100+ datasets found
  1. Database of forecasts for the UK economy

    • gov.uk
    • s3.amazonaws.com
    Updated Apr 17, 2024
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    HM Treasury (2024). Database of forecasts for the UK economy [Dataset]. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/database-of-forecasts-for-the-uk-economy
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 17, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    GOV.UKhttp://gov.uk/
    Authors
    HM Treasury
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Each month we publish independent forecasts of key economic and fiscal indicators for the UK economy. Forecasts before 2010 are hosted by The National Archives.

    We began publishing comparisons of independent forecasts in 1986. The first database brings together selected variables from those publications, averaged across forecasters. It includes series for Gross Domestic Product, the Consumer Prices Index, the Retail Prices Index, the Retail Prices Index excluding mortgage interest payments, Public Sector Net Borrowing and the Claimant Count. Our second database contains time series of independent forecasts for GDP growth, private consumption, government consumption, fixed investment, domestic demand and net trade, for 26 forecasters with at least 10 years’ worth of submissions since 2010.

    We’d welcome feedback on how you find the database and any extra information that you’d like to see included. Email your comments to Carter.Adams@hmtreasury.gov.uk.

  2. GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 25, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/375195/gdp-growth-forecast-uk/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 25, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2024, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom grew by *** percent and is expected to grow by just *** percent in 2025 and by *** percent in 2026. Growth is expected to slow down to *** percent in 2027, and then grow by ***, and *** percent in 2027 and 2028 respectively. The sudden emergence of COVID-19 in 2020 and subsequent closure of large parts of the economy were the cause of the huge *** percent contraction in 2020, with the economy recovering somewhat in 2021, when the economy grew by *** percent. UK growth downgraded in 2025 Although the economy is still expected to grow in 2025, the *** percent growth anticipated in this forecast has been halved from *** percent in October 2024. Increased geopolitical uncertainty as well as the impact of American tariffs on the global economy are some of the main reasons for this mark down. The UK's inflation rate for 2025 has also been revised, with an annual rate of *** percent predicated, up from *** percent in the last forecast. Unemployment is also anticipated to be higher than initially thought, with the annual unemployment rate likely to be *** percent instead of *** percent. Long-term growth problems In the last two quarters of 2023, the UK economy shrank by *** percent in Q3 and by *** percent in Q4, plunging the UK into recession for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic. Even before that last recession, however, the UK economy has been struggling with weak growth. Although growth since the pandemic has been noticeably sluggish, there has been a clear long-term trend of declining growth rates. The economy has consistently been seen as one of the most important issues to people in Britain, ahead of health, immigration and the environment. Achieving strong levels of economic growth is one of the main aims of the Labour government elected in 2024, although after almost one year in power it has so far proven elusive.

  3. Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2025

    • gov.uk
    Updated Jun 18, 2025
    + more versions
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    HM Treasury (2025). Forecasts for the UK economy: June 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/forecasts-for-the-uk-economy-june-2025
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 18, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    GOV.UKhttp://gov.uk/
    Authors
    HM Treasury
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Forecasts for the UK economy is a monthly comparison of independent forecasts.

    Please note that this is a summary of published material reflecting the views of the forecasting organisations themselves and does not in any way provide new information on the Treasury’s own views. It contains only a selection of forecasters, which is subject to review.

    No significance should be attached to the inclusion or exclusion of any particular forecasting organisation. HM Treasury accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of material published in this comparison.

    This month’s edition of the forecast comparison contains short-term forecasts for 2025 and 2026.

