The economy of the United Kingdom is expected to fall by ** percent in the second quarter of 2020, following the Coronavirus outbreak and closure of several businesses. According to the forecast the economy will bounce back in the third quarter of 2020, based on a scenario where the lockdown lasts for three months, with social distancing gradually phased out over a subsequent three-month period.

The economy of the United Kingdom shrank by 0.1 percent in May 2025, after shrinking by 0.3 percent in April 2025. As of the most recent month, the UK economy is around 4.4 percent larger than it was in February 2020, just before the start of COVID-19 lockdowns. After a record 19.6 percent decline in GDP in April 2020, the UK economy quickly returned to growth in the following months, and grew through most of 2021. Cost of living crisis lingers into 2025 As of December 2024, just over half of people in the UK reported that their cost of living was higher than it was in the previous month. Although this is a decline from the peak of the crisis in 2022 when over 90 percent of people reported a higher cost of living, households are evidently still under severe pressure. While wage growth has outpaced inflation since July 2023, overall consumer prices were 20 percent higher in late 2024 than they were in late 2021. For food and energy, which lower income households spend more on, late 2024 prices were almost 30 percent higher when compared with late 2021. According to recent estimates, living standards, as measured by changes in disposable income fell by 2.1 percent in 2022/23, but did start to grow again in 2023/24. Late 2023 recession followed by growth in 2024 In December 2023, the UK economy was approximately the same size as it was a year earlier, and struggled to achieve modest growth throughout that year. Going into 2023, a surge in energy costs, as well as high interest rates, created an unfavorable environment for UK consumers and businesses. The inflationary pressures that drove these problems did start to subside, however, with inflation falling to 3.9 percent in November 2023, down from a peak of 11.1 percent in October 2022. Although relatively strong economic growth occurred in the first half of 2024, with GDP growing by 0.7 percent, and 0.4 percent in the first two quarters of the year, zero growth was reported in the third quarter of the year. Long-term issues, such as low business investment, weak productivity growth, and regional inequality, will likely continue to hamper the economy going forward.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United Kingdom expanded 0.30 percent in the second quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

In 2024, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom grew by *** percent and is expected to grow by just *** percent in 2025 and by *** percent in 2026. Growth is expected to slow down to *** percent in 2027, and then grow by ***, and *** percent in 2027 and 2028 respectively. The sudden emergence of COVID-19 in 2020 and subsequent closure of large parts of the economy were the cause of the huge *** percent contraction in 2020, with the economy recovering somewhat in 2021, when the economy grew by *** percent. UK growth downgraded in 2025 Although the economy is still expected to grow in 2025, the *** percent growth anticipated in this forecast has been halved from *** percent in October 2024. Increased geopolitical uncertainty as well as the impact of American tariffs on the global economy are some of the main reasons for this mark down. The UK's inflation rate for 2025 has also been revised, with an annual rate of *** percent predicated, up from *** percent in the last forecast. Unemployment is also anticipated to be higher than initially thought, with the annual unemployment rate likely to be *** percent instead of *** percent. Long-term growth problems In the last two quarters of 2023, the UK economy shrank by *** percent in Q3 and by *** percent in Q4, plunging the UK into recession for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic. Even before that last recession, however, the UK economy has been struggling with weak growth. Although growth since the pandemic has been noticeably sluggish, there has been a clear long-term trend of declining growth rates. The economy has consistently been seen as one of the most important issues to people in Britain, ahead of health, immigration and the environment. Achieving strong levels of economic growth is one of the main aims of the Labour government elected in 2024, although after almost one year in power it has so far proven elusive.

Key information about United Kingdom Real GDP Growth

• The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in United Kingdom expanded 0.4 % YoY in Dec 2022, following a growth of 1.9 % in the previous quarter.
• Real GDP Growth YoY data in UK is updated quarterly, available from Mar 1956 to Dec 2022, with an average rate of 2.2 %.
• The data reached an all-time high of 24.4 % in Jun 2021 and a record low of -22.6 % in Jun 2020.

