United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data was reported at 2.621 % in 2015. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.221 % for 2014. United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data is updated yearly, averaging 2.335 % from Dec 1998 (Median) to 2015, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.456 % in 1999 and a record low of -1.772 % in 2009. United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.World Bank: Gross Domestic Product: Annual Growth Rate. Annual growth rate for value added in services based on constant local currency. Aggregates are based on constant 2010 U.S. dollars. Services correspond to ISIC divisions 50-99. They include value added in wholesale and retail trade (including hotels and restaurants), transport, and government, financial, professional, and personal services such as education, health care, and real estate services. Also included are imputed bank service charges, import duties, and any statistical discrepancies noted by national compilers as well as discrepancies arising from rescaling. Value added is the net output of a sector after adding up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs. It is calculated without making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or depletion and degradation of natural resources. The industrial origin of value added is determined by the International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC), revision 3.; ; World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.; Weighted Average; Note: Data for OECD countries are based on ISIC, revision 4.

Description: This dataset contains historical economic data spanning from 1871 to 2024, used in Jaouad Karfali’s research on Economic Cycle Analysis with Numerical Time Cycles. The study aims to improve economic forecasting accuracy through the 9-year cycle model, which demonstrates superior predictive capabilities compared to traditional economic indicators.

Dataset Contents: The dataset includes a comprehensive range of economic indicators used in the research, such as:

USGDP_1871-2024.csv – U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. USCPI_cleaned.csv – U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), cleaned and processed. USWAGE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. average wages data. EXCHANGEGLOBAL_cleaned.csv – Global exchange rates for the U.S. dollar. EXCHANGEPOUND_cleaned.csv – U.S. dollar to British pound exchange rates. INTERESTRATE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. interest rate data. UNRATE.csv – U.S. unemployment rate statistics. POPTOTUSA647NWDB.csv – U.S. total population data. Significance of the Data: This dataset serves as a foundation for a robust economic analysis of the U.S. economy over multiple decades. It was instrumental in testing the 9-year economic cycle model, which demonstrated an 85% accuracy rate in economic forecasting when compared to traditional models such as ARIMA and VAR.

Applications:

Economic Forecasting: Predicts a 1.5% decline in GDP in 2025, followed by a gradual recovery between 2026-2034. Economic Stability Analysis: Used for comparing forecasts with estimates from institutions like the IMF and World Bank. Academic and Institutional Research: Supports studies in economic cycles and long-term forecasting. Source & Further Information: For more details on the methodology and research findings, refer to the full paper published on SSRN:

https://ssrn.com/author=7429208 https://orcid.org/0009-0002-9626-7289

• Jaouad Karfali

Economic Policy Uncertainty : News-Based for the United States was 715.59055 Index in April of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Economic Policy Uncertainty : News-Based for the United States reached a record high of 715.59055 in April of 2025 and a record low of 44.78275 in July of 2007. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Economic Policy Uncertainty : News-Based for the United States - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on May of 2025.

Water provides society with economic benefits that increasingly involve tradeoffs, making accounting for water quality, quantity, and their corresponding economic productivity more relevant in our interconnected world. In the past, physical and economic data about water have been fragmented, but integration is becoming more widely adopted internationally through application of the System of Environmental-Economic Accounts for Water (SEEA-Water), which enables the tracking of linkages between water and the economy over time and across scales. In this paper, we present the first national and subnational SEEA-Water accounts for the United States. We compile accounts for: (1) physical supply and use of water, (2) water productivity, (3) water quality, and (4) water emissions. These cover state and national levels for roughly the years 2000 to 2015. The results illustrate broad aggregate trends as well as subnational or industry-level phenomena. Specifically, the accounts show that total U.S. water use declined by 22% from 2000 to 2015, continuing a national trend seen since 1980. Total water use fell in 44 states, though groundwater use increased in 21 states. Nationally, a larger percent of water use comes from groundwater than at any time since 1950. Reductions in water use, combined with economic growth, lead to increases in water productivity for the entire national economy (65%), mining (99%), and agriculture (68%), though substantial variation occurred among states. Surface-water quality trends for the years 2002 to 2012 were most evident at regional levels, and differ by water-quality constituent and region. Chloride, nitrate, and total dissolved solids levels in groundwater had more consistent and widespread water-quality declines nationally. This work provides a baseline of recent historical water resource trends and their value in the U.S., as well as roadmap for the completion of future accounts for water, a critical ecosystem service. Our work also aids in the interpretation of ecosystem accounts in the context of long-term trends in U.S. water resources.

