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Over the five years through 2024-25, UK banks' revenue is expected to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.7% to £128.6 billion, including an anticipated hike of 2% in 2024-25. After the financial crisis in 2007-08, low interest rates limited banks' interest in loans, hitting income. At the same time, a stricter regulatory environment, including increased capital requirements introduced under the Basel III banking reforms and ring-fencing regulations, constricted lending activity. To protect their profitability, banks such as Lloyds have shut the doors of many branches and made substantial job cuts. Following the COVID-19 outbreak, the Bank of England adopted aggressive tightening of monetary policy, hiking interest rates to rein in spiralling inflation. The higher base rate environment lifted borrowing costs, driving interest income for banks, who reported skyrocketing profits in 2023-24. Although profit grew markedly, pressure to pass on higher rates to savers and fierce competition weighed on net interest income at the tail end of the year, the difference between interest paid and interest received. UK banks are set to continue performing well in 2024-25 as the higher interest rate environment maintains healthy interest income, aiding revenue growth. However, net interest income is set to dip marginally due to higher deposit costs and narrow margins on mortgage loans. With further rate cuts priced into markets, savings rates will drop in 2024-25, stemming the drop in net interest income. Over the five years through 2029-30, industry revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 3.3% to reach £151.1 billion. Regulatory restrictions, tougher stress tests and stringent lending criteria will also hamper revenue growth. Competition is set to remain fierce – both internally from lenders that deliver their services exclusively via digital channels and externally from alternative finance providers, like peer-to-peer lending platforms. The possibility of legislation like the Edinburgh reforms will drive investment and lending activity in the coming years, if introduced. However, concerns surrounding the repercussions of less stringent capital requirements and the already fragile nature of the UK financial system pose doubt as to whether any significant changes will be made.
The total assets of the banking industry in the United Kingdom grew significantly between 2022 and 2023, despite some fluctuations in recent years. In 2023, the total assets held at banks amounted to roughly ***** trillion U.S. dollars, which was a slight decrease compared to the previous year. HSBC held the highest value of assets, followed by Barclays and Lloyds Banking Group.
Traditional banks in the United Kingdom (UK) had a much higher interest income than digital banks in 2024. According to Statista Financial Market Insights, the net interest income of the traditional banking industry in the UK amounted to roughly ****** billion U.S. dollars. In contrast, digital banks had a net interest income of ****** billion U.S. dollars. However, according to Statista, the net interest income of traditional banks will decrease in the following years, while digital banks' will increase.
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The UK retail banking market, valued at approximately £68.77 billion in 2025, is projected to experience steady growth, driven by a combination of factors. Technological advancements, particularly in online and mobile banking, are significantly shaping customer preferences and driving market expansion. The increasing adoption of digital banking platforms, offering convenience and accessibility, is a key driver. Furthermore, the growing demand for personalized financial services and wealth management solutions among both individuals and businesses fuels market growth. Competition among established players like HSBC Holdings, Barclays PLC, and Lloyds Banking Group, along with the emergence of fintech companies, is fostering innovation and efficiency. Regulatory changes impacting lending practices and financial security also influence market dynamics. However, economic uncertainties and fluctuating interest rates pose potential challenges. The market is segmented by banking type (traditional, online, personal, business, wealth management), end-user (individuals, small businesses, corporates, high-net-worth individuals), and distribution channel (branches, online platforms, mobile apps). The shift toward digital channels presents opportunities for banks to enhance customer experience and optimize operational costs. While precise regional breakdowns within the UK are not provided, it is reasonable to expect that London and other major urban centers contribute significantly to the market size. Growth across regions will likely mirror national trends, influenced by factors such as regional economic performance, digital infrastructure availability, and the distribution of different customer segments. The projected CAGR of 3.45% indicates a consistent, albeit moderate, expansion over the forecast period (2025-2033). This moderate growth reflects the mature nature of the UK retail banking market and the potential for saturation in some segments. Nevertheless, continuous innovation and adaptation to evolving customer needs are expected to sustain the market's growth trajectory. Recent developments include: August 2024: Lloyds Bank launched a USD 137 cash offer for students opening current accounts. To qualify, students must deposit at least USD 622 between August 1 and October 31, 2024. Student account holders will also receive a 20% discount on selected Student Union events and can earn 2% interest on balances up to USD 6,219.September 2023: HSBC pioneered a partnership with Nova Credit, making it the first UK bank to allow newcomers to access their credit history from abroad. This initiative aims to facilitate smoother financial integration for individuals relocating to the United Kingdom.. Key drivers for this market are: The Shift Toward Digital Banking, with Customers Increasingly Using Online and Mobile Banking Services. Potential restraints include: The Shift Toward Digital Banking, with Customers Increasingly Using Online and Mobile Banking Services. Notable trends are: Deposit Trends and Digital Transformation Driving Traditional Banking.
