According to estimates, if President Trump's proposed tariffs go into effect permanently, the United States' GDP would decrease by 0.4 percent. Of this, 0.3 percent would be from the 25 percent tariff on all imports from Canada and Mexico, while 0.1 percent would be from the 10 percent tariff on all imports from China. As of February 10, China imposed retaliatory tariffs on the United States, with a 15 percent tariff on coal and liquid natural gas, and a 10 percent tariff on other exports, including oil, machinery, and large motor vehicles.

According to new estimations, if the 2025 tariffs implemented as of July 31 were to remain in place, the construction industry would be hit hardest, with estimates showing a decline of *** percentage points.

President Trump Approval - Economy | RealClearPolling

According to a poll conducted at the end of 2022, Americans were feeling quite pessimistic about the coming year. 90 percent of Americans felt negatively about the prospect of political conflict in 2023.

The Economy 2022 was a difficult year for many Americans, as it was for many around the world. After a year of high inflation, record fuel prices, and decreased financial security, the country greeted 2023 with high rates of skepticism and caution. Although the U.S. economy itself has experienced a strong rebound from the pandemic recession compared with other major economies, a sustained decline in consumer spending power thanks to wage growth not keeping pace with inflation has everyday Americans feeling the pinch.

U.S. political landscape The political scene in the U.S. also had a tumultuous few years in the lead up to 2023. The election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States in 2016 left many voters reeling and the country more divided than ever. The beginning of 2021 was market by the January 6th attack on the Capitol, as well as the inauguration of Joe Biden. Additionally, the country continued to grapple with a politicized response to the COVID-19 pandemic and associated restrictions. 2022 began with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, ushering in the beginning of a global fuel and inflation crisis. In the midst of hardening economic conditions, the Supreme Court overturned its ruling on Roe v. Wade, returning the power to decide abortion restrictions to state legislatures.

The 2022 midterm elections saw Republicans win enough seats to take back control of the House of Representatives, but saw the GOP ultimately underperform compared to predictions at the time. The first day of the 2023 congressional term was marked by the inability of the Republican Party to unify itself behind one candidate for Speaker of the House, leading to a once in a century multi-round of Speaker elections. With new members of the House not able to be sworn in until a Speaker is elected, 2023 had a difficult start.

Trump_Tariff_Data

This dataset compiles key data points related to the impact and policy measures surrounding U.S. tariffs proposed or implemented by Donald Trump, particularly during the 2024 campaign and policy forecast period. It includes economic and trade metrics that provide context on U.S. trade balances, tariffs, and their international implications.

📁 Files & Structure

The dataset is divided into two main data tables:

📊 Data 1: Country-Level Trade & Tariff Overview

📈 Data 2: Tariff Policy Events & Economic Impact

💡 Use Cases

• Analyze the economic and geopolitical impact of tariff policies
• Forecast inflation or GDP shifts due to trade measures
• Build visual dashboards to compare U.S. trade relations by country
• Study election-cycle economic strategies and their global implications

Let us know if you create something cool using this dataset!

United States The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump data was reported at 46.000 % in 29 Oct 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 46.000 % for 22 Oct 2024. United States The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump data is updated weekly, averaging 43.000 % from May 2023 (Median) to 29 Oct 2024, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 46.000 % in 29 Oct 2024 and a record low of 38.000 % in 31 Oct 2023. United States The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by YouGov PLC. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.PR004: The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election (Discontinued). If an election for president were going to be held now and the Democratic nominee was Joe Biden and the Republican nominee was Donald Trump, would you vote for...

This statistic shows the confidence level of the American people in Donald Trump's abilities to handle selected political tasks and crises. 32 percent of the respondents felt very confident in Trump's abilities to handle the economy effectively, while 40 percent did not.

We analyze whether--and, if so, how--Americans reacted to the escalation of the trade war between the United States and China in June 2018. To address this issue, we leverage surveys conducted in the U.S. during this phase of the economic clash. We find a significant reduction in support for Donald Trump and his trade policy immediately following the announcement of retaliatory tariffs by the Chinese government. Moreover, respondents’ economic concerns about the trade war were primarily sociotropic and only weakly related to personal pocketbook considerations or local exposure to Chinese retaliatory tariffs. We also find that the trade war's intensification was politically consequential, decreasing support for Republican candidates in the 2018 midterm elections. Our findings indicate that trade wars can be politically costly for incumbent politicians, even among voters who are not directly affected by retaliatory tariffs.

During a survey conducted in December 2020, 50 percent of respondents said they approve of how Donald Trump is handling the U.S. economy. 56 percent of respondents reported that they disapproved of how he is handling the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United States expanded 3.80 percent in the second quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States GDP Growth Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Senator Ted Cruz criticizes President Trump's tariff strategy, warning of economic risks and potential political consequences.

As of the first quarter of 2025, the GDP of the U.S. fell by 0.5 percent from the fourth quarter of 2024. GDP, or gross domestic product, is effectively a count of the total goods and services produced in a country over a certain period of time. It is calculated by first adding together a country’s total consumer spending, government spending, investments and exports; and then deducting the country’s imports. The values in this statistic are the change in ‘constant price’ or ‘real’ GDP, which means this basic calculation is also adjusted to factor in the regular price changes measured by the U.S. inflation rate. Because of this adjustment, U.S. real annual GDP will differ from the U.S. 'nominal' annual GDP for all years except the baseline from which inflation is calculated. What is annualized GDP? The important thing to note about the growth rates in this statistic is that the values are annualized, meaning the U.S. economy has not actually contracted or grown by the percentage shown. For example, the fall of 29.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020 did not mean GDP is suddenly one third less than a year before. In fact, it means that if the decline seen during that quarter continued at the same rate for a full year, then GDP would decline by this amount. Annualized values can therefore exaggerate the effect of short-term economic shocks, as they only look at economic output during a limited period. This effect can be seen by comparing annualized quarterly growth rates with the annual GDP growth rates for each calendar year.

