President Trump's tariffs on China have disrupted American businesses, causing price hikes and economic uncertainty. Learn about the impact on the promotional products market and broader economic indicators.

This data package includes the underlying data to replicate the charts, tables, and calculations presented in The US Revenue Implications of President Trump’s 2025 Tariffs, PIIE Briefing 25-2.

If you use the data, please cite as:

McKibbin, Warwick, and Geoffrey Shuetrim. 2025. The US Revenue Implications of President Trump’s 2025 Tariffs. PIIE Briefing 25-2. Washington: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Gold prices fell by 3.58% on Monday due to global tariff concerns, yet remain up 16.77% since January amid economic uncertainty.

Gold futures hit a historic high of $3,248.40 due to U.S. tariff policies and inflation concerns, with a 36% surge over the past year.

How Tariffs Are Impacting the Economy

The imposition of tariffs has led to a surge in consumer prices, particularly in sectors reliant on imported goods. Apparel prices, for instance, have increased by 64% in the short term. This inflationary pressure has eroded household purchasing power, with average losses estimated at $3,800 per household.

Additionally, the U.S. economy is projected to experience a persistent 0.6% reduction in GDP annually, amounting to a $170 billion loss. The Federal Reserve faces challenges in balancing inflation control with economic growth, as the tariffs contribute to increased inflation expectations.

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Peloton's shares dropped by 5.8% following the announcement of U.S. tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, raising concerns of increased production costs and inflation.

Egg prices are anticipated to decline as wholesale costs drop, providing relief to grocery shoppers. However, potential tariff impacts could influence future pricing trends.

Discover the impact of tariff uncertainty and inflation on the snacking industry, with major brands like Campbell's and PepsiCo experiencing shifts in consumer behavior and sales.

U.S. stock index futures climbed, supported by a U.S.-China tariff truce and positive inflation data, with significant weekly gains expected for major indexes.

Discover how new 25% tariffs on auto parts are poised to affect the automotive industry, increasing costs for automakers and consumers.

The imposition of a 50% tariff on US copper imports is disrupting the market, leading to decreased demand and increased reliance on stockpiles. Explore the challenges faced by traders and manufacturers amidst this policy change.

How Tariffs Are Impacting the Economy

Tariffs, particularly on renewable technologies and green infrastructure components, have slowed sustainable project implementation and increased the cost of capital. U.S. tariffs on imported solar panels, batteries, and electric vehicle parts—originally aimed at protecting domestic manufacturers—have led to price hikes of 10–15% on green energy projects, delaying infrastructure deployment.

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According to the U.S. International Trade Commission, these tariffs have resulted in billions in lost potential investments in climate projects. Additionally, higher import costs undermine investor confidence in large-scale sustainability ventures, discouraging cross-border capital flows and increasing project risks. Tariff-driven inflation and uncertainty have become major headwinds, particularly in emerging markets that rely on foreign tech and capital to build green economies.

Genuine Parts Company reports a strong Q2 2025, with sales up 3.4% to $6.16 billion, surpassing market expectations. Despite tariff challenges, strategic initiatives and operational efficiency drive performance.

US Tariff Impact on the Private Aircraft Market

Recent U.S. tariffs have introduced complexities into the private aircraft market, particularly affecting the cost structure and supply chain dynamics. The imposition of a 25% tariff on imported steel and aluminum, effective March 12, 2025, has increased production costs for aircraft manufacturers, as these materials are critical components in aircraft construction.

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Additionally, tariffs on aircraft components and electronics, which can constitute 20–30% of an aircraft's cost, have further escalated expenses. These increased costs are often passed on to consumers, potentially dampening demand in the private aviation sector. Moreover, the uncertainty surrounding trade policies has led to deferred investment decisions and disrupted global supply chains, impacting the timely delivery and maintenance of private aircraft.

Economic Impact

• Increased Production Costs: Tariffs on essential materials have raised manufacturing expenses, leading to higher aircraft prices.
• Inflationary Pressures: Elevated costs contribute to overall inflation, affecting consumer purchasing power.
• Investment Hesitation: Uncertainty in trade policies may deter investments in the private aviation sector.

Geographical Impact

• North America: As a major market, it faces significant cost increases due to tariffs on imported components.
• Europe: Manufacturers may seek alternative markets or adjust supply chains to mitigate tariff impacts.
• Asia-Pacific: Potential growth as companies look to diversify manufacturing and reduce reliance on tariff-affected regions.

Business Impact

• Supply Chain Disruptions: Tariffs have led to delays and increased costs in the procurement of aircraft parts.
• Operational Challenges: Higher costs may result in reduced profit margins and operational efficiency.
• Strategic Reassessment: Companies may need to reevaluate sourcing and manufacturing strategies to navigate the new trade landscape.

Key Takeaways

• U.S. tariffs have increased production costs in the private aircraft market.
• Trade policy uncertainties are causing investment delays and supply chain disruptions.
• Manufacturers and operators must adapt strategies to mitigate tariff impacts.

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The USD/CHF exchange rate fell to 0.8038 on August 1, 2025, down 1.06% from the previous session. Over the past month, the Swiss Franc has weakened 1.53%, but it's up by 6.24% over the last 12 months. Swiss Franc - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.