100+ datasets found
  1. GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 25, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/375195/gdp-growth-forecast-uk/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 25, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2024, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom grew by *** percent and is expected to grow by just *** percent in 2025 and by *** percent in 2026. Growth is expected to slow down to *** percent in 2027, and then grow by ***, and *** percent in 2027 and 2028 respectively. The sudden emergence of COVID-19 in 2020 and subsequent closure of large parts of the economy were the cause of the huge *** percent contraction in 2020, with the economy recovering somewhat in 2021, when the economy grew by *** percent. UK growth downgraded in 2025 Although the economy is still expected to grow in 2025, the *** percent growth anticipated in this forecast has been halved from *** percent in October 2024. Increased geopolitical uncertainty as well as the impact of American tariffs on the global economy are some of the main reasons for this mark down. The UK's inflation rate for 2025 has also been revised, with an annual rate of *** percent predicated, up from *** percent in the last forecast. Unemployment is also anticipated to be higher than initially thought, with the annual unemployment rate likely to be *** percent instead of *** percent. Long-term growth problems In the last two quarters of 2023, the UK economy shrank by *** percent in Q3 and by *** percent in Q4, plunging the UK into recession for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic. Even before that last recession, however, the UK economy has been struggling with weak growth. Although growth since the pandemic has been noticeably sluggish, there has been a clear long-term trend of declining growth rates. The economy has consistently been seen as one of the most important issues to people in Britain, ahead of health, immigration and the environment. Achieving strong levels of economic growth is one of the main aims of the Labour government elected in 2024, although after almost one year in power it has so far proven elusive.

  2. Database of forecasts for the UK economy

    • gov.uk
    • s3.amazonaws.com
    Updated Apr 17, 2024
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    HM Treasury (2024). Database of forecasts for the UK economy [Dataset]. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/database-of-forecasts-for-the-uk-economy
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 17, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    GOV.UKhttp://gov.uk/
    Authors
    HM Treasury
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Each month we publish independent forecasts of key economic and fiscal indicators for the UK economy. Forecasts before 2010 are hosted by The National Archives.

    We began publishing comparisons of independent forecasts in 1986. The first database brings together selected variables from those publications, averaged across forecasters. It includes series for Gross Domestic Product, the Consumer Prices Index, the Retail Prices Index, the Retail Prices Index excluding mortgage interest payments, Public Sector Net Borrowing and the Claimant Count. Our second database contains time series of independent forecasts for GDP growth, private consumption, government consumption, fixed investment, domestic demand and net trade, for 26 forecasters with at least 10 years’ worth of submissions since 2010.

    We’d welcome feedback on how you find the database and any extra information that you’d like to see included. Email your comments to Carter.Adams@hmtreasury.gov.uk.

  3. Gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom 2030 (in U.S. dollars)

    • statista.com
    Updated May 21, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom 2030 (in U.S. dollars) [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/263590/gross-domestic-product-gdp-of-the-united-kingdom/
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    Dataset updated
    May 21, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The statistic shows the GDP of the United Kingdom between 1987 and 2024, with projections up until 2030, in US dollars.Private-sector-led economic recoveryGDP is counted among the primary indicators that are used to gauge the state of health of a national economy. GDP is the total value of all completed goods and services that have been produced within a country in a given period of time, usually a year. GDP figures allow us to gain a broader understanding of a country’s economy in a clear way. Real GDP, in a similar way, is also a rather useful indicator; this is a measurement that takes prices changes (inflation and deflation) into account, thereby acting as a key indicator for economic growth.The gross domestic product of the United Kingdom is beginning to show signs of recovery since seeing a sharp decline in the wake of the financial crisis. The decreasing unemployment rate in the United Kingdom is also indicating that the worst could be over for the country. However, some concerns have arisen about what forms of employment are being represented, how stable the jobs are, and whether or not they are simply being cited by officials in government as validation for reforms that are criticized by opponents as being ‘ideologically motivated’. Whatever the political motivation, the coalition government’s efforts to let the private sector lead the economic recovery through increasing employment in the UK in the private sector appear, for now at least, to be working.

  4. GDP growth forecast: the Americas, U.S., UK and Germany 2010-2026*

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jul 4, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast: the Americas, U.S., UK and Germany 2010-2026* [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/369270/gdp-growth-forecast-the-americas-vs-major-economies/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 4, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Germany, Americas, United Kingdom, United States, Worldwide
    Description

    In 2023, the GDP of the United States increased by about *** percent compared to the previous year. This comes amid high inflation rates globally, and countries such as Argentina and Germany even experiencing economic decline. GDP refers to the total market value of all goods and services that are produced within a country per year. It is an important indicator to measure the economic strength of a country.

