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Principal projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.
This graph shows the resident population projection of elderly people in the United Kingdom from 2020 to 2050, by age group. There is expected to be an overall growth in the number of elderly people. It is expected that all age groups over the age of 60 are expected to increase in number; most substantially, those aged over 80 years.
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The mid-year estimates refer to the population on 30 June of the reference year and are produced in line with the standard United Nations (UN) definition for population estimates. They are the official set of population estimates for the UK and its constituent countries, the regions and counties of England, and local authorities and their equivalents.
This graph shows the resident population projection of middle aged people in the United Kingdom from 2020 to 2050, by age group. There is expected to be an overall growth in the numbers of middle aged people, however certain age groups are expected to fall in number, such as those aged from 50 to 54 years and 55 to 59 years.
By 2047 the population of London is expected to reach 9.97 million people, an increase of almost 699,500 when compared with 2025. While there has been quite a steep rise in its population in recent years, London’s population growth was relatively stagnant throughout the 1980s and even decreased slightly towards the end of that decade. After peaking at 8.89 million in 2019, the population of London has fallen slightly, to 8.8 million by 2021. UK population forecast Like London, the population of the United Kingdom is forecast to continue to grow well into the middle of the century. By 2046, the population of the UK is estimated to be over 76.3 million people, an increase of over 20 million people when compared with the population figures for 1976. Additionally, the average age of the population is predicted to increase from 39.5 years in 2020 to 44.5 years by the mid-2040s, and continue to increase towards the end of the century. London looms large In the UK, London is by far the largest urban agglomeration in the country, dwarfing the UK's next largest cities of Birmingham, Manchester, and Leeds. London also has a dominant economic position in the UK, with the city accounting for around a quarter of the total GDP in the country. The UK capital also has a far higher GDP per head than the rest of the county, at over ****** pounds in 2023, compared with the UK average of ****** pounds.
In 2047, the working age population of the United Kingdom is expected to be **** million, compared with **** million people of pensionable age. As a comparison, in 2022, there were approximately **** million people who were of working age, compared with twelve million pensioners.
This statistic displays the population of the United Kingdom, by age group, in 2015, with forecasts for 2025 and 2035. In 2015, the largest age cohort were those aged between 15 and 34, at over 16.8 million people. By 2035, the number of people aged 15-34 is forecasted to increase to approximately 17 million, while there are also anticipated to be around 17 million people aged over 65 in this year.
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Population figures over a 25-year period, by five-year age groups and sex for local authorities in England. 2022-based datasets are the latest projection.
This statistic shows the predicted population of the South East of England, United Kingdom (UK) from 2016 to 2041, based on the 2016 mid-year estimates. The figures show year on year growth, to a total population of approximately 10 million by 2041 for this region.
The latest National Statistics on prison population projections in England and Wales.
This annual release presents prison population projections for England and Wales from November 2022 to March 2027. It is produced to aid policy development, capacity planning and resource allocation within the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) and His Majesty’s Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS). Sub-population estimates are presented alongside the effects of legislation, sentencing activity, and other factors relevant to the prison population.
The publication is released by the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) and produced in accordance with arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority.
If you have any comments on the methods used for prison projections, please contact us: ESD@justice.gov.uk.
Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
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Tools to locate the dataset tables and supporting documentation for the 2014, 2016, 2018, 2020, 2021 and 2022-based national population projections. Contains links to the principal and (where available) variant projections for the UK and constituent countries for 100 years ahead.
This statistic shows the predicted population of the North East of England, United Kingdom (UK) from 2016 to 2041, based on the 2016 mid-year estimates. The figures show year on year growth, to a total population of 2.72 million by 2041 for this region.
The statistic shows the total population in the United Kingdom from 2015 to 2019, with projections up until 2025. The population grew steadily over this period.
Population of the United Kingdom
Despite a fertility rate just below the replacement rate, the United Kingdom’s population has been slowly but steadily growing, increasing by an average of 0.6 percent every year since 2002. The age distribution has remained roughly the same for the past ten years or so, with the share of the population over 65 years old seeing a slight increase as the baby boomer generation enters into that age bracket. That share is likely to continue growing slightly, as the United Kingdom has one of the highest life expectancies in the world.
The population of the island nation is predominantly white Christians, but a steady net influx of immigrants, part of a legacy of the wide-reaching former British Empire, has helped diversify the population. One of the largest ethnic minorities in the United Kingdom is that of residents of an Indian background, born either in the UK, India, or in other parts of the world. India itself is experiencing problems with rapid population growth, causing some of its population to leave the country in order to find employment. The United Kingdom’s relatively lower levels of unemployment and the historical connection between the two countries (which has also resulted in family connections between individuals) are likely reasons that make it a popular destination for Indian emigrants.