Is Donald Trump a radical departure from American political tradition or the culmination of pre-existing trends? We explore this question in the context of his political speech. Analyzing a monthly series of Trump’s public addresses from 2015 to 24, we compare them to speeches by other U.S. presidential candidates and global leaders. We show that Trump’s use of violent vocabulary—linked to both war and crime—intensified over time, becoming by late 2024 among the most extreme of any democratic politicians studied. Despite his reputation as an economic nationalist, Trump’s references to economic issues have declined, mirroring a broader bipartisan shift toward identity-based appeals. While his rhetoric includes populist elements, it deviates from conventional populist patterns, particularly in his infrequent references to “the people.” Instead, he embraces an exclusionary populism, centered on vilifying political opponents and marginalized groups.

This data package includes the underlying data and files to replicate the calculations, charts, and tables presented in COVID-19 and the 2020 US presidential election: Did the pandemic cost Donald Trump reelection?, PIIE Working Paper 21-3.

If you use the data, please cite as: Noland, Marcus, and Eva (Yiwen) Zhang. (2021). COVID-19 and the 2020 US presidential election: Did the pandemic cost Donald Trump reelection?. PIIE Working Paper 21-3. Peterson Institute for International Economics

The Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) is a $953-billion business loan program established by the United States federal government, led by the Donald Trump administration in 2020 through the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act) to help certain businesses, self-employed workers, sole proprietors, certain non-profit organizations, and tribal businesses continue paying their workers.

The Paycheck Protection Program allows entities to apply for low-interest private loans to pay for their payroll and certain other costs. The amount of a PPP loan is approximately equal to 2.5 times the applicant's average monthly payroll costs. In some cases, an applicant may receive a second draw typically equal to the first. The loan proceeds may be used to cover payroll costs, rent, interest, and utilities. The loan may be partially or fully forgiven if the business keeps its employee counts and employee wages stable. The program is implemented by the U.S. Small Business Administration. The deadline to apply for a PPP loan was March 31, 2021.

Some economists have found that the PPP did not save as many jobs as purported and aided too many businesses that were not at risk of going under. They noted that other programs, such as unemployment insurance, food assistance, and aid to state and local governments, would have been more efficient at strengthening the economy. Opponents to this view note that the PPP functioned well to prevent business closures and cannot be measured on the number of jobs saved alone.

According to a 2022 study, the PPP: cumulatively preserved between 2 and 3 million job-years of employment over 14 months at a cost of $169K to $258K per job-year retained. These numbers imply that only 23 to 34 percent of PPP dollars went directly to workers who would otherwise have lost jobs; the balance flowed to business owners and shareholders, including creditors and suppliers of PPP-receiving firms. Program incidence was ultimately highly regressive, with about three-quarters of PPP funds accruing to the top quintile of households. PPP's breakneck scale-up, its high cost per job saved, and its regressive incidence have a common origin: PPP was essentially untargeted because the United States lacked the administrative infrastructure to do otherwise. Harnessing modern administrative systems, other high-income countries were able to better target pandemic business aid to firms in financial distress. Building similar capacity in the U.S. would enable improved targeting when the next pandemic or other large-scale economic emergency inevitably arises.

Additional Information Field: Value Created: April 5, 2022 Format: CSV License: Other (Public Domain) Size: 428.6 MiB

President Trump's visit to Qatar results in a $1.2 trillion economic agreement, enhancing U.S.-Qatar trade relations with a significant Boeing deal.

In 2024 the real gross domestic product (GDP) of the United States increased by 2.8 percent compared to 2023.
What does GDP growth mean? Essentially, the annual GDP of the U.S. is the monetary value of all goods and services produced within the country over a given year. On the surface, an increase in GDP therefore means that more goods and services have been produced between one period than another. In the case of annualized GDP, it is compared to the previous year. In 2023, for example, the U.S. GDP grew 2.5 percent compared to 2022. Countries with highest GDP growth rate Although the United States has by far the largest GDP of any country, it does not have the highest GDP growth, nor the highest GDP at purchasing power parity. In 2021, Libya had the highest growth in GDP, growing more than 177 percent compared to 2020. Furthermore, Luxembourg had the highest GDP per capita at purchasing power parity, a better measure of living standards than nominal or real GDP.

Money Supply M2 in the United States increased to 22298.10 USD Billion in October from 22212.50 USD Billion in September of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Money Supply M2 - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The Trump administration’s withdrawal from the Paris Agreement in 2017 marked a critical rupture in global climate governance, prompting advanced economies to reassess their regulatory commitments. This study examines how OECD democracies responded to the erosion of U.S. climate leadership, focusing on the political economy of environmental policy stringency. Using two-way fixed effects panel regressions from 1990 to 2020, the analysis reveals a general increase in environmental policy stringency following the U.S. retreat, but with substantial cross-national variation. Countries with greater trade dependence on the United States exhibited weaker regulatory responses, suggesting that economic interdependence constrained climate ambition. These findings highlight a core tension between normative leadership and structural vulnerability in an open-economy context. This study contributes to theories of international cooperation and regulatory politics by showing how reputational incentives and trade asymmetries jointly shape national responses to hegemonic withdrawal from multilateral regimes.

An analysis of how Trump's tariffs could impact Brazil's ethanol industry, exploring the challenges and opportunities for local producers and international trade dynamics.