In 2020 the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rate of the United Kingdom is expected to be between *** percent and *** percent, according to forecasts from three different institutions, the Office for Budget Responsibility, the International Monetary Fund, and the The National Institute of Economic and Social Research. CPI measures the rate of change to market basket price levels of consumer goods and services purchased by households.
Official statistics are produced impartially and free from political influence.
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Measures of monthly UK inflation data including CPIH, CPI and RPI. These tables complement the consumer price inflation time series dataset.
The Consumer Price Index of the United Kingdom was 138.5 in the second quarter of 2025, indicating that consumer prices have increased by 38.5 percent when compared with the first quarter of 2015. As of June 2025, the inflation rate for the CPI was 3.6 percent, an uptick from March, when prices were rising by 2.6 percent. A long period of elevated inflation between 2021 and 2023 peaked in October 2022 and saw prices increase by over 20 percent in just three years. Uptick in inflation expected in 2025 In late 2024, the UK's main economic forecaster, the Office for Budget Responsibility, predicted that the annual inflation rate for 2025 would average out at around 2.6 percent. In March 2025, however, the OBR revised this figure upward, with annual inflation now expected to be 3.2 percent. This uptick in inflation is predicted to peak in the third quarter of the year at 3.7 percent before falling to two percent by the second quarter of 2026. Although this period of higher inflation is predicted to be far less severe than in 2022, it will no doubt put further pressure on households already struggling with their cost of living. Cost of living woes continue The share of UK households reporting that their cost of living was increasing has been steadily rising since Summer 2024. At that time, less than half of UK households reported rising costs, down from 91 percent two years earlier. As of March 2025, however, 59 percent of households said their costs were rising, the highest figure since 2023. Of these households, 93 percent reported that their food shop was increasing, with three quarters of them reporting higher energy costs. With higher inflation predicted in 2025, the pressure on UK households will likely continue, although a crisis on the scale of 2021-2023 will hopefully be avoided.
The UK inflation rate was 3.6 percent in June 2025, up from 3.4 percent in the previous month, and the fastest rate of inflation since January 2024. Between September 2022 and March 2023, the UK experienced seven months of double-digit inflation, which peaked at 11.1 percent in October 2022. Due to this long period of high inflation, UK consumer prices have increased by over 20 percent in the last three years. As of the most recent month, prices were rising fastest in the communications sector, at 6.1 percent, but were falling in both the furniture and transport sectors, at -0.3 percent and -0.6 percent, respectively.
The Cost of Living Crisis
High inflation is one of the main factors behind the ongoing Cost of Living Crisis in the UK, which, despite subsiding somewhat in 2024, is still impacting households going into 2025. In December 2024, for example, 56 percent of UK households reported their cost of living was increasing compared with the previous month, up from 45 percent in July, but far lower than at the height of the crisis in 2022. After global energy prices spiraled that year, the UK's energy price cap increased substantially. The cap, which limits what suppliers can charge consumers, reached 3,549 British pounds per year in October 2022, compared with 1,277 pounds a year earlier. Along with soaring food costs, high-energy bills have hit UK households hard, especially lower income ones that spend more of their earnings on housing costs. As a result of these factors, UK households experienced their biggest fall in living standards in decades in 2022/23.
Global inflation crisis causes rapid surge in prices
The UK's high inflation, and cost of living crisis in 2022 had its origins in the COVID-19 pandemic. Following the initial waves of the virus, global supply chains struggled to meet the renewed demand for goods and services. Food and energy prices, which were already high, increased further in 2022. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 brought an end to the era of cheap gas flowing to European markets from Russia. The war also disrupted global food markets, as both Russia and Ukraine are major exporters of cereal crops. As a result of these factors, inflation surged across Europe and in other parts of the world, but typically declined in 2023, and approached more usual levels by 2024.
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Comprehensive database of time series covering measures of inflation data for the UK including CPIH, CPI and RPI.
In 2024, the annual inflation rate for the United Kingdom was 2.5 percent, with the average rate for 2025 predicted to rise to 3.2 percent, revised upwards from an earlier prediction of 2.6 percent. The UK has only recently recovered from a period of elevated inflation, which saw the CPI rate reach 9.1 percent in 2022, and 7.3 percent in 2023. Despite an uptick in inflation expected in 2025, the inflation rate is expected to fall to 2.1 percent in 2026, and two percent between 2027 and 2029. UK inflation crisis Between 2021 and 2023, inflation surged in the UK, reaching a 41-year-high of 11.1 percent in October 2022. Although inflation fell to more usual levels by 2024, prices in the UK had already increased by over 20 percent relative to the start of the crisis. The two main drivers of price increases during this time were food and energy inflation, two of the main spending areas of UK households. Although food and energy prices came down quite sharply in 2023, underlying core inflation, which measures prices rises without food and energy, remained slightly above the headline inflation rate throughout 2024, suggesting some aspects of inflation had become embedded in the UK economy. Inflation rises across in the world in 2022 The UK was not alone in suffering from runaway inflation over the last few years. From late 2021 onwards, various factors converged to encourage a global acceleration of prices, leading to the ongoing inflation crisis. Blocked-up supply chains were one of the main factors as the world emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic. This was followed by energy and food inflation skyrocketing after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Central bank interest rates were raised globally in response to the problem, possibly putting an end to the era of cheap money that has defined monetary policy since the financial crash of 2008.