The latest National Statistics on prison population projections in England and Wales.
This annual release presents prison population projections for England and Wales from July 2021 to March 2026. It is produced to aid policy development, capacity planning and resource allocation within the Ministry of Justice (MOJ) and Her Majesty’s Prison and Probation Service (HMPPS). Sub-population estimates are presented alongside the effects of legislation, sentencing activity, and other factors relevant to the prison population.
The publication is released by the Ministry of Justice (MOJ) and produced in accordance with arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority.
If you have any comments on the methods used for prison projections, please contact us: ESD@justice.gov.uk.
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The total population in the United Kingdom was estimated at 69.2 million people in 2024, according to the latest census figures and projections from Trading Economics. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United Kingdom Population - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
The latest National Statistics on prison population projections.
This annual release gives the projected monthly prison population in England and Wales. Sub-population estimates are presented alongside the effects of legislation, sentencing activity, and other factors relevant to the prison population.
The publication is released by the Ministry of Justice (MOJ) and produced in accordance with arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority.
If you have any comments on the methods used for prison projections, please contact us: email.
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Population growth (annual %) in United Kingdom was reported at 1.066 % in 2024, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. United Kingdom - Population growth (annual %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.
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Long term population projections by sex and single year of age for York Local Authority area.
These unrounded estimates are published based on ONS estimates designed to enable and encourage further calculations and analysis. However, the estimates should not be taken to be accurate to the level of detail provided. More information on the accuracy of the estimates is available in the Quality and Methodology document
The estimates are produced using a variety of data sources and statistical models, including some statistical disclosure control methods, and small estimates should not be taken to refer to particular individuals. The estimated resident population of an area includes all those people who usually live there, regardless of nationality. Arriving international migrants are included in the usually resident population if they remain in the UK for at least a year. Emigrants are excluded if they remain outside the UK for at least a year. This is consistent with the United Nations definition of a long-term migrant. Armed forces stationed outside of the UK are excluded. Students are taken to be usually resident at their term time address.
The population estimates reflect boundaries in place as of the reference year.
Please note that “age” 999 comprises data for ages 90 and above.
Source and Licence:
Adapted from data from the Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.1.0.
Office for National Statistics’ national and subnational total mid-year population estimates for England and Wales for a selection of administrative and census areas by sex for 2012 to 2020. The data is source is from ONS Population Estimates. Find out more about this dataset here.
This data is issued at (BGC) Generalised (20m) boundary type for:
Country, Region, Upper Tier Local Authority (2021), Lower Tier Local Authority (2021), Middle Super Output Area (2011), and Lower Super Output Area (2011).
If you require the data at full resolution boundaries, or if you are interested in the range of statistical data that Esri UK make available in ArcGIS Online please enquire at dataenquiries@esriuk.com.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) produces annual estimates of the resident population of England and Wales at 30 June every year. The most authoritative population estimates come from the census, which takes place every 10 years in the UK. Population estimates from a census are updated each year to produce mid-year population estimates (MYEs), which are broken down by local authority, sex and age. More detailed information on the methods used to generate the mid-year population estimates can be found here.
For further information on the usefulness of the data and guidance on small area geographies please see here.The currency of this data is 2021.
Methodology
The total and 5-year breakdown population counts are reproduced directly from the source data. The age range estimates have been calculated from the published estimates by single year of age. The percentages are calculated using the gender specific (total, female or male) total population count as a denominator except in the case of the male and female total population where the total population is used to give female and male proportions.
This dataset will be updated annually, in two releases.
Creator: Office for National Statistics. Aggregated age groupings and percentages calculated by Esri UK._The data services available from this page are derived from the National Data Service. The NDS delivers thousands of open national statistical indicators for the UK as data-as-a-service. Data are sourced from major providers such as the Office for National Statistics, Public Health England and Police UK and made available for your area at standard geographies such as counties, districts and wards and census output areas. This premium service can be consumed as online web services or on-premise for use throughout the ArcGIS system.Read more about the NDS.
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United Kingdom ONS Projection: Population: Deaths data was reported at 836.931 Person th in 2116. This records a decrease from the previous number of 837.061 Person th for 2115. United Kingdom ONS Projection: Population: Deaths data is updated yearly, averaging 811.698 Person th from Dec 2017 (Median) to 2116, with 100 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 837.061 Person th in 2115 and a record low of 591.786 Person th in 2018. United Kingdom ONS Projection: Population: Deaths data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Office for National Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.G005: Population: Projection: Office for National Statistics.
Open Government Licence 3.0http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/
License information was derived automatically
Principal projection for Wales - population by five-year age groups and sex.