  5. Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2025

    • gov.uk
    Updated Mar 19, 2025
    + more versions
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    HM Treasury (2025). Forecasts for the UK economy: March 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/forecasts-for-the-uk-economy-march-2025
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    Dataset updated
    Mar 19, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    GOV.UKhttp://gov.uk/
    Authors
    HM Treasury
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Forecasts for the UK economy is a monthly comparison of independent forecasts.

    Please note that this is a summary of published material reflecting the views of the forecasting organisations themselves and does not in any way provide new information on the Treasury’s own views. It contains only a selection of forecasters, which is subject to review.

    No significance should be attached to the inclusion or exclusion of any particular forecasting organisation. HM Treasury accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of material published in this comparison.

    This month’s edition of the forecast comparison contains short-term forecasts for 2025 and 2026.

  6. T

    United Kingdom GDP

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • jp.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Feb 5, 2020
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2020). United Kingdom GDP [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/gdp
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    xml, excel, csv, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 5, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 31, 1960 - Dec 31, 2024
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United Kingdom was worth 3643.83 billion US dollars in 2024, according to official data from the World Bank. The GDP value of the United Kingdom represents 3.43 percent of the world economy. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  7. GDP – data tables

    • ons.gov.uk
    • cy.ons.gov.uk
    xlsx
    Updated Aug 14, 2025
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    Office for National Statistics (2025). GDP – data tables [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/datasets/uksecondestimateofgdpdatatables
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    xlsxAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 14, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Annual and quarterly data for UK gross domestic product (GDP) estimates, in chained volume measures and current market prices.

  8. T

    United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Aug 14, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/gdp-growth
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    excel, json, csv, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 14, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jun 30, 1955 - Jun 30, 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United Kingdom expanded 0.30 percent in the second quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP Growth Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  9. Forecast for GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment in the UK 2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Apr 2, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Forecast for GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment in the UK 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/578567/uk-headline-economic-forecasts/
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 2, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Oct 2024 - Mar 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2025, the UK economy is expected to grow by just one percent, according to the economic and fiscal outlook from March 2025. GDP growth has been downgraded from two percent when compared with the previous forecast from October 2024. The inflation rate is expected to average out at 3.2 percent, and the unemployment rate at 4.5 percent. Inflation distress continues for UK consumers The expected increase in UK inflation for 2025 looks set to peak at 3.7 percent in the third quarter of the year, before falling to two percent by early 2026. Though this spike in prices will be far less serious than in 2022, when UK inflation reached a peak of 11.1 percent in October 2022, UK households are still suffering from the impact of the previous crisis. In March 2025, approximately 59 percent of UK households were dealing with rising living costs, relative to the previous month, mainly due to rising energy and food costs. Unemployment set to rise in 2025 Aside from rising prices and a slowing economy, the UK will also have to contend with rising unemployment in 2025. As with inflation, however, the rise in unemployment is expected to be relatively mild and short-lived, especially when compared with previous periods of high unemployment. Recently, the government has been more concerned about high levels of economic inactivity, especially among young people, with the number of 16- to 24-year-olds not in employment, education, or training approaching one million towards the end of 2024.

  10. T

    United Kingdom GDP Annual Growth Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ru.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Aug 14, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). United Kingdom GDP Annual Growth Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/gdp-growth-annual
    Explore at:
    json, csv, excel, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 14, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 31, 1956 - Jun 30, 2025
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United Kingdom expanded 1.20 percent in the second quarter of 2025 over the same quarter of the previous year. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP Annual Growth Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  11. GDP growth forecast: European Union, U.S., U.K. and Germany 2010-2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 23, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast: European Union, U.S., U.K. and Germany 2010-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/369222/gdp-growth-forecast-western-europe-vs-major-economies/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jul 23, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Europe, United States
    Description

    Across the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and the European Union, gross domestic products (GDP) decreased in 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, by 2021, growth rates were positive in all four areas again. The United Kingdom, Germany, and the European Union all experiencing slow economic growth in 2023 amid high inflation, with Germany even seeing an economic recession. GDP and its components GDP refers to the total market value of all goods and services that are produced within a country per year. It is composed of government spending, consumption, business investments and net exports. It is an important indicator to measure the economic strength of a country. Economists rely on a variety of factors when predicting the future performance of the GDP. Inflation rate is one of the economic indicators providing insight into the future behavior of households, which make up a significant proportion of GDP. Projections are based on the past performance of such information. Future considerations Some factors can be more easily predicted than others. For example, projections of the annual inflation rate of the United States are easy to come by. However, the intensity and impact of something like Brexit is difficult to predict. Moreover, the occurrence and impact of events such as the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's war in Ukraine is difficult to foresee. Hence, actual GDP growth may be higher or lower than the original estimates.

