This data package includes the underlying data to replicate the charts and calculations presented in The International Economic Implications of a Second Trump Presidency, PIIE Working Paper 24-20.
If you use the data, please cite as:
McKibbin, Warwick, Megan Hogan, and Marcus Noland. 2024. The International Economic Implications of a Second Trump Presidency. PIIE Working Paper 24-20. Washington: Peterson Institute for International Economics.
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United States The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump data was reported at 46.000 % in 29 Oct 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 46.000 % for 22 Oct 2024. United States The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump data is updated weekly, averaging 43.000 % from May 2023 (Median) to 29 Oct 2024, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 46.000 % in 29 Oct 2024 and a record low of 38.000 % in 31 Oct 2023. United States The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by YouGov PLC. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.PR004: The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election (Discontinued). If an election for president were going to be held now and the Democratic nominee was Joe Biden and the Republican nominee was Donald Trump, would you vote for...
During a survey conducted in December 2020, 50 percent of respondents said they approve of how Donald Trump is handling the U.S. economy. 56 percent of respondents reported that they disapproved of how he is handling the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.
This data package includes the underlying data files to replicate the data, tables, and charts presented in Why Trump’s tariff proposals would harm working Americans, PIIE Policy Brief 24-1.
If you use the data, please cite as: Clausing, Kimberly, and Mary E. Lovely. 2024. Why Trump’s tariff proposals would harm working Americans. PIIE Policy Brief 24-1. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.
This statistic shows the confidence level of the American people in Donald Trump's abilities to handle selected political tasks and crises. 32 percent of the respondents felt very confident in Trump's abilities to handle the economy effectively, while 40 percent did not.
This data package includes the underlying data and files to replicate the calculations, charts, and tables presented in COVID-19 and the 2020 US presidential election: Did the pandemic cost Donald Trump reelection?, PIIE Working Paper 21-3.
If you use the data, please cite as: Noland, Marcus, and Eva (Yiwen) Zhang. (2021). COVID-19 and the 2020 US presidential election: Did the pandemic cost Donald Trump reelection?. PIIE Working Paper 21-3. Peterson Institute for International Economics
As of November 2020, 40 percent of respondents said they think the U.S. economy will get worse if Donald Trump is reelected president in 2020. However, nine percent said that they believe the U.S. economy will stay the same.
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What are the local political, economic, and social conditions of the communities that sent insurrectionists to the U.S. Capitol in support of Donald Trump? Using a new dataset of the home counties of individuals charged for the Capitol Insurrection, we present the first systematic analysis of community-level factors on county rates of arrested insurrectionists. A one standard deviation decline in non-Hispanic White population share is associated with a 37% increase in the rate of insurrectionists, while manufacturing decline is associated with a 12% increase, even when controlling for population, racial makeup, and populist Trump support. The effect of white population decline is greater in counties whose U.S. Representative objected to the certification of the 2020 election results. Our findings suggest that improving economic conditions alone will not solve the problem of violent populism. Future research should further investigate the differences between electoral and violent populism. This dataset contains the Stata (version 18) dofiles and datafiles needed to replicate the figures and tables in the publication "The Political Geography of the January 6 Insurrectionists."
According to a poll conducted at the end of 2022, Americans were feeling quite pessimistic about the coming year. 90 percent of Americans felt negatively about the prospect of political conflict in 2023.
The Economy 2022 was a difficult year for many Americans, as it was for many around the world. After a year of high inflation, record fuel prices, and decreased financial security, the country greeted 2023 with high rates of skepticism and caution. Although the U.S. economy itself has experienced a strong rebound from the pandemic recession compared with other major economies, a sustained decline in consumer spending power thanks to wage growth not keeping pace with inflation has everyday Americans feeling the pinch.
U.S. political landscape The political scene in the U.S. also had a tumultuous few years in the lead up to 2023. The election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States in 2016 left many voters reeling and the country more divided than ever. The beginning of 2021 was market by the January 6th attack on the Capitol, as well as the inauguration of Joe Biden. Additionally, the country continued to grapple with a politicized response to the COVID-19 pandemic and associated restrictions. 2022 began with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, ushering in the beginning of a global fuel and inflation crisis. In the midst of hardening economic conditions, the Supreme Court overturned its ruling on Roe v. Wade, returning the power to decide abortion restrictions to state legislatures.
The 2022 midterm elections saw Republicans win enough seats to take back control of the House of Representatives, but saw the GOP ultimately underperform compared to predictions at the time. The first day of the 2023 congressional term was marked by the inability of the Republican Party to unify itself behind one candidate for Speaker of the House, leading to a once in a century multi-round of Speaker elections. With new members of the House not able to be sworn in until a Speaker is elected, 2023 had a difficult start.
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Graph and download economic data for Unemployment Rate - Women (LNS14000002) from Jan 1948 to Feb 2025 about females, 16 years +, household survey, unemployment, rate, and USA.
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An analysis of how Trump's tariffs could impact Brazil's ethanol industry, exploring the challenges and opportunities for local producers and international trade dynamics.
This data package includes the underlying data and files to replicate the calculations, charts, and tables presented in Protectionism under Trump: The China Shock, Intolerance, and the "First White President", PIIE Working Paper 19-10. If you use the data, please cite as: Noland, Marcus. (2019). Protectionism under Trump: The China Shock, Intolerance, and the "First White President". PIIE Working Paper 19-10. Peterson Institute for International Economics.
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President-elect Donald Trump opposes Nippon Steel's bid to acquire U.S. Steel, promising to maintain its American ownership amidst national security concerns and economic implications.
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Explore how Trump's re-election could alter trade policies affecting the global steel market, with potential shifts in tariffs and trade dynamics.
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Money Supply M2 in the United States increased to 21447.60 USD Billion in November from 21311.20 USD Billion in October of 2024. This dataset provides - United States Money Supply M2 - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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Graph and download economic data for Inflation, consumer prices for the United States (FPCPITOTLZGUSA) from 1960 to 2023 about consumer, CPI, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.
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Graph and download economic data for Unemployment Rate - Black or African American (LNS14000006) from Jan 1972 to Feb 2025 about African-American, 16 years +, household survey, unemployment, rate, and USA.
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Replication data for article - "Can economic interests trump ethnic hostility? Trading ties versus outgroup hostility in Australian perceptions of China as a security threat" - forthcoming in International Relations of the Asia-Pacific
According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, roughly 87 percent of voters who considered the condition of the nation's economy poor voted for Donald Trump. In comparison, 91 percent of those who considered the state of the economy good reported voting for Kamala Harris.
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The United States recorded a Government Debt to GDP of 122.30 percent of the country's Gross Domestic Product in 2023. This dataset provides - United States Government Debt To GDP - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
This data package includes the underlying data to replicate the charts and calculations presented in The International Economic Implications of a Second Trump Presidency, PIIE Working Paper 24-20.
If you use the data, please cite as:
McKibbin, Warwick, Megan Hogan, and Marcus Noland. 2024. The International Economic Implications of a Second Trump Presidency. PIIE Working Paper 24-20. Washington: Peterson Institute for International Economics.