UK Gas decreased 26.27 GBp/Thm or 20.95% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. UK Natural Gas - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

The National Balancing Point (NBP), the UK's natural gas benchmark, amounted to 100.9 British pence per therm on March 17, 2025, for contracts with delivery in April. A month prior, prices had reached a 2-year-high amid colder weather and storage concerns. Prices are generally higher in the winter months due to greater gas heating demand, especially in weeks of colder weather. The UK NBP, along with the Dutch TTF, serve as benchmarks for natural gas prices in Europe. Impact on consumer prices and household expenditure post-2022 Fluctuations in wholesale natural gas prices often have immediate impacts on UK consumers. In 2023, the consumer price index for gas in the UK rose to 195 index points, using 2015 as the base year. This increase has translated into higher household expenditure on gas, which reached approximately 24.89 billion British pounds in 2023. This figure represents a 23 percent increase from the previous year and a staggering 91 percent rise compared to two years earlier, highlighting the growing financial burden on UK households. Consumption patterns and supply challenges The residential and commercial sector remain the largest consumers of natural gas in the UK, using an estimated 40.7 billion cubic meters in 2023. This was followed by the power sector, which consumed about 15 billion cubic meters. The UK's reliance on gas imports has grown due to declining domestic production. This shift has led to an increased dependence on liquefied natural gas imports and pipeline inflows to meet demand.

The average gas price in Great Britain in January 2025 was 123.02 British pence per therm. This was 50 pence higher than the same month the year prior and follows a trend of increasing gas prices. Energy prices in the UK Energy prices in the UK were exceptionally high in 2021-2022 due to an energy supply shortage as a result of lower pipeline supplies from Norway and Russia, as well as reduced LNG imports owing to greater purchases by customers in Asia. Multiple factors such as a lack of gas storage availability and the large share of gas in heating have exacerbated the supply issue in the UK. This led to multiple suppliers announcing bankruptcy, while an upped price cap threatened energy security of numerous households. The United Kingdom has some of the highest household electricity prices worldwide. How is gas used in the UK? According to a 2023 survey conducted by the UK Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, 58 percent of respondents used gas as a heating method during the winter months. On average, household expenditure on energy from gas in the UK stood at some 24.9 billion British pounds in 2023.

The price of gas in the United Kingdom was 106 British pence per therm in the fourth quarter of 2024. It is anticipated gas prices will increase to 131 pence in the second quarter of 2025 before gradually falling to just under 80 pence by the second quarter of 2027.
Surging energy costs and the cost of living crisis At the height of the UK's recent cost of living crisis in 2022, approximately 91 percent of UK households were experiencing rising prices compared with the previous month. It was during 2022 that the UK's CPI inflation rate reached a peak of 11.1 percent, in October of that year. Food and energy, in particular, were the main drivers of inflation during this period, with energy inflation reaching 26.6 percent, and food prices increasing by 18.2 percent at the height of the crisis. Global Inflation Crisis The UK was not alone in suffering rapid inflation during this time period, with several countries across the world experiencing an inflation crisis. The roots of the crisis began as the global economy gradually emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021. Blocked-up supply chains, struggled to recover as quickly as consumer demand, with food and energy prices also facing upward pressure. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 led to Europe gradually weening itself of cheap Russian energy exports, while for several months Ukraine struggled to export crucial food supplies to the rest of the World.

The average monthly price for natural gas in the United States amounted to 3.02 nominal U.S. dollars per million British thermal units (Btu) in December 2024. By contrast, natural gas prices in Europe were about four times higher than those in the U.S. Prices for Europe tend to be notably higher than those in the U.S. as the latter benefits from being a major hydrocarbon producer. Europe's import reliance European prices for natural gas rose most notable throughout the second half of 2021 and much of 2022, peaking at over 70 U.S. dollars per million Btu in August 2022. The sharp rise was due to supply chain issues and economic strain following the COVID-19 pandemic, which was further exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022. As a result of the war, many countries began looking for alternative sources, and Russian pipeline gas imports to the European Union declined as a result. Meanwhile, LNG was a great beneficiary, with LNG demand in Europe rising by more than 60 percent between 2021 and 2023. How domestic natural gas production shapes prices As intimated, the United States’ position among the leaders of worldwide natural gas production is one of the main reasons for why prices for this commodity are so low across the country. In 2023, the U.S. produced more than one trillion cubic meters of natural gas, which allays domestic demand and allows for far lower purchasing prices.