  12. Regional gross domestic product: all ITL regions

    • ons.gov.uk
    • cy.ons.gov.uk
    xlsx
    Updated Apr 17, 2025
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    Office for National Statistics (2025). Regional gross domestic product: all ITL regions [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/datasets/regionalgrossdomesticproductallnutslevelregions
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    xlsxAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 17, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Annual estimates of balanced UK regional gross domestic product (GDP). Current price estimates and chained volume measures for UK countries, ITL1, ITL2 and ITL3 regions.

  13. U

    United Kingdom Real GDP Growth

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Feb 15, 2025
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    CEICdata.com (2025). United Kingdom Real GDP Growth [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/united-kingdom/real-gdp-growth
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 15, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 1, 2020 - Dec 1, 2022
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Variables measured
    Gross Domestic Product
    Description

    Key information about United Kingdom Real GDP Growth

    • The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in United Kingdom expanded 0.4 % YoY in Dec 2022, following a growth of 1.9 % in the previous quarter.
    • Real GDP Growth YoY data in UK is updated quarterly, available from Mar 1956 to Dec 2022, with an average rate of 2.2 %.
    • The data reached an all-time high of 24.4 % in Jun 2021 and a record low of -22.6 % in Jun 2020.
    CEIC calculates quarterly Real GDP Growth from quarterly Real GDP. The Office for National Statistics provides Real GDP in local currency, at chain linked 2019 prices.


    Related information about United Kingdom Real GDP Growth

    • In the latest reports, Nominal GDP of UK reached 744.4 USD bn in Dec 2022.
    • Its GDP deflator (implicit price deflator) increased 6.6 % in Dec 2022.
    • GDP Per Capita in UK reached 46,373.9 USD in Dec 2021.
    • Its Gross Savings Rate was measured at 16.3 % in Sep 2022.
    • For Nominal GDP contributions, Investment accounted for 16.7 % in Sep 2022.
    • Public Consumption accounted for 20.8 % in Sep 2022.
    • Private Consumption accounted for 62.9 % in Sep 2022.

  14. U

    United Kingdom Nominal GDP Growth

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Feb 15, 2025
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    CEICdata.com (2025). United Kingdom Nominal GDP Growth [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/united-kingdom/nominal-gdp-growth
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 15, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 1, 2022 - Dec 1, 2024
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    Key information about UK Nominal GDP Growth

    • United Kingdom Nominal GDP Growth was reported at 5.684 % in Dec 2024.
    • This records an increase from the previous number of 4.679 % for Sep 2024.
    • UK Nominal GDP Growth data is updated quarterly, averaging 6.139 % from Mar 1956 to Dec 2024, with 276 observations.
    • The data reached an all-time high of 26.888 % in Mar 1975 and a record low of -14.376 % in Jun 2020.
    • UK Nominal GDP Growth data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data.
    • The data is categorized under World Trend Plus’s Global Economic Monitor – Table: Nominal GDP: Y-o-Y Growth: Quarterly: Seasonally Adjusted.

    CEIC calculates quarterly Nominal GDP Growth from quarterly Nominal GDP. Office for National Statistics provides Nominal GDP in local currency.

  15. U

    United Kingdom UK: GDP: Growth

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Dec 15, 2012
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    CEICdata.com (2025). United Kingdom UK: GDP: Growth [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-kingdom/gross-domestic-product-annual-growth-rate/uk-gdp-growth
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    Dataset updated
    Dec 15, 2012
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 1, 2006 - Dec 1, 2017
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Variables measured
    Gross Domestic Product
    Description

    United Kingdom UK: GDP: Growth data was reported at 1.787 % in 2017. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1.936 % for 2016. United Kingdom UK: GDP: Growth data is updated yearly, averaging 2.527 % from Dec 1961 (Median) to 2017, with 57 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.596 % in 1970 and a record low of -4.188 % in 2009. United Kingdom UK: GDP: Growth data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.World Bank.WDI: Gross Domestic Product: Annual Growth Rate. Annual percentage growth rate of GDP at market prices based on constant local currency. Aggregates are based on constant 2010 U.S. dollars. GDP is the sum of gross value added by all resident producers in the economy plus any product taxes and minus any subsidies not included in the value of the products. It is calculated without making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or for depletion and degradation of natural resources.; ; World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.; Weighted average;

  16. Monthly gross domestic product: time series

    • ons.gov.uk
    • db.nomics.world
    • +1more
    csdb, csv, xlsx
    Updated Aug 14, 2025
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    Office for National Statistics (2025). Monthly gross domestic product: time series [Dataset]. https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/datasets/gdpmonthlyestimateuktimeseriesdataset
    Explore at:
    xlsx, csdb, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Aug 14, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Office for National Statisticshttp://www.ons.gov.uk/
    License

    Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Monthly estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) containing constant price gross value added (GVA) data for the UK.

