a record low of 4.838 % in Dec 2017. United States FRBOP: Annual Corp Bond Yield: Moody's Baa: Median: Curr Plus 1 Yr data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.M006: Treasury Bills Rates: Forecast: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

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Statista (2025). Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/
Organization logo

Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025

Explore at:
Dataset updated
Jun 26, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Time period covered
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
Area covered
United States
Description

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

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