Natural gas increased 0.21 USD/MMBtu or 5.84% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Natural gas - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

TTF Gas decreased 8.92 EUR/MWh or 17.69% since the beginning of 2025, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. EU Natural Gas TTF - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on March of 2025.

United Kingdom BOE Forecast: Gas Prices data was reported at 60.000 0.01 GBP/Therm in 2021. This records a decrease from the previous number of 61.000 0.01 GBP/Therm for 2020. United Kingdom BOE Forecast: Gas Prices data is updated yearly, averaging 56.500 0.01 GBP/Therm from Dec 2014 (Median) to 2021, with 8 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 71.000 0.01 GBP/Therm in 2018 and a record low of 37.000 0.01 GBP/Therm in 2015. United Kingdom BOE Forecast: Gas Prices data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of England. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.P009: Crude Oil and Gas Prices: Forecast.

British gas price is expected to continuously increase until 2035, when prices are forecasted to stabilize. In 2035, low, central and high are expected to reach 43, 64 and 88 British pence per therm, respectively.

The high, central and low projections are used by Her Majesty's Government for policy appraisal and modeling work. Gas prices are influenced by a number of external factors, including new projects in places such as Australia, weather conditions affecting demand, and the price of oil relative to gas.

UK oil and gas production has diminished over the past decade because old oil fields have matured, and developing new commercially viable sources has become increasingly challenging. To combat this, extractors have pooled their resources and formed partnerships to enhance efficiency, while some have benefitted from previous investments in fields coming onstream. Oil and gas extracting companies also have reaped the rewards of an upsurge in global prices through 2022-23, leading to sharp revenue growth. However, this quickly turned around in 2023-24, with most major companies’ revenue nosediving along with oil prices. Revenue is expected to expand at a compound annual rate of 3.4% over the five years through 2024-25 to just over £33 billion. This includes a forecast hike of 5.3% in 2024-25; however, profit is slated to inch downward over the year as global oil and gas prices remain somewhat flat in the second half of 2024-25. The industry's performance is greatly affected by world oil and gas prices, with supply cuts put into place by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and global tensions resulting in price peaks and troughs. In October 2022, OPEC instituted a supply cut of two million barrels of crude oil per day, driving Brent Crude Oil prices up to US$110 (£87.80) per barrel, which has been extended until March 2025, with a ramping up period through September 2025. The sanctions on Russian oil and gas imports because of the Russia-Ukraine conflict add further impetus to prices. The EU has banned imports of Russian-made oil and gas, providing opportunities for UK exporters. Crude oil prices remain high, but significant oil production from non-OPEC countries threatening a glut in the oil market and a significant dip in global demand (especially from China) have made oil prices tumble sharply since July 2024. Despite mounting tensions in the Middle East having the potential to cut oil supply from the region, the ongoing political tensions have yet to significantly impact global prices, with prices hiking up around 10% in the month to October 2024, but remaining relatively low. Oil and gas prices are likely to continue inching downwards in the coming years as America is forecast to continue ramping up the global oil and gas supply. This, along with an expected reduction in global demand for oil and gas in the long term, will limit growth. The UK government will implement policies to create a more favourable environment for extractors and further investment in the North Sea to improve UK energy security. However, the depletion of natural resources, the expensive cost of extraction, low gas and oil prices and the global energy transition will threaten the industry's long-term viability. The government announced a delay to the ban on the sale of new petrol and diesel cars, along with the relaxation of some net-zero policies in September 2023, which should keep fossil fuel explorers afloat for longer. Revenue is forecast to rise at a compound annual rate of 3.4% over the five years through 2029-30 to just over £39 billion.

Graph and download economic data for Global price of Natural gas, EU (PNGASEUUSDM) from Jan 1990 to Feb 2025 about EU, gas, World, Europe, and price.

Wholesale price for natural gas in the United Kingdom is projected to rise from 47 to 64 British pence per therm between 2020 and 2035, respectively. Figures are expected to remain at 64 British pence per therm in 2040.

