U.S. monthly projected recession probability 2020-2025
- statista.com
Updated Jan 3, 2025
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EmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteStatista (2025). U.S. monthly projected recession probability 2020-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1239080/us-monthly-projected-recession-probability/Dataset updatedJan 3, 2025Time period coveredNov 2020 - Nov 2025Area coveredUnited StatesDescriptionBy November 2025, it is projected that there is a probability of 33.56 percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.
- U
United States Probability of Recession: United States
- ceicdata.com
Updated May 11, 2024ShareFacebookTwitterEmailClick to copy linkLink copiedCiteCEICdata.com (2024). United States Probability of Recession: United States [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/probability-of-recessionDataset updatedMay 11, 2024Dataset provided byCEICdata.comLicenseAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automaticallyTime period coveredFeb 1, 2024 - Jan 1, 2025Area coveredUnited StatesDescriptionProbability of Recession: United States data was reported at 0.697 % in Jan 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.972 % for Dec 2024. Probability of Recession: United States data is updated monthly, averaging 1.583 % from Jan 1980 (Median) to Jan 2025, with 541 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 88.024 % in May 2020 and a record low of 0.021 % in Jan 1980. Probability of Recession: United States data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under World Trend Plus’s CEIC Leading Indicator – Table US.S002: Probability of Recession.
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FacebookTwitterEmailBy November 2025, it is projected that there is a probability of 33.56 percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.