According to recent projections, the impact of reciprocal tariffs worldwide will lead to a short-term acceleration of prices by 0.71 percent. The U.S. is expected to experience the highest price index increase, estimated at 7.26 percent.

This data package includes the underlying data files to replicate the data, tables, and charts presented in Why Trump’s tariff proposals would harm working Americans, PIIE Policy Brief 24-1.

If you use the data, please cite as: Clausing, Kimberly, and Mary E. Lovely. 2024. Why Trump’s tariff proposals would harm working Americans. PIIE Policy Brief 24-1. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

The inflation rate in the United States declined significantly between June 2022 and May 2025, despite rising inflationary pressures towards the end of 2024. The peak inflation rate was recorded in June 2022, at *** percent. In August 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hit its highest level during the observed period, at **** percent, and remained unchanged until September 2024, when the Federal Reserve implemented its first rate cut since September 2021. By January 2025, the rate dropped to **** percent, signalling a shift in monetary policy. What is the Federal Reserve interest rate? The Federal Reserve interest rate, or the federal funds rate, is the rate at which banks and credit unions lend to and borrow from each other. It is one of the Federal Reserve's key tools for maintaining strong employment rates, stable prices, and reasonable interest rates. The rate is determined by the Federal Reserve and adjusted eight times a year, though it can be changed through emergency meetings during times of crisis. The Fed doesn't directly control the interest rate but sets a target rate. It then uses open market operations to influence rates toward this target. Ways of measuring inflation Inflation is typically measured using several methods, with the most common being the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the price of a fixed basket of goods and services over time, providing a measure of the price changes consumers face. At the end of 2023, the CPI in the United States was ****** percent, up from ****** a year earlier. A more business-focused measure is the producer price index (PPI), which represents the costs of firms.

How Tariffs Are Impacting the Economy

The imposition of tariffs has significantly affected the global economy by driving up costs, creating supply chain disruptions, and reducing consumer purchasing power. In the U.S., tariffs on imported goods have increased the price of raw materials, components, and finished products, forcing businesses to adjust their pricing strategies.

Many industries, including manufacturing and technology, have experienced delays due to tariff-induced supply chain disruptions. Companies reliant on international suppliers have been particularly impacted, as tariff costs have added to production expenses. In response, businesses have explored alternatives like reshoring or diversifying suppliers to mitigate risks.

These tariff-related challenges have created inflationary pressure, resulting in higher operational costs across sectors. The tariff climate has forced businesses to reconsider their growth strategies and adapt to higher input costs, slower global trade, and a more uncertain economic environment. Despite some of these negative impacts, the push for more localized supply chains may eventually lead to long-term stability and operational resilience.

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In May 2025, the monthly inflation rate in China ranged at -0.1 percent compared to the same month in the previous year. Inflation had peaked at 2.8 percent in September 2022, but eased thereafter. The annual average inflation rate in China ranged at 0.2 percent in 2024. China’s inflation in comparison The term inflation means the devaluation of money caused by a permanent increase of the price level for products such as consumer or investment goods. The inflation rate is most commonly measured by the Consumer Price Index. The Consumer Price Index shows the price development for private expenses based on a basket of products representing the consumption of an average consumer household. Compared to other major economies in the world, China has a moderate and stable level of inflation. The inflation in China is on average lower than in other BRIC countries, although China enjoys higher economic growth rates. Inflation rates of developed regions in the world had for a long time been lower than in China, but that picture changed fundamentally during the coronavirus pandemic with most developed countries experiencing quickly rising consumer prices. Regional inflation rates in China In China, there is a regional difference in inflation rates. As of February 2025, Tibet experienced the highest CPI growth, while Beijing reported the lowest. In recent years, inflation rates in rural areas have often been slightly higher than in the cities. According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, inflation was mainly fueled by a surge in prices for food and micellaneous items and services in recent months. The price gain in other sectors was comparatively slight. Transport prices have decreased recently, but had grown significantly in 2021 and 2022.

Peloton's shares dropped by 5.8% following the announcement of U.S. tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, raising concerns of increased production costs and inflation.

Monthly and annual inflation rates for UK input and output producer price inflation (PPI), 1996 to 2025.

Inflation Rate in the United States increased to 2.40 percent in May from 2.30 percent in April of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Inflation rates for the Pacific island countries and territories per year.

Find more Pacific data on PDH.stat.

Contributions to the annual inflation rates of input and output producer price inflation by component and overall inflation rates.