  4. GDP growth forecast: European Union, U.S., U.K. and Germany 2010-2025

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jul 23, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast: European Union, U.S., U.K. and Germany 2010-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/369222/gdp-growth-forecast-western-europe-vs-major-economies/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 23, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Europe, United States
    Description

    Across the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the European Union, gross domestic products (GDP) decreased in 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, by 2021, growth rates were positive in all four areas again. The United Kingdom, Germany, and the European Union all experiencing slow economic growth in 2023 amid high inflation, with Germany even seeing an economic recession. GDP and its components GDP refers to the total market value of all goods and services that are produced within a country per year. It is composed of government spending, consumption, business investments and net exports. It is an important indicator to measure the economic strength of a country. Economists rely on a variety of factors when predicting the future performance of the GDP. Inflation rate is one of the economic indicators providing insight into the future behavior of households, which make up a significant proportion of GDP. Projections are based on the past performance of such information. Future considerations Some factors can be more easily predicted than others. For example, projections of the annual inflation rate of the United States are easy to come by. However, the intensity and impact of something like Brexit is difficult to predict. Moreover, the occurrence and impact of events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's war in Ukraine is difficult to foresee. Hence, actual GDP growth may be higher or lower than the original estimates.

  5. GDP forecast UK 2019-2029

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Apr 24, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP forecast UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/373187/uk-gdp-forecast/
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 24, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2025, the UK's gross domestic product is forecast to reach 2.96 trillion British pounds, and exceed three trillion pounds by 2026.

  6. GDP growth forecast: the Americas, U.S., UK and Germany 2010-2026*

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jul 4, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast: the Americas, U.S., UK and Germany 2010-2026* [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/369270/gdp-growth-forecast-the-americas-vs-major-economies/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 4, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Germany, Americas, United Kingdom, United States, Worldwide
    Description

    In 2023, the GDP of the United States increased by about *** percent compared to the previous year. This comes amid high inflation rates globally, and countries such as Argentina and Germany even experiencing economic decline. GDP refers to the total market value of all goods and services that are produced within a country per year. It is an important indicator to measure the economic strength of a country.

  7. Housing starts forecasts in the UK 2029

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 20, 2025
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    Housing starts forecasts in the UK 2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/872124/uk-housing-starts-forecast/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 20, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2024
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The number of housing starts was forecast to increase by ****** units in 2025 in comparison to the previous year. After that, the number of new construction starts is predicted to grow significantly, reaching ******* new housing starts in 2029.

  8. Average earnings growth forecast UK 2019-2029

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Average earnings growth forecast UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/374788/average-earnings-forecast-uk/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2025, it is predicted that average earnings in the United Kingdom will increase by *** percent, compared with a growth rate of *** percent in 2024, and *** percent in 2023, the fastest average earnings growth in this time period. By contrast, average earnings did not grow at all in 2020, in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. Earnings vs inflation Although earnings grew at their fastest pace between 2021 and 2023 in this provided time period, this was offset by the period of very high inflation that occurred alongside it. This reached a peak of **** percent in October 2022, with inflation only reaching the typical target rate of *** percent in May 2024. Despite strong wage growth, the average UK worker saw their earnings fall relative to inflation between November 2021 and May 2023. As of January 2024, weekly wages in the UK were still growing faster than inflation, at *** percent for regular pay and *** percent for pay including bonuses. Full-time earnings reach over ****** GBP in 2024 Full-time employees in the United Kingdom earned an average annual salary of ****** British pounds in 2024, compared with just over ****** in the previous year. As of this year, men reported higher earnings than women did, with the UK reporting a gender pay gap of **** percent for 2024, compared with **** percent in 1997. Workers in their 40s had the highest average earnings by age group, at approximately ****** for men, and ****** for women. Although men earned more than women in all age groups, this gap was smallest among workers aged 18 to 21.

  9. United Kingdom UK: IMF Forecast: General Government: Primary Balance: % of...

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Feb 15, 2025
    + more versions
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    CEICdata.com (2025). United Kingdom UK: IMF Forecast: General Government: Primary Balance: % of GDP [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-kingdom/government-finance-statistics/uk-imf-forecast-general-government-primary-balance--of-gdp
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 15, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 1, 2012 - Dec 1, 2023
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    United Kingdom UK: IMF Forecast: General Government: Primary Balance: % of GDP data was reported at 0.630 % in 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.560 % for 2022. United Kingdom UK: IMF Forecast: General Government: Primary Balance: % of GDP data is updated yearly, averaging -1.382 % from Dec 1990 (Median) to 2023, with 34 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.043 % in 2000 and a record low of -8.701 % in 2009. United Kingdom UK: IMF Forecast: General Government: Primary Balance: % of GDP data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by International Monetary Fund. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.IMF.FM: Government Finance Statistics.