United States GFCF: saar: Financial Business data was reported at 264.719 USD bn in Mar 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 259.972 USD bn for Dec 2017. United States GFCF: saar: Financial Business data is updated quarterly, averaging 61.105 USD bn from Dec 1951 (Median) to Mar 2018, with 266 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 264.719 USD bn in Mar 2018 and a record low of 0.871 USD bn in Sep 1952. United States GFCF: saar: Financial Business data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.AB074: Integrated Macroeconomic Accounts: Total Economy and Sectors: Selected Aggregates.

Graph and download economic data for Shares of gross domestic product: Exports of goods (A253RE1Q156NBEA) from Q1 1947 to Q1 2025 about Shares of GDP, exports, goods, GDP, and USA.

United States The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump data was reported at 46.000 % in 29 Oct 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 46.000 % for 22 Oct 2024. United States The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump data is updated weekly, averaging 43.000 % from May 2023 (Median) to 29 Oct 2024, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 46.000 % in 29 Oct 2024 and a record low of 38.000 % in 31 Oct 2023. United States The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election: Donald Trump data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by YouGov PLC. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.PR004: The Economist YouGov Polls: 2024 Presidential Election (Discontinued). If an election for president were going to be held now and the Democratic nominee was Joe Biden and the Republican nominee was Donald Trump, would you vote for...

United States SB: MN: Finance: PC: Increased data was reported at 3.600 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 4.900 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: MN: Finance: PC: Increased data is updated weekly, averaging 4.900 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.700 % in 14 Feb 2022 and a record low of 3.600 % in 11 Apr 2022. United States SB: MN: Finance: PC: Increased data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S047: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Midwest Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States SBP: RE: CashonHand will Currently Cover: 3 or More Business Mo data was reported at 36.000 % in 04 Oct 2020. This records a decrease from the previous number of 36.400 % for 27 Sep 2020. United States SBP: RE: CashonHand will Currently Cover: 3 or More Business Mo data is updated weekly, averaging 34.700 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 04 Oct 2020, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 39.100 % in 16 Aug 2020 and a record low of 24.700 % in 03 May 2020. United States SBP: RE: CashonHand will Currently Cover: 3 or More Business Mo data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S036: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).

United States FFC: EC: Foreign data was reported at 2.702 USD bn in Mar 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.650 USD bn for Dec 2017. United States FFC: EC: Foreign data is updated quarterly, averaging 607.000 USD mn from Mar 2003 (Median) to Mar 2018, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.769 USD bn in Dec 2016 and a record low of 404.000 USD mn in Dec 2003. United States FFC: EC: Foreign data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Department of Treasury. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.KA023: US Financial Firms Claims on Foreigner: Quarterly.

United States SB: DE: Finance: Do Not Know data was reported at 16.900 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 20.300 % for 28 Mar 2022. United States SB: DE: Finance: Do Not Know data is updated weekly, averaging 18.600 % from Nov 2021 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 11 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 27.800 % in 15 Nov 2021 and a record low of 15.700 % in 29 Nov 2021. United States SB: DE: Finance: Do Not Know data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S051: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: South Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States US: Broad Money: Average Annual Growth Rate data was reported at 3.760 % in 2016. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.408 % for 2015. United States US: Broad Money: Average Annual Growth Rate data is updated yearly, averaging 8.143 % from Dec 1961 (Median) to 2016, with 56 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 13.955 % in 1971 and a record low of -2.741 % in 2010. United States US: Broad Money: Average Annual Growth Rate data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.World Bank.WDI: Money Supply. Broad money (IFS line 35L..ZK) is the sum of currency outside banks; demand deposits other than those of the central government; the time, savings, and foreign currency deposits of resident sectors other than the central government; bank and traveler’s checks; and other securities such as certificates of deposit and commercial paper.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files.; ;

