Immigration and demographic change have become highly salient in American politics, partly because of the 2016 campaign of Donald Trump. Previous research indicates that local influxes of immigrants or unfamiliar ethnic groups can generate threatened responses, but has either focused on non-electoral outcomes or has analyzed elections in large geographic units such as counties. Here, we examine whether demographic changes at low levels of aggregation were associated with vote shifts toward an anti-immigration presidential candidate between 2012 and 2016. To do so, we compile a novel, precinct-level data set of election results and demographic measures for almost 32,000 precincts in the states of Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Washington. We employ regression analyses varying model specifications and measures of demographic change. Our estimates uncover little evidence that influxes of Hispanics or non-citizen immigrants benefited Trump relative to past Republicans, instead consistently showing that such changes were associated with shifts to Trump's opponent.

Online survey administered via Qualtrics in July, 2017, yielding 1,112 completed responses from respondents who passed two attention checks. Quotas were established matching the U.S. Census, following previous research (Bode et al. 2014). The questions used are briefly described below and all the items asked in each scale can be provided upon request.

According to a July 2025 survey, Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans was strong, with 60 percent viewing him very favorably and 29 percent somewhat favorably. This overwhelming support from his party base contrasts sharply with Democrats, of whom 90 percent viewed Trump very unfavorably. Independents were more divided, with 28 percent expressing some degree of favorability towards the former president. Electoral college victory Trump's popularity among Republicans translated into electoral success in the 2024 presidential election. He secured 312 electoral votes, surpassing the 270 needed to win the presidency. This victory came as Trump won all seven swing states, some by significant margins, despite pre-election polls showing only a slight lead in most battleground states. Increased republican support The 2024 election saw Republicans gain ground across the country. Every state reported an increase in Republican votes compared to 2020, with New York showing the largest gain of 6.43 percent. New Jersey and Florida also saw significant increases of nearly five percent. This surge in Republican support led to Trump flipping six states that he had lost in the previous election, contributing to his decisive victory.

A survey done in March 2022 found that 31% of Republican voters said they would use Truth Social often and 14% said they plan to use the platform a lot.

Content

Hate Crimes

This folder contains data behind the story Higher Rates Of Hate Crimes Are Tied To Income Inequality.

Sources: Kaiser Family Foundation Kaiser Family Foundation Kaiser Family Foundation Census Bureau Kaiser Family Foundation Kaiser Family Foundation Census Bureau Kaiser Family Foundation United States Elections Project Southern Poverty Law Center FBI

Correction

Please see the following commit: https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/commit/fbc884a5c8d45a0636e1d6b000021632a0861986

Context

This is a dataset from FiveThirtyEight hosted on their GitHub. Explore FiveThirtyEight data using Kaggle and all of the data sources available through the FiveThirtyEight organization page!

• Update Frequency: This dataset is updated daily.

Acknowledgements

This dataset is maintained using GitHub's API and Kaggle's API.

This dataset is distributed under the Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license.

According to exit polling in the 2020 Presidential Election in the United States, ** percent of surveyed 18 to 29 year old voters reported voting for former Vice President Joe Biden. In the race to become the next president of the United States, ** percent of voters aged 65 and older reported voting for incumbent President Donald Trump.

According to a survey from March 2023 among U.S. Taylor Swift fans, also called 'Swifties', the largest share of Swift fans were in support of the Democratic party, namely ** percent. In comparison, only ** percent stated that they were in support of the Republican party. While Swift has stayed apolitical for the majority of her career, in recent years she has come out in support of the Democratic party, speaking out against former president Trump before the 2018 U.S. congress elections.

Introduction

Bitcoin Statistics: In 2024, Bitcoin experienced significant milestones, reaching an all-time high of USD 108,268 on December 17, 2024, before closing the month at USD 93,429. This surge was influenced by the U.S. presidential election, where President-elect Donald Trump pledged to integrate cryptocurrencies into mainstream financial systems and establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The year also saw the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFS, with major financial institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity launching these products, contributing to increased institutional investment.