  10. GDP growth forecast: Asia, U.S., UK and Germany 2010-2026

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated May 30, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast: Asia, U.S., UK and Germany 2010-2026 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/369274/gdp-growth-forecast-asia-vs-major-economies/
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    Dataset updated
    May 30, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Asia, United Kingdom, Germany, United States, Worldwide
    Description

    The gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of all major economies included except China was negative in 2020 following the COVID-19 pandemic. Growth rates were positive again in 2021, but stagnated in some countries in 2023 amid high inflation rates. What does GDP measure? GDP is the sum of all consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports in an economy. As such, different things drive the growth of each of these countries. Germany benefits from a high value of net exports, also known as its trade balance. Drawbacks of GDP growth as a metric GDP measures growth, but it does not capture welfare gains correctly in many cases. For example, carbon dioxide emissions often go hand in hand with a growing GDP. These emissions are from industry, such as coal power plants, or consumption, such as driving cars, but GDP does not measure the damage from these activities. Also, national debt is not incorporated into GDP.

  11. U

    United Kingdom Economic growth forecast - data, chart | TheGlobalEconomy.com...

    • theglobaleconomy.com
    csv, excel, xml
    Updated Feb 24, 2018
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    Globalen LLC (2018). United Kingdom Economic growth forecast - data, chart | TheGlobalEconomy.com [Dataset]. www.theglobaleconomy.com/United-Kingdom/gdp_growth_outlook_imf/
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    excel, csv, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 24, 2018
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Globalen LLC
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 31, 1980 - Dec 31, 2030
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The United Kingdom: Economic growth forecast: The latest value from 2030 is 1.44 percent, unchanged from 1.44 percent in 2029. In comparison, the world average is 3.25 percent, based on data from 182 countries. Historically, the average for the United Kingdom from 1980 to 2030 is 1.91 percent. The minimum value, -10.3 percent, was reached in 2020 while the maximum of 8.58 percent was recorded in 2021.

  12. T

    United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 15, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/gdp-growth
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    excel, json, csv, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 15, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 30, 1955 - Mar 31, 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United Kingdom expanded 0.70 percent in the first quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  13. Forecast: Exports of ICT Services in the UK 2023 - 2027

    • reportlinker.com
    Updated Apr 9, 2024
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    ReportLinker (2024). Forecast: Exports of ICT Services in the UK 2023 - 2027 [Dataset]. https://www.reportlinker.com/dataset/ada234fe079f87c68ce1ccf7c3c004e4cb1d89a2
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 9, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    Reportlinker
    Authors
    ReportLinker
    License

    Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 (CC BY-NC 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Forecast: Exports of ICT Services in the UK 2023 - 2027 Discover more data with ReportLinker!

  14. Return on investment forecast for standard retail in the UK 2025-2029

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Return on investment forecast for standard retail in the UK 2025-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1474854/rental-value-growth-of-standard-retail-in-the-uk/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Rental rates for standard retail in the United Kingdom are forecast to see an annualized growth of *** percent in the period between 2025 and 2029, according to a May 2025 forecast. Rents are expected to grow the fastest in 2025, at *** percent. Over the five-year period, standard retail was forecast to generate an annualized total return of *** percent. That was lower than the average return on investment for all commercial property types in the UK.

  15. Forecast: ICT Industry Share in GDP in the UK 2024 - 2028

    • reportlinker.com
    Updated Apr 11, 2024
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    ReportLinker (2024). Forecast: ICT Industry Share in GDP in the UK 2024 - 2028 [Dataset]. https://www.reportlinker.com/dataset/0372081aadb1453f64d8818d74dc0f57f3eb5f9c
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 11, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    Reportlinker
    Authors
    ReportLinker
    License

    Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 (CC BY-NC 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Forecast: ICT Industry Share in GDP in the UK 2024 - 2028 Discover more data with ReportLinker!