The return on equity (ROE) of the banking sector in the United Kingdom (UK) fluctuated notably in the period between 2012 and 2021. The lowest ROE was measured in 2012 at negative 5.1 percent. During the observed period, the highest ROE was reported in 2021, at roughly seven percent.
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The report covers Banking as a Service Companies in UK and the market is segmented by Component (Platform and Service (Professional Service and Managed Service)), by Type (API based BaaS and Cloud-based BaaS), by Enterprise Size (Large enterprise and Small & Medium enterprise), and by End-user (Banks, NBFC/Fintech Corporations and Others).
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Number of Businesses statistics on the Banks industry in United Kingdom
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Bank concentration (%) in United Kingdom was reported at 42.91 % in 2021, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. United Kingdom - Bank concentration - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on June of 2025.
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Banks from United Kingdom - Consolidated total assets (financial and non-financial) in All currencies with residents of All countries (total) (immediate counterparty basis), all sectors (amounts outstanding / stocks, all instruments, total (all maturities) )
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Market Size statistics on the Banks industry in United Kingdom
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The UK consumer banking market, encompassing a broad range of services from personal loans and mortgages to savings accounts and credit cards, is a dynamic and competitive landscape. While precise figures for market size and CAGR are absent, a reasonable estimate based on industry reports and similar developed economies suggests a 2025 market value exceeding £500 billion. The market's growth is propelled by several key drivers. Rising disposable incomes and a growing population fuel demand for financial products. Technological advancements, such as open banking and fintech innovations, are reshaping customer expectations and driving efficiency within the industry, leading to the adoption of digital banking and personalized financial management tools. Furthermore, changing regulatory landscapes, focusing on increased consumer protection and financial inclusion, are influencing market dynamics. However, the market faces certain headwinds. Intense competition among established players and emerging fintech companies keeps profit margins under pressure. Economic uncertainty, particularly fluctuating interest rates and potential recessionary periods, can significantly impact consumer spending and borrowing behavior, affecting the overall market growth. Stringent regulatory compliance and cybersecurity threats pose additional challenges for banks. Despite these constraints, the long-term outlook for the UK consumer banking market remains positive, driven by the sustained need for financial services, technological innovation, and evolving consumer preferences. Segmentation within the market, based on product type, customer demographics, and geographical location, presents opportunities for targeted growth and market penetration. The listed banks, including established players like Allied Irish Bank (UK) and newer entrants like Metro Bank, are constantly adapting their strategies to navigate this dynamic environment.
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Domestic credit provided by financial sector (% of GDP) in United Kingdom was reported at 162 % in 2018, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. United Kingdom - Domestic credit provided by banking sector (% of GDP) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on June of 2025.
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Banking Sector: RC: RWA: Market Risk data was reported at 354.052 GBP bn in Dec 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 394.633 GBP bn for Sep 2019. Banking Sector: RC: RWA: Market Risk data is updated quarterly, averaging 369.343 GBP bn from Mar 2014 (Median) to Dec 2019, with 24 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 397.167 GBP bn in Mar 2018 and a record low of 329.570 GBP bn in Dec 2015. Banking Sector: RC: RWA: Market Risk data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of England. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.KB063: Banking Sector: Regulatory Capital.
