As of April 16, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.34 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.86 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

Prices for US 3Y including live quotes, historical charts and news. US 3Y was last updated by Trading Economics this July 13 of 2025.

Norway Government Bond Yield: Oslo Stock Exchange: Month End: 6 Months data was reported at 0.853 % pa in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.804 % pa for Sep 2018. Norway Government Bond Yield: Oslo Stock Exchange: Month End: 6 Months data is updated monthly, averaging 2.010 % pa from Aug 2001 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 207 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.210 % pa in May 2002 and a record low of 0.386 % pa in Nov 2017. Norway Government Bond Yield: Oslo Stock Exchange: Month End: 6 Months data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Oslo Stock Exchange. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Norway – Table NO.M008: Government Bonds Yield.

The spread between 10-year and two-year U.S. Treasury bond yields reached a positive value of 0.1 percent in November 2024. The 10-year minus two-year Treasury bond spread is generally considered to be an advance warning of severe weakness in the stock market. Negative spreads occurred prior to the recession of the early 1990s, the tech-bubble crash in 2000-2001, and the financial crisis of 2007-2008.

The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 3.91% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.01 points and is 0.55 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

China Treasury Bond Yield: SHSE: 10609: 3.70%: 26-06-2026 data was reported at 3.690 % pa in Apr 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 3.690 % pa for Mar 2025. China Treasury Bond Yield: SHSE: 10609: 3.70%: 26-06-2026 data is updated monthly, averaging 3.700 % pa from Jul 2006 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 226 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.700 % pa in Dec 2024 and a record low of 3.570 % pa in Nov 2006. China Treasury Bond Yield: SHSE: 10609: 3.70%: 26-06-2026 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Shanghai Stock Exchange. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MF: Shanghai Stock Exchange: Treasury Bond Yield: Listed Bond.

As of December 30, 2024, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of ***** percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United States had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with **** percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at **** percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

Prices for US 30Y including live quotes, historical charts and news. US 30Y was last updated by Trading Economics this July 13 of 2025.

As of December 30, 2024, ** economies reported a negative value for their ten year minus two year government bond yield spread: Ukraine with a negative spread of ***** percent; Turkey, with a negative spread of 1332 percent; Nigeria with **** percent; and Russia with **** percent. At this time, almost all long-term debt for major economies was generating positive yields, with only the most stable European countries seeing smaller values. Why is an inverted yield curve important? Often called an inverted yield curve or negative yield curve, a situation where short term debt has a higher yield than long term debt is considered a main indicator of an impending recession. Essentially, this situation reflects an underlying belief among a majority of investors that short term interest rates are about to fall, with the lowering of interest rates being the orthodox fiscal response to a recession. Therefore, investors purchase safe government debt at today's higher interest rate, driving down the yield on long term debt. In the United States, an inverted yield curve for an extended period preceded (almost) all recent recessions. The exception to this is the economic downturn caused by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic – however, the U.S. ten minus two year spread still came very close to negative territory in mid-2019. Bond yields and the coronavirus pandemic The onset of the coronavirus saw stock markets around the world crash in March 2020. This had an effect on bond markets, with the yield of both long term government debt and short term government debt falling dramatically at this time – reaching negative territory in many countries. With stock values collapsing, many investors placed their money in government debt – which guarantees both a regular interest payment and stable underlying value - in contrast to falling share prices. This led to many investors paying an amount for bonds on the market that was higher than the overall return for the duration of the bond (which is what is signified by a negative yield). However, the calculus is that the small loss taken on stable bonds is less that the losses likely to occur on the market. Moreover, if conditions continue to deteriorate, the bonds may be sold on at an even higher price, partly offsetting the losses from the negative yield.