• In the latest reports, Nominal GDP of UK reached 744.4 USD bn in Dec 2022.
• Its GDP deflator (implicit price deflator) increased 6.6 % in Dec 2022.
• GDP Per Capita in UK reached 46,373.9 USD in Dec 2021.
• Its Gross Savings Rate was measured at 16.3 % in Sep 2022.
• For Nominal GDP contributions, Investment accounted for 16.7 % in Sep 2022.
• Public Consumption accounted for 20.8 % in Sep 2022.
• Private Consumption accounted for 62.9 % in Sep 2022.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United Kingdom expanded 1.20 percent in the second quarter of 2025 over the same quarter of the previous year. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP Annual Growth Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United Kingdom was worth 3643.83 billion US dollars in 2024, according to official data from the World Bank. The GDP value of the United Kingdom represents 3.43 percent of the world economy. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The United Kingdom's economy grew by 1.1 percent in 2024, after a growth rate of 0.4 percent in 2023, 4.8 percent in 2022, 8.6 percent in 2021, and a record 10.3 percent fall in 2020. During the provided time period, the biggest annual fall in gross domestic product before 2020 occurred in 2009, when the UK economy contracted by 4.6 percent at the height of the global financial crisis of the late 2000s. Before 2021, the year with the highest annual GDP growth rate was 1973, when the UK economy grew by 6.5 percent. UK economy growing but GDP per capita falling In 2022, the UK's GDP per capita amounted to approximately 37,371 pounds, with this falling to 37,028 pounds in 2023, and 36,977 pounds in 2024. While the UK economy as a whole grew during this time, the UK's population grew at a faster rate, resulting in the negative growth in GDP per capita. This suggests the UK economy's struggles with productivity are not only stagnating, but getting worse. The relatively poor economic performance of the UK in recent years has not gone unnoticed by the electorate, with the economy consistently seen as the most important issue for voters since 2022. Recent shocks to UK economy In the second quarter of 2020, the UK economy shrank by a record 20.3 percent at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. Although there was a relatively swift economic recovery initially, the economy has struggled to grow much beyond its pre-pandemic size, and was only around 3.1 percent larger in December 2024, when compared with December 2019. Although the labor market has generally been quite resilient during this time, a long twenty-month period between 2021 and 2023 saw prices rise faster than wages, and inflation surge to a high of 11.1 percent in October 2022.

Economic Activity Index in the United Kingdom decreased to 6.90 percent in August from 8.80 percent in July of 2021. This dataset provides - United Kingdom GDP YoY- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Key information about UK GDP Deflator Growth

• United Kingdom GDP deflator (implicit price deflator) increased 6.6 % in Dec 2022, compared with an increase of 6.4 % in the previous quarter.
• UK GDP Deflator Growth data is updated quarterly, available from Mar 1956 to Dec 2022, with an average rate of 3.7 %.
• The data reached an all-time high of 27.6 % in Jun 1975 and a record low of -5.0 % in Jun 2021.

• In the latest reports, United Kingdom GDP expanded 0.4 % YoY in Dec 2022.
• Its Nominal GDP reached 744.4 USD bn in Dec 2022.
• UK GDP Per Capita reached 46,373.9 USD in Dec 2021.
• Its Gross Savings Rate was measured at 16.3 % in Sep 2022.

Across the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the European Union, gross domestic products (GDP) decreased in 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, by 2021, growth rates were positive in all four areas again. The United Kingdom, Germany, and the European Union all experiencing slow economic growth in 2023 amid high inflation, with Germany even seeing an economic recession. GDP and its components GDP refers to the total market value of all goods and services that are produced within a country per year. It is composed of government spending, consumption, business investments and net exports. It is an important indicator to measure the economic strength of a country. Economists rely on a variety of factors when predicting the future performance of the GDP. Inflation rate is one of the economic indicators providing insight into the future behavior of households, which make up a significant proportion of GDP. Projections are based on the past performance of such information. Future considerations Some factors can be more easily predicted than others. For example, projections of the annual inflation rate of the United States are easy to come by. However, the intensity and impact of something like Brexit is difficult to predict. Moreover, the occurrence and impact of events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's war in Ukraine is difficult to foresee. Hence, actual GDP growth may be higher or lower than the original estimates.

The UK economy grew by 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2025, compared with 0.7 percent growth in the previous quarter. After ending 2023 in recession, the UK economy grew strongly in the first half of 2024, growing by 0.9 percent in Q1, and 0.5 percent in Q2, with growth slowing in the second half of the year. In the third quarter of 2020 the UK experienced record setting growth of 16.8 percent, which itself followed the record 20.3 percent contraction in Q2 2020. Growing economy key to Labour's plans Since winning the 2024 general election, the UK's Labour Party have seen their popularity fall substantially. In February 2025, the government's approval rating fell to a low of -54 percent, making them almost as disliked as the Conservatives just before the last election. A string of unpopular policies since taking office have taken a heavy toll on support for the government. Labour hope they can reverse their declining popularity by growing the economy, which has underperformed for several years, and when measured in GDP per capita, fell in 2023, and 2024. Steady labor market trends set to continue? After a robust 2022, the UK labor market remained resilient throughout 2023 and 2024. The unemployment rate at the end of 2024 was 4.4 percent, up from four percent at the start of the year, but still one of the lowest rates on record. While the average number of job vacancies has been falling since a May 2022 peak, there was a slight increase in January 2025 when compared with the previous month. The more concerning aspect of the labor market, from the government's perspective, are the high levels of economic inactivity due to long-term sickness, which reached a peak of 2.84 million in late 2023, and remained at high levels throughout 2024.

The United Kingdom: Economic growth forecast: The latest value from 2030 is 1.44 percent, unchanged from 1.44 percent in 2029. In comparison, the world average is 3.25 percent, based on data from 182 countries. Historically, the average for the United Kingdom from 1980 to 2030 is 1.91 percent. The minimum value, -10.3 percent, was reached in 2020 while the maximum of 8.58 percent was recorded in 2021.