Notably, over 70% of institutional investors indicated plans to invest in digital assets in 2024. Additionally, Bitcoin underwent its fourth halving in April 2024, reducing the block subsidy from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block, which significantly impacted miners' revenue. Despite these challenges, Bitcoin's price has increased by 33% since the halving, demonstrating resilience and growing adoption in the financial sector. ​

The article summarises Bitcoin statistics and trends that are earmarked to give enthusiasts and traders a quick overview.

From: and: More info: Copied Jan 5th, 2020: More than a year after his death, a cache of computer files saved on the hard drives of Thomas Hofeller, a prominent Republican redistricting strategist, is becoming public. Republican state lawmakers in North Carolina fought in court to keep copies of these maps, spreadsheets and other documents from entering the public record. But some files have already come to light in recent months through court filings and news reports. They have been cited as evidence of gerrymandering that got political maps thrown out in North Carolina, and they have raised questions about Hofeller s role in the Trump administration s failed push for a census citizenship question. Now more of the files are available online through a website c

According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, ** percent of voters with a 2023 household income of ****** U.S. dollars or less reported voting for Donald Trump. In comparison, ** percent of voters with a total family income of 100,000 to ******* U.S. dollars reported voting for Kamala Harris.

According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, Donald Trump received the most support from men between the ages of ** and **. In comparison, ** percent of women between the ages of ** and ** reported voting for Kamala Harris.

According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, ** percent of surveyed white voters reported voting for Donald Trump. In contrast, ** percent of Black voters reported voting for Kamala Harris.

According to exit polling in *** key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, almost ********** of voters who had never attended college reported voting for Donald Trump. In comparison, a similar share of voters with ******** degrees reported voting for Kamala Harris.

This graph shows the percentage of votes of the 2016 presidential elections in the United States on November 9, 2016, by income. According to the exit polls, about 53 percent of voters with an income of under 30,000 U.S. dollars voted for Hillary Clinton.

According to an October 2024 survey, young Americans were much more likely to vote for Kamala Harris in the November 2024 presidential elections. Of those between the ages of 18 and 29, 60 percent said they were planning on voting for Harris, compared to 33 percent who said they planned on voting for Trump. In contrast, Trump was much more popular among those between 45 and 64 years old.

According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, Donald Trump received the most support from white voters between the ages of ** and **. In comparison, ** percent of Black voters between the ages of ** and ** reported voting for Kamala Harris.

Adults between the ages of ** and ** were the most frequent viewers of Saturday Night Live, with ** percent of respondents in this age bracket stating that they watched the program often, and ** percent stating that they watched it sometimes. Younger generations tend to view SNL far more than older generations, whereas more than half of adults aged 65 or above said that they never watched Saturday Night Live at all.

Saturday Night Live

First airing nearly 45 years ago, Saturday Night Live has won more Primetime Emmy Awards than any other show in history during its run and has established itself as a major source of American comedy and pop culture. The show’s ***** episode aired in 2018 and garnered a household rating of *** as well as a household share of around ** percent. Many of the show’s most popular segments go on to become viral video sensations, like Melissa McCarthy’s impression of Sean Spicer, which was seen by ** percent of Americans. Alec Baldwin’s impression of Donald Trump was even more popular, with ** percent of U.S. viewers watching the sketch.

SNL and politics

Being a late-night variety show that often touches on current events, SNL has never shied away from sketches about politics or political leaders – in fact, these are often some of the show’s most popular. Dozens of Presidents have been either depicted or referenced on the show, with Barack Obama even appearing to portray a caricature of himself. After drawing the anger of Donald Trump, the show’s audience has become more politically divided, with far more democrat-leaning Americans viewing it that Republicans.

According to a 2023 survey, Americans between 18 and 29 years of age were more likely to identify with the Democratic Party than any other surveyed age group. While 39 percent identified as Democrats, only 14 percent identified ad Republicans. However, those 50 and older identified more with the Republican Party.