  16. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in the United Kingdom 2030

    • statista.com
    Updated May 20, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in the United Kingdom 2030 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/263613/gross-domestic-product-gdp-growth-rate-in-the-united-kingdom/
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    Dataset updated
    May 20, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The statistic shows the growth rate in the real GDP in the United Kingdom from 2020 to 2024, with projections up until 2030. In 2024, the rate of GDP growth in the United Kingdom was at around 1.1 percent compared to the previous year.The economy of the United KingdomGDP is used an indicator as to the shape of a national economy. It is one of the most regularly called upon measurements regarding the economic fitness of a country. GDP is the total market value of all final goods and services that have been produced in a country within a given period of time, usually a year. Inflation adjusted real GDP figures serve as an even more telling indication of a country’s economic state in that they act as a more reliable and clear tool as to a nation’s economic health. The gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in the United Kingdom has started to level in recent years after taking a huge body blow in the financial collapse of 2008. The UK managed to rise from the state of dark desperation it was in between 2009 and 2010, from -3.97 to 1.8 percent. The country suffered acutely from the collapse of the banking industry, raising a number of questions within the UK with regards to the country’s heavy reliance on revenues coming from London's financial sector, arguably the most important in the world and one of the globe’s financial command centers. Since the collapse of the post-war consensus and the rise of Thatcherism, the United Kingdom has been swept along in a wave of individualism - collective ideals have been abandoned and the mass privatisation of the heavy industries was unveiled - opening them up to market competition and shifting the economic focus to that of service.The Big Bang policy, one of the cornerstones of the Thatcher government programs of reform, involved mass and sudden deregulation of financial markets. This led to huge changes in the way the financial markets in London work, and saw the many old firms being absorbed by big banks. This, one could argue, strengthened the UK financial sector greatly and while frivolous and dangerous practices brought the sector into great disrepute, the city of London alone brings in around one fifth of the countries national income making it a very prominent contributor to wealth in the UK.

  17. Forecast: Value Added of IT Services in the UK 2022 - 2026

    • reportlinker.com
    Updated Apr 7, 2024
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    ReportLinker (2024). Forecast: Value Added of IT Services in the UK 2022 - 2026 [Dataset]. https://www.reportlinker.com/dataset/6eafd7cfbe760abd1480a02a037246c2dff4cab6
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 7, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    Reportlinker
    Authors
    ReportLinker
    License

    Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 (CC BY-NC 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Forecast: Value Added of IT Services in the UK 2022 - 2026 Discover more data with ReportLinker!

  18. Annual unemployment rate in the UK 2019-2029

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Annual unemployment rate in the UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/374800/unemployment-rate-forecast/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2025, the annual unemployment rate of the United Kingdom is expected to be *** percent, compared with *** percent in 2024. Unemployment is forecast to fall to *** percent in 2026, gradually declining to *** percent by 2028. In the UK's last government budget in October 2024, the country's unemployment rate for 2025 was forecast to average out at *** percent, but this was increased to *** percent in the "Spring Statement" on public finances in March 2025. Uptick in unemployment after falling to historic lows A common indicator of an economy’s relative health, the unemployment rate in the UK generally fell throughout most of the 2010s, after reaching *** percent in late 2011. After a sudden increase in unemployment during the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a steep decline that lasted until August 2022, when the unemployment rate was just *** percent. There was then a rise in unemployment from 2023 onwards, which continued throughout 2024 and into 2025. This has been matched by a fall in UK job vacancies, which peaked at *** million in May 2022, but has been falling in most months since then, with approximately ******* vacancies in February 2025. Revisions to GDP and inflation for 2025 Since the global financial crisis of the late 2000s, and especially since the COVID-19 pandemic, the UK's economic growth has been poor, with the UK alternating between weak growth and slight contractions. For 2025, the UK economy is set to grow by just *** percent, a downgrade from *** percent predicted in late 2024. Inflation, which skyrocketed from late 2021 onwards, reached a peak of **** percent in October 2022, and although down to more usual levels by 2024, is expected to rise in 2025, reaching around *** percent by the second half of the year.