BOE Forecast: Business Investment: as % of GDP data was reported at 9.250 % in 2021. This records an increase from the previous number of 9.000 % for 2020. BOE Forecast: Business Investment: as % of GDP data is updated yearly, averaging 9.250 % from Dec 2014 (Median) to 2021, with 8 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 10.500 % in 2014 and a record low of 9.000 % in 2020. BOE Forecast: Business Investment: as % of GDP data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of England. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.O028: Business Investment: as % of GDP: Forecast: Bank of England.

Key information about United Kingdom GDP Per Capita

• United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per Capita reached 46,373.940 USD in Dec 2021, compared with 40,340.010 USD in Dec 2020.
• UK GDP Per Capita data is updated yearly, available from Dec 1957 to Dec 2021, with an average number of 17,637.067 USD.
• The data reached an all-time high of 50,443.269 USD in Dec 2007 and a record low of 1,204.000 in Dec 1957.
• CEIC converts annual GDP per Capita into USD. Office for National Statistics provides GDP per Capita in local currency. Federal Reserve Board average market exchange rate is used for currency conversions. Seasonally adjusted auxiliary series is used since non-seasonally adjusted data is unavailable from the source.

• In the latest reports, UK GDP expanded 1.897 % YoY in Sep 2022.
• UK Nominal GDP reached 735.862 USD bn in Sep 2022.
• Its GDP deflator (implicit price deflator) increased 6.439 % in Sep 2022.
• Gross Savings Rate of UK was measured at 15.554 % in Sep 2022.

In the second quarter of 2025, the quarterly gross domestic product of the United Kingdom was approximately, 649 billion British pounds, compared with around 647 billion pounds in the previous quarter. The large dip in GDP that can be seen in the second quarter of 2020 saw the UK economy fall from 604.7 billion pounds to 481.8 billion, with more usual levels of output not recovering until well into 2021. The COVID-19 lockdowns enacted by the UK government at that time was the main reason for this large fall in GDP. Growth lagging as UK heads into 2025 After ending 2023 in recession, the UK economy started 2024 with the strongest quarterly GDP growth in several years, growing by 0.7 percent in the first quarter, and then by 0.4 percent in the second quarter. Economic growth in the second half of the year was, however, far less promising, with GDP flatlining in the third quarter, and monthly GDP shrinking by 0.1 percent in September and then again in October. Although GDP is still forecast to grow in 2025, the overall economic picture is precarious. In November, UK inflation rose to 2.6 percent, compared with just 1.7 percent in September, while the labor market continues to show signs of cooling after a period of high job vacancies and low unemployment. Labour pinning hopes on long-term growth After winning its first general election in 19 years in 2024, the Labour Government has seen its approval ratings plummet in its first few months in office. This shaky start is partly due to a government strategy of making unpopular decisions early in their tenure, which they hope will eventually encourage stable economic growth in the mid to long-term. By far the least popular policy was the withdrawal of winter fuel benefits for a significant number of pensioners, a cost-cutting measure deemed necessary due to the UK's vulnerable public finance position, with government debt at around 100 percent of GDP. A further measure introduced was a national insurance tax increase for employers, with almost half of UK firms citing increased taxes as their main external concern in Q3 2024. Avoiding any further tax rises or cuts to services will depend on if policies in other areas, such as planning reform, will kickstart the UK economy in time before the next election.

Between February and April 2021, the weekly gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate increased sharply in the United Kingdom. After April 2021, however, it started to decrease significantly, until July 2021. In the following period, the GDP maintained a relatively stable weekly growth rate, and increased to ***** percent at the beginning of 2022. From January 2022 onwards, it started a gradual decrease, and reached its lowest rate during December 2022. This was followed by a period of sharp fluctuations between January and April 2023.

Annual estimates of balanced UK regional gross domestic product (GDP). Current price estimates and chained volume measures for UK countries, ITL1, ITL2 and ITL3 regions.

Key information about United Kingdom Nominal GDP

• United Kingdom Nominal GDP reached 744.4 USD bn in Dec 2022, compared with 735.9 USD bn in the previous quarter.
• Nominal GDP in UK is updated quarterly, available from Mar 1957 to Dec 2022, with an average number of 265.5 USD bn.
• The data reached an all-time high of 812.6 USD bn in Mar 2022 and a record low of 15.1 USD bn in Mar 1957.

• In the latest reports, UK GDP expanded 0.4 % YoY in Dec 2022.
• Its GDP deflator (implicit price deflator) increased 6.6 % in Dec 2022.
• UK GDP Per Capita reached 46,373.9 USD in Dec 2021.
• Its Gross Savings Rate was measured at 16.3 % in Sep 2022.
• For Nominal GDP contributions, Investment accounted for 16.7 % in Sep 2022.
• Public Consumption accounted for 20.8 % in Sep 2022.
• Private Consumption accounted for 62.9 % in Sep 2022.