Consumer Confidence in the United Kingdom decreased to -19 points in November from -17 points in October of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom Consumer Confidence - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Consumer trends time series dataset up to Quarter 2 (April to June) 2025.

This report analyses consumer confidence in the United Kingdom. The data, which is adjusted for seasonality, is sourced from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and is modified by IBISWorld to produce a consumer confidence index (CCI), whereby values in excess of the 100-point critical mark represent net optimism, while figures less than the 100-point critical represent net pessimism. The OECD's consumer opinion survey tracks confidence indicators at the national level and the survey questions asked to respondents, in order to determine the overall confidence figure, cover expectations of personal finances, economic conditions, unemployment and savings over the subsequent 12-month period. Figures represent the average level of consumer confidence over the financial year (i.e., April through March).

Clothing retailing revenue is forecast to rise at a compound annual rate of 5.2%. Clothing retailers have faced a challenging period. Online shopping continues to fuel high return rates, averaging 30%, straining logistics and denting retailers’ returns Rising wage costs are also squeezing margins profit, with April 2025’s National Living Wage hike adding £7 billion in extra costs across the UK retail sector, according to the British Retail Consortium. Consumer confidence remains fragile, dampening growth forecasts and driving intense promotional activity in the key winter period. UK clothing retailers are transforming their operations amid shifting economic, social and geopolitical pressures. Many are accelerating nearshoring to protect supply chains, cut lead times and strengthen quality oversight, while reducing transport emissions. Geopolitical tensions and shipping disruptions are driving this shift, though higher production costs and post-Brexit trade rules have created additional challenges. Still, opportunities for growth remain. Social media is reshaping fashion retail, turning platforms like TikTok and Instagram into powerful sales channels, especially among younger consumers. At the same time, fast fashion is falling out of favour as shoppers and regulators push for sustainability. Retailers are pivoting to circular models, durability initiatives and transparent practices to remain competitive in a changing market. In 2025-26, revenue is expected to bump up by 1.6% to €50 billion, while the average profit margin is expected to reach 10.8% in the current year, a marked rise on the 4.8% recorded five years previously, but still lower than pre-pandemic levels thanks to rising costs. Revenue is slated to grow at a compound annual rate of 3.2% over the five years through 2030-31 to £58.6 billion. Social commerce is set to surge. Platforms like TikTok and Instagram are integrating shopping features and live shopping will gain momentum, blending entertainment and commerce to engage younger audiences. Physical stores will retain their place, though, with major brands expanding and reimagining spaces to deliver immersive, tech-enabled experiences. AI will transform retail by personalising shopping, optimising inventory and supporting sustainability goals. However, regulatory shifts loom large. Higher business rates from 2026 will pressure profit, while scrapping the de minimis import threshold could level competition by imposing VAT on low-value imports. These developments signal a retail landscape defined by digital integration, immersive in-store experiences and tighter regulation, demanding agility from clothing retailers.