  19. Forecast for the number of users in the eServices market by segment in the...

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jul 10, 2025
    + more versions
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    Statista (2025). Forecast for the number of users in the eServices market by segment in the UK 2030 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/forecasts/513968/eservices-online-users-by-segment-in-the-united-kingdom
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 10, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Over the last two observations, the number of users is forecast to significantly increase in all segments. Comparing the three different segments for the year 2030, the segment 'Event Tickets' leads the ranking with ***** million users. Contrastingly, 'Dating Services' is ranked last, with **** million users. Their difference, compared to Event Tickets, lies at ***** million users. Find other insights concerning similiar markets and segments, such as a comparison of revenue in the United States and a comparison of number of users worldwide.

  20. CPI annual inflation rate UK 2019-2029

    • statista.com
    Updated Mar 28, 2025
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    Statista (2025). CPI annual inflation rate UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/306720/cpi-rate-forecast-uk/
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    Dataset updated
    Mar 28, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2024, the annual inflation rate for the United Kingdom was 2.5 percent, with the average rate for 2025 predicted to rise to 3.2 percent, revised upwards from an earlier prediction of 2.6 percent. The UK has only recently recovered from a period of elevated inflation, which saw the CPI rate reach 9.1 percent in 2022, and 7.3 percent in 2023. Despite an uptick in inflation expected in 2025, the inflation rate is expected to fall to 2.1 percent in 2026, and two percent between 2027 and 2029. UK inflation crisis Between 2021 and 2023, inflation surged in the UK, reaching a 41-year-high of 11.1 percent in October 2022. Although inflation fell to more usual levels by 2024, prices in the UK had already increased by over 20 percent relative to the start of the crisis. The two main drivers of price increases during this time were food and energy inflation, two of the main spending areas of UK households. Although food and energy prices came down quite sharply in 2023, underlying core inflation, which measures prices rises without food and energy, remained slightly above the headline inflation rate throughout 2024, suggesting some aspects of inflation had become embedded in the UK economy. Inflation rises across in the world in 2022 The UK was not alone in suffering from runaway inflation over the last few years. From late 2021 onwards, various factors converged to encourage a global acceleration of prices, leading to the ongoing inflation crisis. Blocked-up supply chains were one of the main factors as the world emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic. This was followed by energy and food inflation skyrocketing after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Central bank interest rates were raised globally in response to the problem, possibly putting an end to the era of cheap money that has defined monetary policy since the financial crash of 2008.

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HM Treasury (2024). Database of forecasts for the UK economy [Dataset]. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/database-of-forecasts-for-the-uk-economy
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Database of forecasts for the UK economy

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2 scholarly articles cite this dataset (View in Google Scholar)
Dataset updated
Apr 17, 2024
Dataset provided by
GOV.UKhttp://gov.uk/
Authors
HM Treasury
Area covered
United Kingdom
Description

Each month we publish independent forecasts of key economic and fiscal indicators for the UK economy. Forecasts before 2010 are hosted by The National Archives.

We began publishing comparisons of independent forecasts in 1986. The first database brings together selected variables from those publications, averaged across forecasters. It includes series for Gross Domestic Product, the Consumer Prices Index, the Retail Prices Index, the Retail Prices Index excluding mortgage interest payments, Public Sector Net Borrowing and the Claimant Count. Our second database contains time series of independent forecasts for GDP growth, private consumption, government consumption, fixed investment, domestic demand and net trade, for 26 forecasters with at least 10 years’ worth of submissions since 2010.

We’d welcome feedback on how you find the database and any extra information that you’d like to see included. Email your comments to Carter.Adams@hmtreasury.gov.uk.

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