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The UK Islamic Finance Market is Segmented by the Financial Sector (Islamic Banking, Islamic Insurance 'Takaful, ' Islamic Bonds 'Sukuk, ' Other Islamic Financial Institutions (OIFLs), and Islamic Funds). The Report Offers the Value (USD) for the Above Segments.
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In size, it was USD 2,107.9 million in 2025 and would reach USD 9,960.9 million in 2035, growing at a high CAGR of 16.8% over that period.
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Industry Size (2025E) | USD 2,107.9 Million |
Industry Value (2035F) | USD 9,960.9 Million |
CAGR (2025 to 2035) | 16.8% |
Sub Region Wise outlook
Sub Region | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
---|---|
Greater London | 17.4% |
Sub Region | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
---|---|
Scotland | 16.5% |
Sub Region | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
---|---|
Wales | 16.2% |
Sub Region | CAGR (2025 to 2035) |
---|---|
Yorkshire and the Humber | 16.6% |
Competitive Outlook
Company Name | Estimated Market Share (%) |
---|---|
ClearBank Ltd. | 18 - 22% |
Railsr | 14 - 18% |
11:FS Foundry | 10 - 14% |
Thought Machine | 8 - 12% |
Other Players | 34 - 40% |
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United Kingdom UK: Domestic Credit: Provided by Financial Sector: % of GDP data was reported at 167.513 % in 2017. This records an increase from the previous number of 165.787 % for 2016. United Kingdom UK: Domestic Credit: Provided by Financial Sector: % of GDP data is updated yearly, averaging 98.603 % from Dec 1960 (Median) to 2017, with 58 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 208.895 % in 2009 and a record low of 34.719 % in 1980. United Kingdom UK: Domestic Credit: Provided by Financial Sector: % of GDP data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.World Bank.WDI: Bank Loans. Domestic credit provided by the financial sector includes all credit to various sectors on a gross basis, with the exception of credit to the central government, which is net. The financial sector includes monetary authorities and deposit money banks, as well as other financial corporations where data are available (including corporations that do not accept transferable deposits but do incur such liabilities as time and savings deposits). Examples of other financial corporations are finance and leasing companies, money lenders, insurance corporations, pension funds, and foreign exchange companies.; ; International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics and data files, and World Bank and OECD GDP estimates.; Weighted average;
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Companies in the Investment Banking industry provide financial advisory services, offering their insight on IPOs, M&As and equity and debt security underwriting activity. Competition has been fierce in recent years, with a flood of boutique firms entering the industry as bankers look for healthier rewards than those offered by the more regulated larger investment banks. Growing M&A and IPO activity before 2022-23 ramped up demand for investment banking services, although this momentum lost speed in 2022-23 as access to cheap capital ended. Revenue is expected to contract at a compound annual rate of 8.1% over the five years through 2025-26 to £8 billion, including an expected drop of 0.5% in 2025-26. Profit is also expected to edge downwards in 2025, though it remains high. Capital market activity surged at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, lifting demand for investment banking services as governments and large international businesses across the world raised capital to fund fiscal stimuli and maintain cash flow levels. The boom in debt and equity markets showed no sign of slowing the next year, with IPO and M&A activity reaching record levels in 2021-22, driving demand for investment bankers’ services. However, in the two years through 2023-24, M&A activity plummeted thanks to rising interest rates, mounting geopolitical tensions and a gloomy economic outlook, which put companies off from seeking takeovers. In 2024-25, M&A activity fared better than IPOs, welcoming improvements in consumer confidence amid interest rate cuts, aiding revenue growth. However, IPOs continued on their downward trajectory as geopolitical uncertainty and high interest rates resulted in many companies delaying listings. Over 2025-26, M&A activity is forecast to continue to climb, but IPO activity may stall as Trump's tariff announcements erode investor sentiment, weighing on revenue growth. Revenue is anticipated to grow at a compound annual rate of 4.5% over the five years through 2030-31 to £10 billion. Deal activity is set to build as lower interest rates make leveraged transactions more attractive. Competition will remain fierce, driving technological innovation as investment banks try to improve decision-making processes and scale operations through the use of AI. Still, strong competition from overseas exchanges, like the S&P 500 in the US, will dent UK IPO activity in the coming years as companies move away from UK listings and the lacklustre valuations they offer, weighing on revenue growth.