As of November 2024, Luxembourg government bonds with maturities of close to ten years reached an average of 2.31 percent per annum. That was almost 0.8 percent less than the previous year. Treasury notes: a safe haven in times of trouble Ten-year government bonds, otherwise known as treasury notes, are debt obligations issued by a government which matures in ten years. They are considered a low-risk investment as they are backed by the government and their ability to raise taxes to cover its obligations. In August 2019, investors became more interested in these investments as global developments sparked uncertainty on the stock markets. Traditionally, government bonds from the U.S. and Germany have the highest liquidity. When stock exchanges fall with around ten percent, a German treasury note with an interest rate of around 2.43 percent is then considered a relatively safe place. What are other options to do with your money in Luxembourg? In March 2023, the interest rate of short-term household deposits (with an agreed maturity of up to one year) in Luxembourg was 2.35. This was the lowest of all Benelux countries (Belgium, Luxembourg and the Netherlands). Low interest rates on consumer savings are deemed a consequence of the monetary policy of the European Central Bank (ECB), as it maintains artificially low interest rates to increase inflation on the European continent. Low interest rates and uncertainty on the stock exchange might therefore explain investors’ interest in gold. The international price of gold per troy ounce has increased sharply in recent years.

Treasury Wine Estates reported 4.13 in Dividend Yield for its fiscal semester ending in December of 2024. Data for Treasury Wine Estates | TWE - Dividend Yield including historical, tables and charts were last updated by Trading Economics this last July in 2025.

Norway Government Bond Yield: Oslo Stock Exchange: Month End: 3 Years data was reported at 1.416 % pa in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.376 % pa for Sep 2018. Norway Government Bond Yield: Oslo Stock Exchange: Month End: 3 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 2.750 % pa from Aug 2001 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 207 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 7.040 % pa in May 2002 and a record low of 0.513 % pa in Jul 2016. Norway Government Bond Yield: Oslo Stock Exchange: Month End: 3 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Oslo Stock Exchange. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Norway – Table NO.M008: Government Bonds Yield.

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Financial data:

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• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

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Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

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• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

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• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Norway Government Bond Yield: Oslo Stock Exchange: Month End: 5 Years data was reported at 1.520 % pa in Nov 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1.652 % pa for Oct 2018. Norway Government Bond Yield: Oslo Stock Exchange: Month End: 5 Years data is updated monthly, averaging 3.230 % pa from Aug 2001 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 208 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.940 % pa in May 2002 and a record low of 0.640 % pa in Jul 2016. Norway Government Bond Yield: Oslo Stock Exchange: Month End: 5 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Oslo Stock Exchange. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Norway – Table NO.M008: Government Bonds Yield.

The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield rose to 4.96% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.09 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points and is 0.56 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Moody's Seasoned Baa Corporate Bond Yield Relative to Yield on 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity (BAA10Y) from 1986-01-02 to 2025-07-10 about Baa, spread, 10-year, maturity, bonds, Treasury, yield, corporate, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

China Treasury Bond Yield: SHSE: 10601: 2.51%: 27-02-2013 data was reported at 3.560 % pa in Feb 2013. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.040 % pa for Jan 2013. China Treasury Bond Yield: SHSE: 10601: 2.51%: 27-02-2013 data is updated monthly, averaging 2.980 % pa from Mar 2006 (Median) to Feb 2013, with 84 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.640 % pa in Sep 2007 and a record low of 1.040 % pa in Jan 2013. China Treasury Bond Yield: SHSE: 10601: 2.51%: 27-02-2013 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Shanghai Stock Exchange. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MF: Shanghai Stock Exchange: Treasury Bond Yield: Listed Bond.

The 2020 recession did not follow the trend of previous recessions in the United States because only six months elapsed between the yield curve inversion and the 2020 recession. Over the last five decades, 12 months, on average, has elapsed between the initial yield curve inversion and the beginning of a recession in the United States. For instance, the yield curve inverted initially in January 2006, which was 22 months before the start of the 2008 recession. A yield curve inversion refers to the event where short-term Treasury bonds, such as one or three month bonds, have higher yields than longer term bonds, such as three or five year bonds. This is unusual, because long-term investments typically have higher yields than short-term ones in order to reward investors for taking on the extra risk of longer term investments. Monthly updates on the Treasury yield curve can be seen here.

Prices for US 20Y including live quotes, historical charts and news. US 20Y was last updated by Trading Economics this July 12 of 2025.