United States FFC: MA: Foreign: Other data was reported at 9.000 USD mn in Mar 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 9.000 USD mn for Dec 2017. United States FFC: MA: Foreign: Other data is updated quarterly, averaging 3.000 USD mn from Mar 2003 (Median) to Mar 2018, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 44.000 USD mn in Dec 2011 and a record low of 0.000 USD mn in Dec 2010. United States FFC: MA: Foreign: Other data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Department of Treasury. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.KA023: US Financial Firms Claims on Foreigner: Quarterly.

United States SBP: TW: Cash on Hand will Currently Cover: 1-2 Business Weeks data was reported at 12.100 % in 04 Oct 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 10.400 % for 27 Sep 2020. United States SBP: TW: Cash on Hand will Currently Cover: 1-2 Business Weeks data is updated weekly, averaging 10.800 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 04 Oct 2020, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 16.600 % in 26 Apr 2020 and a record low of 9.600 % in 13 Sep 2020. United States SBP: TW: Cash on Hand will Currently Cover: 1-2 Business Weeks data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S036: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).

United States SBP: TW: Cash on Hand will Currently Cover: 3-4 Business Weeks data was reported at 16.100 % in 04 Oct 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 14.000 % for 27 Sep 2020. United States SBP: TW: Cash on Hand will Currently Cover: 3-4 Business Weeks data is updated weekly, averaging 16.650 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 04 Oct 2020, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 20.000 % in 10 May 2020 and a record low of 14.000 % in 27 Sep 2020. United States SBP: TW: Cash on Hand will Currently Cover: 3-4 Business Weeks data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S036: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).

United States SBP: Back to Usual Operations: >6 Mos data was reported at 62.600 % in 04 Oct 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 61.600 % for 27 Sep 2020. United States SBP: Back to Usual Operations: >6 Mos data is updated weekly, averaging 59.200 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 04 Oct 2020, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 65.500 % in 13 Sep 2020 and a record low of 44.800 % in 26 Apr 2020. United States SBP: Back to Usual Operations: >6 Mos data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S046: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).

United States SBP: MA: Business Didn't Close for 1 Day data was reported at 29.900 % in 20 Sep 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 26.700 % for 13 Sep 2020. United States SBP: MA: Business Didn't Close for 1 Day data is updated weekly, averaging 53.900 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 20 Sep 2020, with 15 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 76.300 % in 07 Jun 2020 and a record low of 26.700 % in 13 Sep 2020. United States SBP: MA: Business Didn't Close for 1 Day data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S050: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Northeast Region: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).

United States SBP: Cash on Hand will Currently Cover: Don’t Know data was reported at 14.900 % in 04 Oct 2020. This records a decrease from the previous number of 16.400 % for 27 Sep 2020. United States SBP: Cash on Hand will Currently Cover: Don’t Know data is updated weekly, averaging 13.150 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 04 Oct 2020, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 16.400 % in 27 Sep 2020 and a record low of 8.500 % in 24 May 2020. United States SBP: Cash on Hand will Currently Cover: Don’t Know data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S046: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).

United States SB: AK: Outlook: BP: None of the Above data was reported at 53.700 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 57.700 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: AK: Outlook: BP: None of the Above data is updated weekly, averaging 53.700 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 61.800 % in 07 Mar 2022 and a record low of 44.800 % in 28 Mar 2022. United States SB: AK: Outlook: BP: None of the Above data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S053: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: West Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States SBP: KS: Didn't Shifted to Prod of Other Gds or Svcs data was reported at 13.400 % in 20 Sep 2020. This records a decrease from the previous number of 15.800 % for 13 Sep 2020. United States SBP: KS: Didn't Shifted to Prod of Other Gds or Svcs data is updated weekly, averaging 94.100 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 20 Sep 2020, with 15 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 97.300 % in 14 Jun 2020 and a record low of 11.400 % in 23 Aug 2020. United States SBP: KS: Didn't Shifted to Prod of Other Gds or Svcs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S048: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Midwest Region: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).