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Inflation Rate in the United Kingdom increased to 3.60 percent in June from 3.40 percent in May of 2025. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
Official statistics are produced impartially and free from political influence.
This statistic shows the Consumer Price Index (CPIH) in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2000 to 2020. Since the base year of 2015, the index has increased by *** points.
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Consumer Price Index CPI in the United Kingdom increased to 138.90 points in June from 138.40 points in May of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom Consumer Price Index (CPI) - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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Graph and download economic data for Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: Recreational and Sporting Services for United Kingdom (CP0941GBM086NEST) from Jan 1996 to Nov 2020 about sport, recreation, harmonized, United Kingdom, services, CPI, price index, indexes, and price.
This statistic shows the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of clothing in the United Kingdom from February 2015 to December 2020, with 2015 as the base year. In December 2020, the consumer price index for clothing in the UK was *****. This includes prices for garments, other clothing, clothing accessories and the cleaning, repair and hire of clothing.
Consumer price indices are designed to measure changes in the price of everything consumers buy. More information on CPI can be found here.
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Graph and download economic data for Inflation, consumer prices for the United Kingdom (FPCPITOTLZGGBR) from 1960 to 2024 about United Kingdom, consumer, CPI, inflation, price index, indexes, and price.
In June 2025, the UK inflation rate for goods was 2.4 percent and 4.7 percent for services. Prices for goods accelerated significantly, sharply between 2021 and 2022, before falling in 2023. By comparison, prices for services initially grew at a more moderate rate but have also not fallen as quickly. The overall CPI inflation rate for the UK reached a recent high of 11.1 percent in October 2022 and remained in double figures until April 2023, when it fell to 8.7 percent. As of this month, the UK's inflation rate was 3.6 percent, up from 3.4 percent in the previous month. Sectors driving high inflation In late 2024, communication was the sector with the highest inflation rate, with prices increasing by 6.1 percent as of December 2024. During the recent period of high inflation that eased in 2023, food and energy prices were particular high, with housing and energy inflation far higher than in any other sector, peaking at 26.6 percent towards the end of 2022. High food and energy prices since 2021 have been one of the main causes of the cost of living crisis in the UK, especially for low-income households that spend a higher share of their income on these categories. This is likely one of the factors driving increasing food bank usage in the UK, which saw approximately 3.12 million people use a food bank in 2023/24, compared with 1.9 million just before the COVID-19 pandemic. The global inflation crisis The UK has not been alone in suffering rapid price increases since 2021. After the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, a series of economic and geopolitical shocks had a dramatic impact on the global economy. A global supply chain crisis failed to meet rising demand in 2021, leading to the beginning of an Inflation Crisis, which was only exacerbated by Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. The war directly influenced the prices of food and energy, as both countries were major exporters of important crops. European imports of hydrocarbons from Russia were also steadily reduced throughout 2022 and 2023, resulting in higher energy prices throughout the year.
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Graph and download economic data for Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: Out-Patient Services for United Kingdom (CP0620GBM086NEST) from Dec 1996 to Nov 2020 about medical, harmonized, United Kingdom, services, CPI, price index, indexes, and price.
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Core consumer prices in the United Kingdom increased 3.70 percent in June of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Core Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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Graph and download economic data for Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: Passenger Transport by Railway for United Kingdom (CP0731GBM086NEST) from Jan 1996 to Nov 2020 about railroad, passenger, harmonized, transportation, United Kingdom, CPI, price index, indexes, and price.
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Graph and download economic data for Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: All-Items HICP for United Kingdom (CP0000GBM086NEST) from Jan 1996 to Nov 2020 about harmonized, United Kingdom, all items, CPI, price index, indexes, and price.
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Graph and download economic data for Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices: Non-Energy Industrial Goods for United Kingdom (IGDSXEGBM086NEST) from Jan 1996 to Nov 2020 about non-energy, harmonized, United Kingdom, goods, CPI, industry, price index, indexes, and price.
In 2020 the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rate of the United Kingdom is expected to be between *** percent and *** percent, according to forecasts from three different institutions, the Office for Budget Responsibility, the International Monetary Fund, and the The National Institute of Economic and Social Research. CPI measures the rate of change to market basket price levels of consumer goods and services purchased by households.