The price of gas in the United Kingdom was 0.99 British pounds pence per therm in 2023/24. While prices are expected to remain quite high, it is anticipated they will fall to slightly lower levels by 2024/25. Combined household expenditure on energy derived from gas reached 19.5 billion British pounds in 2022. Before 2022 spending had seen only slight fluctuations, with the most prominent being a jump to 16.7 billion British pounds in 2013. That year corresponds with supply problems from a Norwegian plant – the UK’s lead exporter – and below-average winter temperatures across the country. Surging energy costs and the cost of living crisis At the height of the UK's recent cost of living crisis in 2022, approximately 91 percent of UK households were experiencing rising prices compared with the previous month. It was during 2022 that the UK's CPI inflation rate reached a peak of 11.1 percent, in October of that year. Food and energy, in particular, were the main drivers of inflation during this period, with energy inflation reaching 26.6 percent, and food prices increasing by 18.2 percent at the height of the crisis. Global Inflation Crisis The UK was not alone in suffering rapid inflation during this time period, with several countries across the world experiencing an inflation crisis. The roots of the crisis began as the global economy gradually emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021. Blocked-up supply chains, struggled to recover as quickly as consumer demand, with food and energy prices also facing upward pressure. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 led to Europe gradually weening itself of cheap Russian energy exports, while for several months Ukraine struggled to export crucial food supplies to the rest of the World.

This report is a contribution to the Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA3) conducted by the Department of Trade and Industry (now Department of Energy and Climate Change). This study provides forecast information on probable activity levels, capital expenditure, tax revenues and employment resulting from exploration and production in the SEA3 area. The SEA3 area comprises 330 blocks or part blocks in the Central and Southern North Sea. Estimates were made of the reserves which might be discovered or developed. A cautious view was taken of the number of new developments which might emanate from licensing the area. The related exploration, appraisal, development and decommissioning costs were then estimated. Economic modelling was undertaken for different oil and gas prices to calculate for each development gross revenues, development costs, operating costs, and decommissioning costs. The taxation implications were also calculated. The impact of licensing the SEA3 area on the level of employment in the UK has been calculated. The proposed licensing would make a modest but worthwhile contribution towards moderating the downward trend of employment in the North Sea industry.

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Naphtha Market Size 2025-2029

The naphtha market size is forecast to increase by USD 47.1 billion at a CAGR of 3.8% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is witnessing significant growth due to the increasing demand for naphtha In the petrochemical industry. The petrochemical sector is experiencing an increase in demand for naphtha as it is a crucial feedstock for the production of various chemicals such as polyethylene and polypropylene. Moreover, the investment In the extraction of naphtha is on the rise, which is further boosting the market growth. Naphtha's role extends to fuel applications, such as LPG, and non-fuel uses, like rubber production, oils, edible fats, personal care products, and synthetic rubber.
However, the market is also facing challenges due to stringent regulations on the usage of naphtha. Governments and regulatory bodies are imposing strict norms to reduce the environmental impact of naphtha usage. These regulations are expected to impact the market growth In the coming years. Overall, the market is poised for steady growth, driven by the increasing demand from the petrochemical industry and investment in extraction, while facing challenges due to regulatory hurdles.

What will be the Size of the Naphtha Market During the Forecast Period?

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The market is experiencing dynamic shifts In the post-pandemic period, with economies recovering and industries resuming operations. This medium-term outlook brings both opportunities and challenges for market participants. Naphtha, a versatile petrochemical feedstock, is integral to various industries, including fertilizers, additives, and polymers. Budgeting and investments In these sectors will be crucial as raw material prices continue to exhibit volatility. The shift in trends towards cheaper alternatives, such as propane, may impact naphtha's demand. In the long term, the implications of this shift could significantly alter the market landscape.
Moreover, industries relying on naphtha as a raw material or feedstock must closely monitor these trends and adapt accordingly. Factors like economic conditions, technological advancements, and regulatory changes will continue to influence the market. As the market evolves, stakeholders must remain agile and prepared for the future.

How is this Naphtha Industry segmented and which is the largest segment?