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Bank net interest margin (%) in United Kingdom was reported at 1.8373 % in 2021, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. United Kingdom - Bank net interest margin - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on June of 2025.
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United Kingdom UK: Banking Institutions: Foreign Assets data was reported at 3,692,394.000 GBP mn in Sep 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 3,715,082.000 GBP mn for Jun 2018. United Kingdom UK: Banking Institutions: Foreign Assets data is updated quarterly, averaging 547,933.000 GBP mn from Mar 1963 (Median) to Sep 2018, with 223 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3,905,217.000 GBP mn in Dec 2008 and a record low of 1,693.000 GBP mn in Mar 1963. United Kingdom UK: Banking Institutions: Foreign Assets data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by International Monetary Fund. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.IMF.IFS: Financial System: Deposit Money Banks: Quarterly.
HSBC maintained its position as the largest bank in the United Kingdom by market capitalization from 2001 to 2024. On December 31, 2024, HSBC's market capitalization reached approximately 176.71 billion U.S. dollars, recovering to pre-pandemic levels and reinforcing its status as the largest European bank by market value. Bank market valuations during the pandemic The coronavirus pandemic significantly impacted global banking market capitalizations. In early 2020, the largest European banks experienced sharp declines in market value due to economic uncertainty. The worldwide banking market saw a substantial drop in market capitalization during 2020, with most major banks experiencing similar trends. However, the market began recovering throughout 2021, with banks gradually returning to pre-pandemic valuation levels. The banking industry in the UK The UK banking industry is led by five major chartered banks, increasingly challenged by digital banks like Starling and Monzo. Despite losing some customers domestically, HSBC remains significant - the largest bank in the United Kingdom and one of the world's largest financial institutions.
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Over the five years through 2024-25, UK banks' revenue is expected to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.7% to £128.6 billion, including an anticipated hike of 2% in 2024-25. After the financial crisis in 2007-08, low interest rates limited banks' interest in loans, hitting income. At the same time, a stricter regulatory environment, including increased capital requirements introduced under the Basel III banking reforms and ring-fencing regulations, constricted lending activity. To protect their profitability, banks such as Lloyds have shut the doors of many branches and made substantial job cuts. Following the COVID-19 outbreak, the Bank of England adopted aggressive tightening of monetary policy, hiking interest rates to rein in spiralling inflation. The higher base rate environment lifted borrowing costs, driving interest income for banks, who reported skyrocketing profits in 2023-24. Although profit grew markedly, pressure to pass on higher rates to savers and fierce competition weighed on net interest income at the tail end of the year, the difference between interest paid and interest received. UK banks are set to continue performing well in 2024-25 as the higher interest rate environment maintains healthy interest income, aiding revenue growth. However, net interest income is set to dip marginally due to higher deposit costs and narrow margins on mortgage loans. With further rate cuts priced into markets, savings rates will drop in 2024-25, stemming the drop in net interest income. Over the five years through 2029-30, industry revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 3.3% to reach £151.1 billion. Regulatory restrictions, tougher stress tests and stringent lending criteria will also hamper revenue growth. Competition is set to remain fierce – both internally from lenders that deliver their services exclusively via digital channels and externally from alternative finance providers, like peer-to-peer lending platforms. The possibility of legislation like the Edinburgh reforms will drive investment and lending activity in the coming years, if introduced. However, concerns surrounding the repercussions of less stringent capital requirements and the already fragile nature of the UK financial system pose doubt as to whether any significant changes will be made.