  17. GDP forecast UK 2019-2029

    • statista.com
    Updated Apr 24, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP forecast UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/373187/uk-gdp-forecast/
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 24, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    In 2025, the UK's gross domestic product is forecast to reach 2.96 trillion British pounds, and exceed three trillion pounds by 2026.

  18. T

    United Kingdom GDP per capita

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ar.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
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    TRADING ECONOMICS, United Kingdom GDP per capita [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-kingdom/gdp-per-capita
    Explore at:
    csv, json, xml, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 31, 1960 - Dec 31, 2024
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The Gross Domestic Product per capita in the United Kingdom was last recorded at 47265 US dollars in 2024. The GDP per Capita in the United Kingdom is equivalent to 374 percent of the world's average. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom GDP per capita - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  19. k

    Real GDP Growth Projections

    • datasource.kapsarc.org
    Updated Sep 17, 2024
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    (2024). Real GDP Growth Projections [Dataset]. https://datasource.kapsarc.org/explore/dataset/real-gdp-growth-projections/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Sep 17, 2024
    Description

    Explore real GDP growth projections dataset, including insights into the impact of COVID-19 on economic trends. This dataset covers countries such as Spain, Australia, France, Italy, Brazil, and more.

    growth rate, Real, COVID-19, GDP

    Spain, Australia, France, Italy, Brazil, Argentina, United Kingdom, United States, Canada, Russia, Turkiye, World, China, Mexico, Korea, India, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Germany, Indonesia, JapanFollow data.kapsarc.org for timely data to advance energy economics research..Source: OECD Economic Outlook database.- India projections are based on fiscal years, starting in April. The European Union is a full member of the G20, but the G20 aggregate only includes countries that are also members in their own right. Spain is a permanent invitee to the G20. World and G20 aggregates use moving nominal GDP weights at purchasing power parities. Difference in percentage points, based on rounded figures.

  20. GDP growth forecast: Asia, U.S., UK and Germany 2010-2026

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated May 30, 2025
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    Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast: Asia, U.S., UK and Germany 2010-2026 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/369274/gdp-growth-forecast-asia-vs-major-economies/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    May 30, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Asia, Germany, United Kingdom, United States, Worldwide
    Description

    The gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of all major economies included except China was negative in 2020 following the COVID-19 pandemic. Growth rates were positive again in 2021, but stagnated in some countries in 2023 amid high inflation rates. What does GDP measure? GDP is the sum of all consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports in an economy. As such, different things drive the growth of each of these countries. Germany benefits from a high value of net exports, also known as its trade balance. Drawbacks of GDP growth as a metric GDP measures growth, but it does not capture welfare gains correctly in many cases. For example, carbon dioxide emissions often go hand in hand with a growing GDP. These emissions are from industry, such as coal power plants, or consumption, such as driving cars, but GDP does not measure the damage from these activities. Also, national debt is not incorporated into GDP.

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Statista (2025). GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/375195/gdp-growth-forecast-uk/
Organization logo

GDP growth forecast UK 2019-2029

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2 scholarly articles cite this dataset (View in Google Scholar)
Dataset updated
Jun 25, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Area covered
United Kingdom
Description

In 2024, the gross domestic product (GDP) of the United Kingdom grew by *** percent and is expected to grow by just *** percent in 2025 and by *** percent in 2026. Growth is expected to slow down to *** percent in 2027, and then grow by ***, and *** percent in 2027 and 2028 respectively. The sudden emergence of COVID-19 in 2020 and subsequent closure of large parts of the economy were the cause of the huge *** percent contraction in 2020, with the economy recovering somewhat in 2021, when the economy grew by *** percent. UK growth downgraded in 2025 Although the economy is still expected to grow in 2025, the *** percent growth anticipated in this forecast has been halved from *** percent in October 2024. Increased geopolitical uncertainty as well as the impact of American tariffs on the global economy are some of the main reasons for this mark down. The UK's inflation rate for 2025 has also been revised, with an annual rate of *** percent predicated, up from *** percent in the last forecast. Unemployment is also anticipated to be higher than initially thought, with the annual unemployment rate likely to be *** percent instead of *** percent. Long-term growth problems In the last two quarters of 2023, the UK economy shrank by *** percent in Q3 and by *** percent in Q4, plunging the UK into recession for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic. Even before that last recession, however, the UK economy has been struggling with weak growth. Although growth since the pandemic has been noticeably sluggish, there has been a clear long-term trend of declining growth rates. The economy has consistently been seen as one of the most important issues to people in Britain, ahead of health, immigration and the environment. Achieving strong levels of economic growth is one of the main aims of the Labour government elected in 2024, although after almost one year in power it has so far proven elusive.

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