United States Inflation Nowcast: Contribution: Foreign Exchange Rates: Trade Weighted Dollar Index: Nominal: Broad Dollar Index data was reported at 0.108 % in 12 May 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.108 % for 05 May 2025. United States Inflation Nowcast: Contribution: Foreign Exchange Rates: Trade Weighted Dollar Index: Nominal: Broad Dollar Index data is updated weekly, averaging 0.016 % from Jun 2020 (Median) to 12 May 2025, with 259 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.547 % in 18 Apr 2022 and a record low of 0.000 % in 17 Feb 2025. United States Inflation Nowcast: Contribution: Foreign Exchange Rates: Trade Weighted Dollar Index: Nominal: Broad Dollar Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.CEIC.NC: CEIC Nowcast: Inflation: Headline.

How Tariffs are Impacting the Economy

Tariffs raise the cost of imported goods, putting pressure on companies relying on global supply chains for raw materials and finished products. As a result, businesses may face higher production costs, which could be passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices. This inflationary effect reduces consumer purchasing power, potentially lowering demand for non-essential products and services.

Moreover, tariffs create uncertainty in the market, which can deter investment, particularly in industries that rely heavily on international trade. For manufacturers, tariffs disrupt the flow of materials, causing delays in production schedules and increasing lead times.

In certain sectors, businesses may seek to localize production or adjust their sourcing strategies, but such shifts often require significant time and capital investments. Additionally, retaliatory tariffs from trading partners can escalate the economic impact, leading to a cycle of rising costs and trade tensions.

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Graph and download economic data for Inflation, consumer prices for the United States (FPCPITOTLZGUSA) from 1960 to 2024 about consumer, CPI, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

CSI: Expected Inflation: Next Yr: Up by 6-9% data was reported at 3.000 % in May 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 3.000 % for Apr 2018. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next Yr: Up by 6-9% data is updated monthly, averaging 5.000 % from Jan 1978 (Median) to May 2018, with 485 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 26.000 % in Apr 1978 and a record low of 1.000 % in Sep 2010. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next Yr: Up by 6-9% data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'During the next 12 months, do you think that prices in general will go up, or go down, or stay where they are now?' and 'By what percent do you expect prices to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?'

How Tariffs Are Impacting the Economy

The imposition of tariffs has substantially impacted global economies, with rising costs and inflation taking center stage. In the United States, the implementation of new tariffs on imported goods has caused a significant surge in consumer prices, particularly in sectors like electronics, apparel, and automotive. U.S. GDP is projected to experience a loss of approximately 1.1%, which translates to a $170 billion reduction in economic output.

Moreover, the tariffs have eroded consumer purchasing power, with households expected to lose about $3,800 annually. These measures have forced businesses to reevaluate their supply chains and cost structures, further influencing the global trade environment. As inflation rises, central banks, including the U.S. Federal Reserve, face growing pressure to manage the economic fallout, balancing inflation control with economic growth.

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How Tariffs Are Impacting the Economy

The imposition of tariffs has had significant repercussions on the U.S. economy, with rising import costs and disrupted supply chains being among the most notable effects. Tariffs on key components for industries like electronics and robotics have increased manufacturing costs, leading to higher prices for consumers.

This affects businesses by squeezing profit margins and forcing them to make difficult decisions about absorbing these costs or passing them on to customers. The tariff-driven inflation also negatively impacts consumer purchasing power, reducing overall demand for non-essential goods.

Additionally, businesses dependent on international supply chains are facing delays, inefficiencies, and rising transportation costs. In the robotics sector, tariffs on foreign hardware components have made it more expensive for companies to source critical parts, thus slowing down production.

The ongoing uncertainty surrounding tariffs also discourages investment in innovation and expansion, as companies remain cautious in an unpredictable global trade environment. This overall slowdown in economic activity could delay the full potential of emerging technologies like humanoid robots, which rely on global collaboration for research and development.

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Inflation Rate in China increased to 0.10 percent in June from -0.10 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides - China Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Graph and download economic data for Treasury Long-Term Average (Over 10 Years), Inflation-Indexed (DLTIIT) from 2000-01-03 to 2025-07-10 about TIPS, long-term, Treasury, yield, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

Inflation Rate in Finland decreased to 0.20 percent in June from 0.50 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Finland Inflation Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Egg prices are anticipated to decline as wholesale costs drop, providing relief to grocery shoppers. However, potential tariff impacts could influence future pricing trends.