In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.12% on December 2, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has remained flat, and it is 0.11 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to increase by *** percentage points by 2027, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by *** percentage points. From *** percent in 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach *** percent in 2027.

The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield rose to 4.76% on December 2, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.06 points and is 0.35 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to Oct 2025 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

View market daily updates and historical trends for 3 Month Treasury Bill Rate. from United States. Source: Federal Reserve. Track economic data with YCha…

The yield on US 3 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 3.52% on December 3, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points and is 0.58 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 3 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

Key information about United States Long Term Interest Rate

• United States Treasury Notes Yield: Constant Maturity: Nominal: 10 Years was reported at 4.09 % pa in Nov 2025, compared with 4.06 % pa in the previous month.
• US Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Apr 1953 to Nov 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 15.32 % pa in Sep 1981 and a record low of 0.62 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Federal Reserve Board.

CEIC calculates monthly Long Term Interest Rate from daily 10 year Treasury Constant Maturity Yield. The Federal Reserve Board provides 10 year Treasury Constant Maturity Yield. Long Term Interest Rate prior to January 1962 is sourced directly from the Federal Reserve Board.


Related information about United States Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, US Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills: 3 Months was reported at 3.73 % pa in Nov 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Effective Federal Funds Rate) was set at 3.89 % pa in Nov 2025.

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

Key information about New Zealand Long Term Interest Rate

• New Zealand Government Bond Yield: 10 Years was reported at 4.36 % pa in Nov 2025, compared with 4.06 % pa in the previous month.
• New Zealand Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1985 to Nov 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 18.90 % pa in Mar 1986 and a record low of 0.51 % pa in Sep 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

CEIC calculates monthly Long Term Interest Rate from daily 10 year Government Bond Yield. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand provides 10 year Treasury Bond Yield. Long Term Interest Rate prior to March 1985 is sourced directly from Reserve Bank of New Zealand.. The ten-year benchmark for New Zealand Government bonds with a fixed interest coupon paid semi-annually in arrears. The bonds are redeemable at par on maturity.


Related information about New Zealand Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, New Zealand Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: New Zealand: Bank Accepted Bills: 90 Days was reported at 2.45 % pa in Nov 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: New Zealand: Official Cash Rate) was set at 2.25 % pa in Nov 2025.
• New Zealand Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.73 (USD/NZD) in Oct 2025.

View quarterly updates and historical trends for Median Forecasts for 3-Month Treasury Bill Rate. from United States. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Phil…

The yield on US 7 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 3.88% on December 2, 2025, marking a 0.02 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.03 points and is 0.29 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 7 Year Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

This statistic shows the yield on ten-year government bonds in the Netherlands from 2011 to 2023 with a forecast for 2024 and 2025. In 2023, the long-term interest rate was at *** percent. A ten-year government bond, or treasury note, is a debt obligation issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered to be a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. Investors track them, however, for several reasons. First, these bonds are the benchmark that guides other financial interest rates, such as fixed mortgage rates. Second, their yield will tell how investors feel about the economy. The higher the yield on a ten-year government bond, the better the economic outlook.

View market daily updates and historical trends for 3 Year Treasury Rate. from United States. Source: Department of the Treasury. Track economic data with…

Key information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• Canada Government Benchmark Bonds Yield: Month End: 10 Years was reported at 3.12 % pa in Oct 2025, compared with 3.17 % pa in the previous month.
• Canada Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1993 to Oct 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 9.28 % pa in Jun 1994 and a record low of 0.46 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Bank of Canada.

Government Benchmark Bond are rates based on actual mid-market closing yields of selected Canada bond issues that mature approximately in the indicated term areas.


Related information about Canada Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, Canada Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills Yield: 3 Months was reported at 2.21 % pa in Oct 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Target Rate) was set at 2.25 % pa in Oct 2025.
• Canada Exchange Rate against USD averaged 1.40 (USD/CAD) in Oct 2025.

The U.S. bank prime loan rate has undergone significant fluctuations over the past three decades, reflecting broader economic trends and monetary policy decisions. From a high of **** percent in 1990, the rate has seen periods of decline, stability, and recent increases. As of October 2025, the prime rate stood at **** percent, marking a notable rise from the historic lows seen in the early 2020s. Federal Reserve's impact on lending rates The prime rate's trajectory closely mirrors changes in the federal funds rate, which serves as a key benchmark for the U.S. financial system. In 2023, the Federal Reserve implemented a series of rate hikes, pushing the federal funds target range to ******** percent by year-end. This was followed by several rate cuts in 2024, with the target range standing at 4.25 to 4.5 percent in December 2024. The aggressive monetary tightening in 2023 was aimed at combating rising inflation, and its effects rippled through various lending rates, including the prime rate. Long-term investment outlook While short-term rates have risen, long-term investment yields have also seen changes. The 10-year U.S. Treasury bond, a benchmark for long-term interest rates, showed an average market yield of **** percent in the second quarter of 2024, adjusted for constant maturity and inflation. This figure represents a recovery from negative real returns seen in 2021, reflecting shifting expectations for economic growth and inflation. The evolving yield environment has implications for both borrowers and investors, influencing decisions across the financial landscape.

Slovakia SK: Short-Term Interest Rate data was reported at 2.055 % in 2026. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.430 % for 2025. Slovakia SK: Short-Term Interest Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 2.430 % from Dec 1996 (Median) to 2026, with 31 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 22.382 % in 1997 and a record low of -0.549 % in 2021. Slovakia SK: Short-Term Interest Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Slovakia – Table SK.OECD.EO: Interest Rate: Forecast: OECD Member: Annual. IRS - Short-term interest rate; 3-month Treasury bill rate (yield on 13-week treasury bills)

The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield eased to 3.54% on December 2, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage points decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points and is 0.65 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

Key information about Philippines Long Term Interest Rate

• Philippines Long Term Interest Rate: Month End: Philippines: Treasury Bond Rate: 10 Years was reported at 5.74 % pa in Nov 2025, compared with 5.80 % pa in the previous month.
• Philippines Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Sep 1996 to Nov 2025.
• Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by CEIC Data.

The Bureau of the Treasury provides 10 year Treasury Bond Rate. The null values for this series mean that there is no auction on that specific month.


Related information about Philippines Long Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, Philippines Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bill Rate: 91 Days was reported at 4.85 % pa in Nov 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Overnight Lending Facility) was set at 5.25 % pa in Nov 2025.
• Philippines Exchange Rate against USD averaged 58.91 (USD/PHP) in Nov 2025.