The naphtha industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Type

  Heavy naphtha
  Light naphtha


Application

  Chemicals
  Energy/fuel
  Others


Geography

  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan
    South Korea


  North America

    Canada
    US


  Europe

    Germany
    UK


  Middle East and Africa



  South America

    Brazil

By Type Insights

The heavy naphtha segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Heavy naphtha, a key component of the market, has experienced significant demand due to its versatile applications. In the medium term, heavy naphtha has emerged as a crucial feedstock for petrochemical production, contributing to the manufacture of various products such as plastics, synthetic rubbers, and resins. Additionally, it plays a pivotal role In the production of gasoline and other fuel products. The increasing preference for shale gas has driven the demand for heavy naphtha as a diluent for crude oil transportation. The petrochemical sector, particularly in emerging and industrialized economies, is witnessing capacity expansions, leading to increased demand for heavy naphtha.

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The heavy naphtha segment was valued at USD 132.60 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

APAC is estimated to contribute 40% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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Naphtha, a versatile commodity used as a feedstock in various industries, experiences increasing demand due to economic expansion and industrial growth, particularly In the Asia Pacific (APAC) region. The petrochemical sector, a major consumer of naphtha, is witnessing significant expansion in APAC, driven by the production of essential applications such as plastics, solvents, and synthetic fibers. Key industries, including coatings, power plants, steel plants, fertilizer units, paint applications, and capacity expansions, rely on naphtha as a critical input. The medium-term implications of these trends include potent

Wholesale electricity prices in the United Kingdom hit a record-high in 2022, reaching 21.7 British pence per kilowatt-hour that year. Projections indicate that prices are bound to decrease steadily in the next few years, falling under five pence per kilowatt-hour by 2030.

Wholesale electricity prices in the European Union (EU) increased in 2024 after recovering from the global energy crisis in 2023. This was the result of a myriad of factors, including increased demand in the “post-pandemic” economic recovery, a rise in natural gas and coal prices, and a decline in renewable power generation due to low wind speeds and drought. Nuclear power's critical role In 2023, nuclear and wind were among the leading sources of electricity generation in the EU, accounting for more than one-third of the output. Nuclear energy continues to play a crucial role in the European Union's electricity mix, generating approximately 619 terawatt-hours in 2023, which accounted for about 20 percent of the region's power production. However, the future of nuclear power in Europe is uncertain, with some countries like Germany phasing out their nuclear plants while others maintain their reliance on this energy source. The varied approaches to nuclear power across EU member states contribute to the differences in electricity prices and supply stability throughout the region.

Renewable energy's growing impact As Europe strives to decarbonize its energy sector, renewable sources are gaining prominence. Wind power in Europe, in particular, has seen significant growth, with installed capacity in Europe reaching 257.1 gigawatt hours in 2023. This expansion of renewable energy infrastructure is gradually reshaping the electricity market, potentially leading to more stable prices in the long term. However, the intermittent nature of some renewable sources, such as wind and solar, can still contribute to price fluctuations, especially during periods of low output.

As of February 2025, the average annual price of Brent crude oil stood at 77.36 U.S. dollars per barrel. This is some three U.S. dollars lower than the 2024 average. Brent is the world's leading price benchmark for Atlantic basin crude oils. Crude oil is one of the most closely observed commodity prices as it influences costs across all stages of the production process and consequently alters the price of consumer goods as well. What determines crude oil benchmarks? In the past decade, crude oil prices have been especially volatile. Their inherent inelasticity regarding short-term changes in demand and supply means that oil prices are erratic by nature. However, since the 2009 financial crisis, many commercial developments have greatly contributed to price volatility; such as economic growth by BRIC countries like China and India, and the advent of hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling in the U.S. The outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are examples of geopolitical events dictating prices. Light crude oils - Brent and WTI Brent Crude is considered a classification of sweet light crude oil and acts as a benchmark price for oil around the world. It is considered a sweet light crude oil due to its low sulfur content and a low density and may be easily refined into gasoline. This oil originates in the North Sea and comprises several different oil blends, including Brent Blend and Ekofisk crude. Often, this crude oil is refined in Northwest Europe. Another sweet light oil often referenced alongside UK Brent is West Texas Intermediate (WTI). WTI oil prices amounted to 76.55 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2024.